The Middle Eastern question - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Current Events (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-34.html) +---- Forum: Beyond America (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-9.html) +---- Thread: The Middle Eastern question (/thread-54.html) |
RE: The Middle Eastern question - Bill the Piper - 01-21-2019 (01-18-2019, 12:30 PM)David Horn Wrote: A lot of the discontent is due to the intransigence of the Israelis. Perhaps it's their turn. I have mixed feelings with regard to Israel. Yes, it's the only democracy in the region (except the fledglings Lebanon and Iraq). But the formation of Israel resulted in growth in Arab nationalism and fundamentalism, and many Arabs seemingly still think 1948 is "now". They have a longer time perspective than us - many young Britons would say 1948 is as relevant for them as the Middle Ages. The correct response to the problem of antisemitism was assimilation. Physically most European Jews already looked European, they had at least as much White as Semitic ancestors. They could blend in, especially since most Christians also went secular during the millennial cycle. But we are not in 1948. The solution must be an answer to the situation today, not 70+ years ago. Israel should at least stop identifying as a Jewish state, like South Africa stopped identifying as a Boer state. But Palestinians also have to abandon their fanatical nationalism. IMHO they are even more intransigent than Israel. They both need to stop identifying as Israeli or Palestinian and start identifying as world citizen, that's all. I used to support Israel, and still do in a way, but they are going more and more tribal. Soon they will be no better than the Palestianians. RE: The Middle Eastern question - David Horn - 01-21-2019 (01-21-2019, 04:44 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote:(01-18-2019, 12:30 PM)David Horn Wrote: A lot of the discontent is due to the intransigence of the Israelis. Perhaps it's their turn. Israel has gone through a series of changes that have altered the politics of that nation dramatically in its 70 year history. We Americans stood foursquare with the emerging state, and that goodwill has continued to this day, though its hard to see how that can continue into the future. We had some assumptions about Israel that are melting away. I can't see any potential two-state solution any longer, and the Israelis have already made non-Jewish residents into sub-class citizens -- even those who stuck with them in '48. I agree, that smells like apartheid to me. How that squares with US support in the future is questionable. How it squares with European support is already in decline -- except for Germany, of course. Germans can't afford to look even remotely anti-Semitic. RE: The Middle Eastern question - Bill the Piper - 01-22-2019 (01-21-2019, 01:00 PM)David Horn Wrote: Israel has gone through a series of changes that have altered the politics of that nation dramatically in its 70 year history. We Americans stood foursquare with the emerging state, and that goodwill has continued to this day, though its hard to see how that can continue into the future. We had some assumptions about Israel that are melting away. I can't see any potential two-state solution any longer, and the Israelis have already made non-Jewish residents into sub-class citizens -- even those who stuck with them in '48. I agree, that smells like apartheid to me. How that squares with US support in the future is questionable. How it squares with European support is already in decline -- except for Germany, of course. Germans can't afford to look even remotely anti-Semitic. What made me even more sceptical of Israel is the fact that Trump and Bolsonaro are big supporters of this state. RE: The Middle Eastern question - David Horn - 01-22-2019 (01-22-2019, 05:09 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote:(01-21-2019, 01:00 PM)David Horn Wrote: Israel has gone through a series of changes that have altered the politics of that nation dramatically in its 70 year history. We Americans stood foursquare with the emerging state, and that goodwill has continued to this day, though its hard to see how that can continue into the future. We had some assumptions about Israel that are melting away. I can't see any potential two-state solution any longer, and the Israelis have already made non-Jewish residents into sub-class citizens -- even those who stuck with them in '48. I agree, that smells like apartheid to me. How that squares with US support in the future is questionable. How it squares with European support is already in decline -- except for Germany, of course. Germans can't afford to look even remotely anti-Semitic. Yes, it's looking like the Rightwing Unity Movement (RUM). No, I'm not going to run with that. RE: The Middle Eastern question - Ragnarök_62 - 01-22-2019 (01-27-2017, 08:11 PM)Classic-Xer Wrote:(01-27-2017, 06:50 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote:Fishing=NATO bombing the hell out of Islamic radicals for the NATO/Kurdish army & Russia bombing the hell out of Islamic radicals for the Syrian army. I assume there will be a line drawn where the Kurdish/NATO & Syrian forces meet and shake hands and begin the diplomatic process to make the line permanent. Result. A new Kurdistan backed by NATO and a more democratic Syria backed by Russia.(01-27-2017, 05:48 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(12-31-2016, 05:22 PM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote:(12-31-2016, 08:56 AM)David Horn Wrote: So by your measure, Syria is no-win. What would you propose? Other than the Kurds, we have no real friends in the area -- including the current regime in Turkey. That won't work. 1. Turkey is in NATO and Turkey hates the Kurds. that means NATO and Kurds = fluorine + cesium = explosion. 2 things that can't exist in close proximity. 2, The happy faces happen when Syria absorbs the Kurds , lets them be as before the US decided to make a mess, and Russia/Syria diplomacy provides security guarantees for Turkey as far as Kurds messing in Turkeys internal affairs. There is no need for the rest of NATO besides Turkey to do anythings. The democracy thing is a red herring since the US is really a flawed democracy. https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/nation-now/2017/01/25/index-labels-us-flawed-democracy-but-dont-blame-trump/97041946/ The US is more of an oligarchy. You know we're pretty much just like Russia. It's the dough that counts, not the votes, man. RE: The Middle Eastern question - Ragnarök_62 - 01-22-2019 (01-22-2019, 05:09 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote:(01-21-2019, 01:00 PM)David Horn Wrote: Israel has gone through a series of changes that have altered the politics of that nation dramatically in its 70 year history. We Americans stood foursquare with the emerging state, and that goodwill has continued to this day, though its hard to see how that can continue into the future. We had some assumptions about Israel that are melting away. I can't see any potential two-state solution any longer, and the Israelis have already made non-Jewish residents into sub-class citizens -- even those who stuck with them in '48. I agree, that smells like apartheid to me. How that squares with US support in the future is questionable. How it squares with European support is already in decline -- except for Germany, of course. Germans can't afford to look even remotely anti-Semitic. Yeah, I can say this for Israel. They sure do know how to build pretty effective walls. I think the US should contract out our wall building to Israel in exchange for those weapons we give to them. RE: The Middle Eastern question - Ragnarök_62 - 01-23-2019 (01-18-2019, 02:16 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:(01-15-2019, 12:13 AM)Ragnarök_62 Wrote:(01-14-2019, 11:17 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: If and when the USA leaves Eastern Syria, Turkey will attack the Kurds. What will Turkey do after attacking them? Will it seize the territory, or just turn it over to Assad? Or maybe Assad and Turkey, former enemies, both attack, and then attack each other again. Russia will support Assad, but what will it do about the Kurds? Will they defend them, or let them be slaughtered? Or join the slaughter? What will this do to USA credibility as an ally, if that's important? Leaving them in the lurch after they defeated the IS for us, does not seem in good faith. But, maybe that doesn't matter. The US troops will be home, and we can defend our shores. If the IS rebounds, that won't matter. If the Kurds are massacred, that makes no difference to us. As Neville Chamberlain said, they are too far away to concern us. Assad: Yup, just bad and worse. Assad is bad/other options are worse. Kurds: Their problem is that they are insufferable dupes and suckers. Assad is now their only option. Turkey is assured to clobber any sort of independent Kurdistan. They need to learn to stop listening to the US siren song assuring them of anything. Tulsi: Well, I like her domestic agenda, but as you've mentioned her foreign policy is lacking. The way I interpret it is yup, she does not like "terrorist groups/countries" while at the same time is a bit more discerning as to the use of force. IOW, she ignores the impact on other nations, but does heed impacts wrt troops. So there, I'd like the most isolationist choice there is. So... You can't always get what you want You can't always get what you want You can't always get what you want But if you try sometimes well you might find You get what you need RE: The Middle Eastern question - Bill the Piper - 01-23-2019 (01-22-2019, 01:35 PM)David Horn Wrote:(01-22-2019, 05:09 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote: What made me even more sceptical of Israel is the fact that Trump and Bolsonaro are big supporters of this state. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan-nationalism It looks the neo-populist and neo-reactionary movements aim at a Pan-Occidentalism, parallel to Saddam's Pan-Arabism. Israel is viewed as a Western nation, because it's ruling class is mostly Ashkenazi (i.e has strong White admixture and looks White, in addition to following Western cultural norms). Rum (like Baccardi) is however a wonderful thing. RE: The Middle Eastern question - Hintergrund - 02-06-2019 (01-21-2019, 04:44 AM)Bill the Piper Wrote: Israel should at least stop identifying as a Jewish state, like South Africa stopped identifying as a Boer state. But Palestinians also have to abandon their fanatical nationalism. IMHO they are even more intransigent than Israel. They both need to stop identifying as Israeli or Palestinian and start identifying as world citizen, that's all. I used to support Israel, and still do in a way, but they are going more and more tribal. Soon they will be no better than the Palestianians. They won't like to do that, after they saw how SA developed. |