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Generational Dynamics World View - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Theories Of History (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-7.html) +--- Thread: Generational Dynamics World View (/thread-51.html) Pages:
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 04-23-2017 The whole climate change debate exists simply due to the boomer globalists desire to control humans and boomers need to deflect from the fact that they tyrannically excluded gen-x from control over economic, foreign and military policy; the REAL issues. Not this boomer globalists "climate change" non-issues. 24-Apr-17 World View -- Kenya's herders attack well-known conservationist, stoking tr - John J. Xenakis - 04-23-2017 *** 24-Apr-17 World View -- Kenya's herders attack well-known conservationist, stoking tribal tensions This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Kenya's herders attack well-known conservationist, stoking tribal tensions **** ![]() Kuki Gallmann Well-known Italian conservationist Kuki Gallmann, 73, was shot in the stomach on Sunday by herders who invaded her Gallmann Laikipia Nature Conservancy in Laikipia county in Kenya's Rift Valley. Gallmann was airlifted to Nairobi for treatment. Hours later on the same day, a Kenya police reservists was shot and seriously injured by herders at the Sosian Ranch, also in Laikipia country. In early March, Tristan Voorspuy, a British citizen and former British army officer, was ambushed by herders and shot dead. Ms. Gallmann's Laikipia Nature Conservancy has been under attack by herders off and on for months. Last month, cattle herders burned down her lodge. The lodge is s frequented mainly by European tourists, who can pay more than $650 a night to stay. However, no visitors were present when the lodge was burned down. On Sunday, Ms. Gallmann was patrolling her ranch when she was ambushed and shot near her home. Security officers shot some of the herders and captured them. The big picture, that I've described many times in Central African Republic, Rwanda, Burundi, Kenya, Sudan, South Sudan, and even America in the 1800s, is that this is part of a classic and recurring battle between herders and farmers. The farmers accuse the herders of letting the cattle eat their crops, while the herders accuse the farmers of planting on land that's meant for grazing. If the farmers put up fences, then the herders knock them down. Daily Nation (Kenya) and NPR and Citizen TV (Kenya) Related Articles **** **** Battle between Kenya's farmers and herders morphs into tribal conflict **** Early in 2008, there was a period of extremely bloody inter-tribal violence in Kenya. The worst atrocity occurred when 30 people died in a fire. Dozens of people had gone to the church to escape increasing violence, when a youthful gang set the church on fire, trapping people inside. The violence was described as "ethnic cleansing." The Kalenjins, whose nomadic lifestyle was typical of herders, were "cleansing" a region of a different tribe, the Kikuyus, who were mostly farmers, either killing the Kikuyus or forcing them to leave the region. The violence was triggered when Mwai Kibaki, the leader of the Kikuyu tribe, was elected president of Kenya in December 2007. Today's renewed violence in and around the Rift Valley is also heavily tied into politics, especially with another election scheduled for August. President Uhuru Kenyatta is from the market-dominant Kikuyu tribe, while the opposition Coalition for Reform and Democracy (CORD), is led by Raila Odinga of the marginalized Luo tribe, which is an offshoot of the Kalenjins. Dating back to British colonial times, the Kikuyu tribe has been market-dominant, and the Kikuyus, as well as Europeans like Gallmann, owned large tracts of land for farming and conservancy. As the population of Kalenjins has grown, the population of their cattle and other livestock has grown as well. So it was inevitable that sooner or later a clash would occur. But farmers and land owners are claiming that politicians from the Kalenjins and other nomadic tribes are actually inciting violence by the herders. According to Martin Evans, chairman of the Laikipia Farmers' Association: > [indent]<QUOTE>"It started a year ago. At the time it started, there > was plenty of rain, it was nothing to do with lack of grass at > that time so yes, I think it's definitely being pushed by > politicians."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Farmers are accusing politicians and police of being cattle owners who stand to gain from the attacks. According to an NPR analyst: > [indent]<QUOTE>"You have nomadic herders who are moving into private > wildlife conservancies with thousands of heads of cattle. And in > response, the Kenyan government launched a military-style > operation to push the herders out. But what we've seen is an > escalation of violence. Police have killed lots of cows. And the > herders have responded by burning tourist lodges on the > properties."<END QUOTE>[/indent] In the past, there was a friendly relationship between herders and farmers. Farmers would allow herders with small herds to graze on their conservancies. But in the past year, these small herds have turned into thousands of heads of cattle, and farms are being attacked, not by cattle, but by human invaders. After last month's attack on Ms. Gallmann's property, nearly 400 herders were arrested for crimes unrelated to grazing. Politicians who incite tribal violence are really playing with fire. The current battles between herders and farmers is reviving many of the tribal hatreds that were present during the 2008 violence The 2008 violence was so bad that many analysts feared that it would spread into a major war. As I wrote at the time, that was very unlikely to happen. Kenya's last generational crisis war was the "Mau-Mau Rebellion." Britain had been exerting a fairly heavy hand as a colonial power, starting from the 1850s. An independence movement began in earnest in the late 1940s, leading to the generational crisis civil war that began in 1952 and climaxed in 1956. In 2008, only 52 years had passed since the climax of the previous generational crisis war. Generational Dynamics analysis of hundreds of wars in all places throughout history shows that a new crisis war very rarely begins until at least 58 years had passed since the climax of the previous crisis war. That's because until that time, there are still survivors of the previous crisis war in power, and they exert influence and power to prevent a new crisis war from occurring. But after 58 years or more have passed, the survivors no longer had power, and younger generations with no fear of war take over. So in 2008, a bloody spurt of tribal violence flared, but it fizzled fairly quickly because the time was not yet ripe. That was 2008. Today, Kenya is in a generational Crisis era, 61 years past the climax of the preceding crisis war, so few of the survivors of that war are still around. So when tribal violence begins in Kenya today, there's a very real possibility that it could spiral into a full-scale generational crisis war, such as happened in Rwanda in 1994, or is happening today in the Central African Republic. With a new election approaching in August, and with politicians inciting herders to violence, Kenya is in real danger of having a major new tribal war. The Star (Kenya 20-Jan-2017) and NPR (3-Apr) and Telegraph (London 31-Mar) and UPenn - Kenya ethnic groups Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Kenya, Kuki Gallmann, Laikipia Nature Conservancy, Laikipia county, Rift Valley, Tristan Voorspuy, Sosian Ranch, Mwai Kibaki, Kikuyus, Kalenjins, Uhuru Kenyatta, Raila Odinga, Luos, Coalition for Reform and Democracy, CORD, Martin Evans Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Warren Dew - 04-24-2017 (04-24-2017, 10:34 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: Want to reduce C02 emissions? Step 1, don't buy anything "Made in China." Step 1, don't buy an SUV. 25-Apr-17 World View -- In Pakistan, you may murder anyone with impunity by accusing - John J. Xenakis - 04-24-2017 *** 25-Apr-17 World View -- In Pakistan, you may murder anyone with impunity by accusing him of blasphemy first This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** In Pakistan, you may murder anyone with impunity by accusing him of blasphemy first **** ![]() Mashal Khan, lynched and killed by his college roommates after they falsely accused him of blasphemy (Facebook photo) In Pakistan, accusing someone of defiling Islam or the Prophet Mohammed, even if the accusations are 100% false, is a free ticket to murder someone with impunity. Blasphemy has long been treated as a crime in many countries, including Christian countries, although rarely enforced. Many countries have repealed their blasphemy laws. In Pakistan, blasphemy laws were first codified by the British colonial rulers in 1860, and expanded in 1927. Pakistan inherited these laws after Partition in 1947 created the country. Between 1947 and 1985, there were only 14 known legal cases of blasphemy. But in 1986, Pakistan broadened the blasphemy laws and made it a capital offense. Since that year, over 4,000 cases of blasphemy have been registered. Since 1990, there have been at least 66 murders over unproven allegations of blasphemy. The law, as it was passed in 1992, said: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Whoever by words, either spoken or written, or by > visible representation or by any imputation, innuendo, or > insinuation, directly or indirectly, defiles the sacred name of > the Holy Prophet Muhammad (peace be upon him) shall be punished > with death, or imprisonment for life, and shall also be liable to > fine."<END QUOTE>[/indent] So anyone accused of blasphemy can be jailed, tortured and executed. There is apparently no need for blasphemy accusers to provide proof, and therefore someone accused of blasphemy has no defense. Analysts claim that blasphemy laws are most often used against Christians, Shia Muslims, and other non-Sunni Muslim sects such as the Ahmadis. Prior to 2011, there were many calls to reform the blasphemy laws. But in 2011, Salam Taseer, the governor of Punjab province, tried to reform the blasphemy laws, and was shot dead by his own bodyguard. For years the murderer was not prosecuted, but was actually treated as a hero by other politicians and lawyers for having killed a blasphemer -- using the twisted logic that calling for reform of the blasphemy laws is itself an act of blasphemy worthy of instant murder. Since then, politicians in fear of their lives have refrained from calling for any reforms to the blasphemy laws, while judges and lawyers are afraid to defend accused blasphemers, even when there's no evidence. The result is that blasphemy charges are freely used for personal disputes, and even allow a murder with impunity. BBC (6-Nov-2014) and Christians In Pakistan and Asia and Reuters (20-Apr) **** **** Even Pakistan is shocked by three blasphemy murders in 11 days **** In recent years, I've reported on dozens of terror attacks by Pakistan terror groups on Pakistan civilians. These most often target Shia Muslims, and a single terror attack might kill dozens or even hundreds of people, including women and children. If terror attacks are used for mass slaughter, then killing based on the blasphemy laws can be thought of as terror attacks on an individual basis. If you don't like your next door neighbor, you probably can't kill him with a bomb, but you can shoot him dead after accusing him of blasphemy. And if he's a Shia Muslim or Christian, there'll usually be no punishment. However, there have been a sudden rash of the blasphemy killings, with three of them in the 11 days, causing the normally unshockable people in the Pakistani public to actually be shocked. On April 13, college student Mashal Khan was accused of blasphemy by his roommates in a hostel where they were all living. The mob of roommates brutally lynched Mashal Khan, beating him before shooting him in the head and chest. The mob then continued to beat his dead body with sticks. Apparently Mashal's crime was a tv interview where he complained about the administration of the college he was attending, and called for reduced college fees. Mashal's cousin wants to go to college, but his father is telling him, "Don’t go to a university. They kill children there." Since then, two other blasphemy charges have turned into mob violence. On April 19, three girls in their 20s wearing burqas shot dead Fazal Abbas. Abbas had been accused of blasphemy in 2004, and had fled the country to Denmark. He only returned to Pakistan recently to defend himself against the blasphemy charges. He was out on bail when the three girls killed him. One was quoted as saying, "we couldn’t kill him at the time [2004] because we were too young then." On April 21, Rashid Ahmed was accused of uttering "blasphemous remarks" during Friday prayers at a mosque in northwest Pakistan. The worshippers in the mosque started beating the man. Six police officers were injured trying to rescue him. The mosque's imam saved him, and turned him over to police. According to witnesses, Ahmed entered the mosque asking to make an important announcement. He then declared himself a messiah and said he would lead his followers to paradise. According to police, the man is suffering from mental illness. These brutal murders have shocked Pakistan, and there are renewed calls to reform the blasphemy laws. But there's little hope of any real reform. This is a country that pays terrorists to attack targets in India and Afghanistan, and the same psychopathic vitriol that permeates Pakistan's clerical establishment also protects the blasphemy laws and particularly their use in freely killing Shia Muslims and Christians. Daily Times (Pakistan) and Al Jazeera and Geo TV (Pakistan 18-Apr) and Express Tribune (Pakistan) Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Pakistan, blasphemy, Salam Taseer, Mashal Khan, Fazal Abbas, Rashid Ahmed Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: 25-Apr-17 World View -- In Pakistan, you may murder anyone with impunity by accusing - Ragnarök_62 - 04-24-2017 (04-24-2017, 10:05 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: *** 25-Apr-17 World View -- In Pakistan, you may murder anyone with impunity by accusing him of blasphemy firstAnd so.... lf this "Blasphemy" thing is real, and I'm not disputing this John, should the US just fucking pull out of the Mideast due to such fucking Medieval crap? Look, I'm really getting short on this Muslim being "such fucking specialness". I'd say if this is going on, then Trump is correct, just shut down this fucking importation of defective Muslims. We, the US, don't need these ass wipe feeling superior types. I have an excellent idea. Let 'em rot in their collective global warming doom. Tell them that Allah will make it all better. ![]() And... of course, I don't give a rat's ass what Assad does. Let him just drop chemical/barrel bombs, wherever. Kill 'em all, I say. US out of the Mideast, NOW! RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Ragnarök_62 - 04-24-2017 (04-24-2017, 11:18 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-24-2017, 04:23 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 10:34 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: Want to reduce C02 emissions? Step 1, don't buy anything "Made in China." Rags has an even a most excellent ideas. 1. Step 1: XY_MOX_4AD: right? Yes, don't buy shit made in China, because of the transport CO2, output, + China CO2 ignore shit due to cheap manufacturing of plastics. I know this since I chucked Chinese cheap shit plastic Soda Steam / vs. US made steal Soda Stream apparatus . So yes, don't buy crappola made in China -> breaks -> goes to landfill. 2. SUV$S. Yup. Any internal combustion engines are by default CO2 augmenters. If possible, use mass transit. For other shit made in China, well, their shit = cheap steel, cheap plastic. Short term gain vs. long term loss. Let's not forget those long assed supply chains. OK? 3. So... Use localized thrift shops to get the stuff ya need, OK? Fuck globalism, fuck Walfart, fuck it all, man. Buy local, save local, man. ![]() 4. < Of course, Rags wants and desires the destruction of the "New World Order". Buy local and put the fuck to the New World Order, OK? Yeah, that's the ticket, man. Burn, baby, burn. I just love the smell of napalm in the morning. Hahahahahaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaahahah. Weed, man, weed. And... Fuck you DEA, fuck you NSA, fuck you, FBI, fuck you MIC. So... what ya think , there, XY_MOX_4AD? Mayh the CIA/spooks be afraid, be very afraid, you cock suckers. So, XY_*, would ya like the CIA to bow before your cock and worship it? I want the CIA to bow down and suck my cock. I'll fill its mouth with a load of man juice. It feels good, man. I'll be more than glad to share 10 cum shots to the CIA. ![]() RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Warren Dew - 04-25-2017 (04-24-2017, 11:18 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-24-2017, 04:23 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 10:34 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: Want to reduce C02 emissions? Step 1, don't buy anything "Made in China." If you want to help fix things in China too, the best thing to do is to buy Chinese solar cells to help drive that industry so that when prices come down enough for them to be affordable there, China can eventually replace a lot of fossil fuel electric generation with solar cells. RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Ragnarök_62 - 04-25-2017 (04-25-2017, 10:33 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 11:18 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-24-2017, 04:23 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 10:34 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: Want to reduce C02 emissions? Step 1, don't buy anything "Made in China." I'd prefer to buy US sourced solar cells. I don't know if Chinese stuff is even safe. Perhaps they use some toxic stuff , you know like that sulfur tainted dry wall, melamine tainted human and pet food, lead painted toys, etc. RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Ragnarök_62 - 04-25-2017 (04-25-2017, 05:25 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-25-2017, 04:12 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote:(04-25-2017, 10:33 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 11:18 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-24-2017, 04:23 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: Step 1, don't buy an SUV. ? Ohhh yeah, SCO sabotage, man. So what ya think of the gray plague shown above? ![]() "Purple"... such a nice color and it involves one of favorite elements, gold. Yes, Rags loves gold for its true value. Yes, XY_MOX_4AD, Rags is quite like his Viking ancestors and has a very strong yen for gold. Gold, yes, the metal of royalty. The metal of true worth, instead of fiat money. As for the vid, you have, OTOH, mercury, the metal of death, yes, death. Mercury binds with sulfur in enzymes. Yes , that's what mercury does, binds to enzymes. That's why this element makes people stupid. The brain gets poisoned by mercury binding to sulfur enzymes in the brain. It's also a heavy metal. Lots of heavy metals bind to sulfur in enzymes. Yes, that's how heavy metals become poisons. They alter brain enzymes and , thusly ... make people stupid. As for "making people stupid", there's lots of stuff besides heavy metals that do that. Tee Vee and its vapid radio wave emanations. What a waste of bandwidth, those Tee Vee owners. Yes, they also make people stupid by draining a lot of brains of energy. <- Now there's that power down you mentioned. Yes, TeeVee = huge power down. If it keeps up, humans shall die as a species from getting stupid. ![]() And... Are U thinking about this? It's fucking purple, man. :: Rags takes a toke ::: It's also a plague, man. ![]() And... Are U old enough to remember this. Oh the stuff my Boomer cousins tuned me into.... Hahahahahaahahahahahahahahahah. ![]() :: Sesame Street ::: Today's color is purple. Youtube is haunted, there, Xy_MOX_4AD. Remember this? Huh. Let me know. Rags is tuned into this, for example. Yes, XY_MOX_4AD, Rags is coming up on the double nickel. Rags shall be 55 on May, 3 , 2017. ![]() RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Warren Dew - 04-25-2017 (04-25-2017, 04:12 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote:(04-25-2017, 10:33 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 11:18 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-24-2017, 04:23 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-24-2017, 10:34 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote: Want to reduce C02 emissions? Step 1, don't buy anything "Made in China." What do you think they do, create poison electrons? I remember looking into the toys. It turned out there were more frequent problems with lead in US made toys; they just didn't make the news as much. 26-Apr-17 World View -- Turkey's warplanes strike Kurdish militias fighting ISIS in - John J. Xenakis - 04-25-2017 *** 26-Apr-17 World View -- Turkey's warplanes strike Kurdish militias fighting ISIS in Syria and Iraq This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Turkey's warplanes strike Kurdish militias fighting ISIS in Syria and Iraq **** ![]() Members of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) In Syria, Turkey's warplanes struck Kurdish militias known as the People's Protection Units, or YPG, who are allies of the US-led coalition fighting the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh). The YPG said that Turkey's airstrikes killed 20 of its fighters and wounded 18 others, and caused extensive damage to YPG headquarters and nearby civilian property. Although the US considers the YPG to be the most effective fighting force on the group against ISIS, Turkey considers them to be an extension of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). The PKK have been conducting an anti-government insurgency in Turkey since 1978, and have conducted numerous terror attacks on civilian targets in Turkey. The YPG denounced the airstrikes as "treacherous," accusing Turkey of undermining the fight against ISIS. "By this attack, Turkey is trying to undermine the Raqqa operation, give ISIS time to reorganize and put in danger lives of thousands of [people]." In Iraq, Turkish warplanes struck Kurdish targets in the Qandil mountains in northeastern Iraq and on Sinjar mountain in northern Iraq. The PKK stronghold is in the Qandil mountains, and Turkey's warplanes have been targeting that region for years. The strikes on Sinjar mountain are a new development. According to reports from Kurdish sources, one PKK fighter was killed, but the airstrikes also killed five Peshmerga and wounded nine others. Peshmerga are the Kurdish militias that are part of the effort to expel ISIS from Mosul. The Kurdish Regional Government (KRG), which says that it is distinct from the PKK, condemned the airstrikes on Sinjar mountain, but also asked the PKK to leave the area. The Iraqi parliament's deputy speaker denounced the airstrikes in Sinjar, saying that they have no justification: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The air strikes will affect the relations between > both countries and will spoil stability in the area while the > Iraqi forces are launching operations against ISIS in > Mosul."<END QUOTE>[/indent] A military statement from Turkey said that the airstrikes hit shelters, ammunition depots and key control centers, to prevent infiltration of Kurdish rebels, weapons, ammunition and explosives from those areas across the border into Turkey: > [indent]<QUOTE>"To destroy these terror hubs which threaten the > security, unity and integrity of our country and our nation and as > part of our rights based on international law, airstrikes have > been carried out ... and terrorist targets have been struck with > success."<END QUOTE>[/indent] The statement said that dozens of militants were "neutralized." AP and NRT TV (Kurdistan) and Deutsche Welle **** **** PKK conducts new terror attack in southeastern Turkey **** At least 10 Turkish soldiers were killed in two separate attacks the PKK on Sunday, in the southeastern cities of Diyarbakir and Sirnak. On Saturday, Turkey's military reported the death of 14 PKK fighters in two separate offensives, also in southeastern Turkey. ARA News Related Articles
**** **** US State Dept. says that it's 'deeply concerned' about the Turkish airstrikes **** Turkey has long objected to the use of any Kurdish militias in the fight against ISIS in either Syria or Iraq, and has taken its own military action in Syria to block attempts by the Kurds to create an independent Kurdish state of Rojava along the northern border of Syria with Turkey. However, this has brought the US and Turkey into sharp disagreement, the Kurdish militias in Syria and Iraq have been extremely effective in fighting ISIS, and indeed are thought to the most effective fighting force against ISIS. On Tuesday, US State Department spokesman Mark Toner expressed deep concern over Turkey's airstrikes: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Now, turning to Turkey, and I think it was your last > question, so we are very concerned – deeply concerned – that > Turkey conducted airstrikes earlier today in northern Syria, as > well as northern Iraq, without proper coordination either with the > United States or the broader global coalition to defeat ISIS. And > we’ve expressed those concerns to the Government of Turkey > directly. These airstrikes were not approved by the coalition and > led to the unfortunate loss of life of our partner forces in the > fight against ISIS that includes members of the Kurdish > Peshmerga. I would also note that the concerns – or rather note > the concerns expressed by the Government of Iraq and reaffirm our > view that military action in Iraq should respect Iraqi > sovereignty. > > And just finally, given the very complex battle space in these > areas, it’s vital that Turkey and all partners in the effort to > defeat ISIS coordinate their actions as closely as possible as we > work together to maintain pressure to destroy ISIS on the > battlefield in order to ensure that we meet that goal but also > that we ensure the safety of all coalition personnel who are > operating in that – as I said, in that theater."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan apologized for the death of the Peshmerga fighters. He contradicted Toner by claiming that the US had been informed of the airstrikes in advance, and said that the airstrikes will continue: > [indent]<QUOTE>"We are obliged to take measures. We must take > steps. We informed the US, Russia, northern Iraq and [Kurdish > President Masoud] Barzani before we bombed PKK positions in > Sinjar. We will not allow Sinjar to become a PKK base. > > Our operations in Sinjar and northern Syria will > continue."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Turkey's airstrikes in Syria are becoming particularly dangerous. There are now roughly three different sets of forces operating in Syria: The Syrian regime + Russia, Turkey + the Free Syrian Army comprised mainly of ethnic Syrian Turkmens, and the US-led coalition + the Kurdish militia. These three forces are currently united only because of the fight against the common enemy, ISIS. But once ISIS has been expelled from its stronghold Raqqa, then they may turn on each other. The Kurdish YPG has already threatened revenge against Turkey for Tuesday's airstrikes. Generational Dynamics predicts that the Mideast is headed for a major regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews versus Arabs, and various ethnic groups against each other. State Dept. and Rudaw (Kurdistan) and CNN Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Raqqa, Mosul, Turkey, Iraq, Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh, Rojava, People's Protection Units, YPG, Kurdistan Workers’ Party, PKK, Mount Sinjar, Qantil Mountains, Free Syrian Army, FSA, Russia, Mark Toner, Recep Tayyip Erdogan Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Ragnarök_62 - 04-25-2017 (04-25-2017, 08:39 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: <snip> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cadmium_telluride Dunno about that Warren. Cadmium telluride seems all the rage on US sourced solar cells. Cadmium Chalcogenides are pretty non toxic 'cause the compounds are very stable, man. compounds are safer. X = [O,S,Se,Te,Po,Lv] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chalcogenide Like, I said, Chinese factories spew lots of coal/heavy metals/organic POPs than the US does due to regulations forbidding such emissions in the US,. I remember a zinc smelter close by, that shut down near by due to environmental regulations here in the US. Smelters if, left to their own devices will emit toxic metealoids like arsenic,selenium, tellurium, bismuth, antimony, etc. So ... yeah. it not poison electrons that happen , but poison metalloid atoms, there, guy. ![]() .... I don't recall US toys having lead in them. Here's the sequence for lead, enjoy. [C, Si, Ge, Sn, Pb[ Pb = lead. Warren, learn the periodic table, for it's the true key to chemistry. US companies don't give a rat's ass about you and me. All they care about is profit is far as their eye can see. ![]() 27-Apr-17 World View -- Philippines President Duterte seeks to appease China at ASEAN - John J. Xenakis - 04-26-2017 *** 27-Apr-17 World View -- Philippines President Duterte seeks to appease China at ASEAN meeting This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Philippines President Duterte seeks to appease China at ASEAN meeting **** ![]() Rodrigo Duterte and Xi Jinping share a warm greeting and handshake (Reuters) This week's meeting of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is generating controversy because the draft statement to be issued makes no mention of China's militarization of the South China Sea or the dramatic ruling by the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) at The Hague declaring China's claims and activities in the South China Sea to be illegal. The person who is going easy on China is this meeting's rotating chairman, who this year is Philippine's president Rodrigo R. Duterte. In October of last year, Duterte went to Beijing and met with China's president Xi Jingping. In exchange for receiving millions of dollars in investments and loans from China, Duterte agreed to cancel some agreements with the United States and to forget about China's illegal activities in the South China Sea. Last year's ASEAN statement emphasized the importance of "non-militarization and self-restraint in the conduct of all activities, including land reclamation." But Duterte's watered-down statement will drop references, or even allusions, to China's construction of artificial islands and the military hardware it has placed on them. Instead, the statement says: > [indent]<QUOTE>"We reaffirmed the importance of enhancing mutual > trust and confidence, exercising self-restraint in the conduct of > activities, avoiding actions that may further complicate the > situation."<END QUOTE>[/indent] The Philippine people view the United States far more favorably than they do China, and so Duterte's flip-flop on China has never been particularly possible. Duterte's own defense secretary Delfin Lorenzana has vocally expressed criticisms of China's activities, especially as it seemed that China plans to build another military base on the critical Scarborough Shoal. On Tuesday, the former foreign affairs Secretary Albert Del Rosario raised 5 concerns about Duterte's appeasement policy:
Of course Duterte has no answer to Rosario's questions. Rosario says that the Philippines should take full advantage of last year's PCA ruling, and make sure that international law is upheld in the region. According to Rosario: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Philippine interests are best promoted when all > states, of any size or power, adhere to the commonly agreed upon > standards that govern countries’ rights and relationships. > International law, in my view, is the great equalizer. Through it, > a country of 100 million people is the equal of one that is more > powerful, and that is more than ten times its size. > > As this year’s chair of ASEAN, the Philippines has a unique and an > important opportunity to dwell on how we can work with our > neighbors to ensure that this rules-based order succeeds. The > purpose of our cooperation should go beyond maintaining friendly > ties; we must also cooperate to ensure that we live in a > neighborhood where countries follow the rules and uphold their > commitments."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Duterte's proposed statement may yet be changed before it's officially issued by ASEAN on Saturday. Other ASEAN members whose territories in the South China Sea that China is confiscating include Malaysia, Vietnam and Brunei. They may pressure Duterte to make a more aggressive statement. However Cambodia, which also receives a great deal of money from China, would fight such a move, and force a compromise similar to Duterte's appeasement statement. Manila Times and Reuters and Rappler (Philippines) Related Articles
**** **** The phrase 'Code of Conduct' is the new code word for appeasement **** There's a new code phrase used by people who want to appease China. The phrase is "Code of Conduct" or CoC. The idea is to negotiate with China to agree to a code of conduct in the South China Sea, so that everyone can live in peace. It's totally laughable to believe that China would agree to any code of conduct, or to follow any code of conduct it agreed to, but calling for a CoC is the easy solution for someone who doesn't want to confront China. There's an obvious comparison to the United States relation with North Korea. For decades, the US appeased North Korea, hoping that appeasement could end its development of nuclear weapons. It hasn't worked, as North Korea is now on the verge, within perhaps a couple of years, of developing a nuclear-tipped ballistic missile that could reach the United States. The policy of appeasing North Korea has been a complete failure, and now under president Donald Trump the policy is being reversed to be a lot more confrontational. Duterte's policy of appeasement toward China is not going to work either. China is determined to continue with its heavy militarization of the South China Sea and, perhaps within a couple of years, will have the entire South China Sea under its military control. The US also has a policy of appeasement toward China. As regular Generational Dynamics readers know, China has been aggressively preparing for full-scale war with the United States for years. They've developed one nuclear ballistic missile system after another, and manufactured perhaps hundreds of those missiles, with no other purpose than to destroy American cities, military bases and aircraft carriers. These developments have been deliberately planned, and it's clear that China plans to attack at a time of its own choosing. The US has chosen to ignore this vast military buildup directed at us, just as Duterte is ignoring China's military buildup in the South China Sea. Appeasement as a strategy doesn't work, and leads to war. North Korea is developing is nuclear-tipped missile, China is continuing to militarize the South China Sea and also to develop missile systems targeting the United States, and in 1938 Britain's prime minister Neville Chamberlain's appeasement of Adolf Hitler didn't prevent World War II. The problem is that the opposite of appeasement also doesn't work, and also leads to war, perhaps more quickly. If Neville Chamberlain had declared war on Nazi Germany instead of declaring "peace in our time," then WW II would simply have occurred sooner. Donald Trump is currently discovering that there's no credible way to prevent North Korea's development of a nuclear-tipped intercontinental ballistic missile without a major war that would devastate South Korea. The Philippines could do nothing to stop China's huge military buildup in the South China Sea, so Rodrigo Duterte decided to make the best of it by getting some money out of the situation. If you're going to die anyway, you might as well get 30 pieces of silver first. And no one even wants to think about some alternative to appeasement of China in view of that country's evident plans for a preemptive attack on the United States. There's a halfway measure - sanctions, but that hasn't worked either in the case of North Korea, which has survived enormous sanctions. As with so many problems that I've written about over the years, these problems have no solution. In each case, the rogue countries will continue that path to full-scale war, and other countries will use appeasement because there's no other way to proceed. Finally the war begins, causing millions or billions of deaths, and it ends with an international conference that issues a statement saying "Never again," but it always happens again. Inquirer (Manila) and Philippine Star Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Philippines, Rodrigo R. Duterte, China, Xi Jinping, South China Sea, Code of Conduct, CoC, United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration, PCA, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, ASEAN, Delfin Lorenzan, Albert Del Rosario, North Korea Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: 27-Apr-17 World View -- Philippines President Duterte seeks to appease China at ASEAN - Cynic Hero '86 - 04-26-2017 (04-26-2017, 09:54 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: The problem is that the opposite of appeasement also doesn't work, andActually there would have been a German invasion of Czechoslovakia, it would have been followed by a coup in Germany that would have at least delayed the war until the mid-1940s or even prevented the war altogether (The German generals were not fully committed to Hitler until the victory over France in 1940). If Britain and France had simply invaded Germany from the west while the Germans were invading Poland in 1939, the Nazis would have been forced to capitulate because the majority of their forces had already been committed to the invasion of Poland. If you fear North Korean capabilities, and especially if one regards North Korea as simply a vanguard for Russia and China, then attacking North Korea solves the problem by reestablishing global memory of US capabilities and force potential. The defeat of north korea will also deter both Russia and China by the fact that North Korea technically already is a nuclear power and its defeat would reestablish deterrence from both Russia and China. Sanctions is just more status quo globalist nonsense. That is the policy we have been doing, given its poor results so far why would we even consider continuing this policy? That is also the policy favored by the globalists in the US government. We Just had an election in which globalism was a main issue in the election; the globalist candidate lost the election remember. So we would not continue Clintonist military and diplomatic doctrines. RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Warren Dew - 04-26-2017 (04-25-2017, 10:14 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote: Chinese factories spew lots of coal/heavy metals/organic POPs than the US does due to regulations forbidding such emissions in the US,. That stuff falls out of the atmosphere before it can get over here, though. If they want to make different tradeoff regarding their local environment, that's up to them. RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - John J. Xenakis - 04-27-2017 (04-27-2017, 11:43 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-26-2017, 10:42 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-25-2017, 10:14 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote: Chinese factories spew lots of coal/heavy metals/organic POPs than the US does due to regulations forbidding such emissions in the US,. No wonder the people on the West Coast are crazy. RE: 23-Apr-17 World View -- Scientists worldwide hold an international March for Money on - Warren Dew - 04-27-2017 (04-27-2017, 11:43 AM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(04-26-2017, 10:42 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-25-2017, 10:14 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote: Chinese factories spew lots of coal/heavy metals/organic POPs than the US does due to regulations forbidding such emissions in the US,. What makes you think I was including the West Coast in "over here"? Seriously, though, trace transpacific amounts are irrelevant, given how much smog Los Angeles generates on its own. 28-Apr-17 World View -- Israel's warplanes strike weapons depot inside Syria - John J. Xenakis - 04-27-2017 *** 28-Apr-17 World View -- Israel's warplanes strike weapons depot inside Syria near Damascus This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Israel's warplanes strike weapons depot inside Syria near Damascus **** ![]() This fence marks the boundary between Syria and the Golan Heights, which Israel annexed in 1981 (EPA) Syria's news agency SANA reported that Israel's warplanes struck a military arms depot in Syria near Damascus. The arms depot is believed to be run by Lebanon's Hezbollah, which is controlled by Iran. The airstrikes took place before dawn on Thursday, and resulted in massive explosions that could be seen and heard for miles. Israel has taken no sides in the war in Syria, but has struck weapons depots and convoys from time to time in the past when it believes that the weapons are advanced and are intended for delivery to Hezbollah in Lebanon to be used against Israel. The advanced weapons may include precision rockets, advanced anti-aircraft missiles, surface-to-surface missiles and surface-to-ship missiles. Usually, Israel refuses to either confirm or deny that it was responsible for any missile attack, but on Thursday, Israel's intelligence minister Israel Katz made a statement that comes very close to confirming that Israel was responsible: > [indent]<QUOTE>"I can confirm that the incident in Syria corresponds > completely with Israel's policy to act to prevent Iran's smuggling > of advanced weapons via Syria to Hezbollah in Iran. Naturally, I > don't want to elaborate on this. > > The prime minister has said that whenever we receive intelligence > that indicated an intention to transfer advanced weapons to > Hezbollah, we will act."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Russian foreign ministry spokesman Maria Zakharova mildly condemned the Israeli action, but suggested that they might be "justified": > [indent]<QUOTE>"Gross violations of Syrian sovereignty, no matter how > they are justified, are unacceptable. Moscow condemns acts of > aggression against Syria."<END QUOTE>[/indent] The most serious incident of this kind occurred in mid-March, when an Israeli attack on a weapons convoy traveling to Lebanon was destroyed by Israeli warplanes. There was an unprecedented missile clash over Jordan when Syrian Russian-made S-200 ground to air missiles targeted the Israeli planes without success, but were shot down over Jordan by Israel's Arrow 3 anti-missile defense system. These Israeli airstrikes have been going on for years, with an occasional diplomatic condemnation from Russia, like the mild condemnation quoted above, but no military response, although Russia could presumably attack Israel's warplanes with an advanced anti-missile system. It's widely believed that Russia and Israel have an agreement to allow these airstrikes since they have the purpose of preventing a larger regional war between Hezbollah and Israel, which would not be to Russia's liking. BBC and AFP and SANA (Damascus) and Jerusalem Post Related Articles
**** **** Israeli analyst: A new war with Hezbollah might involve all of Lebanon **** In 2006, Israel and Hezbollah fought a war that was disastrous for both sides, as it ended in stalemate after a great deal of mutual destruction. In an interview on the BBC, Giora Eiland, former head of the Israeli National Security Council, discussed Israel's strategy with regard to the Syria war and a possible future war with Hezbollah. He said that the number one threat that Israel faces is not the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh), especially since ISIS is diminishing in power because of attacks on it in Syria. The number one threat that Israel faces is a new war with Hezbollah (my transcription): > [indent]<QUOTE>"I think that we have to understand something that is > much more important than this kind of very delicate game, and this > is what might happen maybe in this summer if the problems in Syria > are not necessarily resolved but if Hezbollah, Iran, the Syrians > and the Russians feel that they are are the winning side, and > Hezbollah might begin to think about the next phase -- the next > phase might be to find a reason to be in full confrontation with > Israel, and I cannot exclude the possibility that Iran will push > them to do something like this. > > And this is something that might bring the whole Middle East to be > in a very different situation. And the main message is this: > contrary to all previous times, when Israel and Hezbollah had some > kind of direct confrontation between them, this time if a fire is > launched from Lebanon against Israel, it will lead not only to > confrontation with Hezbollah, but to a real confrontation or even > a declared official war between Israel and Lebanon. And this is > something that might change the regular stories of the Middle > East, and I think that Israel might be taking such an approach, > because the only way to end the next cycle of violence quickly is > to attack Lebanon, and to threaten that the whole state of Lebanon > might be devastated, and this might be the only to get the > international community to intervene, and to stop the aggression. > And this is a scenario that cannot be excluded. ... > > Number one threat for Israel is not ISIS but -- the threat of ISIS > is diminishing because of the success of others. If Iran feels > it's winning in Syria, it might take advantage of it and send some > of its proxies to Lebanon and also the Golan Heights, and might > encourage Hezbollah to open another confrontation with Israel. If > Hezbollah decides to fight Israel, and since they have missiles > that can cover all of Israel, and the number of missiles are tens > of thousands, many of them are accurate weapons, then Israel might > face a problem that we never faced in the past, and it might lead > Israel to take some extreme measures."<END QUOTE>[/indent] This analysis by Eiland is realistic, but is delusional in one area: If there is a war between Israel and Hezbollah, with thousands of Hezbollah missiles hitting Israeli targets, and it expands to "a declared official war between Israel and Lebanon," then the international community will not be able to end it. Generational Dynamics predicts that the Mideast is headed for a major regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews versus Arabs, and various ethnic groups against each other. This is coming with 100% certainty, irrespective of what Israel and Hezbollah do. AP and LA Times Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Israel, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Iran, Israel Katz, Russia, Maria Zakharova, Jordan, Giora Eiland, Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 04-28-2017 Trump is going to repeal PDD 60, you lose globalist boomers. 29-Apr-17 World View -- Protesters storm Macedonia's parliament - John J. Xenakis - 04-28-2017 *** 29-Apr-17 World View -- Protesters storm Macedonia's parliament fearing calls for 'Greater Albania' This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Protesters storm Macedonia's parliament fearing calls for 'Greater Albania' **** ![]() Protesters clash with police blocking the entrance to the parliament building in Skopje, Macedonia, on Thursday evening (AFP) On Thursday evening, thousands of ethnic Macedonians surrounded Macedonia's parliament building in the capital city Skopje, and then stormed the building. The protests were triggered when an ethnic Albanian was controversially elected to the post of parliament speaker. The scene was calm by Friday morning, with reports indicating that about 100 people have been injured and in hospitals. The Macedonians are protesting unending government corruption, as well as demands by Albanian nationalists for a "Greater Albania," an enlargement of the current Albania to include ethnic Albanian populations for neighboring countries. The idea of a Greater Albania was launched in the late 1800s, and was favored by Nazi Germany and Italy's Fascist dictator Benito Mussolini during World War II. It was revived during the brief Macedonian civil war in 2001, and is pursued by Albanian nationalists. Many people consider the Albanian nationalist movement to be a danger to the entire region, because it might ignite further wars. Other analysts see no fear of war, and several politicians are blaming the whole incident on the United States and the European Union for meddling. Reuters and Macedonia Online and B92 (Belgrade) Related Articles [*] Macedonia declares state of emergency along border with Greece (22-Aug-2015) [*] A train station in Macedonia becomes the new European migrant choke point (19-Aug-2015) [*] 22 die in Macedonian police gun battles with Albanian militants (11-May-2015) **** **** Brief generational history of Macedonia **** The most famous leader in Macedonia's history is Alexander the Great, considered by many to be the most brilliant military leader of all time. He was born in 356 BC, and became King of Macedonia upon his father's death in 336 BC. He created a vast empire from Greece to Egypt to Persia to India by the time of his death in 323 BC. Upon his death, Macedonia and his entire empire were thrown into a succession of violent upheavals. For centuries, Macedonia was important because it controlled the major trading and transportation routes through the Balkans. Macedonia was part of the Ottoman Empire from 1371 to 1912. The Balkan Wars of 1912-13 were a generational crisis war for Macedonia, resulting in the country parts of the country under the control of Greece and Serbia. After the war, Macedonia became part of the Kingdom of Yugoslavia. World War II was a non-crisis war for Macedonia. The country was split, with Italian-ruled Albania annexing the western portion, and pro-German Bulgaria annexing the eastern portion. After WW II, Yugoslavia was reconstituted, including Macedonia. From the point of view of generational theory, Macedonia is a country that's very difficult to analyze because a constant stream of invasions by neighboring country leave it with no unique history timeline. Macedonia is landlocked, surrounded by Greece, Bulgaria, Serbia and Albania, and all of these countries have, at one time or another, invaded and controlled Macedonia. However, when viewed as a part of the Balkans as a whole, its generational timeline becomes clearer. The Balkan wars of 1912-13 were a crisis war that threw the country into decades of chaos, until it was brought under control by the brutal, bloody dictatorship of Marshall Josip Broz Tito starting in 1953, as a Communist satellite of the Soviet Union. Tito's death in 1980 coincided with the beginning of generational Crisis era for the Balkan countries, roughly 60 years after the end of World War I. The coalitions that Tito had held together with bloody force began to disintegrate, and in 1991, new Balkan wars began as generational crisis wars. The Bosnia war in particular, ending in 1995, was one of the bloodiest and most brutal wars of recent times. In Macedonia, the biggest tensions were between the ethnic Macedonians, with 64% of the population, and the ethnic Albanians, with 25% of the population. The result was a brief civil war in 2001 started by an uprising by ethnic Albanians. There have been sporadic flare-ups between the two ethnic groups since then. ![]() In 2015, the 'Balkan Route' for refugees leaving Greece began with Macedonia Macedonia has been in the news in recent for other reasons that are worth summarizing now:
History World and History of Macedonia and NBC News **** **** Heidelberg Conflict Barometer **** In the course of researching this article, I came across the Heidelberg Conflict Barometer, from the Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research, which is one of the most complete listings and analyses of conflicts going on in the world today. It identifies 18 different disputes currently in the Balkans. This study is invaluable for anyone analyzing the world's conflicts today. What the study lacks is any attempt to relate the conflicts to generational timelines. Any college student interested in these subjects could make an invaluable contribution to understanding what's going on in the world today by taking on, as a thesis topic, the problem of relating all today's conflicts to generational timelines. RFE/RL and Heidelberg Conflict Barometer 2016 KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Macedonia, Albania, Greater Albania, Italy, Benito Mussolini, Alexander the Great, Yugoslavia, Marshall Josip Broz Tito, The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, FYROM, Greece, Balkan Route, Heidelberg Conflict Barometer Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe |