Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials) - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Generations (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-20.html) +---- Forum: The Millennial Generation (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-5.html) +---- Thread: Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials) (/thread-6305.html) Pages:
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RE: Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials) - Eric the Green - 06-17-2021 If the 4T fails, the 2T will not make up for it. The USA will be in decline. I don't know why some people here think we can put things off to the 2T. There is no Awakening without decent fourth and first turnings. No foundation has been created for one, in that case. 2Ts are mainly cultural anyway. A 2T in a country still ruled by trickle-down and prejudice will probably just be an evangelical revival. 4Ts aren't guaranteed to be successful. However, every one of them in anglo-american history has been successful, meaning that the more progressive side won a clear victory, and the nation or its rulers then created conditions in which an Awakening could flourish. Remember that half-way through a 4T, it may seem like it is failing. That is frequently how it looks. Consider Antietam, Pearl Harbor or Valley Forge. We are half-way through. The 4T will not end until about 2028. You can't say it is over in 2021 or 2025, and then call it a failure. That is not fair to ourselves. Boomers are still some of the leaders. Blue Boomers will need to step up now and in the next 7 years and do their part, or the 4T will fail. We certainly can't leave things fully in the hands of Gen X and Millennials yet. We certainly can't leave things until an Awakening that won't come IF we leave things to it. Let's do our part, folks. I helped in the Georgia Senate election, even though I am a youthful 71. Let's get out the youth vote in 2022. There is no alternative to this view, if we want to have the right attitude toward our saeculum and what we need. At a minimum: Trickle-down economics must be discarded. Democrats must win enough seats in congress to pass the House's and Biden's current program, and more. Domestic terrorists and violent right-wing rebels must be defeated. A post-conspiracy theory consensus must be created. A possible foreign challenge in circa 2025 must be handled. RE: Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials) - Dustinw5220 - 06-17-2021 (06-17-2021, 02:59 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:(06-16-2021, 08:04 PM)Dustinw5220 Wrote:(06-16-2021, 07:02 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:(06-16-2021, 03:16 PM)Dustinw5220 Wrote:(06-16-2021, 03:01 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Those are good questions, to be answered by future generations. Myself I would say 2003 is the start date for Gen Z, but I think Mr. Howe says 2004. The next generations after Alpha, which will be starting in 2025, should follow the pattern of starting about 3-5 years before the next turning. In my 1997 book I postulated that after Gen X, generations would be called by their letters, so if that holds, as it has so far at least partially, then if the next Awakening starts in 2047, then the next nomad Generation, Gen Beta or Gen B, should start around 2044. Since dominant generations start within a year or two of when Neptune enters a cardinal sign, then the next civic generation, Generation C for civic, should start around 2065, when Neptune enters Cancer (that's another C too). The next 3T will probably start closely after that and last until about 2090. That it does. If the USA doesn't exist anymore by the end of this current 4T, could that be either good or bad depending on which side wins? Could something else take the USA's place even as early as the end of this 4T (circa 2028-2030), even if the Progressive side wins, and could it be better or worse (obviously it would be worse if the Republicans win, I know that all too well)? Also, even if the rhythm possibly changes after the next saeculum, I'm assuming they'll still continue to be generational archetypes and turnings in the 22nd century? Going back to end/start dates for generations, while I agree that 1882 is probably the more appropriate time to start the Lost Generation, would you officially end the Missionaries in 1881 or 1882 (I think at the very least, FDR was a cusper and had traits of both, rather than being strictly one or the other)? Also, while I definitely agree that 1901 was when the G.I.'s first arrived, do you think it also might be appropriate to extend the Lost a bit into that year as well (there did seem to be at least some people born that year that still had Nomad/Reactive traits, S&H themselves labeled Louis Armstrong as a member of the Lost even though he was born in 1901)? Also, even though the G.I's and the Boomers officially ended and began in 1924 and 1943 respectively, when would you offically begin and end the Silent, 1924-1943 or 1925-1942 like S&H had it (I'm probably thinking WAY too much about this, but the astrology aspect has got me curious/interested and I'm sure there were probably at least still cuspers in both 1924 and 1943)? RE: Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials) - Tim Randal Walker - 06-17-2021 Conceivably, a 2T might not seem distinctly Apollan or Dionysan if it was a rather weak 2T. Less intense than the Missionary Awakening, for example. (The corresponding 2T in England seems to have been such a case). A bleached 2T. RE: Estimating who belongs in S&H's Millennials (not mainstream Millennials) - Tim Randal Walker - 06-17-2021 Had a print out for what-was-then an older post to the paleo 4T site. I think I lost the print out when I moved about a decade ago. The 2T in England occurred about the same time as the Missionary Awakening. As I recall, two issues were feminism and socialism, but overall the 2T was tepid. |