Generational Dynamics World View - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Theories Of History (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-7.html) +--- Thread: Generational Dynamics World View (/thread-51.html) Pages:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
|
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-09-2019 ** 09-Apr-2019 World View: Philippines president Duterte threatens China with 'suicide mission' The Philippines military is reporting that hundreds of Chinese coastguard and fishing vessels, including some military warships, had “swarmed” the Philippines island Pagasa (or Pag-asa or Thitu): Quote:> "It has been observed that Chinese vessels have been The Chinese flotilla began appearing around Thitu in December and January, about the time the Philippines began its own construction on one of its islands. In a speech last week, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte said: Quote:> "Let us be friends, but do not touch Pagasa Island and Duterte's first acts when he took office in 2016 were to cut off relations with the United States, and to take a trip to Beijing, where he was given the red carpet treatment by China's president Xi Jinping. Duterte indicated that he would not enforce the earlier ruling by the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague. By refusing to enforce the ruling, Duterte appeared to be giving Scarborough Shoal away to the Chinese. In May of last year, Duterte explained his decision to not enforce the Tribunal ruling by recounting a conversation he had with Xi Jinping in 2016, in which Xi threatened war: Quote:> "Duterte: Mr. Xi Jinping, I will insist that it is Note that Xi's claims of historical claims to the South China Sea are total bullshit, as I've described in detail in my forthcoming book, "War Between China and Japan." After recounting the conversation, Duterte added: Quote:> "Are they willing to fight? Because if they are So Duterte decided that he had to accede to China's threats. Last week's threat of a "suicide mission" seems to be a logical consequence of Duterte's statements in the past. He says that the Philippines military is willing to fight, even though it would lose a war to China and "destroy everything," and now he reaffirms that statement by threatening a suicide mission. In the last few years, China has become increasingly nationalistic, xenophobic, hostile and belligerent, so it seems unlikely that China's military will back down. So Duterte has committed to launch is "suicide mission." It remains to be seen whether he'll follow through. ---- Sources: -- Duterte’s suicide mission to Pag-asa Island https://opinion.inquirer.net/120636/dutertes-suicide-mission-to-pag-asa-island (Inquirer, Manila) -- Philippines / Duterte just threatened to go on a "suicide mission" against China https://www.vice.com/en_in/article/mbz8db/duterte-just-threatened-to-go-on-a-suicide-mission-against-china (Vice) -- Philippines Slams China's South China Sea Flotilla https://thediplomat.com/2019/04/philippines-slams-chinas-south-china-sea-flotilla/ (Diplomat) ---- Related: ** 21-Nov-18 World View -- Philippines president Duterte renews policy of China appeasement ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e181121.htm#e181121 ** 11-Sep-18 World View -- Tensions grow in Philippines as Duterte turns against China in South China Sea ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e180911.htm#e180911 ** 30-May-18 World View -- Philippine President Duterte reverses position, says he would go to war with China over South China Sea ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e180530.htm#e180530 RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-09-2019 ** 09-Apr-2019 World View: Tensions growing rapidly in the South China Sea During the last few weeks, tensions have been growing rapidly in the South China Sea:
This comes as China has been increasingly nationalistic and xenophobic and militarily hostile and threatening in the South China Sea in the last few years, especially after it was humiliated by a tribunal at the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague in 2016. The ruling said that all of China's activities in the South China Sea were illegal. This ruling was apparently a turning point for China, as China's policies became more openly militarily hostile and belligerent. On September 25, 2015, blatantly lied to the face of Barack Obama during a joint press conference on the White House lawn about China's intentions, saying that the South China Sea would never be militarized. After the Tribunal ruling, China became much more blatantly open about its criminal acritivies in the South China Sea. On September 30, 2018, the USS Decatur was conducting a "freedom of navigation operation" (FONOP) in the South China Sea. A Chinese navy destroyer Lanzhou drove within forty-five yards of the USS Decatur as it crossed the bow of the American warship near Gaven Reef. The Decatur’s commander averted collision only by deftly swerving to escape the Lanzhou’s aggressive maneuverings. Reports in Chinese media indicate that officers in China's military are calling for military action in the South China Sea in 2019. At a conference on December 8, 2018, Chinese Air Force Colonel Commandant Dai Xu referred to the US FONOPs: Quote: "If the U.S. warships break into Chinese waters again, Once again, it's worth pointing out that Dai Wu is completely full of crap claiming them as China's territorial waters. In a speech on December 20, 2018, Rear Admiral Luo Yuan, the deputy head of the Chinese Academy of Military Sciences said called for the sinking of two U.S. Navy aircraft carriers to “frighten” the U.S. away from the SC He said that the key for Chinese domination of the SCS lies in using ballistic missiles to sink the two carriers, killing as many American sailors as possible. He said the loss of one super carrier would cost the US the lives of 5000 service men and women. Sinking two would double that toll. Quote: "What the United States fears the most is taking I'm seen other remarks from Chinese officials intimating that America would be too frightened to fight China, or would be so afraid of casualties that it would refuse to fight. This is so completely delusional that it's almost impossible to believe. And yet I know from history that this kind of delusional, nationalistic, xenophobic attitude is common just before a generational crisis war. World War I began when a high school student decided to assassinate an Archduke. World War II began with the Marco Polo Bridge incident, when a Japanese soldier had to pee, and his absence led to a military confrontation between the Japanese and Chinese. In these and other cases, a "small incident" leads to a small military confrontation, which leads to a larger military confrontation, which leads to full-scale war within 2-3 months. This is the difference between the 1990s and today. In the 1990s, the world was being run by World War II survivors, and they knew how to compromise and make peace. Today, the world is being run by Gen-Xers, who have no idea how to compromise, have no desire to make peace, and believe that the other side will easily be scared off. China is "swarming" the South China Sea with hundreds, perhaps thousands, of fishing vessels and warships. Chinese military officials are encouraging China's navy to confront US FONOPs ships, with everything from ramming to missiles. This makes plenty of room for a "small incident" which, in today's nationalistic, xenophobic world, could easily lead to full scale war within a few weeks. --- Sources: -- Russian warships arrive in the Philippines amid rising South China Sea tensions https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/08/asia/russia-philippines-south-china-sea-intl/index.html (CNN) -- Vietnam wants a South China Sea dispute resolution pact with teeth, not more politics https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/opinion/article/3005221/vietnam-wants-south-china-sea-dispute-resolution-pact-teeth-not (South China Morning Post, Hong Kong) -- U.S. sails massive, F-35-laden warship in disputed South China Sea https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/04/09/asia-pacific/u-s-sails-massive-f-35-laden-warship-past-south-china-sea-reef-claimed-beijing-manila/#.XKyYVaQpB_A (Japan Times) -- China vs. America: How a War in the South China Sea Could Start https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/china-vs-america-how-war-south-china-sea-could-start-51387 (National interest) -- Senior Chinese military official urges PLAN to attack US naval vessels in S. China Sea https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3592985 (Taiwan News, 9-Dec-2018) -- Dai Xu / Chinese senior military official calls for attacks on US ships in South China Sea https://americanmilitarynews.com/2018/12/chinese-senior-military-official-calls-for-attacks-on-us-ships-in-south-china-sea/ (AmericanMilitaryTimes, 11-Dec-2018) -- Dai Xu / Chinese military official: ‘We should be ready to take over Taiwan’ https://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/military/chinese-military-official-we-should-be-ready-to-take-over-taiwan/news-story/58b8ff6e0d9f335354a71c1edbce63ee (News.com, Australia, 11-Dec-2018) -- China-US relations heading toward uncharted waters dominate Global Times annual conference http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1131036.shtml (GlobalTimes, 9-Dec-2018) -- ‘Sink two aircraft carriers’: Chinese Admiral’s chilling recipe to dominate the South China Sea https://www.news.com.au/technology/innovation/military/sink-two-aircraft-carriers-chinese-admirals-chilling-recipie-to-dominate-the-south-china-sea/news-story/aaa8c33d57da62e7d5e28e791aa26e0f (News.com, Australia, 9-Jan-2019) RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-11-2019 ** 11-Apr-2019 World View: War by China against Japan and Taiwan I've rewritten sections of my book's introductory section to make it much more explicity clear that China is planning war with both Japan and Taiwan. The following text is from my book: The 20th century was not unique. In every century for millennia, there have been massive wars on every continent in every region, such as China's Taiping rebellion, Africa's Mfecane, India's sepoy rebellion, the 30 years war, the 100 years war, the Punic wars in ancient Rome, and so forth. It's 100% certain that there will be massive wars, including one or two world wars in this century. So the world war with China that this book is about is actually quite likely. The only thing that can't be predicted is the exact timing or the precise scenario. But there will be a world war pitting America and China against each other. However, my research also reveals that the Chinese have no desire for war against America. For the most part, the Chinese actually like Americans -- as well they should -- and have no desire for war. But my research has also revealed that the Chinese have a vitriolic hatred for the Japanese, and are thirsting for a war in revenge for the atrocities committed by the Japanese during World War II. The Chinese government -- though not the Chinese people as far as I can tell -- is also thirsting for a war to invade Taiwan and annex it by force to China. And China's government are well aware that a war with Japan and Taiwan will mean war with America, since America will defend Japan and Taiwan. That's where the world is headed. It's a cruel irony of the current situation that American and Chinese people greatly like other, but are going to war anyway because China's incompetent government is determined to go to war with Japan and Taiwan. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - pbrower2a - 04-12-2019 A very bad leader, Omar al-Bashar of Sudan, is overthrown: On the evening of 10 April 2019, Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir was removed from power by the Sudanese Armed Forces amidst the 2018–19 Sudanese protests.[1] The Sudanese military dissolved the cabinet and the National Legislature, and announced a 3-month state of emergency, to be followed by a 2-year transition period.[2] Ahmed Awad Ibn Auf, who was both Sudan's defense minister and vice-president declared himself the de facto Head of State, announced the suspension of the country's constitution, and imposed a curfew from 10 pm to 4 am, effectively ordering the dissolution of the ongoing protests. State media reported that all political prisoners, including anti-Bashir protest leaders, were being released from jail.[3] al-Bashir's National Congress party responded by announcing that they would hold a rally supporting the ousted president.[4] Soldiers also raided the offices of the Islamic Movement, the main ideological wing of the National Congress, in Khartoum.[5] Several officials have been reportedly detained: Prime Minister Mohamed Taher Ayala, Ahmed Haroun (the head of the ruling National Congress Party), member of the National Congress Awad Al-Jaz, former defense minister Abdel Rahim Mohammed Hussein, and former vice presidents Bakri Hassan Saleh and Ali Othman Taha.[6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Sudanese_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-13-2019 ** 13-Apr-2019 India and Britain commemorate 1919 Amritsar massacre On April 13, 1919, the Jalianvala Bagh Massacre (Amritsar Massacre) occurred, when British troops opened fire on 10,000 Sikhs holding a protest meeting, killing hundreds. Both India and Britain commemorated the 100th anniversary of that event on Saturday. The Amritsar Massacre was an Awakening climax. The previous generational crisis war was the 1857 India anti-British rebellion, also called India's First War of Independence from the British colonial power. What started out in 1857 as protests related to the Hindu veneration of cows grew into an extremely bloody generational crisis war, resulting in the deaths of over 100,000 Indian civilians. India remained a British colony, and there was little or no violence for decades, as often happens after a generational crisis war, since the traumatized survivors do not wish anything so horrible to happen again. However, as younger generations with no personal memory of the war rise to power, conflicts begin again. In the 1910s, Mahatma Gandhi, the Indian peace activist, launched a "non-cooperation movement" against the British, involving civil disobedience. The generational Awakening era climax occurred with the Amritsar Massacre, which is considered by some to be the worst British atrocity of the century. That event convinced both the British and the Indians that Britain should completely give up colonial control of India. It led to the partitioning of the Indian subcontinent in 1947 into two new nations, India and Pakistan, and that led immediately into the Partition war, one of the bloodiest battles of the 20th century. The people killed in the Amritsar Massacre were Sikhs in the "Khalistan" separatist movement, demanding that Punjab become an independent Sikh state. Sixty-four years after the Amritsar Massacre of 1919, in 1983, some Sikh activists took refuge in the Golden Temple Complex at Amritsar, the most revered place in the Sikh world. In June 1984 Indian troops launched 'Operation Blue Star'. They attacked the Golden Temple Complex, killing many of those inside, and seriously damaging the buildings. This infuriated the Sikhs, who revived the Khalistan separatist movement. In October 1984, the world was shocked when India's prime minister Indira Gandhi was assassinated by two of her Sikh bodyguards, who were getting revenge. Four days of anti-Sikh rioting followed in India. The government said that more than 2,700 people, mostly Sikhs, were killed, while newspapers and human rights groups put the death toll between 10,000 and 17,000. There's no known connection between the two, so it may simply be a coincidence that a similar massacre occurred in Tiananmen Square in Beijing on May 4, 1919, just three weeks after the Amritsar Massacre. Word of the Amritsar massacre would surely have reached Beijing, and might well have inspired the protests. This was the famous "May Fourth movement," protesting the "Versailles betrayal" of China by the Versailles peace conference that ended World War I. When an Awakening climax is a massacre, it can change the direction of a society. The Amritsar massacre convinced everyone that India should no longer be a British colony. The 1919 Tiananmen Square massacre convinced the Chinese to turn against "Western imperialism," which led to the relationship with Soviet Russia and the adoption of Communism. --- Sources: -- Amritsar massacre / After the Jallianwala Bagh massacre, came the torture, crawling, floggings https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/after-the-jallianwala-bagh-massacre-came-the-torture-public-floggings/articleshow/68773961.cms (TimesOfIndia) --- Related: ** 30-Nov-18 World View -- Kartarpur Corridor raises concerns about activating the Sikh separatist Khalistan movement ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e181130.htm#e181130 ** 2-Apr-18 World View -- Massive new anti-India violence in Kashmir leads to 20 deaths ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e180402.htm#e180402 RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-14-2019 ** 14-Apr-2019 Omar al-Bashir ousted in Sudan (04-12-2019, 06:01 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: > A very bad leader, Omar al-Bashar of Sudan, is overthrown: Omar al-Bashir was ousted by the military after months of massive anti-government protests across the nation. This was a "velvet coup" or "bloodless coup" occurring during a generational Awakening era. The military says that it will stay in charge until new "free and fair" elections are held in three months. Also, the military promises "reforms." Anti-government activists are saying that nothing has changed, with an army general now in charge. They also say that, with the military overseeing the election, the military will guarantee that they're man will become the leader, so nothing will change after the elections. Societies all follow the same pattern in the decades following a generational crisis civil war. The military will not give up power under any circumstances, and after a while they'll no longer tolerate the civilian protests, and start dispersing them with arrests, beatings, jailings, rapes and torture. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-15-2019 ** 15-Apr-2019 World View: A New Arc of Instability in Northern Africa A New Arc of Instability in Northern Africa A wave of disorder and conflict is threatening states across northern Africa, setting conditions for massive instability and the expansion of the al Qaeda and Islamic State threat. Protests are challenging repressive regimes in Algeria and Sudan, which share borders with a Libya in the throes of its latest bout of civil war. These events are part of a larger trend of potential state collapse that is spreading from weak states with small populations—Libya, Mali, Somalia—to larger states whose regimes have been perceived as secure—Algeria, Sudan. This trend places states with very large populations—Ethiopia, Nigeria, Egypt—increasingly under pressure. The Salafi-jihadi movement, which includes al Qaeda and the Islamic State, is best positioned to benefit from widespread instability. - American Enterprise Institute RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-15-2019 ** 15-Apr-2019 Notre Dame Cathedral is burning down Notre Dame Cathedral is burning down. It's apparently a total disaster. The entire structure is collapsing. https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/notre-dame-fire/index.html RE: Generational Dynamics World View - David Horn - 04-15-2019 (04-15-2019, 01:06 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 15-Apr-2019 Notre Dame Cathedral is burning down Gothic cathedrals have stone as the basic building block, with gravity as the bonding element. Notre Dame will burn, but should be able to rise from its ashes, given time and resources. Of course, it won't be the same -- more of a facsimile than an original -- but that's better than having the cathedral erased entirely. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-17-2019 ** 17-Apr-2019 World View: North Korea claims new 'tactical weapon' test On Thursday morning, North Korea's KCNA (Korean Central News Agency) reports that the child dictator Kim Jong-un had overseen the testing of a new "tactical weapon." The KCNA description is vague, but according to one analyst: Quote:> "It’s highly likely that it’s a short-range cruise Here's the full KCNA announcement: Quote:> "Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un Guides Test-Fire of North Korea appears to be struggling to decide what diplomatic steps to take next. All signs indicate that both the North Korean denuclearization negotiators and the Chinese trade negotiators were completely shocked when Donald Trump walked out of the summit meeting with Kim Jong-un in Hanoi on February 28. Kim had taken a long three-day railroad train trip from Pyongyang, through China, to Hanoi for the meeting, apparently expecting to reap the benefits of his year-long 2018 charm offensive by getting Trump to agree to reduce the sanctions in return for phony denuclearization steps. Instead, Trump presented Kim with a list of real denuclearization steps, including the simplest step of all -- just providing a piece of paper listing all of North Korea's nuclear and missile development sites. Kim refused and Trump left, leaving Kim to take a three-day train trip back to Pyongyang in humiliation. On the other hand, North Korea has continued developing nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles, but hasn't been able to test them during the year-long charm offensive. They could now restart nuclear weapons and missile testing, but they don't know what kind of response that would bring from the Trump administration. Trump has not taken a military response off the table. So Thursday's announcement of a "tacticle weapon test" seems to be just enough to annoy the Trump administration, without drawing a major response. Kim Jong-un is also expected to hold a summit meeting with Russia's president Vladimir Putin next week, on April 24. The meeting is the response to a formal invitation that the Russian government sent on April 3. The meeting will take place in Russia's Far East, near the North Korean border. --- Sources: -- Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un Guides Test-Fire of New-Type Tactical Guided Weapon http://www.kcna.kp/ (KCNA) -- State media says new tactical weapons test overseen by North Korean leader https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-weapon/north-korean-leader-kim-jong-un-oversees-test-of-new-tactical-guided-weapon-kcna-idUSKCN1RT2KY (Reuters, 17-Apr-2019) -- North Korean, Russian leaders may hold summit next week http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20190415000760 (Korea Herald, 15-Apr-2019) RE: Generational Dynamics World View - pbrower2a - 04-18-2019 Anyone who trusts North Korean leadership on anything is a fool. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-18-2019 (04-18-2019, 09:24 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: Anyone who trusts North Korean leadership on anything is a fool. Or China. Or Russia. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-18-2019 ** 18-Apr-2019 World View: France blamed for supporting Hafter as Libya war worsens As I reported in the past, Khalifa Haftar (Hiftar), head of the government in eastern Libya, has led his Libyan National Army (LNA) west to attack Libya's other government, the UN-recognised Government of National Accord (GNA) in Tripoli, led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Serraj. The attack was launched on April 4, and at this point, hundreds of people have been killed, and tens of thousands have been displaced from their homes, and the numbers are increasing rapidly. Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have been accused of supplying weapons to Haftar. Turkey and Qatar have been accused of supplying weapons to Tripoli government. France is also being accused of switching sides and supplying weapons to Haftar. According to some reports, France's government has decided that a successful coup by Haftar, making him a dictator like Muammar Gaddafi, would be the best way to restore stability to Libya. This is a view also held by the governments of Egypt and UAE. A spokesman for France's government denies the allegation: Quote: "As we have already stated on several occasions: Nonetheless, Libya's Interior Ministry on Thursday accused France of supporting Haftar and said it would halt cooperation with France in any bilaterial security agreements. Besides the fact that this might spiral into a much larger war (though that seems less likely now than in the past), there are some other major issues:
--- Sources: -- Western allies add fuel to Libya's fire with alleged military shipments to warlord https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/libya-uae-weapons-arms-embargo-khalifa-haftar-tripoli-a8872606.html (Independent, London) -- Libya death toll rises to 205 as Tripoli fighting continues: WHO https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/04/libya-death-toll-rises-205-tripoli-fighting-continues-190418114812223.html (Al-Jazeera) -- Libya’s UN-backed govt accuses France of supporting Haftar, ends cooperation https://www.france24.com/en/20190418-libya-france-end-cooperation-haftar-warrant (France 24) -- France wants Haftar to rule Libya https://www.libyaobserver.ly/inbrief/france-wants-haftar-rule-libya (Libya Obsrver, 14-Apr-2019) -- Armed group attacks air base in southern Libya held by Haftar -officials https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190418-armed-group-attacks-air-base-in-southern-libya-held-by-haftar-officials/ (Middle East Monitor) -- Libya / Haftar has clearly been given the green light to conquer Tripoli https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190418-haftar-has-clearly-been-given-the-green-light-to-conquer-tripoli/ (Middle East Monitor) -- Libya / Algeria / Sudan / Tunisia / Arab Spring 2.0 https://www.dailysabah.com/columns/hilal_kaplan/2019/04/19/arab-spring-20 (Daily Sabah, Turkey) -- African, Syrian migrants in crosshairs of Libya war https://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL8N21R47N (Reuters, 11-Apr-2019) -- Violence in Libya Could Give IS Renewed Opportunities https://www.voanews.com/a/violence-in-libya-could-give-is-renewed-opportunities/4871069.html (VOA, 10-Apr-2019) RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-19-2019 ** 19-Apr-2019 World View: Trump appears to endorse Haftar's attack in Libya A symbolic but possibly significant event occurred when the White House announced on Friday that President Trump contacted Libya's rogue general Khalifa Haftar on Monday. As I reported in the past, Khalifa Haftar (Hiftar), head of the government in eastern Libya, has led his Libyan National Army (LNA) west to attack Libya's other government, the UN-recognised Government of National Accord (GNA) in Tripoli, led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Serraj. According to the White House statement: Quote: "[Trump and Haftar discussed] ongoing counterterrorism Trump praised Haftar in the statement, but it's unclear whether Trump wants Haftar to continue the assault on Tripoli. At the very least, the phone call implies continued support for actions by Haftar. Haftar's actions have split the international community. If we now put the United States on the side of Haftar, then the scorecard is as follows:
Tsk, tsk. Apparently Trump is colluding with Russia again. --- Sources: -- White House says Trump spoke to Libyan commander Haftar on Monday https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-trump/white-house-says-trump-spoke-to-libyan-commander-haftar-on-monday-idUSKCN1RV0WW (Reuters) -- Trump's call to Haftar shows U.S. believes in Libyan army role in war on terrorism: spokesman https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-trump-spokesman/trumps-call-to-haftar-shows-u-s-believes-in-libyan-army-role-in-war-on-terrorism-spokesman-idUSKCN1RV17Z (Reuters) -- Trump Spoke to Libyan Strongman Threatening Tripoli https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-19/trump-haftar-libya (Bloomberg) -- International rivalries driving Libya towards war, UN warns https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/africa/international-rivalries-driving-libya-towards-war-un-warns-1.3866057 (Irish Times) -- Trump praises Libyan general as his troops march on US backed government in Tripoli https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/19/politics/us-libya-praise-haftar/index.html (CNN) RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-19-2019 ** 19-Apr-2019 World View: China-Japan Book I've made what I hope are the final rewrites to my China-Japan book. The major changes were to "Part VII East Asian history since the end of World War II," in order to strengthen as much as possible the case the China is planning for launch a war against Japan. I also added an interesting chapter on Cognitive Dissonance at the end of the book, and how it relates to generational theory. It's now 304 pages, 115K words. I'm going to proofread it a few more times, then push the "publish" button next week. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-21-2019 ** 21-Apr-2019 Bombings target churches and hotels in Sri Lanka Eight bomb blasts on Sunday targeted churches and five-star hotels in Colombo, the capital city of Sri Lanka. The church explosions took place in the midst of Easter Sunday services to produce maximum carnage. Over 215 people were killed, including dozens of foreigners, 450 injured. No one has claimed credit for attacks, and Sri Lankan officials are telling the media not to speculate. So I won't speculate, but I will list the possibilities:
The police have arrested 13 suspects, and officials say that they'll be able to announce the perpetrators on Monday. ---- Sources: -- LIVE: Death toll in explosions reaches 215 – Curfew declared https://www.newsfirst.lk/2019/04/21/explosion-at-the-st-anthonys-church-in-kochikade/ (NewsFirst, Sri Lanka) -- Multiple Blasts In Sri Lanka Kill 207, 13 Arrested Says Defence Minister: Updates https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/multiple-blasts-hit-churches-hotels-in-sri-lanka-on-easter-updates-2026245 (New Delhi TV) ---- Related ** 12-Jun-17 World View -- Sri Lanka targets radical nationalist Buddhists in Bodu Bala Sena (BBS) ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e170612.htm#e170612 RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-21-2019 ** 21-Apr-2019 Seasteading -- Hiding out from World War III Several people have asked where they could hide out from WW III, and I completely forgot about this one, from 2016: John Wrote:> By the way, you haven't said in a long time. Are you still making vincecate Wrote:> Still working on it. Got some aluminum and a welder and making a Vince lives in Anguilla and claims that he and his family will ride out the war in the middle of the ocean a specially designed solar-powered vessel with room for his family, where he can grow food, and so forth. If you're interested in pursuing this, just do a search on the word "seasteading." There are lots of links. I was reminded of this when I saw a news report last week about a couple who built a seastead home in Thailand's exclusive economic zone (EEZ), though not in its territorial waters. According to the story, Thailand may even threaten them with the death penalty because the seastead home challenges their sovereignty. However, the couple fled before the Thai police came to arrest them. However, the seastead the Vince Cate was talking about would not sit in one place but would float and move around. If you're trying to escape WW III in a seastead, I'd suggest some place far away from land. ---- Source: -- Seasteading / The “freest person in the world” faces a possible death penalty in Thailand https://qz.com/1600609/seasteading-cabin-could-bring-bitcoin-couple-death-penalty/ (Quartz) RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Marypoza - 04-22-2019 (04-21-2019, 05:37 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 21-Apr-2019 Seasteading -- Hiding out from World War III -- do you think that can actually work? What about the naval frigates also floating around on the seas? Or aircraft carriers? Or subs with nukes? RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-24-2019 ** 24-Apr-2019 ISIS takes credit for Sri Lanka bombing CH86 Wrote:> More blatant globalist propaganda, events have refuted the A fair amount of stuff being written in this thread is at best misguided, and at worst utter nonsense. Buddhists have done their share of genocide and terrorist acts. The "killing fields" genocide in 1970s Cambodia was perpetrated by Buddhists. The ongoing genocide and ethnic cleansing of Rohingya Muslims in Burma (Myanmar) is being perpetrated by Buddhists. In the Sri Lanka civil war that ended in May 2009, it was the Buddhists and Hindus that were perpetrating war crimes and terrorist acts; the Muslims mostly stayed out of it. So there are plenty of recent examples of Buddhist war crimes and genocide, and there's no reason to reject them automatically as the perpetrators of the Sri Lanka bombing. Muslims make up 9.7% of the population, Roman Catholics make up 6.1%, Hindu 12.6%, and Buddhists make up 70.2%. All of these groups were traumatized by the Sri Lanka civil war. The biggest mistake that people make is to assume that Sri Lanka society is similar to American or European or Indian society, all of which are in generational Crisis eras. In fact, Sri Lankan society is in a generational Recovery era, like America in the 1950s. That was the time when the Silent Generation were taking charge. They had been so traumatized by the Great Depression and WW II, that Time Magazine called them the Silent Generation because they just did their job and never complained. Sri Lanka's society today is like that, in a generational Recovery era following the crisis civil war. Everyone -- the Sinhalese, the Tamils, the Buddhists, the Hindus, the Muslims -- everyone is still in a state of shock, traumatized by the atrocities that had been committed during the civil war, just doing their jobs, not complaining. Any one of these groups might have perpetrated the bombing on Sunday. The main difference for the Muslim NTJ, based on news reports, is that a small disaffected group of Muslims vandalizing Buddhist statues were radicalized by ISIS operatives, and convinced to declare allegiance to ISIS. They were probably offered money. They were then forced to accept training, and to turn their targets away from Buddhist statuess towards Christians and western tourists. News reports indicate that this took many months, possibly a full year. ISIS is currently in a state of crisis. They've lost their caliphate in Syria and Iraq, but they haven't been wiped out. They have to change their game plan, and what we're seeing is probably the first example of a new tactic: Enter a country, find a small group of disaffected Muslims, and use money and other incentives to convince then to declare allegiance to ISIS, and then accept the ISIS directions. Al-Qaeda might imitate, and there might be similar attacks in other countries in the next few months. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-24-2019 (04-22-2019, 12:22 PM)Marypoza Wrote: > ** 21-Apr-2019 Seasteading -- Hiding out from World All I can tell you is that Vince Cate seems sure it would work. If you google the word "seasteading," there are a lot of links to it, and one of them might discuss whether you're likely to run into an aircraft carrier. However, the ocean is very huge, so you might be safe. |