(02-16-2021, 09:49 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: > I'd vote for dark blue on yellow, or red on yellow, or maybe dark
> red brown on yellow.

• Afghanistan prepares for war, as Nato postpones military withdrawal decision
  
• Nato postpones decision to withdraw forces from Afghanistan
  
• Why the Afghan peace agreement must fail
  
• Book on history of Vietnam nearing publication
  

• NATO Chief: No Final Decision on Afghanistan Pullout (Tolo News, Kabul, 18-Feb-2021)
  
• Taliban Insists on US Pullout in Open Letter to American People (Tolo News, Kabul, 16-Feb-2021)
  
• Thousands of Anonymous Tweets Call for US Troop Pullout (Tolo News, Kabul, 15-Feb-2021)
  
• Int’l Troops in Afghanistan Favor No One: Taliban (Tolo News, Kabul, 14-Feb-2021)
  
• Kandahar Officials Silent Over Reports of Growing Unrest (Tolo News, Kabul, 18-Feb-2021)
  
• NATO Faces Conundrum as It Mulls Afghan Pullout (Diplomat/AP, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• Taliban Urges US Public to Demand Early Pullout From Afghanistan (VOA, 16-Feb-2021)
  
• Taliban Warns NATO to Push Ahead With Troop Withdrawal in Afghanistan (AFP, 13-Feb-2021)
  
• Germany warns against swift withdrawal from Afghanistan (Reuters, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• Taliban keep close ties with Al Qaeda despite promise to U.S. (NBC News, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• New Zealand to End Military Deployment in Afghanistan (AFP, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• NATO eyes post-Trump reset as Afghanistan call looms (AFP, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• Biden administration takes more cooperative approach to its first high-level NATO meeting (Washington Post, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• Afghanistan (Nato Parliamentary Assembly, 17-Feb-2021)
  
• NATO Chief: No Troop Withdrawal from Afghanistan ‘Before the Time Is Right’ (VOA, 15-Feb-2021)
  
• NATO will leave Afghanistan when ‘time is right’: Stoltenberg (Al-Jazeera, 15-Feb-2021)

• Chaos grows in Afghanistan as American troops leave in hope of delusional peace plan (18-Jan-2021)
  
  
• Afghan 'peace talks' threatened by terrorist rocket attack on Kabul (22-Nov-2020)
  
  
• Why we can never prevail in Afghanistan (16-Dec-2019)
  
  
• US and Taliban to sign laughable 'reduction in violence' agreement in Afghanistan (16-Feb-2020)
  
  
• New head of US Central Command says Afghanistan war is unsustainable (06-Dec-2018)
  

(02-26-2021, 01:05 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: > I've only had time to skim the book, but I couldn't find anything
> directly laying out the generational era for Vietnam. If it's not
> in there, I think it would be useful, particularly regarding when
> their third turning ends.

(02-26-2021, 01:05 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: > On another note, I think subsaharan Africa is entering a third
> turning? As the third turning is an excellent time for outside
> investment, a book on subsaharan Africa might be of interest to
> some of your readers.

• Violence escalates dangerously in Myanmar / Burma
  
• International community calls for sanctions to end the violence
  
• Ethnic Burmans vs the other ethnic groups
  
• Generational analysis of crisis in Myanmar / Burma
  
• Consequences of a new Burma civil war
  

• Protesters defy Myanmar security forces as UN action urged (AP, 6-Mar-2021)
  
• Myanmar coup sparks unprecedented unity of ethnic groups (Nikkei, 2-Mar-2021)
  
• Myanmar suffers more deaths than in 2007 crackdown (Nikkei, 4-Mar-2021)
  
• Three police officers from coup-hit Myanmar seek refuge in India (Al-Jazeera, 4-Mar-2021)
  
• Khin Zaw Win: Protests in Myanmar (BBC Hardtalk, 4-Mar-2021)
  
• Khin Zaw Win: How populism directed against minorities is used to prop up Myanmar’s ‘Democratic’ revival (Open Democracy, 12-Mar-2018)
  
• Burma / Identity Crisis: Ethnicity and Conflict in Myanmar (Crisis Group, 28-Aug-2020)
  
• More Than 600 Police Join Myanmar’s Anti-Regime Protest Movement (Irrawaddy, Myanmar, 5-Mar-2021)
  
• For Myanmar Military, Rule No. 1 in Riot Control Is Shoot to Kill (Irrawaddy, Myanmar, 2-Mar-2021)
  
• Protests, mourning as world condemns Myanmar crackdown (Al-Jazeera, 4-Mar-2021)
  
• Clash over Myanmar U.N. seat averted as diplomatic revolt against junta widens (Reuters, 4-Mar-2021)
  
• Myanmar crackdown on protests, widely filmed, sparks outrage (AP, 4-Mar-2021)

• Violence feared in Myanmar/Burma as pro-democracy protests grow (08-Feb-2021)
  
  
• Myanmar (Burma) military coup as army arrests Aung San Suu Kyi government officials (02-Feb-2021)
  
  
• Burma: Growing demonstrations by the '88 Generation' raise fears of new slaughter (26-Sep-2007)
  
  
• Burma (Myanmar) demonstrations fizzle after violent government response (02-Oct-2007)
  
  
• Pompeo bashes China over genocide, virus, Taiwan on last days of Trump administration (20-Jan-2021)
  
  
• America and the standard Genocide Playbook (12-Jan-2021)
  

Cool Breeze" Wrote:> Quickly on the tulip bubble, which is the most embarrassing
> comparison these emotional hater posters put forth: The tulip
> thing was overstated, but even if you don't believe that, the nail
> in the coffin for the stupidity in comparison is that the "tulip
> bubble" - or any other bubble akin, lasted all of 1 year? Maybe
> 1.5. It didn't even bankrupt anyone, but it proved itself a
> bubble, yes.

Higgenbotham Wrote:Demarest once again.

Higgenbotham Wrote:

Higgenbotham Wrote:https://soundcloud.com/bloomberg-business/55-here-are-the-signs-that-a-civilization-is-about-to-collapse?in=bloomberg-business/sets/odd-lots

Quote:25:06 Moderator: How quickly can it all collapse?

Arthur Demarest: Very quickly. It can happen very, very quickly. The
Maya Civilization was most spectacular at around 780 to 790, 785, and
by 810 it was just in pieces. 800 in a lot of places, so it can
happen really, really quickly. It's often happened slowly in one part
and then that reaches a critical point and then it just runs through
the whole system which is what happened also with the Maya.

tim Wrote:> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=glKe9njOB24

> Roman Britain - The Work of Giants Crumbled

> If you start watching around 49:00 (though the entire video is
> worth watching), you can see what true collapse looks like.

> - central power collapse, the British people had to "look to their
> own defenses"

> - taxes stopped being collected

> - they stopped paying the administrators of the cities and trade
> routes

> - the previous professional military started taxing the civilians
> directly for protection. These groups grew into the basis of
> early medieval society

> - language was forgotten

> - people stopped being able to write

> - Britain's Roman cities fell into ruins. Cities abandoned.

> - Roman swords were found abandoned, dropped and left there. In
> this time a sword was what a mobile phone is today it would
> never be discarded.

> - "One day it seems, everyone just got up and left"

> - Tribal warlords some of which were officers in the former Roman
> army, moved in to the ruins and used them as private castles

> - trade at London's port stopped completely, suburbs were turned
> into farmland, people lacked the knowledge and will to rebuild.

> - Londons population drifted to the countryside and lived in
> primitive houses

> - Enclave of the ultra wealthy continued to live a Roman existence
> in a gated community. The decline was unstoppable and the rest of
> the city descended into chaos. People began to grow wheat in the
> middle of London. London was eventually deserted
> completely.

Guest Wrote:> Tim has some good info, but personally, I don't know why anyone
> would want to survive a full blown nuclear war. It will take a
> hundred years to rebuild from one, if ever. Third world countries
> won't ever recover. I think Higge has a better outlook, survive a
> year and then decide if it is worth staying alive.

aeden Wrote:> https://www.zerohedge.com/political/why-capitol-riot-terrified-elites

> Read this twice. They will spill out like an infection on
> themselves and go from there with utter impunity. I can give you
> a exact date and it will profit you nothing.

Cool Breeze" Wrote:> Oh yes it will. Better yet, it'll profit the resident guru JX the
> most.

Tom Mazanec" Wrote:> Too Busy Frontrunning Inflation, Nobody Sees the Deflationary
> Tsunami

> https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmar21/deflationary-tsunami3-21.html

• During the "roaring 1920s," the stock market kept going up,
  and the public mood was that the stock market would continue going up
  indefinitely, with the worst being an occasional dip. So ordinary
  people and investors kept buying stocks, knowing that their value
  would continue to increase.
  
  
• But it's more than that. If investors "know" that stock values
  will increase forever, then they can borrow money to buy more stocks,
  knowing that they'll be able to repay the debts by selling the stocks.
  And by the time they sell the stocks, the stocks will be worth more,
  since the stock prices are always going up, so they can repay the
  debts, and have money left over.
  
  
• So you have a bubbly cycle. Investors sell stocks to each other,
  pushing up the price of the stocks as they go back and forth between
  buyers and sellers. Investors borrow money from each other to
  purchase stocks, or use stocks as margin collateral, and go more and
  more deeply into debt with one another, as money goes back and forth
  between borrowers and lenders.

• On October 28-29, the market fell 25%. We know from reports
  at the time that this was caused by people forced to sell assets to
  meet margin calls. These would presumably be the people who had gone
  most deeply in debt, thinking that stocks would go up forever, and now
  were forced to sell their most liquid assets to meed debt
  payments.
  
  
• On October 30-31, the market rose 18%. These were people "buying
  the dip," still believing that stocks would go up forever.
  
  
• There were further ups and downs, but overall, the market fell 90%
  by July 1932.

Quote: "In the autumn of 1929 the New York Stock Exchange,
under roughly its present constitution, was 112 years old. During
this lifetime it had seen some difficult days. On September 18,
1873, the firm of Jay Cooke and Company failed, and, as a more or
less direct result, so did fifty-seven other stock exchange firms
in the next few weeks. On October 23, 1907, call money rates
reached 125 percent in the panic of that year. On September 16,
1920 -- the autumn months are the off season in Wall Street -- a
bomb exploded in front of Morgan's next door, killing thirty
people and injuring a hundred more.

A common feature of all these earlier troubles [[previous panics]]
was that having happened they were over. The worst was reasonably
recognizable as such. The singular feature of the great crash of
1929 was that the worst continued to worsen. What looked one day
like the end proved on the next day to have been only the
beginning. Nothing could have been more ingeniously designed to
maximize the suffering, and also to insure that as few as possible
escaped the common misfortune.

The fortunate speculator who had funds to answer the first margin
call presently got another and equally urgent one, and if he met
that there would still be another. In the end all the money he
had was extracted from him and lost. The man with the smart
money, who was safely out of the market when the first crash came,
naturally went back in to pick up bargains. ... The bargains then
suffered a ruinous fall. Even the man who waited out all of
October and all of November, who saw the volume of trading return
to normal and saw Wall Street become as placid as a produce
market, and who then bought common stocks would see their value
drop to a third or fourth of the purchase price in the next
twenty-four months. ... The ruthlessness of [the stock market was]
remarkable. ...

Monday, October 28, was the first day on which this process of
climax and anticlimax ad infinitum began to reveal itself.
It was another terrible day. Volume was huge, although below the
previous Thursday -- nine and a quarter million shares as compared
withnearly thirteen. But the losses were far more severe.
... Indeed the decline on this one day was greater than that of
all the preceding week of panic. Once again a late ticker left
everyone in ignorance of what was happening, save that it was bad.

On this day there was no recovery."

• Before October, the rule was: go further into debt to buy more
  stocks.
  
  
• After October, it was: Sell more stocks to pay off debts.
  
  
• Before October: People wanted to buy stocks, which pushed stock
  prices up.
  
  
• After October: People were forced to sell stocks, which pushed
  stock prices down.

Quote: "Speculative bubbles pop. All phantom wealth vanishes
back into the air it emerged from. Insolvent borrowers counting on
ever lower rates of interest and ever higher valuations
default. Lenders who leveraged up to loan gobs of "free money" to
uncreditworthy borrowers will be destroyed by the monumental
write-offs of uncollectible debts based on phantom valuations.

Those looking up from their "free fish!" frolicking will see the
tsunami too late to save themselves. None of the frolickers will
be able to outrun the tsunami or avoid being crushed as it sweeps
all the debris of a speculative mania into the flooded ruins
beyond the shoreline."

richard5za Wrote:> My experience is that most people struggle with math and math
> logic; I'm not including calculus in this comment but I mean less
> advanced e.g. advanced arithmetic.

> I have no idea what percentage of people have bought BTC, but its
> an intriguing idea to match those who can do math to those who
> own, or don't own, BTC.

Quote: "There is growing evidence that (the) Myanmar
military, led by the same senior leadership, is now likely
engaging in crimes against humanity, including acts of murder,
enforced disappearance, persecution, torture. ...

The country of Myanmar is being controlled by a murderous, illegal
regime.

There is extensive video evidence of security forces viciously
beating protesters, medics, and bystanders. There is video of
soldiers and police systematically moving through neighbourhoods,
destroying property, looting shops, arbitrarily arresting
protesters and passersby, and firing indiscriminately into
people’s homes."