(05-22-2019, 06:02 PM)David Horn Wrote: > I read a great critique of Trump's trade war as stupid on tactics,
> totally lacking in strategy, but something that needed to be done.
> China has been riding the "developing nation" hobby horse far
> longer than they deserved to ride it. Add their great plans for
> world leadership, but also their weaknesses. They are already
> showing their hand on their one-sided view of trade and political
> relationships. What happens if the world decides that China is
> just too risky to have as a partner on really important things,
> and too domineering on everything else, and decamps for ABC
> (Anywhere But China) for making their things, great and small.
> This can get really messy really fast.

(05-23-2019, 11:04 AM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: > Moving to Vietnam to avoid tariffs will likely turn out to be a
> short term tactic. Americans will eventually notice (we aren't
> entirely stupid), and the trade war will expand in its geographic
> spread.

(05-23-2019, 12:53 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 23-May-2019 Trade war with China and Vietnam

(05-22-2019, 06:02 PM)David Horn Wrote: >   I read a great critique of Trump's trade war as stupid on tactics,
>   totally lacking in strategy, but something that needed to be done.
>   China has been riding the "developing nation" hobby horse far
>   longer than they deserved to ride it. Add their great plans for
>   world leadership, but also their weaknesses. They are already
>   showing their hand on their one-sided view of trade and political
>   relationships.  What happens if the world decides that China is
>   just too risky to have as a partner on really important things,
>   and too domineering on everything else, and decamps for ABC
>   (Anywhere But China) for making their things, great and small.
>   This can get really messy really fast.

(05-23-2019, 11:04 AM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: >   Moving to Vietnam to avoid tariffs will likely turn out to be a
>   short term tactic. Americans will eventually notice (we aren't
>   entirely stupid), and the trade war will expand in its geographic
>   spread.

In the middle of the US-China trade negotiations, China passed the
Foreign Investment Law in March, which codified the worst corrupt,
extortionist and militaristic policies of the CCP toward foreign-owned
businesses, and then on May 3 eviscerated their own commitments that
would have reversed these corrupt, extortionist and militaristic
policies.  The CCP is a global criminal in every possible way.
They're running concentration camps and crematoria (like Hitler's
concentration camps), they're violently cracking down on Uighurs,
Tibetans, Muslims, Buddhists and Christians (as Hitler violently
cracked down on Jews and Roma), they're annexing other countries'
regions (like Hitler's Lebensraum), they have complete contempt for
international law (like Hitler), and they're preparing for war in
every possible way (like Hitler).

Trump has no intention of being this generation's Neville Chamberlain.
He's using the US-China trade negotiations as a tool to derail the
CCP's path to total war.  It will not succeed because a world war in
100% certain anyway, but as I've said many times, and I'm not going to
criticize Trump for trying to prevent a world war, even if war is
certain no matter what he does.

There are plenty of reasons why a business might relocate a factory
from China to Vietnam -- substantially lower labor and real estate
costs, and less of the criminality -- corruption and extortion --
that's embedded in Chinese law.

Trump is not going to expand the trade war to Vietnam because Vietnam
will be our ally.  He's not that stupid, and he completely baffles the
idiots on the left.  Impeach!  Impeach!  Impeach!

(05-23-2019, 03:53 PM)David Horn Wrote: > I can't see anything even vaguely resembling a strategy, just a
> series of stunts the world already knows are bluffs. When the
> shit hits the fan, and the US economy starts to tank (and it
> will), Mafia Don will fold like a cheap paper napkin. Relocating
> industries is extremely expensive, and not justified to the
> plutocrats who run our companies, unless it benefits them
> personally. Don't hold your breath for a mass exit.

John Wrote:> The continuing Brexit disaster is a perfect example of what
> happens when Gen-Xers are in charge of running things.

Xeraphim1 Wrote:> John, I've seen you make this statement before, but May, Leadsom
> and Corbyn are all boomers. The problem with Brexit is that even
> though Conservatives generally supported Leave, their MPs are
> still majority Remainers, including May, who don't really want to
> go. May was a bad selection from the start as her incompetence
> since has illustrated well.

> Previously you blamed the CMO crash on X-ers, characterizing the
> Boomers running the issuing firms as some kind of amiable dunces
> who couldn't understand what they were selling. I think you may
> need to revisit your assumptions.

• Gen-Xers earned their Masters degrees in "Financial Engineering"
  in the 1990s.
  
  
  
• In the 2000s, Gen-Xer "financial engineers" created fraudulent
  sub-prime mortgage backed synthetic securities, and sold them because
  they wanted to screw their fathers and their fathers' generation.
  
  
  
• Their Boomer bosses could not have created these fraudulent
  securities, because had no clue how they worked.
  
  
  
• However, the Boomer bosses should have known that they were
  fraudulent, because they used slicing and dicing to transform
  high-risk B and C rated securities into nominally equivalent AAA-rated
  securities. The Boomer bosses should have known this was going on and
  stopped it, but they were making too much money.
  
  
  
• The quintessential Gen-Xer Barack Obama chose not to prosecute the
  bankers -- the Gen-Xers or the Boomers -- but instead chose to benefit
  from the fraud by accepting billions of dollars in contributions for
  elections and other left-wing projects, such as Obamacare. Obama is
  easily the most corrupt president in my lifetime. Trump's honesty is
  a breath of fresh air.

Quote: "U.S. Is Accountable for Rupture of Hanoi Summit
Talks: DPRK Foreign Ministry Spokesperson

Pyongyang, May 24 (KCNA) -- A spokesperson for the Ministry of
Foreign Affairs of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea
(DPRK) gave the following answer to a question put by KCNA on May
24, as regards the attempt revealing within the United States to
impute to the DPRK the cause for the rupture of the Hanoi
DPRK-U.S. summit talks:

As we have stated before, the underlying cause of setback of the
DPRK-U.S. summit talks in Hanoi is the arbitrary and dishonest
position taken by the United States, insisting on a method which
is totally impossible to get through.

For the sake of building confidence, a main key to an alleviation
of the DPRK-U.S. hostile relations, we took crucial and meaningful
measures of a strategically decisive nature including the
discontinuation of nuclear test and test-fire of intercontinental
ballistic missile, and we also took a broadminded step towards the
realization of the repatriation of the American POW/MIA remains.

However, the United States did not respond to our goodwill
measures in the same manner, but deliberately pushed the talks to
a rupture by merely claiming the unilateral disarmament of the
DPRK.

Notwithstanding the above facts, the United States attempts to
ascribe the setback of the DPRK-U.S. summit talks in Hanoi to a
completely irrelevant issue and to impute the responsibility for
the ruptured talks to the DPRK. Such American ulterior intention
definitely needs to be brought to the attention.

We hereby make it clear once again that the United States would
not be able to move us even an inch with the device it is now
weighing in its mind, and the further its mistrust and hostile
acts towards the DPRK grow, the fiercer our reaction will be.

Unless the United States puts aside the current method of
calculation and comes forward with a new method of calculation,
the DPRK-U.S. dialogue will never be resumed and by extension, the
prospect for resolving the nuclear issue will be much gloomy.

The U.S. would be well advised to wake up to reality and learn
anew how to have dialogue and negotiation."

• 1: FRUSTRATION WITH THE NO-DEAL SUMMIT
  
  
  
• 2. HATRED OF OBSTRUCTORS - blaming John Bolton and Mike Pompeo
  
  
  
• 3. IRRITATING BY BAD ADVICE - this refers to the bad advice that
  Kim received that led to the February 28 summit disaster
  
  
  
• 4. LACK OF PROGRESS ON THE INTER-KOREAN FRONT - blaming South
  Korea for not providing humanitarian assistance (money)
  
  
  
• 5. EMBARRASSED BY THE “MEDIATOR” - blaming South Korea President
  Moon Jae-in for siding with the US rather than with North Korea
  
  
  
• 6. OUTRAGE OVER MILITARY DRILLS - fury at the military drills
  between US and South Korea
  
  
  
• 7. INSULTED BY FOOD AID - fury at South Korea linking food aid to
  the North-South relationship

• Line of climbers near the Mount Everest summit

Quote:> Firstly, What are you views on the US policy on Huawei and
> potentially DJI and Hikvision.

Quote:> Secondly, I am about to fly to Shenzhen, I was just warned that
> the city now has a mandatory video photo at every and has cameras
> across the city. A foreign fund manger was recently detained at
> exit as he was seen taking numerous photos around the city with
> his cameras. Given this technology is being exported globally this
> makes me very uncomfortable.

(05-24-2019, 07:27 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 23-May-2019 Gen-Xers and Boomers in Brexit and financial crisis

John Wrote:>   The continuing Brexit disaster is a perfect example of what
>   happens when Gen-Xers are in charge of running things.

Xeraphim1 Wrote:>   John, I've seen you make this statement before, but May, Leadsom
>   and Corbyn are all boomers. The problem with Brexit is that even
>   though Conservatives generally supported Leave, their MPs are
>   still majority Remainers, including May, who don't really want to
>   go. May was a bad selection from the start as her incompetence
>   since has illustrated well.

>   Previously you blamed the CMO crash on X-ers, characterizing the
>   Boomers running the issuing firms as some kind of amiable dunces
>   who couldn't understand what they were selling. I think you may
>   need to revisit your assumptions.

As for the financial crisis, I've written probably hundreds of
articles on this subject in the last 15 years.  Here's a brief
summary:

[*]Their Boomer bosses ... had no clue how they worked.


[*]However, the Boomer bosses should have known that they were
fraudulent, because they used slicing and dicing to transform
high-risk B and C rated securities into nominally equivalent AAA-rated
securities.  The Boomer bosses should have known this was going on and
stopped it, but they were making too much money.

aeden Wrote:> http://gdxforum.com/forum/search.php?keywords=splc
> how you know your government is past stupid
> https://donate.splcaction.org/sslpage.aspx?pid=1549

> ===========================================================
> The SPLC is a left-wing, racist, racially bigoted, religiously bigoted
> hate group, one of the worst in the country. It's a sign of the
> dramatic rise of left-wing hate groups in America, matching the
> dramatic rise of organized left-wing violence around the world.
> Thu Jun 03, 2010 12:13 pm
> John
> ==========================================================

> Now they are offshoring a untold amount in theft and its tax free
> for them. Truly we are governed by half wits.

• During the Civil War, it was the Republicans that wanted to
  abolish slavery, and the Democrats who wanted to continue it.
  
  
  
• After the war, the Ku Klux Klan was formed as a militant
  arm of the Democratic Party.
  
  
  
• 70 years ago, the Ku Klux Klan branch of the Democratic party was
  a racist hate group targeting something like 12 million blacks.
  
  
  
• Today the SPLC and the same Democratic party are racially targeting
  60 million Trump supporters. They spread racist venom and they
  incite violence against Trump supporters. If Antifa beats the crap
  out of a Trump supporter, that's a good thing because, after all,
  he's a Trump supporter.
  
  
  
• This began well before Trump took office. For years, Democrats
  and the SPLC have described conservatives as "teabaggers," which is as
  offensive to them as "n-----r" is to blacks.

• Chief negotiator Kim Yong-chol (L) and Kim Hyok-chol, another
  negotiator

• Kim Yo-jong, the dictator's younger sister, along with Kim
  Song-hye, and Shin Hye-yong, the negotiators' female support
  group

Quote: "Acting like one is revering the leader in front but
dreaming of something else when one turns around is an anti-party,
anti-revolutionary act that has thrown away the moral fidelity
toward the leader, and such people will not avoid the stern
judgment of the revolution.

There are traitors and turncoats who only memorize words of
loyalty toward the leader and even change according to the trend
of the time."

• Iconic photo of 'tank man' - student blocking row of tanks in
  Tiananmen Square on June 5, 1989

Quote: "Everybody is concerned about Tiananmen after 30
years.

Throughout the 30 years, China under the Communist Party has
undergone many changes - do you think the government was wrong
with the handling of June Fourth? There was a conclusion to that
incident. The government was decisive in stopping the turbulence.

That incident was a political turbulence and the central
government took measures to stop the turbulence which is a correct
policy.

Due to this, China has enjoyed stability, and if you visit China
you can understand that part of history."

• A Taiwanese man takes a selfie with an inflatable tank man at
  the Liberty Square in Taipei, Taiwan

Quote:> On the U.S. side, a senior State Department official, during a
> forum last month in Washington, warned of a deepening
> confrontation with China that she cast in something close to
> racial terms.

> In the Cold War with the Soviet Union, said Kiron Skinner, the
> State Department’s director of policy planning, Washington at
> least faced fellow Caucasians, whereas with Beijing, Washington
> faces a nonwhite culture.

> “In China we have an economic competitor, we have an ideological
> competitor, one that really does seek a kind of global reach, that
> many of us didn’t expect a couple of decades ago,” Skinner
> said. “And I think it’s also striking that this is the first time
> that we will have a great-power competitor that is not
> Caucasian.”
> https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-us-china-trade-stalemate-20190531-story.html

Guest Wrote:> AND someone besides me finally says there is a racial component to
> all this. And just think, I thought it was just white males that
> caused trouble...

Guest Wrote:> When will your book on China be published?