Generational Dynamics World View - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Theories Of History (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-7.html) +--- Thread: Generational Dynamics World View (/thread-51.html) Pages:
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Warren Dew - 04-19-2020 (04-18-2020, 10:30 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: One thing that we don't know is how the Wuhan Coronavirus has affected I think we have a pretty good idea. All militaries are very heavy in younger age groups, where Covid-19 is no more severe than the flu, and for the youngest, less severe. The Chinese military is operating just as it would in a bad flu year. It's only the US military that's overreacting by needlessly taking aircraft carriers offline. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-20-2020 ** 20-Apr-2020 World View: Oil prices crashing with some going negative The price of "West Texas Intermediate" (WTI) crude oil, which is produced by shale oil drillers, fell 40% in the last few hours to $11 per barrel. Typical prices in the past have been $50-70 per barrel of oil. It was falling before the pandemic, but the pandemic accelerated the fall. What's most startling is that some oil prices have gone negative. During the early hours of Monday morning, prices for Western Canadian Select oil fell to $-0.15 per barrel. The reason that a barrel of oil is worth less than nothing is because there's such a huge oil glut in the world that there's no place left to store it. Land-based oil repositories around the world, and oil tankers traveling in circles at sea, are all loaded to capacity. Prices of other forms of energy are also turning negative. In Germany, prices for wind and solar power turned negative on Sunday afternoon to -26 euros per megawatt-hour. As I described in my article yesterday, a global financial panic and crash is caused by a chain reaction of missed debt payments and bankruptcies. This oil price crash will force a number of shale oil producers into bankruptcies. This sudden, rapid crash of oil prices, even to the extent of prices going negative because of lack of storage space, is the kind of thing that could possibly trigger a general panic and crash. -- US oil prices crash to their lowest level in over 21 years as storage run https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/20/coronavirus-us-oil-prices-collapse-as-storage-runs-out.html (CNBC, 20-Apr-2020) -- Negative Crude? https://global-macro-monitor.com/2020/04/20/crude-getting-very-crude/ (Global Macro Monitor, 20-Apr-2020) -- NWE power prices fall into negative territory for two consecutive days https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/electric-power/042020-nwe-power-prices-fall-into-negative-territory-for-two-consecutive-days (S&P Global, 20-Apr-2020) RE: Generational Dynamics World View - David Horn - 04-20-2020 (04-19-2020, 02:08 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-18-2020, 10:30 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: One thing that we don't know is how the Wuhan Coronavirus has affected Really? We have an enormous navy, and bringing another CVN in to replace the TR should be easy. Replacing crew who are sick (one dead so far) would be harder by far. What happens when sailors make the rational judgement that they are expendable, even in peacetime? RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-20-2020 ** 20-Apr-2020 World View: Oil prices continue crashing Oil prices have continued to crash all day, and WTI crude prices are now negative, mainly because of storage problems, as described above. These prices are for oil to be delivered in May on the futures market. Notes from an al-Jazeera report: In the last week, half the oil rigs in Texas have gone out of business, from over 800 oil rigs to about 400. The oversupply is 35 million barrels a day. Saudi Arabia and Russia recently agreed to cut supply by 10 million barrels a day, which is too small a cut. Oil produced in other countries are not yet as badly affected because the storage issues aren't as bad as in the US. Al-Jazeera just reported that oil is now at $-40 per barrel. If that's correct, then it looks like a real disaster in the making, as it implies that oil producers are going to have oil on their hands with no place to store it. However, another analyst has come on with a soothing, calming voice, saying that the US government has some storage locations available, and can buy up the excess oil. This soothing analyst says that the May contract is closing today, and the June contract opens tomorrow, and prices will return to $+20. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Warren Dew - 04-20-2020 (04-20-2020, 11:16 AM)David Horn Wrote:(04-19-2020, 02:08 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: I think we have a pretty good idea. All militaries are very heavy in younger age groups, where Covid-19 is no more severe than the flu, and for the youngest, less severe. The Chinese military is operating just as it would in a bad flu year. It's only the US military that's overreacting by needlessly taking aircraft carriers offline. We replace crews every few years for each carrier, while the carriers themselves last for decades. Replacing crews is far easier than replacing aircraft carriers. If the sailors realize they are expendable even in peacetime, we finally get rid of the ones who see their jobs as sinecures, and get to replace them with people who understand they are risking their lives to serve their country - yes, even in peacetime. For the Navy, especially, very few of its jobs are exclusively wartime jobs, and it's about time the fair weather sailors who don't realize that get replaced. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-20-2020 ** 20-Apr-2020 World View: North Korea's Kim Jong-un may be critically ill after heart surgery
There are reports from North Korea that the child dictator underwent a "cardiovascular procedure" early this month, and that he's been receiving continuing treatment since then. Kim went to the hospital on April 11 after a party meeting, and hasn't been seen publicly since then. His absence from events last week marking the birthday of his grandfather Kim Il-sung was unprecedented. In 2016, reports indicated that North Korean officials were concerned about the child dictator's weight gain, which has grown from 198 pounds in 2012 to 286. Reports indicated that Kim Jong-un is consuming high-quality cheeses, Big Macs, vodka, steak, and sushi, and that he's suffering from gout, diabetes, high blood pressure, high uric acid, and high cholesterol. ---- Sources: -- North Korea's Kim getting treatment after cardiovascular procedure: report https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-politics/north-koreas-kim-getting-treatment-after-cardiovascular-procedure-report-idUSKBN223011 (Reuters, 21-Apr-2020) -- Kim Jong Un Surgery Report Fuels Speculation About Leader’s Health https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-21/kim-surgery-report-fuels-speculation-about-north-korean-leader (Bloomberg, 20-Apr-2020) -- Kim Yo-jong: the sister of Kim Jong-un, fast 'becoming his alter ego' https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/20/kim-yo-jong-the-sister-of-kim-jong-un-fast-becoming-his-alter-ego (Guardian, London, 19-Apr-2020) ---- Related: ** 4-Aug-16 World View -- North Korean officials reportedly alarmed at Kim Jong-un's drinking and massive weight gain ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e160804.htm#e160804 RE: Generational Dynamics World View - David Horn - 04-21-2020 (04-20-2020, 05:08 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: … If the sailors realize they are expendable even in peacetime, we finally get rid of the ones who see their jobs as sinecures, and get to replace them with people who understand they are risking their lives to serve their country - yes, even in peacetime. For the Navy, especially, very few of its jobs are exclusively wartime jobs, and it's about time the fair weather sailors who don't realize that get replaced. Spoken like one who never served a day himself. Military service is predicated on the idea that the soldiers/sailors/airmen/marines commit their all, and the opposite is also true: that the military has their backs. When that shared trust fails, mass exodus is the typical result. This entire event was totally unnecessary and counterproductive. When retired 4-stars like GEN McChrystal and ADM Stavridis are willing to say so in public, that tells the tale. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-21-2020 ** 21-Apr-2020 World View: Price of oil Xeraphim1 Wrote:> "There are mitigating circumstances to these insane numbers. The I just heard that the price of oil is $10 per barrel in the June contract. Even at $20, there will be lots of bankruptcies among oil producers, and lots of losses among banks and hedge funds. Tens of thousands of people will lose their jobs. I just heard a news report that the prices of used cars are plummeting. This is all because of the economic shutdown. Even if some of the lockdowns end, these price collapses will continue for many months. This is a classic deflationary spiral, like the 1930s. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - David Horn - 04-21-2020 (04-21-2020, 10:00 AM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 21-Apr-2020 World View: Price of oil That aligns well with the thinking others of all political stripes, that see things happening that haven't in a long time. Neil Irwin wrote about this in the NY Times. Here's a short excerpt: Quote:"The economic result of the pandemic is, more than anything, a sudden stop of demand. There may be a few products in which shortages are an issue, including medical equipment, personal protective gear and disinfectant wipes. But the overall picture is that a huge share of potential economic output is simply on hold. The rest of the article is similar in temperament. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-21-2020 ** 21-Apr-2020 World View: Coronavirus in Germany and Singapore Here are a couple of news items that I just heard on CNN. In Germany, Angela Merkel has canceled Octoberfest. This is not surprising, but it does provide a shock to those who were hoping that everything would return to normal by the end of the summer. In Singapore, strict lockdown laws are being extended for additional weeks. Singapore had been held up internationally as a model for how to deal with the virus successfully, but now the number of cases is exploding, especially among guest workers. A couple of additional notes about Singapore: Donald Trump announced he would sign an executive order stopping even legal immigration. The details have yet to be announced, and there are sure to be a lot of exceptions. People on the left and right have expressed puzzlement about why this is being done, but it's possible that the Singapore experience is one of the reasons. The current temperature in Singapore is around 90 degees F. I wrote several months ago that since Singapore is right on the equator, it would provide a test case for whether the virus would die out during the summer. If Singapore is seeing an explosion in cases, this would suggest that the virus will continue to spread during the summer. Even worse, it may mutate during the summer into something more virulent, as happened during the Spanish Flu pandemic in summer 1918. Quote:> "The climate in Singapore is equatorial, ie hot, RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Warren Dew - 04-21-2020 (04-21-2020, 09:19 AM)David Horn Wrote:(04-20-2020, 05:08 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: … If the sailors realize they are expendable even in peacetime, we finally get rid of the ones who see their jobs as sinecures, and get to replace them with people who understand they are risking their lives to serve their country - yes, even in peacetime. For the Navy, especially, very few of its jobs are exclusively wartime jobs, and it's about time the fair weather sailors who don't realize that get replaced. Speak for yourself, civvie. I served through most of the 1980s, when it was nominally peacetime, but we treated it as wartime. You would never have seen something like a carrier CO's internal memo with sensitive operational data leaked to the press back then. Thanks to that plus good national leadership at the time, we were ultimately rewarded with victory in the Cold War. Unfortunately, through the 1990s, the military switched to a lax peacetime attitude. The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have largely corrected this in the Army, but the Air Force and the Navy continue to tolerate a weak attitude. That needs to be fixed so the Navy can again attend to its mission, which includes more peacetime than wartime obligations. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - David Horn - 04-21-2020 (04-21-2020, 12:39 PM)Warren Dew Wrote:(04-21-2020, 09:19 AM)David Horn Wrote:(04-20-2020, 05:08 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: … If the sailors realize they are expendable even in peacetime, we finally get rid of the ones who see their jobs as sinecures, and get to replace them with people who understand they are risking their lives to serve their country - yes, even in peacetime. For the Navy, especially, very few of its jobs are exclusively wartime jobs, and it's about time the fair weather sailors who don't realize that get replaced. I was Army, but I served when the Navy was actually in the fight. Good faith was a two way street. I doubt that's changed. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-23-2020 ** 23-Apr-2020 World View: South Africa richard5za Wrote:> Prior to this five-week stretch of 26.5 million initial jobless Policymakers and in the US and elsewhere are living in a world of fantasy on the virus issue. In this fantasy world, the "opening up" of the US economy will bring about a complete recovery within a few months. When I write about this issue, I always try to remember to point out that while this US recovery is going on, Covid is going to be burning through countries in Africa, the Mideast, Asia, Central America, South America and so forth. This is all going to spill over into the US, and spoil the nice clean US "opening up" plan. And yet, this issue is never mentioned by Trump's task force, or by so-called reporters on CNN, MSNBC or Fox. In this fantasy world, the US is still isolated from the rest of the world, and there is no relationship between the virus in the US and the virus elsewhere. This fantasy world is going to fall apart at some point, probably in the fall, if not earlier. As a separate issue, with oil prices crashing because there's no storage space, it's hard to escape the feeling that some kind of disastrous accident is in the making. I also get the feeling that Africa is living in its own fantasy world -- waiting for the hated Americans or the hated European colonists to save them from Covid-19, instead of saving themselves. What's Julius Malema's plan for saving Africa? Here's an article that describes how bad the problem is: -- Township lockdown: How South Africa’s poor bear the cost of coronavirus https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/feature/2020/04/23/South-Africa-coronavirus-jobs-poverty (New Humanitarian, 23-Apr-2020) At any rate, I expect some sort of disaster to destroy these fantasy worlds by the fall, or earlier. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - freivolk - 04-24-2020 (04-21-2020, 11:46 AM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ** 21-Apr-2020 World View: Coronavirus in Germany and SingaporeStrictly speaking, not Merkel, but the Bavarian premier minister Markus Söder, canceled Oktoberfest. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-25-2020 ** 25-Apr-2020 World View: Reports: North Korea's Kim Jong-un is dead
There are multiple unconfirmed reports coming out of China and Japan that North Korea's child dictator, Kim Jong-un, is either dead or in a vegatative state, thanks to a botched heart operation two weeks ago. Reportedly, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on Friday sent a team of medical experts to diagnose the situation and provide advice. The logical successor within Kim's family would be his younger sister Kim Yo-jong. However, it's not clear that the North Koreans would accept a female leader. But if the Germans could accept Angela Merkel and the British could accept Margaret Thatcher and the ancient Egyptians could accept Cleopatra, then I don't see why the North Koreans couldn't accept Kim Yo-jong. Some analysts are suggesting that the death of Kim Jong-un could trigger widespread social unrest. North Korea has entered a generational Crisis era, so that has to be considered a possibility. The North Koreans have been claiming that there are no cases of Covid-19 in North Korea, but that claim is not believed. ----- Sources: -- 'Kim Jong-un dead' – multiple sources claim North Korean dictator died Saturday night https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1273869/kim-jong-un-dead-north-korea-kim-jong-un-health-latest-kim-jong-un-dead-reports (London Express, 26-Apr-2020) -- Exclusive: China sent team including medical experts to advise on North Korea’s Kim https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-politics-exclusive/exclusive-china-sent-team-including-medical-experts-to-advise-on-north-koreas-kim-sources-say-idUSKCN2263DW (Reuters, 25-Apr-2020) -- If North Korea's Kim Jong Un dies, who will be his successor? https://nationalpost.com/news/world/if-north-koreas-kim-jong-un-dies-who-will-be-his-successor (National Post, 25-Apr-2020) ---- Related: *** 20-Apr-2020 World View: North Korea's Kim Jong-un may be critically ill after heart surgery *** http://gdxforum.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=51670#p51670 ** 4-Aug-16 World View -- North Korean officials reportedly alarmed at Kim Jong-un's drinking and massive weight gain ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e160804.htm#e160804 ** 12-Feb-18 World View -- What was Kim Yo-jong thinking as she returned to North Korea from the Olympics? ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e180212.htm#e180212 RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-26-2020 ** 26-Apr-2020 World View: The future of North and South Korea Guest Wrote:> Is it realistic to keep American soldiers in South Korea? We don't The mere announcement of a plan to withdraw troops from South Korea would, by itself, be viewed as a surrender, and would bring about the worst of the consequences that you fear. "And there is a very real possibility that the leftist government under President Moon might surrender to the Chinese and North Koreans in the event of an ultimatum." --- No there isn't. There isn't a snowflake's chance in hell that the South Koreans would surrender to a Chinese/North Korean ultimatum. Moon may be the head of a "leftist government," but that doesn't mean surrender. One example occurred in July 2017, when Moon responded to a North Korean ballistic missile test by approving further THAAD deployments in South Korea, after having blocked them previously. This caused the usual whining and screaming from the CCP thugs, and a Chinese boycott of Lotte department stores and South Korean tourism. But Moon certainly did not simply surrender to China's demands. In fact, South Korea stood up more firmly to Chinese demands than many other countries have been doing. ** 29-Apr-19 World View -- South Korea's weapons industry boosted by end of North's 'Charm Offensive' ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e190429.htm#e190429 In this generational Crisis era, nobody is going to surrender without a new Korean war -- something that South Korea doesn't want, North Korea doesn't want, and China doesn't want. The fact is that the North Koreans have much more in common with the South Koreans than with the Chinese. Kim's goal has been to reunify Korean under a North Korean government, not a Chinese government. If the reports are true the Kim Jong-un is close to death, then China is facing a major crisis. There's a possibility of détente between North and South Korea, such as the one that eventually led to the reunification of East and West Germany, that would shut out the Chinese. So there are several possible scenarios about what's going to happen next. But announcing an American troop withdrawal would trigger the wrong scenarios. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Warren Dew - 04-26-2020 Removing American troops for nothing in exchange would be foolish anyway. That's the only bargaining chip we have that might get North Korea to give up nuclear weapons. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-26-2020 *** 27-Apr-20 World View -- CNBC's Jim Cramer: Hostility to China grows in America This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** CNBC's Jim Cramer: Hostility to China grows in America **** WHO's January 24 tweet stating that there was no evidence of human-to-human transmission and community spread. The Chinese had already known for six weeks that there was human-to-human transmission and community spread. This tweet was a global disaster, because it lulled many countries into complacency. A lengthy rant by CNBC's Jim Cramer shows several aspects of how world opinion toward China is growing increasingly negative, starting with the US-China trade dispute, and more so with the Wuhan Coronavirus (Covid-19) issue. A growing minority consider the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to be a criminal organization. Cramer's rant was directed at China's reaction to a failed drug trial by the California company Gilead Sciences. Gilead is one of dozens of American companies that are working to develop vaccines, treatments, therapeutics or even a cure for the Wuhan Coronavirus (Covid-19). Gilead has an existing antiviral treatment product, Remdesivir, that has been used to treat Ebola patients. In March, the FDA approved testing the drug for Covid-19 patients. Gilead went to a great deal of trouble to get approval for a test of Covid-19 patients in China. The trial was ended last week, after being inconclusive. Chinese officials responded by trashing Gilead, trashing the trial, and getting the World Health Organization (WHO) to do the same. WHO was forced to retract its statement. Gilead issued a statement saying that the trial was ended because enrollment was too low, and said, "the study results are inconclusive, though trends in the data suggest a potential benefit for remdesivir, particularly among patients treated early in disease." Gilead accused China of posting "inappropriate characterizations of the study." CNBC's principal commentator Jim Cramer commented on this situation on Friday morning with an extended rant (my transcription): <QUOTE>"And I thought it you listen to [Dr. Scott Gottlieb], you would conclude only one thing: That the Chinese have done very bad job in the way that they've handled us. And I've always felt that Remdesivir would help if you get it early enough. ... I think that the Chinese have been horrendous. And I think that the WHO has been horrendous, and I think that the combination of the two [China and WHO] against Gilead and the assault against Gilead [is horrendous]. And here's a company [Gilead] that's done its absolute best like many American companies, and I don't understand the animus of China to our own companies, other than the fact they regard us as a cold war opponent. ... The reason that I'm discouraged about the Chinese is we have so many great things that are going on here by fantastic people who are really doing great things, and all we ever get from the Chinese is frankly a country that looks down upon us. They're number one, and they're the great power, and we're being treated by them and our companies are being treated by them with the greatest disrespect. ... That's how they treat us. Why does anyone say that? I sat there and listened to what they [the Chinese] did with Gilead. First they said they didn't do the test, cause it couldn't get finished. Then suddenly they leak to the WHO saying how bad it is. Then it's pulled from WHO. In the meantime, all Gilead is doing, AND FOR FREE, is to try to come up with something that when you start early might work. And the disrespect [from China] is widely accepted [by the media]. Maybe Trump is a hot button [to the media]. But not the Chinese. The Chinese are revered. My father worked for the Chinese. God love them, they were nice to my father. Have you ever seen anyone just look down upon us, and say that we don't know what we're doing? Even the Soviet Union respected us from 47 to 87. They respected us. But -- What do they [the Chinese] think of us that they could treat us like this. And our drug companies? How many Nobel Prizes have they won? ... That's just the way I feel. You and I know that this idea that we're a fifth rate power and they would treat Ecuador better than us, and you saw Ecuador in the papers today."<END QUOTE> I quoted Cramer's rant at length because I want to use it to make serveral points. **** **** China's love for Ecuador **** Let's start with the easiest one -- the reference to Ecuador. Ecuador's infestation of Covid-19 is a mess, with many streets filled with bodies of dead people. That's the reason that Ecuador has been in the papers, but that isn't the reason that China loves Ecuador. Thanks to China's "debt trap diplomacy," Ecuador owes $6.5 billion to China. In return, Ecuador is China's slave. China has deployed a massive surveillance spy system in Ecuador, the ECU-911 system, that can spy on all citizens, and sends its data back to China's military. By the way, similar systems have been sold to Venezuela, Bolivia and Angola. So that explains why China loves Ecuador. ( "13-Oct-19 World View -- Ecuador's president Moreno imposes curfew after 10 days of violent protests" ) **** **** The Chinese master race **** Jim Cramer is confused about why the CCP is so disrespectful of Americans and American companies. "I don't understand the animus of China to our own companies, other than the fact they regard us as a cold war opponent," says Cramer. No, that isn't the reason at all. In fact, the Chinese do not see this situation as a "cold war." They see it as a prelude to a hot war. China is unique as having an extremely racist view of themselves as superior to everyone else. America is a "melting pot" of many races. Americans know that, and don't consider themselves to be some sort of superior race or master race. Instead, Americans see themselves as ordinary people who were lucky enough to be born in the greatest country in history. Most countries have similar views of their own people. But not the Chinese. They are unique in a highly racist way, as I described in my book, "War Between China and Japan." Since ancient times, the Chinese have viewed the universe in three layers: The highest layer is the Kingdom of Heaven. The second layer is China, the Master Race, the Middle Kingdom -- yellow race, black hair, brown eyes, yellow skin. And the bottom layer is everyone else, the rest of us, the barbarians. The Chinese culture views the Chinese as a Master Race, superior to all other races. Even Hitler's Master Race Nazi attitude was not as bad, because it only survived a couple of decades. But the Chinese Master Race attitude is has been firmly entrenched in the Chinese culture literally for millennia. China's government, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), considers itself superior to all other governments, and not bound by international law, or any international agreements that it has signed. To the CCP, joining the United Nations or the World Health Organization (WHO) or the World Trade Organization (WTO) or any international organization does not require China to abide by any commitments. The CCP considers itself superior to the organization, and is simply using the organization as a way of controlling and exploiting the barbarians for the benefit of the CCP. So that's why the Chinese love Ecuador. To the Chinese, Ecuadorians are like cute little poodles that are controlled and monitored by the CCP masters, and who do as their CCP masters tell them. Who wouldn't love to be masters of a country of cute little poodles? But the CCP hates Americans because we aren't obedient poodles, and because we constantly prove that we're better than they are. As Cramer asks, "How many Nobel Prizes have they won?" So this isn't some simple economic competition, or even a simple military competition. America's superiority to China is a definitive challenge to Confucius and to China's entire racist Master Race culture. So Jim Cramer had no idea why the Chinese treat Americans with such enormous contempt, but if he reads this, then he'll finally know. **** **** Global views of China continue to turn increasingly negative **** Cramer's rant illustrates more and more widely held views that China is not a friend, but an enemy. Americans have always had a friendly positive view of China. We helped them in World War I, and we saved them in WW II. Even when Mao Zedong was starving and murdering tens of millions of Chinese in the Great Leap Forward, even when the CCP was slaughtering thousands of peaceful young students in the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre, it made little difference -- Americans loved China. According to Pew Research, this changed sharply in 2011, when Xi Jinping came to power, as shown by this chart. American positive and negative views of China, 2005-2020 Views became less unfavorable in 2016-17, but then unfavorable views surged in 2018 with the trade dispute, and recently with the Covid-19 issue. This change is even more pronounced by the people of India, who believe that China’s opacity and mismanagement is to blame for the global pandemic, according to a survey conducted by The Takshashila Institution in Bangalore, India. According to the survey:
According to a study of Indian social media, Indians are angry at China and the World Health Organization (WHO) for their mishandling of the pandemic, and they praise the efficiency and transparency of Taiwan's response. I haven't seen any surveys of Chinese attitudes towards Americans and Indians, but it would seem likely that those attitudes are becoming more negative as well. **** **** Growing evidence of China's malicious behavior in spreading pandemic **** Evidence is growing that the CCP purposely took steps to spread the pandemic to other countries, and used the World Health Organization as a tool to do this. The motive was that China did not want to be the only country in the world experiencing a pandemic, and wanted to make sure that the pandemic spread to the US and other countries. First, there's the question of where the virus came from. There are three theories:
The first of these theories is almost universally rejected, and there are investigations underway to determine which of the latter two theories is correct. However, it doesn't really matter too much which it is. What matters now and what's important now is the CCP's actions once the virus started spreading in Wuhan. The circumstantial evidence points clearly, almost beyond a reasonable doubt, to the conclusion that the CCP purposely spread the virus around the world.
I've listened to several interviews on the BBC and elsewhere of Chinese officials being asked about these charges. These Chinese officials are really mealy-mouthed. They never try to explain their actions, but just blame everything on Trump, even though every country on the planet is going to suffer because of China's actions. It's proof of how stupid the CCP thugs are, if they think that we're so stupid we believe what they're saying. I always say that the CCP officials are the dumbest bunch of thugs imaginable. You never know how they're going to handle a situation, but you can always be certain that they'll handle it in such a way as to make it worse. They've certainly done that in this situation. The CCP thugs apparently believe that they can talk their way out of this, just as they've tried to talk their way out of their illegal annexation of the South China Sea or their genocide and ethnic cleansing of Muslim Uighurs and Kazakhs in East Turkestan (Xinjiang province). The CCP thugs are unable to grasp how dangerous the situation is, as the people of the world increasingly view the CCP as a criminal organization. This will not go well for anybody. **** **** A thousand ways to end the lockouts **** It now appears that we'll have continue using "social distancing" and other containment methods until early 2022. The world will be a very different place by then, even more so if there's a war with China before then. There are now about 3 million cases and 200,000 deaths worldwide, with almost 100,000 cases and almost 55,000 deaths in the United States. If you're willing to step back from the horror of that many deaths, and look at the big picture, then there are some interesting experiments going on. There are 50 states in the US, and there are countries and provinces around the world. So let's say that there are 500 different regions. Then there are 500 different experiments going on for dealing with the virus. Some started lockdowns early, some later, and others had no lockdowns at all. Different lockdowns permitted different kinds of activities, whether buying groceries or jogging alone in the park, provided that "social distancing" and face mask rules are followed. Now they're starting to end the lockdowns. Some are doing it early, some doing it quickly, some doing it later, some doing it slowly. Some will fail, and there will be a new resurgence of cases, and all the accomplishments of the lockdown will be lost. That means that by the end of the summer, we're going to have a great deal of data and information on what works and what doesn't. It's widely expected that there will be a "second wave" of the pandemic in the fall, and in that case, all the data collected from these 500 experiments will be used to deal with the virus much more effectively than in the first wave. So I'm going to call this "good news." People are always complaining that I post nothing but bad news, but this is one piece of good news: If there's a "second wave" in the fall, then we'll know how to handle it effectively, based on the experience of these 500 experiments. John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references, $13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Between-Prepared-Generational/dp/1732738637/ Sources:
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KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, Wuhan Coronavirus, Covid-19, CNBC, Jim Cramer, Gilead Sciences, Remdesivir, World Health Organization, WHO, Taiwan, Ecuador, ECU-911, Venezuela, Bolivia, Angola, Confucius, Kingdom of Heaven, Middle Kingdom, barbarians, India, Takshashila Institution, Peter Navarro, Wuhan, Li Wenlian, Wuhan Institute Of Virology Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-27-2020 ** 27-Apr-2020 World View: Alive or dead? Guest Wrote:Xeraphim1 Wrote:Guest Wrote:"North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is 'alive and well'" According to BBC reporting from Seoul, the South Koreans have no clue whether Kim Jong-un is alive or dead. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 04-27-2020 ** 27-Apr-2020 World View: North and South Korea confederation thomasglee Wrote:> The Moon regime has become more and more dismissive toward the USA When Moon is "dismissive" toward the USA, I assume those remarks are targeted to his political base. Actions speak louder than words, and I would point again to the THAAD deployment. In fact, take another look at the article that I wrote last year: ** 29-Apr-19 World View -- South Korea's weapons industry boosted by end of North's 'Charm Offensive' ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/xct.gd.e190429.htm#e190429 The last section of that article describes South Korea's network of anti-missile defenses. There are multiple layers of defense. The Koreans are providing the KM-SAM Cheongung medium-range surface-to-air missile system and the PIP missile interceptor. But the KM-SAM is heavily dependent on working with two American anti-missile systems -- the THAAD and the Patriot. So in addition to the multi-level anti-missile defenses, you have 29,000 American soldiers. That's a huge American presence, and that isn't going away. So if Moon wants to say, "I don't like all that American stuff here, but we're stuck with it" in order to appease his political base, then I don't think it makes much difference. You describe a North/South Korea confederation that sides with China against Japan and Taiwan. This raises a number of questions in my mind: * You lived in Seoul for many years, so you have a feel for what the South Korean people really want. What do the people really want? * How is such a confederation possible without a North-South war? Who would govern the confederation? * At what point in your scenario would the American troops withdraw, dismantling the anti-missile defense systems? * You're drawing on historical analogies to describe "a blocking force against Japan and/or Taiwan." How would that work? Would Korean troops be involved against Japan or Taiwan? * Why would South Korea side with China against Taiwan? |