Generational Dynamics World View - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Theories Of History (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-7.html) +--- Thread: Generational Dynamics World View (/thread-51.html) Pages:
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 02-27-2017 (02-27-2017, 04:21 PM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > Except the actual US government hasn't been following my proposed As usual, every time you write what you claim I believe, you end up writing total gibberish. First, I'm not a neocon. Neocon is a political ideology, and I have no political ideology. Second, I didn't propose any foreign policy in 2003 or any other time. I almost never propose a policy. The only time in recent memory that I have was the other day when I said that the border tax was a dangerous idea. The only part of the above gibberish that resembles reality is that ten years ago I thought the attack by China was fairly imminent, though even then I didn't set any absolute deadlines, certainly not the Olympics. But if you really predicted 2020 at the time, then that was a pretty good prediction. So you're completely wrong about the deadline. I always treated the timetable for a generational crisis war probabilistically. Instead of writing gibberish, if you'd like to understand what I actually thought ten years ago, take a look at the following article: ** Six most dangerous regions in world ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.danger041120.htm Go to the end of the article, where I discuss "Probabilistic Forecasts" and "Probability of a regional crisis war" This was a very interesting speculative way of predicting a time frame for when the next crisis war would start, whether by China's hand or some other way. I even codified as a mathematical formula. I estimated that the probability of a crisis war in 2005 was 20.89%, and would get a little higher each year. In 2006, I began to wonder if the above estimates were too high, and I noted the fact that instead of moving toward war, the world was in a kind of equilibrium. That's when I saw the movie "A Beautiful Mind," about the mathematician John Nash, and I applied his concepts about game theory to the geopolitical situation, and wrote this article: ** A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a 'Nash equilibrium' ** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.060717nash.htm As I read through that article today, for the first time in years, it seems quite reasonable. In particular with regard to China and Taiwan, it says the relationship was in an equilibrium, but that the equilibrium was being undermined by generational changes -- in particular the rise of a younger generation that favors independence. So if you want to understand what I really believed ten years ago, rather than making up fake news, then read those two articles. (02-27-2017, 05:15 PM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > Also on several of your posts you've speculated on the causes of Al-Assad is the worst genocidal monster of the 21st century so far, in the same line as Stalin, Hitler, Mao and Pol Pot. If you like al-Assad, then I'm not surprised that you're willing to excuse Hitler. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 02-27-2017 (02-27-2017, 05:51 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(02-27-2017, 04:21 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > Except the actual US government hasn't been following my proposed Except that China has long ago informed the US that it regards Taiwanese independence for Taiwanese independence as a Casus Belli for war against Taiwan as well as against the US. Yet at no point did the last has the US changed its policy regarding the Taiwan issue. We're still De Facto allies of taiwan even though the alliance was supposed to be dissolved in 1978. Without the taiwan issue and other policy of open sealanes there would be little danger of war with the Chinese. Even if China expanded for "living space" such an expansionism is a far greater threat to Russia and India than it is to the US or even Japan and South Korea. This is also true of US policy toward other global flashpoints, our established policy is basically to ensure that no wars occur at all in those regions. This instead invites hostility toward the US by all sided except our main allies because it imposes a pressure cooker making the eventual war much more severe and increased likelihood of war coming to our shores as a result. This has already occurred once before on 9/11, yet the boomers refused to even consider any policy that doesn't involve interventionist global democratization. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 02-27-2017 (02-27-2017, 05:51 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(02-27-2017, 05:15 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > Also on several of your posts you've speculated on the causes of Assad is an efficient leader and has been carrying out an efficient elimination of islamists; western Xers and Millies admire that fact. Hitler was a genocidal maniac, but it is undeniable that the Nazi Government was highly capable and efficient at getting things done.. Boomers have this obsession with totalitarian regimes; that such regimes are embodiments of absolute evil. Xers and Millies are on the other hand capable of understanding that certain aspects of such regimes are highly competent and efficient and often outstrip democracies in terms of ability to Gather and Organize industrial, manpower and natural resources. 28-Feb-17 World View -- ISIS forces hundreds of Christians to flee Egypt's North Sina - John J. Xenakis - 02-27-2017 *** 28-Feb-17 World View -- ISIS forces hundreds of Christians to flee Egypt's North Sinai This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** ISIS forces hundreds of Christians to flee Egypt's North Sinai **** Coptic Christian families from El-Arish arriving at the Evangelical Church in Ismailia last week (Reuters) At least 100 Coptic Christian families 200 Coptic Christian academic students have been forced to flee from El-Arish, the capital city of Egypt's North Sinai governate, after being threatened by the Sinai terror group called Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis (ABM - Ansar Jerusalem - Champions of Jerusalem), which changed its name to Al Wilayat Sinai (Province of Sinai) when it changed its allegiance in 2015 from al-Qaeda to the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh). The hundreds of Copts left their homes for the Suez Canal city of Ismailia, 125 miles west, where they were received by a Protestant Church, the Evangelical Church of Ismailia. This comes after seven Coptic Christians were killed this month ABM militants, including one who was burned alive. The killings occurred after ISIS on February 19 released a video calling Copts "our priority and our preferred prey." According to reports, ABM has "kill lists" that include the names of at least 40 Copts living in Sinai. The series of attacks is a major embarrassment to Egypt's president Abdel al-Fattah al-Sisi, who has been promising to eradicate terrorism from Northern Sinai after a series of terror attacks in the last two years. On Saturday, he ordered the government to take all necessary measures to provide assistance to the Coptic Christians who were forced to flee, and renewed his pledge to eliminate ISIS from Sinai, where the "undermine security and stability in Egypt." The Muslim Brotherhood, not wanting to be blamed, has strongly condemned the killings in Sinai, but blamed them on the "military coup regime" of al-Sisi. This is an allusion to the 2013 coup, led by then-army chief al-Sisi, ousting Mohammed Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood government. Christianity Today and Al Ahram (Cairo) and IkhwanWeb (Muslim Brotherhood) and Middle East Eye Related Articles
**** **** ISIS-linked Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis in Sinai continues to confound Egypt's army **** Egypt's army on Monday announced that it had killed six militants in Northern Sinai since the Coptic families were forced to flee. "Law enforcement forces will continue carrying out their mission with determination to uproot terrorism and eliminate terrorist elements," said the statement. However, this battle between Egypt's army and Ansar Bayt al-Maqdis has been going on for years, and many people wonder why the army hasn't defeated ABM by now. According to one analysis, Egypt's army is ill-equipped to deal with guerrilla warfare in urban and mountainous areas. Even more important, ABM has been able to acquire sophisticated weapons from stockpiles of weapons that were up for grabs in Libya after Muammar Gaddafi was killed in 2011. A steady stream of these weapons was smuggled by a Libyan jihadist group, Ansar al-Sharia ("Partisans of Sharia law"). One of these weapons was the Russian Kornet, an antitank guided missile, which was a game-changer. Other weapons included Grad missiles, anti-tank rocket propelled grenades, air defense Strela missiles, the latest Kalashnikov rifles, the Austrian Steyr sniper rifles, and DShK Russian machine heavy guns. These weapons have changed ABM from a small terrorist group into a large, well-armed militia. According to another report, hundreds of trained fighters, including dozens of elite commandos, formerly in the al-Qassam Brigades, the military wing of Hamas in Gaza, have been defecting to ABM-ISIS in the Sinai. These same al-Qassam militants have been providing training to the ISIS fighters in Sinai. Al-Ahram (Cairo) and Jerusalem Post and PJ Media Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Egypt, North Sinai, El-Arish, Coptic Christians, Evangelical Church of Ismailia, Ansar Jerusalem, Ansar Bayt al Maqdis, ABM, Champions of Jerusalem, Sinai Province, Al Wilayat Sinai, Mohammed Morsi, Muslim Brotherhood, Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh, Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, Gaza, Hamas, al-Qassam Brigades Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 02-27-2017 (02-27-2017, 07:07 PM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > Assad is an efficient leader and has been carrying out an I can never really tell whether you're joking. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 02-27-2017 (02-27-2017, 06:57 PM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > This is also true of US policy toward other global flashpoints, Well you're right about Boomers. The Gen-Xers and Millies don't have a clue whether Taiwan is kind of Chinese noodle or an Indonesian drink, so they won't be worrying too much about defending. Of course we could simply cut off all military ties with Taiwan. Then China would invade and annex it immediately. Japan, the Philippines and everyone else in the Asia would immediately realize that we couldn't be counted on, and China could simply grab all of them. They'd probably start importing Japanese comfort women. We could try to stay out, but sooner or later China would bomb Pearl Harbor or San Francisco or Washington, so we'd be at war anyway. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 02-28-2017 (02-27-2017, 11:40 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(02-27-2017, 07:07 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > Assad is an efficient leader and has been carrying out an I wasn't joking here. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 02-28-2017 (02-27-2017, 11:47 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(02-27-2017, 06:57 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > This is also true of US policy toward other global flashpoints, Japan and south Korea would militarize Immediately thus negating the need for any US presence there. Any concession of Taiwan would be part of a broader spheres of Influence agreement which could be reached if the US would also include a "carrot and stick" policy. The stick would be US support and arming of South Korea and Japan (and Possibly Indonesia) with nuclear weapons and militarization of those nations. The carrot would be China being given a free hand with regards to expansion to its North and West (into Russian Siberia, India and Central Asia). Remember during many of China's previous dynasties Eastern Siberia was often part of china with numerous Chinese settlements used to be there before the Russian conquest. Thus China can easily engineer a casus belli to invade that region. Think of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. Also During this Time, US would be converting itself into a military state, a nation geared for war. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 02-28-2017 Actually, what would really happen is that at the first hint that the US was deserting Taiwan, Congress would be outraged, Australia would completely freak out, and Britain and India would soon follow, along with Japan. The US would quickly have to back down, just as Trump did after calling Nato obsolete. This is the "stable equilibrium" that I was writing about yesterday. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 02-28-2017 Xers and Millies despise the status quo politics that are beloved by boomers. Boomers Love for pathetic Globalistic values is quite obvious. First during the awakening boomers forced the military to become a volunteer force because they were afraid that the conscription system would gradually mutate America into an imperial state. The selfish boomers motivated by emotions and extreme selfishness dismantled this system even though the creation of an american empire would have served the interests of the american people. Later when 9/11 occurred the boomer again motivated by their so-called precious ideals imposed nonsensical solutions to the problem of the possibility of another 9/11 rather than implement the logical conclusions: The boomer chose to wage limited war and imposed nonsensical regulations in which grannys and children were being checked for bombs instead of total war with "mongol" type tactic and mass conscription as wells as profiling Muslims within the US. The logical evolution of America that should have happened after 911: The creation of an imperial state; a new roman empire, was prevented by boomers motivated by extreme selfishness and boomers effete love for "Human Rights" and their selfish desire to preserve the 1990s era "open society". 1-Mar-17 World View -- Central African Republic war morphs from religious to ethnic - John J. Xenakis - 02-28-2017 *** 1-Mar-17 World View -- Central African Republic war morphs from religious to ethnic war This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Central African Republic war morphs from religious to ethnic war **** Central African Republic The Central African Republic (CAR) war began in March 2013, when Muslim Séléka militias ousted François Bozizé, the Christian president of CAR, and replaced him with Michel Djotodia, a Muslim. Muslim Séléka militias began committing atrocities, particularly targeting the Christian constituencies of the deposed François Bozizé. In December 2013, French Foreign Legion peacekeeping troops arrived to disarm the Séléka militias. The actions of the French troops backfired. When the Muslim Séléka troops were disarmed, the Christian anti-Balaka militias "rushed into the vacuum," and began committing atrocities in 2014, for revenge against the Sélékas. Since then, both Christians and Muslims have been committing brutal atrocities, and it's become a full-scale generational crisis war. As in any generational crisis war, bloody, brutal atrocities are committed by all sides, irrespective of religion or ethnicity. In 2013, the Séléka was a coalition of ethnic militias that were united in their opposition to the Christians and to François Bozizé. Since then, the coalition has begun to unravel, and different factions have been turning on one another. In the central region of CAR, around the country's second and third largest cities, Bambari and Bria, two competing ethnic militias have emerged. One is the Union for Peace in the Central African Republic (UPC), dominated by Muslims from the Fulani ethnic group, a nomadic herding ethnic group. Their families travel with their herds of cattle to greener pastures when grazing ground and water are scarce. The second ethnic militia is the Popular Front for the Renaissance in the Central African Republic (FPRC), dominated by the Gula and Runga ethnic groups. These ethnic groups are primarily farmers, using hoe cultivation and irrigation techniques, with millet and wheat are the main crops grown. The FPRC is now allying with the Christian "anti-Balaka" militias, which are also primarily farmers. The FPRC is demanding an independent state in CAR's north. This is opposed by the UPC. The FPRC have been seeking out and slaughtering Fulani civilians in one village after another, including an extremely brutal assault on the city of Bria. FPRC forces are now closing in on Bambari, where it's feared the same could happen. The core issue in the war is one that I've described many times -- the battle between farmers and herders. Farmers and herders have two completely different lifestyles. Battles between farmers and herders occur in country after country, as I've described many times in Central African Republic, Rwanda, Burundi, Kenya, Sudan, South Sudan, and even America in the 1800s. The farmers accuse the herders of letting the cattle eat their crops, while the herders accuse the farmers of planting on land that's meant for grazing. If the farmers put up fences, then the herders knock them down. Generational crisis wars are fought along demographic fault lines, including religion, ethnicity, skin color and geography. Ethnicity is a much more powerful force than religion because you can change your religion but you can't change your ethnicity. As in many countries, the war in Central African Republic is being fought along ethnic fault lines, particular along the fault line between herders and farmers. IRIN - United Nations and Reuters (26-Nov-2016) Related Articles
**** **** United Nations peacekeeping force MINUSCA uses airstrikes to stop bloodbath in Bambari **** There is a United Nations peacekeeping force in CAR known as MINUSCA, which stands for Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic. MINUSCA has been largely a failure, with its forces mainly concentrated in the capital city Bangui, and has been riven with scandal, with accusations that peacekeepers have been raping girls that they're supposed to be protecting. MINUSCA has been watching the impending disaster, as the FPRC forces approach Bambari, with the intention of exterminating the Fulani. MINUSCA is forced to resort to airstrikes to try to halt the advance of the FPRC, and has been targeting "heavily armed" FPRC fighters, although it's not known whether the airstrikes have produced any casualties. At any rate, based on the publicly available reports, it appears that MINUSCA's attempt to stop the FPRC slaughter of Fulanis will fail spectacularly. I've been writing about the CAR war ever since it began in 2013, and I've always said the same thing: This is a generational crisis war, a force of nature that cannot be stopped until it reaches an explosive climax. The climax is sometimes a real explosion, such as the nuking of Japan that ended World War II. In the usual case, it's a genocidal explosion of such enormity that it's remembered for decades or even centuries, and it causes both sides to stop fighting, and say, "Never again." And it doesn't happen again, as long as the survivors of the war are still alive. As I've explained in the past, CAR's last generational crisis war was the 1928-1931 Kongo-Wara Rebellion ("War of the Hoe Handle"), which was a very long time ago, putting CAR today deep into a generational Crisis era, where a new crisis civil war has already started. From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this is a generational crisis war, and it will not end until a lot of scores get settled with some kind of massive bloody, genocidal climax that will be remembered for decades. CAR is nowhere close to that point yet, and MINUSCA can't do anything but watch the violence unfold. Reuters and AFP Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Central African Republic, CAR, Bangui, Bria, Bambari, François Bozizé, Michel Djotodia, Séléka, anti-Balaka, Fulani, Gula, Runga, MINUSCA, FPRC, UPC, Popular Front for the Renaissance in the Central African Republic, Union for Peace in the Central African Republic, Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in the Central African Republic, Kongo-Wara Rebellion, War of the Hoe Handle, Rwanda, Burundi, Kenya, Sudan, South Sudan Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: 25-Feb-17 World View -- Border Adjustment Tax versus the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Law - Warren Dew - 03-01-2017 (02-25-2017, 09:01 AM)Warren Dew Wrote:(02-24-2017, 10:42 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: I wrote the above in 2003, so it should not surprise anyone that today I have to change my position on this, because I didn't fully understand the proposal. In fact, the proposal actually is to shift at least corporate taxes to a VAT instead of a corporate income tax, at a lower percentage tax rate. This permits us to take advantage of the same border adjustment that the WTO has already ruled to meet its rules by states that already use a VAT, including for example most EU states. That also means that, rather than initiating a trade war, all this does is put our policies in line with, for example, EU policies. Given there will likely be an exchange rate adjustment that largely cancels the border adjustment, this will essentially make the corporate tax rate lower in the US, encouraging production in the US, in exchange for giving foreign holders of US currency a one time windfall, and in the longer term reducing the foreign holdings of US currency on which the US charges an effective inflation "tax". I'm neutral to mildly positive on this deal. In an ideal world, we would fix the WTO ruling that permitting border adjustments of VAT, but that would be harder to fix. Paul Ryan needs to do a better job of explaining this package. RE: 25-Feb-17 World View -- Border Adjustment Tax versus the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Law - John J. Xenakis - 03-01-2017 Well, Warren, maybe you're right and there's a way to "thread the needle" and devise a border adjustment tax that won't be a total international disaster like the Smoot-Hawley tax. But as you might imagine, I'm way too cynical to expect success. I really began to understand how the game was played in the 1970s. First there was Nixon's wage-price controls, which were supposed to reduce the inflation rate from 4% to 2%, but instead caused it to increase to 12% and were a disaster for the economy of such proportions that the economy didn't recover for a decade. Then in 1976 Jimmy Carter was running for president. He promised to reduce the number of government agencies. I don't recall the exact numbers, but I think he said that of the 2,500 existing agencies, he would eliminate 500 of them. Which 500 would he eliminate? He wouldn't say. Well, he was elected, and he didn't eliminate any agencies. Instead, his administration added two new cabinet-level departments, the two DOEs -- the dept of energy and the dept of education -- and added hundreds of new agencies. So let's fast-forward to Barack Obama. He was going to reduce the $8 trillion deficit by spending another $1 trillion in a stimulus package that would stimulate growth and reduce the deficit. The growth in the economy would wipe out the deficity. Instead, the economy didn't grow, and it was a total waste of money. The deficit today is $10 trillion higher. Obama was also going to reduce medical costs with Obamacare. Instead, medical costs have exploded under Obamacare. Obamacare is an incredibly destructive economy policy, even worse than Nixon's wage-price controls, and it will take at least a decade for the medical services industry to recover from the disaster. So now let's take a side-trip to Greece. In 2010, Greece would need a temporary bailout to give the economy a chance to grow again. The growth in the economy would wipe out the deficit, and allow Greece to repay its loans. Instead, the economy didn't grow, and Greece has no chance of repaying its loans. Greece will be facing a major new crisis by July. So now we have a new president, Donald Trump. He's going to cut taxes for the middle class and spend $1 trillion on infrastructure. And how will this be paid for? Why, by the Border Adjustment Tax, of course. And his proposal to repeal and replace Obamacare will reduce medical costs. So, in summary, after 8 years of total economic disaster under the Obama administration, we're facing the possibility of a new economic disaster under the Trump administration. That reality doesn't seem to affect investors. Champagne corks are popping this morning, after the Dow breached 21,000. This is being called the "Trump stock market rally," because the Dow is up 2,500 points since the election. So the already huge stock market bubble is now even more explosively huge, just waiting for the bubble to pop, which it will with 100% certainty. What nobody wants to talk about, the so-called "elephant in the room," is the velocity of money. This indicates the rate at which people are willing to spend money. You can't have economic growth if people aren't willing to spend money, which means that the velocity of money would have to increase. Instead, we have this: So the reason that there's been no growth since 2008 is that the velocity of money has been plummeting since 2008. I posted the above graph a year ago, but I've just checked, and the velocity of money has continued to fall in the last year. And so, Warren, maybe you're right that the Border Adjustment Tax, along with a realignment of corporate taxes, will lead to great economic growth and solve all our problems, as the Trump administration hopes. As for myself, I've seen too much in the past that I can't unsee. I would laugh, except that I'm too tired to laugh. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 03-01-2017 "During the campaign, Carter promised the American people that if elected he would reduce the number of government agencies and committees from nearly 2,000 to 200. While the promise to cut the number of agencies was compelling campaign rhetoric, the White House realized after the election that it tied the president to a questionable metric of success, so it was quietly abandoned after the first 100 days. Instead, the White House saw eliminating agencies or overlapping functions as a means towards better government, not an end." https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/general/reports/2011/06/09/9732/executive-reorganization/ RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 03-01-2017 Government policy is destroying any desire by the populace to spend any money. People carry out economic activity to put food on THEIR tables and the endless rules set up by silent and boomer bureaucrats suck up any chances for profit for businesses and also cause prices and costs of living to be increasingly ruinously expensive. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 03-01-2017 Carter was one of our least competent presidents. The policy of Carter was of unmitigated failure, his few successes were undone in the following decades by boomber globalists who considered those policies to not be globalist enough. There is a reason Reagan won in a landslide, most non-boomers like having strong native tech and manufacturing industries. Most non-boomers and non-silents like having the prospect of America converting into a roman empire-esque military state. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 03-01-2017 (03-01-2017, 12:46 PM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > Government policy is destroying any desire by the populace to No, that's not why the velocity of money has been falling. Gen-Xers took financial engineering courses in the 1990s and learned how to create synthetic securities. They used these skills in the 2000s to purposely create fraudulent synthetic sub-prime mortgage backed securities. They sold tens of trillions of dollars of these fraudulent securities to investors, thinking that they were screwing their parents' generation, since they shared your hatred and contempt for Silents and Boomers. This created the real estate bubble. When the bubble crashed, and millions of people lost their homes or went bankrupt, people stopped going further into debt. Instead, they paid off their existing debts, and starting saving money instead of spending it. That's why the velocity of money has been crashing, and it's entirely the fault of Gen-Xers. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Ragnarök_62 - 03-01-2017 (03-01-2017, 04:57 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(03-01-2017, 12:46 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > Government policy is destroying any desire by the populace to Ahem, stop being such a butterball John. How about all of those Boomer Wars of Choice? What about the blood and treasure y'all Boomers wasted on that stuff. And , I'm gonna do some victim blaming here as well 'cause y'all deserve some of that. So... what happened to the "if it's too good to be true, then it's a scam?" That means that if I'm to believe what you're writing on this subject, then ALL Silents and Boomers were such rubes. Surely not John? And of course not all X'ers were scammeisters. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Ragnarök_62 - 03-01-2017 (03-01-2017, 12:54 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: Carter was one of our least competent presidents. The policy of Carter was of unmitigated failure, his few successes were undone in the following decades by boomber globalists who considered those policies to not be globalist enough. There is a reason Reagan won in a landslide, most non-boomers like having strong native tech and manufacturing industries. Most non-boomers and non-silents like having the prospect of America converting into a roman empire-esque military state. Bwahshahahahahahahahaahahahahahahah~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ lyrics Wrote:ou'd better sleep with your rifle I found this just for you, Cynic Here. Enjoy, man. edda Wrote:Ragnarök 2-Mar-17 World View -- European leaders debate how the European Union can survive - John J. Xenakis - 03-01-2017 *** 2-Mar-17 World View -- European leaders debate how the European Union can survive after Brexit This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** European leaders debate how the European Union can survive after Brexit **** Italian politician Gianni Pittella calls the European Commission's white paper a 'clear political mistake' (Getty) A variety of crises seem to get worse as time goes on is causing anxieties about the future of the European Union and the euro currency. The crises include the refugee crisis, financial crises in Greece and Italy, and increasing euroscepticism in many countries, following the Brexit referendum that called for Britain to leave the European Union. Recognition of these crises comes at a significant time. On March 25, 27 EU countries (Britain, the 28th, is not invited) will be meeting in Rome to discuss the future of Europe on the 60th anniversary of the 1957 Treaty of Rome that contained the core principles that led to the creation of the European Union. When the Treaty of Rome was signed, Europe had been devastated by two world wars, and everybody was fearful that there could be another world war at any time. Finally, it was agreed by the war survivors that Europe had to form a union like the United States to prevent another war. That was the motivation behind the 1957 Treaty of Rome. Today, many in Europe's older generations fear that Europe is headed for new war like WW I and WW II, while younger generations, who have lived in peace their whole lives, think that anyone who worries about war must be an alarmist. European Commission president Jean-Claude Jüncker on Wednesday published a "White Paper On The Future Of Europe," which describes the problems facing Europe and suggests five different paths. Jüncker summarizes the problems as follows: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Europe’s challenges show no sign of abating. Our > economy is recovering from the global financial crisis but this is > still not felt evenly enough. Parts of our neighborhood are > destabilized, resulting in the largest refugee crisis since the > Second World War. Terrorist attacks have struck at the heart of > our cities. New global powers are emerging as old ones face new > realities. And last year, one of our Member States voted to leave > the Union."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Jüncker's approach is to present alternatives for the future of Europe:
The white paper will be discussed at the Rome meeting on March 25, and the European Commission will published a series of discussion papers throughout the year. European Commission - The Future of Europe and RTE (Ireland) and Bloomberg **** **** European nations split on the future of Europe **** Many member nations are disenchanted with the EU, and it's feared that if one more nation follows Britain out of the EU, then others may follow rapidly.
The foreign ministers of France and Germany supported Jüncker's white paper options, and particularly supported the "multi-speed Europe" option, described in the white paper as follows: > [indent]<QUOTE>"In a scenario where the EU27 proceeds as today but > where certain Member States want to do more in common, one or > several “coalitions of the willing” emerge to work together in > specific policy areas. These may cover policies such as defense, > internal security, taxation or social matters. > > As a result, new groups of Member States agree on specific legal > and budgetary arrangements to deepen their cooperation in chosen > domains. As was done for the Schengen area or the euro, this can > build on the shared EU27 framework and requires a clarification of > rights and responsibilities. The status of other Member States is > preserved, and they retain the possibility to join those doing > more over time."<END QUOTE>[/indent] However, politicians in other countries disagreed. Far-right Dutch politician Vicky Maeijer reacted harshly to the white paper: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The EU is collapsing and support for the project is > crumbling. It seems we’re trying to keep the Brussels dream alive > but its really more of the same – more, more, more European Union. > What world do they come from? You’re playing with the lives of > millions of citizens who you do not represent. > > The Dutch, I think, are going to have their feeling confirmed that > they must get away from this suffocating Europe and get freedom > and democracy back."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Gianni Pittella, and Italian politician who leads the Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats in the European Parliament, said that the white paper was a "clear political mistake": "We would consider it a clear political mistake to simply present five options concerning the EU’s future without pointing out a clear political preference. [The future of Europe can’t be sacrificed for] short sightedness or fear of the next national elections." But Spanish politician Esteban González Pons said that the EU must be preserved: > [indent]<QUOTE>"It is time to defend Europe because it is the best > vaccine against nationalists and populists. ... > > Nobody should forget that the Union is already our present, and > now we have to decide which way we want to go in the future in > order to deal with common challenges such as globalization, the > generational gap, terrorism, climate change, the migration and > refugee crisis, and the rise of nationalism and > populism."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Daily Express (London) and Politico and Xinhua Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, European Union, Greece, Treaty of Rome, European Commission, Jean-Claude Jüncker, Brexit, France, Marine Le Pen, National Front Party, Hungary, Viktor Orbán, Netherlands, Vicky Maeijer, Italy, Gianni Pittella, Spain, Esteban González Pons Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe |