Generational Dynamics World View - Printable Version +- Generational Theory Forum: The Fourth Turning Forum: A message board discussing generations and the Strauss Howe generational theory (http://generational-theory.com/forum) +-- Forum: Fourth Turning Forums (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-1.html) +--- Forum: Theories Of History (http://generational-theory.com/forum/forum-7.html) +--- Thread: Generational Dynamics World View (/thread-51.html) Pages:
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30-Apr-17 World View -- European Union lays out demands for Britain over Brexit negot - John J. Xenakis - 04-29-2017 *** 30-Apr-17 World View -- European Union lays out demands for Britain over Brexit negotiations This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** European Union lays out demands for Britain over Brexit negotiations **** EU Commission President Jean-Claude Jüncker (left) and EU Council President Donald Tusk in Brussels on Saturday (Getty) The leaders of the EU-27, the 27 member nations of the European Union not including Britain, laid out their negotiating demands for the United Kingdom at a meeting in Brussels on Saturday. The UK passed the Brexit referendum, calling for Britain to leave the European Union, on June 23 of last year. On March 29 of this year, Britain's prime minister Theresa May invoked Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, making the Brexit process irreversible, and triggering a two-year period of negotiations before the exit is final. Theresa May has called for new elections on June 8, and so serious negotiations are expected to begin at that time. Britain would like to immediately start negotiating a trade deal, but the EU leaders on Saturday said that trade could not be discussed at all until the terms of the "divorce" had been resolved. In particular, the EU-27 is demanding that three questions be resolved first:
The purpose of Saturday's meeting in Brussels was to get approval from the 27 remaining countries of the EU on the negotiation guidelines. EU officials bragged that the negotiation guidelines were approved unanimously within four minutes. The president of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Jüncker, warned Britain that many British politicians were vastly overestimating the benefits that they'll gain from Brexit, and vastly underestimating the difficulties that they'll have in the Brexit negotiations: > [indent]<QUOTE>"We have already prepared a text that could be adopted > immediately if our British friends would be willing to sign it, > but that probably won’t happen. I have the impression sometimes > that our British friends, not all of them, do underestimate the > technical difficulties we have to face. ... Privately everything > went well but we have a problem, the British want to leave the EU > and it's not feasible that it can be done just like that. > > The single question of citizens' rights is in fact a cortège of 25 > questions that have to be solved. > > I would like to state very clearly that we need real guarantees > for our people who live, work and study in the UK and the same > goes for the Brits. The commission has prepared a full list of the > rights and benefits that we want to guarantee for those affected > by Brexit. To achieve sufficient progress we need a serious > British response."<END QUOTE>[/indent] As an aside, I chuckled at Jüncker's use of the word "cortège." Jüncker was undoubtedly referring to some (unpublished) list of 25 questions, but the word "cortège" is a French word usually used in the context of a funeral procession, which perhaps Jüncker was afraid was happening. According to the guidelines, negotiations on trade and other issues cannot begin until the three issues listed above have been resolved. BBC and Daily Mail (London) and EU Negotiation Guidelines Related Articles
**** **** Sharp disagreements ahead over the 60 billion euro Brexit 'divorce settlement' **** Britain's prime minister Theresa May rejected some of the hardline demands that were put forth at Saturday's meeting in Brussels. She said that she was sticking to her own demands outlined in a speech earlier this year which included tariff-free trade, ending the jurisdiction of European courts and stopping free movement of migrants. According to May, "What matters sitting around that table is a strong Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, with a strong mandate from the people of the United Kingdom which will strengthen our negotiating hand to ensure we get that possible deal." One of the most difficult demands will be the Brexit "divorce settlement," the demand that Britain commit to pay 50-60 billion euros to the EU to cover EU spending up until 2020 when the current budget runs out. According to the negotiating guidelines: > [indent]<QUOTE>"10. A single financial settlement should ensure that > the Union and the United Kingdom both respect the obligations > undertaken before the date of withdrawal. The settlement should > cover all legal and budgetary commitments as well as liabilities, > including contingent liabilities."<END QUOTE>[/indent] The settlement includes such things as pension payments to British nationals working for EU employers, and spending commitments for contributions to EU projects and social programs, based on past agreements. It also includes guarantees on loans such as the bailout of Ireland, and spending on infrastructure and structural funds agreed to but still to be financed. An additional demand is that all amounts must be paid in euros. This is a particularly painful demand, because the British pound currency has lost almost 10% in value since the Brexit referendum passed last year. Telegraph (London) and Daily Mail (London) and Politico (EU) **** **** Corrections to yesterday's article on Macedonia **** Early versions of yesterday's article on Macedonia contained several errors. They've been corrected in the final version. I apologize for the errors. KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Britain, European Union, Brexit, Jean-Claude Jüncker, Donald Tusk, Theresa May Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Warren Dew - 04-30-2017 Shouldn't take more than 4 minutes for May to get those issues out of the way. - No rights for EU citizens - No payments to the EU after Brexit - UK to enforce its choice of border rules at the Irish border Then if the EU wants to do something different, they can start offering trade concessions. The UK can impose these unilaterally, so the EU can't do much about them unless they are willing to use military force. Are they ready to do that? 1-May-17 World View -- France's Eurosceptic Marine Le Pen starts to backtrack on euro - John J. Xenakis - 04-30-2017 *** 1-May-17 World View -- France's Eurosceptic Marine Le Pen starts to backtrack on euro policy This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** France's presidential election in doubt because of abstainers **** A youth kicks a teargas canister in Paris on Thursday during a protest against both Le Pen and Macron (AFP) In the upcoming decisive May 7 final round in France's election of a new president, Emmanuel Macron, the centrist 39-year-old former investment banker, is expected to beat 48-year-old far-right candidate Marine Le Pen by about 20 points, based on current polling. Mainstream media observers are hoping for an even bigger Le Pen defeat, which would be a repeat of the 2002 election. When Marine Le Pen's father, 73 year old Jean-Marie Le Pen, then leader of the Front National, received 17% of the vote in first round of France's presidential election on April 21, 2002, he knocked the former socialist prime minister, Lionel Jospin, out of the second-round runoff. This was such a shock to the French public, that all other parties and candidates rallied against Le Pen in what was called the "Republican front," and gave the conservative candidate Jacques Chirac a massive victory with 82% of the vote. In other words, Le Pen didn't get any additional votes in the second round than he did in the first. Now Marine Le Pen has won 21.3% of the votes in the first round of France's presidential election on April 23, 2017, knocking out the Republican, François Fillon, the Socialist, Benoît Hamon, and the far-left candidate, Jean-Luc Mélenchon. This sets up a two-way race between Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron, the 39-year-old centrist who won 24% of the vote of the vote in the first round. The question is: will another "Republican front" emerge in 2017, as it did in 2002? Will all other parties, candidates and voters unanimously rally against Le Pen, in favor of Macron? We already know that's not going to happen. First, Mélenchon is refusing to endorse either Le Pen or Macron. He announced to his supporters: > [indent]<QUOTE>"You don't need me to tell you who to vote. I'm not a > guru, not a guide."<END QUOTE>[/indent] After Marine Le Pen responded by saying that she would go after Mélenchon's voters, Mélenchon's spokesman Alexis Corbière said, "Not one vote should go to the National Front," implying that Mélenchon really does support Macron. According to a poll, Mélenchon's voters would break 40% for Macron and 19% for Le Pen -- and 41% would abstain. And that's the second major issue: the abstainers. Many college students are opposed to both Le Pen and Macron, and some are violently opposed, as shown on Thursday by several hundred school students who threw glasses and smoke bombs at police during a "Neither Marine, nor Macron" demonstration in Paris. One 18-year-old girl told RFI: > [indent]<QUOTE>"I don’t want to choose between liberalism and > fascism. Don’t need someone who worked for the bank, with his > program he’s going to put France in the sh-t, but fascism isn’t > the solution either. I don’t want to choose between two > diseases."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Macron left investment banking and launched his political career as economy minister in the Socialist government of the current president, François Hollande. Macron quit Hollande's government in August of last year, and built up his own political following. Both Macron and Le Pen have family issues. In 2007, Macron pursued and married a woman 25 years older, the now 64 year old Brigitte Trogneux, a mother of three who left her husband for Macron. Le Pen is twice-divorced mother of three. What effects all this will have on the election results is anyone's guess. As in the case of Donald Trump, the mainstream media are opposed to Le Pen to the point of incoherence, so it's impossible to figure out what's going on from media reports. AFP and Deutsche Welle and RFI **** **** France's Eurosceptic Marine Le Pen starts to backtrack on euro policy **** Marine Le Pen has campaigned against immigration, Islam, globalism, NATO, the European Union, and the euro currency. She has advocated "Frexit," by which she means that France should leave the eurozone and return to the French franc currency, and possibly leave the European Union altogether, just like Britain and Brexit. Many people fear that if she wins, then the entire European project will be in jeopardy. However, there are two signs that those fears are overblown. The first sign is that the European Union nations appear to have come together in greater unity as a result of the coming negotiations for Britain's leaving the European Union, as we described yesterday. The second reason is that Le Pen herself appears to be backtracking on her position on the euro. This would be similar to what's happened with Donald Trump, who backed off some of his extreme positions while the election campaign was still on, and has backed off further since becoming president. Le Pen's stated policy platforms in the past have included: > [indent]<QUOTE>"To support French companies in the face of unfair > international competition through the implementation of > intelligent protectionism and the restoration of a national > currency adapted to our economy, the vehicle of our > competitiveness. ... > > Monetary and budgetary sovereignty, because there is no free-state > without a currency, and then economic sovereignty, to be able to > implement economic patriotism. ... > > The euro is the currency of the bankers, not the people who have > seen the decline of its purchasing power and mass > unemployment."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Le Pen is now facing up to the reality that leaving the euro currency is one of the least popular of her policies, as most of her voter base is more concerned about immigration and Islam. So last week, in an interview, she said: > [indent]<QUOTE>"This means converting the single currency into a > common euro, a currency that will not affect daily purchases, but > only large companies that trade internationally."<END QUOTE>[/indent] She's also loosened her timetable. In past she promised a "Frexit" referendum within six months of taking office, but now she's saying: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The transition from the single currency to the > European common currency is not a pre-requisite of all economic > policy, the timetable will adapt to the immediate priorities and > challenges facing the French government. > > Everything will be done to ensure an orderly transition ...and the > coordinated construction of the right for each country to control > its own currency and its central bank."<END QUOTE>[/indent] So she's no longer talking about a referendum, and she's no longer talking about leaving the euro currency. As far as I can make out, she wants to have TWO euro currencies, one for international trade, and one for daily purposes. This is totally delusional, and appears to me to be to be a sign of desperation. Euro News and Reuters and Bloomberg Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, France, Marine Le Pen, Emmanuel Macron, Jean-Marie Le Pen, Front National, Jacques Chirac, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Brexit, Frexit Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 05-01-2017 Death to the Human Rights Tyranny. Death to the globalist tyranny. 2-May-17 World View -- Japan's largest warship, the JS Izumo, will escort and defend - John J. Xenakis - 05-01-2017 *** 2-May-17 World View -- Japan's largest warship, the JS Izumo, will escort and defend a US supply ship This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Japan's largest warship, the JS Izumo, will escort and defend a US supply ship **** A helicopter lands on the decks of the JS Izumo (Reuters) Japan's largest naval destroyer, the JS Izumo, has left port on a mission to escort and defend a US supply ship that will refuel the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier strike group, which has been traveling to the region in response to threats from North Korea. Something like this would have been unimaginable two years ago, for several reasons. First, it would have been thought unnecessary. Second, it would have been thought to be too provocative to China. And third, it's a dramatic departure Japan's pacifist constitution, adopted after World War II. Today, all three of these reasons have changed dramatically, in this generational Crisis era.. First, it's thought to be necessary because North Korea has been making specific threats to target American ships, and has been testing missiles and nuclear weapons in support of that threat. Second, both China and North Korea have become increasingly warlike and belligerent, and both have been making implied or explicit military threats. In the last two years, China has had a huge military buildup in the South China Sea, in proven violation of international law, and has been annexing regions in the South China Sea that have been owned or used by other countries for centuries. And the third change is an outcome of the previous two. As I've been writing for years, in this generational Crisis era, it seems that almost every nation on earth has become increasingly nationalistic and xenophobic, whether in America, Europe, the Mideast or Asia. The mutual xenophobia between China and Japan has been simmering for a long time, but because of the increased war buildup of both China and North Korea, the mood of Japan's population has become far more nationalistic than before, allowing the prime minister Shinzo Abe to bring about a modification to Japan's pacifist constitution. The Diplomat and BBC Related Articles
**** **** Japan moves from 'self-defense' to 'collective self-defense' **** Japan's prime minister Shinzo Abe has long been advocating the removal of the self-defense clause of Japan's constitution that forbids any military action except to defend against a military attack on Japanese soil. However, the votes necessary to pass a constitutional amendment have never been available. But he was able to get Japan's Diet (parliament) to pass an ordinary law that reinterprets the phrase "self-defense" to mean "collective self-defense." This is a doctrine that permits any country to legally pursue foreign military action anywhere in the world in order to defend its allies. There's already been one test of the new "collective self-defense" policy. In November of last year, Japan deployed 350 SDF (Self-Defense Forces) troops to South Sudan to act as peacekeeping forces. There were SDF forces in South Sudan in the past, but they were restricted to non-combat roles such as rebuilding roads and refugee camps. The November deployment permitted them to engage in combat if they're attacked, or if other nations' peacekeepers are attacked. Since then, no actual combat has been reported. That was the first time since the end of World War II that Japan's military was permitted to engage in combat for any reason outside of Japanese soil, and even that minor deployment was extremely controversial in Japan. The deployment of the JS Izumo to escort and defend a US supply ship is a big leap forward in use of Japan's new collective self-defense doctrine, and will further increase the nationalism in Japan, North Korea and China. Japan Times Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Japan, JS Izumo, North Korea, USS Carl Vinson, South China Sea, Shinzo Abe, collective self-defense Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe 3-May-17 World View -- US military moves to protect Syrian Kurds from Turkey's milita - John J. Xenakis - 05-02-2017 *** 3-May-17 World View -- US military moves to protect Syrian Kurds from Turkey's military This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Kurdish forces in Syria take Tabqa city en route to Raqqa **** Boy sits on a tank turret amidst the destruction of Syria's war (AFP) There are three different sets of forces operating in Syria: The Syrian regime + Russia, Turkey + the Free Syrian Army (FSA) comprised mainly of ethnic Syrian Turkmens, and the US-led coalition + the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) comprised mostly of Kurds from the People's Protection Units (YPG). Today, these three forces are united by their common enemy, the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh). On Tuesday, the US-backed SDF said that it had recaptured 90% of the city of Tabqa from ISIS. Tabqa is 45 km west of Raqqa, which is the ISIS stronghold, and the main objective of the current operations to defeat ISIS. ISIS captured Raqqa in January 2014. The victory is significant because it further establishes the Kurdish YPG as the most effective fighting force in the region against ISIS. Al Jazeera **** **** US military moves to protect Syrian Kurds from Turkey's military **** As we reported last week, Turkey's warplanes in Syria struck Kurdish militias known as the People's Protection Units, or YPG, who are allies of the US-led coalition fighting ISIS. The YPG said that Turkey's airstrikes, which took place on Tuesday of last week, killed 20 of its fighters and wounded 18 others, and caused extensive damage to YPG headquarters and nearby civilian property. The US military considers the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), comprised mostly of YPG Kurds, to be the most effective fighting force in the region against ISIS, but the YPG has links to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which has conducted numerous bloody terror attacks in Turkey, and an on-and-off civil war for decades. As a result, the US considers the YPG to be an ally, while Turkey considers them to be an enemy. To protect the Kurds from the Turks, US troops in armored vehicles on Friday started patrolling Kurdish areas in Syria as a kind of "buffer" between the Kurds and Turkey. Video from the area shows vehicles with US and Kurdish flags together. A statement from the US military says: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Coalition forces are conducting joint patrols along > the northeastern Syria-Turkey border to assess reports from both > the SDF and Turkey regarding skirmishes and cross-border fires > between their respective security forces. > > The patrols’ purpose is to discourage escalation and violence > between two of our most trusted (counter-ISIS) partners and > reinforce the U.S. commitment to both Turkey and the SDF in their > fight against ISIS. > > We ask both of our partners to focus their efforts on ISIS. ISIS > poses the greatest threat to peace and stability in the region, > and indeed the entire world."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Turkey's president Tayyip Recep Erdogan says that he'll meet with President Trump on May 16th, and he'll say that US support for the YPG Kurds must end, and that the Turkish attacks on YPG Kurds will continue: > [indent]<QUOTE>"This needs to end. Otherwise we will have to take the > matter into our own hands. It is better for them to live in fear > than us being worried [about terror attacks from the > PKK]."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Erdogan said that Turkey needs to "drain the swamp," and that Turkey's military will solve the (PKK) terrorism problem by itself if the US refuses to do so. As I've said in the past, the factions fighting in Syria today -- the US, the Syrian regime, Russia, the Kurds, the Turks, and the "moderate" regime opposition -- all these factions are united today because they're all fighting the common enemy, ISIS. But once ISIS is defeated in Raqqa, ISIS's headquarters, then all bets are off. AP and Anadolu (Turkey) and Daily Sabah (Turkey) Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Turkey, Free Syrian Army, FSA, Turkmens, Syrian Democratic Forces, SDF, Kurds, People's Protection Units, YPG, Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh, Tabqa, Raqqa, Kurdistan Workers' Party, PKK, Tayyip Recep Erdogan Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe 4-May-17 World View -- Channeling Sisyphus, Trump and Abbas say Mideast peace not as - John J. Xenakis - 05-03-2017 *** 4-May-17 World View -- Channeling Sisyphus, Trump and Abbas say Mideast peace not as hard as it looks This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Donald Trump and Mahmoud Abbas commit to work for historic Mideast peace deal **** Mahmoud Abbas and Donald Trump shake hands at the White House on Wednesday (Getty) Meeting in the White House on Wednesday, president Donald Trump met with Palestinian Authority president Mahmoud Abbas, and agreed to work together to reach a historic peace deal between Israelis and Palestinians. In the briefing that followed the meeting, Trump recalled that Abbas had participated in the development of the Oslo Peace Accords in 1994: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Almost 24 years ago, it was on these grounds that > President Abbas stood with a courageous peacemaker, then-Israeli > Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin. Here at the White House, President > Abbas signed a Declaration of Principles -- very important -- > which laid the foundation for peace between the Israelis and > Palestinians. > > The President -- Mr. President, you [Abbas] signed your name to > the first Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement. You remember that > well, right? And I want to support you in being the Palestinian > leader who signs his name to the final and most important peace > agreement that brings safety, stability, and prosperity to both > peoples and to the region."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Trump didn't mention what a disastrous failure the Oslo peace accords have been. Another thing that Trump neglected to mention was that year later, in 1995, Yitzhak Rabin was assassinated by an Israeli nationalist who opposed the Oslo peace accords. Trump's statement concluded: > [indent]<QUOTE>"I welcome President Abbas here today as a > demonstration of ... that very special partnership that we all > need to make it all work. And I look forward to welcoming him > back as a great marker of progress and, ultimately, toward the > signing of a document with the Israelis and with Israel toward > peace. We want to create peace between Israel and the > Palestinians. We will get it done. We will be working so hard to > get it done. It's been a long time, but we will be working > diligently. And I think there's a very, very good chance, and I > think you feel the same way."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Abbas then responded with his own statement: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Mr. President, we believe that we are capable and > able to bring about success to our efforts because, Mr. President, > you have the determination and you have the desire to see it > become to fruition and to become successful. And we, > Mr. President, inshallah, God willing, we are coming into a new > opportunity, a new horizon that would enable us to bring about > peace in that regard. ... > > Mr. President, it’s about time for Israel to end its occupation of > our people and of our land after 50 years. We are the only > remaining people in the world that still live under occupation. > We are aspiring and want to achieve our freedom, our dignity, and > our right to self-determination. And we also want for Israel to > recognize the Palestinian state just as the Palestinian people > recognize the state of Israel. > > Mr. President, I affirm to you that we are raising our youth, our > children, our grandchildren on a culture of peace. And we are > endeavoring to bring about security, freedom and peace for our > children to live like the other children in the world, along with > the Israeli children in peace, freedom and security. > > Mr. President, I bring with me today the message of the suffering > of my people, as well as their aspiration and hope -- the hopes > and aspirations of the Palestinian people from the Holy Land, from > that land where the three monotheist religions thrived, and the > Jewish faith, the Christian faith and the Muslim faith, where they > all coexist together to foster it in an environment of security, > peace and stability, and love for all."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Abbas said that "we are raising our youth, our children, our grandchildren on a culture of peace," but the Palestinian president, born in 1935, neglected to mention that polls indicate that two-thirds of the Palestinian people want him to resign, and consider him irrelevant and unable to do anything to help the Palestinians. It's the young people today who will not tolerate a peace settlement of any kind. Many young Israelis consider it to be an almost Messianic mission to build settlements in the West Bank and to defend them with their lives. And the young Palestinians have been given the ironic name "Oslo Generation," because they've grown up since the 1994 Oslo agreement and have seen nothing come out of it, and so have no respect for Abbas and other Palestinian leaders. So even if Trump and Abbas and Israeli president Benjamin Netanyahu did hammer out some kind of agreement, it would be worthless, because the young Israelis and young Palestinians would not honor it. NBC News and WAFA (Palestine) and White House Related Articles
**** **** Donald Trump and Mahmoud Abbas try again, channeling Sisyphus **** One of the most well-known characters in Greek Mythology was Sisyphus. In his life he double-crossed Zeus, the king of the gods, as well as the gods of the underworld. For his deceit and trickery, he was condemned to eternal punishment. He would forever roll a massive boulder up to the top of a steep hill, but whenever he neared the top, the rock would roll down to the bottom, and he'd have to start over again. So anyway, former president Jimmy Carter once said in Jerusalem that one of the deep regrets of his presidency was that he had not been able to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. There were numerous repeated attempts at Mideast peace by Bill Clinton, George Bush and Barack Obama. I posted my very first Generational Dynamics analysis on May 1, 2003, when president George Bush published his "Mideast Roadmap to Peace," which described the details of a two-state solution. I wrote that Generational Dynamics predicts that the plan would fail because the Jews and the Arabs would be refighting the 1948 war that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel. Here's what I wrote: > [indent]<QUOTE>"We are now in the early stages of replaying the > extremely violent, bloody wars between the Jews and the > Palestinians that took place between them from 1936 to 1949. So > far the war has been little more than a series of skirmishes, as > it was in the late 1930s. The full-fledged violent, bloody war is > awaiting a generational change. > > There's an incredible irony going on in the Mideast today, in that > the leaders of two opposing sides are, respectively, Ariel Sharon > and Yassir Arafat. > > These two men hate each other, but they're the ones cooperating > with each other (consciously or not) to prevent a major Mideast > conflagration. Both of them remember the wars of the 1940s, and > neither of them wants to see anything like that happen again. And > it won't happen again, as long as both of these men are in charge. > > The disappearance of these two men will be part of an overall > generational change in the Mideast that will lead to a major > conflagration within a few years. It's possible that the > disappearance of Arafat alone will trigger a war, just as the > election of Lincoln ignited the American Civil War. (It's > currently American policy to get rid of Arafat. My response is > this: Be careful what you wish for.)"<END QUOTE>[/indent] Since that time, Yassir Arafat died, and was replaced by Mahmoud Abbas, who was also a survivor of the 1948 war and remembered its horrors. Since 2006, there have been five wars involving Israel and Palestinians: the war between Israelis and Hezbollah, fought largely on Lebanon's soil in 2006; the war between Palestinian factions Hamas and Fatah in Gaza in 2008, that led to Hamas control of Gaza; Operation Cast Lead, the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza early in 2009; the two wars between Israel and Hamas in Gaza in November, 2012 and July-August 2014. In addition, the "Arab Spring" began in 2011, resulting in wars in Libya, Yemen and Syria, and unrest in Egypt and Lebanon. Furthermore, tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia have surged as a result of the genocidal acts of Syria's Shia/Alawite president Bashar al-Assad directed at Sunnis. Each day we move closer to a war that will engulf the whole region, between Arabs and Jews, between Sunnis and Shias, and between various ethnic groups such as Kurds versus Turks. With wars occurring today across the entire Mideast, can anyone serious believe today that some piece of paper signed by Abbas, Trump and Netanyahu would actually bring about a new Mideast where Israelis and Palestinians are living together side by side in peace? If there is, I'd like to give him a good deal on selling him the Brooklyn Bridge. Jerusalem Post Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Israel, Benjamin Netayahu, Sisyphus, Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas, Oslo peace accords, Yitzhak Rabin, Jimmy Carter, Yassir Arafat, Arab Spring Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe 5-May-17 World View -- Italy prepares for possible Mediterranean refugee crisis - John J. Xenakis - 05-04-2017 *** 5-May-17 World View -- Italy prepares for possible Mediterranean refugee crisis this summer This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Italy prepares for possible Mediterranean refugee crisis this summer **** Migrants packed into an overcrowded dinghy by human traffickers (EPA) The European Union is working on an emergency plan in case a "serious crisis" develops this summer, which would be the situation is 200,000 or more refugees cross the Mediterranean from Libya to Italy. In 2016, a record 181,000 migrants crossed from North Africa to Italy via the Mediterranean Sea. From January 1 to April 23 of this year, 36,851 migrants were recorded as crossing -- a 45% increase over the same period last year. Even more concerning is the fact that summer hasn't even arrived, and when it does, a huge surge of migrants is expected. The concerns are that total for the year may be close to 300,000. According to the Dublin Agreement that defines the principles of the European Union, member states are expected to show "solidarity" in managing the refugee problem, so that the entire burden doesn't fall on Italy. However, there's little agreement on what the term "solidarity" means. The current requirements are that refugees should be distributed to all 28 member states. The target last year for relocation was 160,000 asylum seekers, but because several member states object to having any asylum seekers at all relocated to their countries, only about 15,000 people have been distributed so far in the last two years. One proposed solution is that cash will be used to encourage countries to meet their quotas. The proposal is that each country will be paid €60,000 for every asylum seeker they take in above their assigned quota, and those not meeting their quotas would be charged the same amount. On Thursday, the European Commission issued a press release proposing "a sustainable and fair Common European Asylum System." According to Dimitris Avramopoulos, the EU Commissioner for Migration and Home Affairs: > [indent]<QUOTE>"If the current refugee crisis has shown one thing, it > is that the status quo of our Common European Asylum System is not > an option. The time has come for a reformed and more equitable > system, based on common rules and a fairer sharing of > responsibility. With the proposed reform of the Dublin system, > [and the creation of a] true European Agency for Asylum, today we > are taking a major step in the right direction and putting in > place the European-level structures and tools necessary for a > future-proof comprehensive system. We will now put all our efforts > into working side-by-side with the European Parliament and Member > States. We must turn these proposals into reality as swiftly as > possible."<END QUOTE>[/indent] If the history of the past two years shows anything, it's that no current proposal has any chance of working. If move than 200,000 migrants from Libya reach the shores of Italy this year, it truly will be a crisis. Der Spiegel and EU Observer (27-Mar) and European Commission and Malta Today **** **** Europeans blame China and 'the freeway effect' for the migrant crisis **** Decades ago, when America was first building a national highway system, people talked about "the freeway effect." If some particular auto route was always jammed with heavy traffic, then a limited access superhighway (also called a "freeway") would be built to replace it. However, with the availability of the new freeway, a lot more people would start driving, and so pretty soon the traffic would be just as bad as ever. That was "the freeway effect." The same kind of thing is happening in the Mediterranean. After some well-publicized drowning of hundreds of migrants in capsized boats, the European Union has made enormous efforts rescue migrants who might otherwise drown. Furthermore, the EU's Frontex organization has been joined by dozens of NGOs (non-governmental organizations) that are also rescuing migrants crossing the Mediterranean. As greater efforts have been made, more migrants have been encouraged to risk making the trip, contributing to the worsening of the migrant crisis, and creating a "taxi service to Europe." A scandal is brewing over the NGOs. Carmelo Zuccaro, an Italian prosecutor is claiming to have evidence that some of the NGOs are colluding with the human traffickers who send the migrants out on flimsy boats to be rescued, with the suggestion that some of the NGOs are encouraging the increase in migrant traffic in order to receive more funding. The human traffickers have become increasingly unscrupulous in taking advantage of the massive rescue efforts. For example, they've been packing up to 170 people onto inflatable rubber dinghies that can only safely transport 15 people. The engines have only enough fuel to make it out of Libyan waters, and the smugglers have been relying on the rescue efforts by Frontex and the NGOs to save the migrants from drowning. However, over 1,000 migrants have already lost their lives this year alone in the Mediterranean. Some EU officials are blaming China for the problem. In a story about migrants early last year, I reported that human traffickers were importing massive numbers of rubber dinghies manufactured in China, transshipped through Malta. Dimitris Avramopoulos, the EU Commissioner for Migration and Home Affairs, whom we quoted earlier, is visiting China this week, and made this statement: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The rubber boats used by the smuggler networks in the > Mediterranean are fabricated somewhere in China, they are exported > to the countries in Asia and they are used by them. So I > requested the support and cooperation from the Chinese authorities > in order to track down this business and dismantle it, because > what they produce is not serving the common good of the > country. It is a very dangerous tool in the hands of ruthless > smugglers."<END QUOTE>[/indent] There's no word on whether the Chinese government is going to help out Europe by shutting down its rubber dinghy business. Reuters and New Arab (23-Apr) and Reuters Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, European Union, Italy, Libya, North Africa, Dublin Agreement, Dimitris Avramopoulos, Carmelo Zuccaro, China Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: 5-May-17 World View -- Italy prepares for possible Mediterranean refugee crisis - Ragnarök_62 - 05-04-2017 Quote:This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com John, this is so stupid. Here's what sane folks would do. 1. Go ahead and pluck the rape-u-gees up and drop them off at the nearest port, which would be someplace in Libya. 2. NGO's - I suspect Soros here. I'd do what Russia did and outlaw Soros. He's evil, you know. I also know he has some really nice mansions around. If he cares so fucking much about rape-u-gees, let them go settle in George Soro's estates! Soros is just plain evil. He needs to have his assets stripped. I'm sure some sort of terrorist link can be established , say with the Black Bloccers. 3. I support Trump when it comes to rape-u-gees. Just circle them to Libya. Problem will be solved. I just hate globalist idiots like Soros. May Poland, Hungary fuck him over. He needs his assets to be stripped. 4. The EU just needs to just go away. I hope La Pen wins in France. I mean anything, anything to destroy the EU is worthy at this point. Quote:In 2016, a record 181,000 migrants crossed from North Africa to Italy Oh yeah. Send 'em all back to Libya. That will send a message , loud and clear that Europe does not want a bunch of moochers to arrive. Muslims will never, ever integrate into a proper European society. Quote:According to the Dublin Agreement that defines the principles of the ... Like I said, just send 'em back to Libya. Problem solved, OK? Quote:One proposed solution is that cash will be used to encourage countries The EU has just shown itself as a bunch of fucking idiots. Send 'em back to N. Africa for god's sake. Quote:On Thursday, the European Commission issued a press release proposing How about rescinding asylum? Quote:> [indent]<QUOTE>"If the current refugee crisis has shown one thing, it Bingo. Just ship 'em back. That's a rational solution. I don't want this trash in the US, that's for sure. I hope Europe will elect smart folks like La Pen. Actually,... I want the EU to crash and burn. I hate Drunker and Merkel. I also hate the Davos crowd. John, why can't we just get a nice avalanche when those Davos fuckwits get together? I want those 1%'ers to suffer a lot. Quote: 6-May-17 World View -- Kashmir violence surges as India launches massive house-to-hou - John J. Xenakis - 05-05-2017 *** 6-May-17 World View -- Kashmir violence surges as India launches massive house-to-house sweep This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Kashmir violence surges as India launches massive house-to-house sweep **** Rock-throwing youths clash with police in Kashmir (Hindustan Times) The conflict between Indian security forces and Kashmiris took another leap higher this week as a force of 3,000 men from security forces began a massive counter-militant operation, the largest seen in decades. Soldiers, paramilitary troopers and policemen started cordon operations and house-to-house searches in 20 villages in and around the restive Shopian district in southern Kashmir, beginning on Thursday. The operation follows a terrorist attack in Shopian on Tuesday, when militants attacked a police station and took off with five service rifles. On Wednesday, there were two armed bank robberies in the region, where militants took off with thousands of dollars. After the counter-militant operation began on Thursday, clashes erupted between Kashmiri youth pelting stones at security forces. According to one senior police officer, "It is impossible to capture the militants, but we hope there will be contact [exchange of fire] with them in the course of the day." Clashes between Kashmiris and security forces increased significantly after July 8 of last year, when Burhan Wani, the leader of the Kashmir separatist group Hizbul Mujahideen, was killed by Indian police fire. Security forces responded harshly to the violence by using pellet guns, with the result that 1,000 people lost their vision in one eye and five were blinded. Thousands of Kashmiri youths were arrested. The big surge in violence finally subsided in November, and Indian officials decided that their harsh reprisals had been successful in subduing the violence. However, it now appears that what was subduing the violence was the cold weather, and now that the weather is warming again, the violence is increasing significantly. As I've written several times, from the point of view of Generational Dynamics, Kashmir is replaying previous generations of violence according to a fairly standard template. India's previous two generational crisis wars were India's 1857 Rebellion, which pitted Hindu nationalists against British colonists, and the 1947 Partition War, one of the bloodiest wars of the 20th century, pitting Hindus versus Muslims, following the partitioning of the Indian subcontinent into India and Pakistan. Now, as the survivors of the 1947 Partition War have almost all died off, leaving behind younger generations with no fear of repeating past disasters, Kashmir is repeating the violence of 1857 and 1947. As the weather has warmed in the last few weeks, the violence has been increasing. Generational Dynamics predicts that Kashmir is returning to full-scale war, re-fighting the extremely bloody partition war of 1947. Exactly when this full-scale war will occur cannot be predicted, but there are still several long, hot months of summer this year, and there is no hope that the clashes will subside until, perhaps, when winter arrives again. Many people are comparing the current Kashmir violence with temporary violence that occurred in the 1990s. But there are significant differences between today's violence and the 1990s violence. In the 1990s, there were still plenty of survivors of the bloody 1947 partition war, and these people would have held their children back, saying that it's better to suffer a little discrimination than to get killed. Today, in a generational Crisis era, young people seem to have no fear of being killed. This represents a significant change of mood. Even more alarming, for the first time, young girls are joining the boys in throwing stones. This change in mood is a significant difference from the 1990s. Another difference is that today, local Kashmiri militants are collaborating with militants from Pakistan terror groups, including Hizbul Mujahideen and Lashkar-e-Toiba. The foreign terrorist supply weapons and get advance information about topography, routes, movement of Indian troops. This makes the separatist militants far more dangerous than they were 20 years ago. BBC and Hindustan Times and Geo TV (Pakistan) Related Articles
**** **** Narendra Modi's 'demonetization' program results in more Kashmir bank robberies **** As we described above, India's massive counter-militant operation began just after militant attacks on a police stations and two armed bank robberies. During the past seven months, there have been 13 incidents of bank robbery, with militants looting hundreds of thousands of dollars. The number of bank robberies has gone up started increasing dramatically in November of last year, and many analysts relate the increase to the 'demonetization' program announced by India's prime minister Narendra Modi at that time. The policy declared high value 500-1000 rupee notes to be worthless, with the stated objective of reducing corruption. However, the policy was something of a disaster, since many people had no valid cash to purchase necessities like food. Shortly after the 'demonetization' policy went into effect, India's defense minister Manohar Parrikar bragged that the demonetization program has substantially reduced the amount of violence in Kashmir, by reducing incidents of stone-pelting. According to Parrikar: > [indent]<QUOTE>"Earlier, there were rates: Rs 500 for stone pelting > [on security forces in Kashmir] and Rs 1,000 for doing something > else. PM has brought terror funding to zero. In the last few days > after PM's daring move there hasn't been stone pelting on security > forces. I congratulate PM for it."<END QUOTE>[/indent] It's believed that separatist activists were paying stone-pelters in counterfeit notes that had been printed in Pakistan. By making all 500-1000 rupee notes worthless, the counterfeit notes also became worthless. Parrikar is correct that the number of stone-throwing incidents fell at that time but, as we stated above, the reduction in violence was actually caused by the cold winter weather, and now that the weather is warming again, stone-throwing incidents are recurring. However, another outcome of the demonetization program seems more certain, following the "Law of Unintended Consequences." With the counterfeit 500-1000 Rs notes worthless, militants needed to get cash from another source, and that other source has apparently turned out to be bank robbery. India Today and Rising Kashmir and Kashmir Reader Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, India, Kashmir, Shopian, Pakistan, Hizbul Mujahideen, Burhan Wani, Lashkar-e-Toiba, Narendra Modi, demonetization, Manohar Parrikar Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe 7-May-17 World View -- European officials worry that Macedonia's chaos could destabil - John J. Xenakis - 05-06-2017 *** 7-May-17 World View -- European officials worry that Macedonia's chaos could destabilize the Balkans This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** European officials worry that Macedonia's chaos could destabilize the Balkans **** Protesters in front of parliament in Skopje, Macedonia, on Tuesday (Reuters) Two weeks ago, thousands of ethnic nationalist Macedonians surrounded Macedonia's parliament building in the capital city Skopje, and then stormed the building, as we reported at the time. More than 100 people were injured, including protestors, policemen and lawmakers. The protests have been continuing, although there's been no further violence, but there are concerns of more violence when a political deadline passes in ten days. The protests were triggered when an ethnic Albanian, Talat Xhaferi, was elected Speaker of the Parliament. Xhaferi was also a leader of the Albanian anti-government rebellion in a brief Albanian-Macedonian non-crisis civil war in 2001, raising new fears about a renewal of the civil war. Macedonia's politics became chaotic after December 11 of last year, when an election was held giving the two major parties, the SDSM (Social Democrats), led by Zoran Zaev, and the VMRO-DPMNE, led by Nikola Gruevski, an almost equal number of seats in the parliament. The SDSM party broke the deadlock by forming a coalition with several Albanian parties, thus giving themselves a parliamentary majority, controlling at least 67 of the 120 seats in parliament. However, the VMRO party under Prime Minister Gruevski have been governing the country for more than a decade, and were reluctant to give up power. The situation was further complicated by the fact that if Gruevski loses power, then he's liable to go to jail over accusations of mass-wiretapping of opposition politicians. Two years ago, a wiretapping scandal revealed that the government had tapped the phones of over 26,000 people, including politicians, journalists, and civil society activists. Since December the government has been in chaos, since the pro-Macedonian president, Gjorge Ivanov, refused to recognize the SDSM government, and allow Zaev to become prime minister. He claimed that doing so would "Albanianize" Macedonia by allowing wider official use of the Albanian language, which was a demand of the Albanian parties in return for joining the SDSM coalition. So two weeks ago, the SDSM and Albanian coalition in the parliament selected ethnic Albanian Talat Xhaferi as speaker of the parliament. This selection infuriated Ivanov and the nationalist Macedonian supporters of the VMRO party, triggering the bloody riots. The protests have been continuing since then, with thousands of VMRO supporters turning out in Skopje on Tuesday, although there has been no more violence. On Thursday, Xhaferi sent a letter to Ivanov, noting that a "parliament majority has been established" and that he expects the president to act according to the constitution, and give control of the government to the SDSM, and allow Zoran Zaev to become prime minister, putting an end to more than a decade in power for the VMRO. Ivanov nas not yet confirmed that he received the letter. He has ten days to respond to the letter. No matter what action or inaction he takes on that day, there may be more violence. Balkan Insight and European Council On Foreign Relations and BBC Related Articles **** **** Macedonia comments reveal acrimonious divisions in the Western Balkans **** The article on Macedonia that I wrote two weeks ago was cross-posted as usual on the Breitbart National Security site, and received dozens of the most acrimonious and vitriolic comments that any of my articles have ever received. These comments came from all sides -- especially the Macedonians, the Greeks, the Albanians and the Bulgarians. Greek commenters were particularly infuriated by my brief history of Alexander the Great, referring to him as "the most famous leader in Macedonia's history." Here's a brief summary of the comments by Greek readers:
Macedonians reject all of this:
There's an interesting question here: How long do two population groups have to be separated before they can be called separate ethnic groups? It may (or may not) be true that Macedonians were Bulgarians in the Middle Ages, but that was many centuries ago. Having been apart from the Bulgarians for centuries, today they're recognized as a distinct Macedonian ethnic group by almost every nation outside of Greece, and they're recognized by the United Nations and European Union as Macedonians. As for Alexander the Great, today's Macedonians and Greeks each claim him as their own. This is an issue that will probably never be settled peacefully. A number of Albanian commenters criticized my use of the phrase "Greater Albania," a movement to enlarge Albania by including ethnic Albanian populations from neighboring countries, including Macedonia and Kosovo. Some claimed that no such movement exists, although that claim appears not to be true, as can be determined by googling the words "Greater Albania." However, other comments gave a more nuanced explanation, that the phrase "Greater Albania" was invented by the Serbs and the Russians to cover up a movement for a "Greater Serbia." One commenter said, "We Albanian Muslims live in peace with Christian Albanians. It's only the Serbs and Macedonians who we cannot live in peace with us due to historical territorial claims." There is some truth to the claim of meddling by the Russians. The Russian government is backing the VMRO and Nikola Gruevski, and Russia's foreign ministry issued a statement in March: > [indent]<QUOTE>"With active cooperation of the EU and NATO officials, > an 'Albanian platform' created in Tirana [Albania's capital city], > in the office of the (Albanian) prime minister, is being imposed > on Macedonians."<END QUOTE>[/indent] My article on Macedonia is turning out to be one of the most acrimoniously contentious that I've ever written, with extreme ideologues on both sides posting vitriolic comments. My conclusion from this situation is that history is repeating itself in the sense that the Balkans region is one of the most explosive regions in the world. The Albanians and Turks are mostly Muslim. The Macedonians, Bulgarians, Serbs, Greeks and Russians are all mostly Orthodox Christian. The Muslim and Orthodox Christian civilizations have had repeated massive wars for centuries, centered in the Balkans, Crimea, and the Caucasus. And as I've been saying for years, Generational Dynamics predicts that there's going to be another massive civilizational war between Muslims and Orthodox Christians. The conflict between ethnic Macedonians and ethnic Albanians, with outside "meddling" from Russia, Serbia, Greece, Albania, and the EU, is a microcosm of this coming massive civilizational war, which is why this is an important story. And there have been reports of increasing use of social media in the Balkans to promote neo-Nazism and white supremacy. There has been speculation by me and others about where WW III would start -- South China Sea, Kashmir, Mideast, etc. But now I would have to say that the Balkans is moving close to the top of the list. EurActiv and Reuters (2-Mar) and Balkan Insight Related Articles [*] Macedonia declares state of emergency along border with Greece (22-Aug-2015) [*] A train station in Macedonia becomes the new European migrant choke point (19-Aug-2015) [*] 22 die in Macedonian police gun battles with Albanian militants (11-May-2015) KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Macedonia, Albania, Greece, Talat Xhaferi, Social Democrats, SDSM, Zoran Zaev, VMRO-DPMNE, Nikola Gruevski, Gjorge Ivanov, Bulgaria, The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, FYROM, Alexander the Great, Russia, Turkey, Serbia, Greater Albania, Greater Serbia Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe 8-May-17 World View -- Ancient tensions flare between China and North Korea - John J. Xenakis - 05-07-2017 *** 8-May-17 World View -- Ancient tensions flare between China and North Korea This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Ancient tensions flare between China and North Korea **** North Korea's child dictator Kim Jong-un (KCNA/AFP) As two ancient civilizations and neighbors, China and Korea have had many disagreements over the centuries, and tensions and wars have been the norm. However, during the last century, they've been united by their common enmity to Japan before World War II, and to the United States after World War II. Now as both countries go deeper into a generational Crisis era, like most countries today, they're both becoming increasingly nationalistic and xenophobic. They both frequently continue to express their hatred of Japan and the United States, but increasingly this nationalism is causing them to turn on each other. China has numerous concerns about North Korea, including these:
Tensions between the two countries have been growing almost continually since 2006, when DPRK (North Korea, the "Democratic People's Republic of Korea") conducted its first nuclear bomb test. At that time, Chinese state media said that "China resolutely opposes DPRK's nuclear test," and quoted China's Foreign Ministry as saying: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The DPRK ignored universal opposition of the > international community and flagrantly conducted the nuclear test > on Oct. 9. The Chinese government is resolutely opposed to > it."<END QUOTE>[/indent] China's Foreign Minister Li Zhaoxing talked over telephone with U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, and they agreed that North Korea's nuclear tests must be firmly opposed. The United Nations Security Council held an emergency session to opposed the DPRK nuclear test. Since then, countries around the world have strongly and vehemently opposed North Korea's nuclear program. This has included China, which has applied economic sanctions to North Korea, most recently restricting coal imports from North Korea. North Korea's leaders say that they fear an invasion by the United States, and they're known to believe that the only protection they have against such an invasion is the development of nuclear weapons. They believe that the West would not have invaded either Libya or Iraq if these countries hadn't given up their nuclear weapons development. On Wednesday, North Korean state media KCNA published a scathing attack on China: > [indent]<QUOTE>"A string of absurd and reckless remarks are now heard > from big neighboring countries, perhaps frightened at the > U.S. blackmail and war racket, every day only to render the acute > situation of the Korean peninsula more strained. > > The People's Daily and the Global Times, widely known as media > speaking for the official stand of the Chinese party and > government, have recently carried commentaries asserting that the > DPRK's access to nukes poses a threat to the national interests of > China. They shifted the blame for the deteriorated relations > between the DPRK and China onto the DPRK and raised lame excuses > for the base acts of dancing to the tune of the U.S. > > Those commentaries claimed that the DPRK poses a threat to "the > security in the northeastern region of China" by conducting > nuclear tests less than 100 km away from its border with > China. They even talked rubbish that the DPRK strains the > situation in Northeast Asia and "offers the U.S. excuses for > deploying more strategic assets" in the region. > > Not content with such paradox, the commentaries asserted that to > remain averse to the DPRK's access to nukes is to preserve > interests common to the U.S. and China, calling for slapping > harsher sanctions against the DPRK in order to avert a war which > would bring danger to China. ... > > This is just a wanton violation of the independent and legitimate > rights, dignity and supreme interests of the DPRK and, > furthermore, constitutes an undisguised threat to an honest-minded > neighboring country which has a long history and tradition of > friendship. ... > > Some theorists of China are spouting a load of nonsense that the > DPRK's access to nukes strains the situation in Northeast Asia and > offers the U.S. an excuse for beefing up its strategic assets in > the region. But the U.S. had activated its strategy for dominating > Asia-Pacific long before the DPRK had access to nukes, and its > primary target is just China. > > China should acknowledge in an honest manner that the DPRK has > just contributed to protecting peace and security of China, > foiling the U.S. scheme for aggression by waging a hard fight in > the frontline of the showdown with the U.S. for more than seven > decades, and thank the DPRK for it. ... > > One must clearly understand that the DPRK's line of access to > nukes for the existence and development of the country can neither > be changed nor shaken and that the DPRK will never beg for the > maintenance of friendship with China, risking its nuclear program > which is as precious as its own life, no matter how valuable the > friendship is. ... > > China had better ponder over the grave consequences to be entailed > by its reckless act of chopping down the pillar of the DPRK-China > relations."<END QUOTE>[/indent] China's state media responded directly: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The KCNA opinion piece contains no new substantive > information, except mentioning the names of China, People's Daily, > and Global Times and expressing a stronger disgruntling. It did > not mention China's support for the United Nations sanctions > against North Korea. Nor did it state Pyongyang's next step to > take. Overall, the editorial is nothing more than a > hyper-aggressive piece completely filled with nationalistic > passion. > > Pyongyang obviously is grappling with some form of irrational > logic over its nuclear program. ... > > Beijing needs to make China’s standing and position very clear to > Pyongyang, either on an official or grassroots level. It needs to > address with Pyongyang its concerns and bottom line. It should > also make Pyongyang aware that it will react in unprecedented > fashion if Pyongyang conducts another nuclear test. Beijing should > not hesitate in delivering this message, and there is certainly no > need to debate this issue back and forth with > Pyongyang."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Probably the most important sentence is: "[Beijing] should also make Pyongyang aware that it will react in unprecedented fashion if Pyongyang conducts another nuclear test." So we have the following situation:
The Diplomat and Xinhua (9-Oct-2006) and Rodong Sinmun (North Korea) and Global Times (Beijing) and Times of India Related Articles
**** **** China's relations deteriorate with both South and North Korea **** China's relations with North Korea have been deteriorating steadily with North Korea for over a decade, but China's relations with South Korea have crashed almost overnight. Just two years ago, there was a "brand new honeymoon" in relations between China and South Korea. President Park Geun-hye visited Beijing on September 3, 2015, during the commemoration of the 70th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War. Park was treated like visiting royalty, and even had a private lunch with China's president Xi Jinping. Then, in July 2016, Park announced her decision to deploy the THAAD (Terminal High Altitude Area Defense) system on South Korean soil. This was specifically a reaction to ballistic missile and nuclear threats from North Korea, but it infuriated China because THAAD's powerful radar could also give early warning to the United States of a pre-emptive missile attack by China on the United States. On February 28 of this year, news broke that the Lotte Group, a South Korean multinational conglomerate, had agreed to a land swap that would allow THAAD to be deployed on a piece of land previously owned by the company. This enraged the Chinese, who furiously started imposing economic sanctions on South Korea, particularly targeting Lotte Department Stores in China and South Korea with a boycott. So now China is imposing economic boycotts on both North and South Korea, for different but related reasons. There's another irony to the situation: Even though China has an economic boycott on South Korean products, China is increasing its imports of petroleum products from South Korea, with an increase of 2.6% over the previous year. The reason is because there's a supply shortage of energy products in China, exacerbated by the fact that China is no longer importing coal from North Korea. These issues are all very recent, but there are also deeply historical issues separating China and Korea. Since 2003, China has been developing a "Northeastern History Project" with the intention of proving that regions that have historically been recognized as belonging to Korea's history and culture, on China's northeastern border with Korea, are really all Chinese. In other words, just as China is confiscating regions historically belonging to Vietnam, Brunei and the Philippines in the South China Sea, China is also planning to confiscate regions historically belonging to Korea. So there may be ephemeral ups and downs in the relations between China and each of the two Koreas, but these two civilizations have been around for millennia, and the norm is very tense relations, usually leading to war. Deng Xiaoping, China's leader in the 1980s, said, "Observe calmly; secure our position; cope with affairs calmly; hide our capacities and bide our time; be good at maintaining a low profile; and never claim leadership." This has been China's strategy to implement the "China dream." As I've been describing for years, China has been using a "salami-slicing strategy" of using military force to annex one portion after another of regions of the South China Sea historically belonging to Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia, Taiwan and the Philippines. By doing so gradually, China's hopes to prevent any counter-action. At the same time, China has been vastly building up its military, on land, in space and on the sea, but then pretending that they're a tiny power compared to the United States. In this way, they follow Deng's advice, hoping to surprise the world with their military strength in the same way that Adolf Hitler surprised Britain. Unfortunately, China keeps getting bitten by mosquitoes that send it off-course. China was enormously humiliated by the dramatic 2016 ruling by the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) at The Hague declaring China's claims and activities in the South China Sea to be illegal. This hasn't stopped China, of course, but it's exposed to the world the danger in allowing China's salami-slicing strategy to continue. Another mosquito is North Korea, which has put China's entire foreign policy into a tailspin. Instead of being able to blame all the world's problems on the United States, while it continues its vast military buildup in obscurity, China has to cope with the fact that North Korea is more a danger to China than it is to the United States. Even worse, the North Korean situation is directly responsible for the THAAD deployment in South Korea, which could never have occurred otherwise. The fact is that China making enemies of one country after another. China has a few allies, such as Cambodia, Pakistan, Myanmar, and others, but China is surrounded by historic enemies, including Japan, Korea, Philippines, Vietnam, India, Russia, and many others. When China finally decides that it's time to declare war on the United States, they will not be fighting the United States alone. The Diplomat and Yonhap News (Seoul) and SinoNK (3-Mar-2012) and The Atlantic (15-Apr-2013) and Council on Foreign Relations Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, North Korea, South Korea, DPRK, Democratic People's Republic of Korea, KCNA, Li Zhaoxing, Condoleezza Rice, Libya, Iraq, Yalu River, Park Geun-hye, Xi Jinping, Northeastern History Project, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, THAAD, Lotte Group, War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War, Deng Xiaoping, Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia, Taiwan, Philippines, United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration, PCA Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 05-07-2017 John X, what a sorry figure you've been reduced to, basically repeating assertions originally made by the epoch times which like debkafile are both essentially an intelligence community equivalent of tabloids. Also regarding Chinese strategy China hasn't been hiding its strength, if anything they have tended to be brandishing their swords, not hiding them. North Korea will likely be invaded and disestablished soon to destroy their WMD and Missile programs, either by the US or China or Both. Boomer globalists in the US will fail in their efforts to force Trump to continue the Korean armistice and the Nuclear doctrine outlined in PDD-60 (which will likely be repealed soon). RE: Generational Dynamics World View - John J. Xenakis - 05-08-2017 (05-07-2017, 10:41 PM)Cynic Hero 86 Wrote: > John X, what a sorry figure you've been reduced to, basically You have no grasp of the ironies of history. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 05-08-2017 (05-08-2017, 07:25 AM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(05-07-2017, 10:41 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > John X, what a sorry figure you've been reduced to, basically You have yet to state credible arguments for the following points: 1.) That chinese strategic thinking is based on hiding their military capabilities. When in fact they have tended to brandish and proclaim their capabilities and advances in military tech. 2.) That either Debkafile or the Epoch Times are reliable sources of information regarding the world strategic scene. In fact those two sites along with worldnetdaily are generally regarded as the military-intelligence community equivalent of tabloid news. 3.) That a US invasion of North Korea to destroy their missile program either carried on our own (with south korea assisting) or in coordination with a Chinese invasion from the North; would be a bad thing for world peace. 4.) That Trump implementing his campaign promises regarding military/diplomatic/strategic policy including a likely repeal of PDD-60 (which states that the US would not launch a nuclear first strike and only counterattack after an enemy first strike); would be a bad thing for world peace. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Warren Dew - 05-08-2017 (05-08-2017, 08:02 AM)Cynic Hero Wrote: 3.) That a US invasion of North Korea to destroy their missile program either carried on our own (with south korea assisting) or in coordination with a Chinese invasion from the North; would be a bad thing for world peace. Out of curiosity, why would we need to invade? Air power alone can't win wars, but it can wreak destruction if what we need is less than a war. 9-May-17 World View -- Russia, Iran and Turkey announce farcical new Syria peace plan - John J. Xenakis - 05-08-2017 *** 9-May-17 World View -- Russia, Iran and Turkey announce farcical new Syria peace plan This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Russia, Iran and Turkey announce farcical new Syria peace plan **** Two girls walk past destroyed buildings in Douma, Syria, part of a planned 'safe zone' (AFP) Every few months, Russia or the United Nations announces a new peace plan to end the war in Syria. Each time, the mainstream media credulously reports that there's finally "hope" that the war will end. Each time, I always use the word "farcical" to describe the peace plan, because the plan never even makes sense. And each time, the plan falls apart within a few weeks. In January, just a mere four months ago, I described the peace plan being signed at that time as follows: > [indent]<QUOTE>"What's wrong with this picture: There's a civil war > in Syria between the Shia/Alawites versus the Sunnis. On Tuesday, > Russia, Iran and Turkey signed a peace agreement. > > The thing that's wrong with this picture is that nobody from Syria > signed the agreement. It was an agreement among outsiders, and > did not include any parties who are nominally the opponents in > Syria's civil war. > > The peace talks were held in Astana, the capital city of > Kazakhstan. Syrian civil war peace talks in the past were held in > Geneva, so having these talks in Astana gives that "this time it's > different" feeling to the meeting. ... > > However the main reason, according to analysts, that this time > it's different is that Russia is making it clear that it's willing > to enforce a peace in Syria, so that it will get the credit for > bringing about peace."<END QUOTE>[/indent] Exactly the same description applies to the peace agreement signed on Friday. The meetings were being held again in Astana, and the same three (non-Syrian) parties signed the agreement, while the parties that are fighting on the ground did not sign it. In this peace agreement, there will be four "safe zones" or "de-escalation areas." The safe zones will be surrounded by "security zones," which will be patrolled to ensure the peace. Here are some excerpts from the text of the agreement: > [indent]<QUOTE>"The Islamic Republic of Iran, the Russian Federation > and the Republic of Turkey as guarantors of the observance of the > ceasefire regime in the Syrian Arab Republic (hereinafter referred > to as “Guarantors”): ... have agreed on the following. > > 1.the following de-escalation areas shall be created with the aim > to put a prompt end to violence, improve the humanitarian > situation and create favorable conditions to advance political > settlement of the conflict in the Syrian Arab Republic: [listing > areas in Idlib, Homs, Ghouta, southern Syria]. ... > > The creation of the de-escalation areas and security zones is a > temporary measure, the duration of which will initially be 6 > months and will be automatically extended on the basis of > consensus of the Guarantors. > > 2.Within the lines of the de-escalation areas: > > —hostilities between the conflicting parties (the government of > the Syrian Arab Republic and the armed opposition groups that have > joined and will join the ceasefire regime) with the use of any > kinds of weapons, including aerial assets, shall be ceased; ... > > The functioning of the checkpoints and observation posts as well > as the administration of the security zones shall be ensured by > the forces of the Guarantors by consensus. Third parties might be > deployed, if necessary, by consensus of the > Guarantors. ...<END QUOTE>[/indent] As usual, this is laughable. The Syrian regime and the armed rebels have not signed on to this agreement, but hostilities between them "with the use of any kinds of weapons, including aerial assets, shall be ceased." You've got to be joking. In fact, as in the case of every other "peace agreement," there is no intention that the fighting stop. The Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad reserves the right to continue bombing any places that contain people they consider to be terrorists, and that includes schools, hospitals and marketplaces, using barrel bombs or any other kind of bomb. The opposition rebel groups have also reserved the right to fight the regime in case of what they view is any regime violation of the agreement. And of course the al-Qaeda linked al-Nusra Front, and so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh) are not included in the deal in any way. According to US Defense Secretary James Mattis: > [indent]<QUOTE>"It's all in process right now. Who is going to be > ensuring they're safe? Who is signing up for it? Who is > specifically to be kept out of them? All these details are to be > worked out, and we're engaged."<END QUOTE>[/indent] According to the text of the agreement, the maps of the four safe zones have not yet been drawn up, and won't be drawn up until June. Gulf News and The Hill and Arab News Related Articles
**** **** Syria refuses to permit foreign monitors **** The only significant difference between this and previous agreements is that this agreement specifies that military forces will be deployed to guarantee the security of the safe zones. The assumption is that these will be international forces, since none of the parties doing the fighting in Syria can be trusted. So on Monday, Syria's Foreign Minister Walid Muallem announced: > [indent]<QUOTE>"We do not accept a role for the United Nations or > international forces to monitor the agreement. ... > > If any violation takes place, the Syrian army will be prepared to > respond in a decisive manner."<END QUOTE>[/indent] So who's going to respond if the Syrian regime commits a violation? Once again, this is completely laughable. It's almost beyond belief how much destruction that Syria's president Bashar al-Assad has caused. He drops barrel bombs laden with metal, chlorine, ammonia, phosphorous and chemical weapons onto civilian neighborhoods, or using Sarin gas to kill large groups of people. He considers all Sunni Muslims to be cockroaches to be exterminated. Tens of thousands of young jihadists came to Syria from 86 countries around to world to fight al-Assad, creating ISIS. Al-Assad has driven millions of Syrians out of their homes, into Lebanon, Jordan, Turkey and Europe. So now we have this Russian proposal for four "safe zones" containing all the Sunni men, women and children that al-Assad has been trying to exterminate for the last six years. The Arab media is calling them "prisons" or "concentration camps," because all of these Sunni groups will be trapped in there, unable to leave. And who will be guarding these safe zones? The Syrian army, led by Bashar al-Assad, who would like to exterminate all their residents. As I've said many times, there is no hope of this war ending, as long as Bashar al-Assad is in power. AFP and Rudaw (Kurdistan) and SANA (Damascus) and Arab News Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Russia, Iran, Turkey, Kazakhstan, safe zones, de-escalation zones, security zones, Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh, Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Nusra Front, Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, JFS, Front for the Conquest of Syria, James Mattis, Walid Muallem, Bashar al-Assad Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe 10-May-17 World View -- Trump considers new troop surge and strategy change in Afghan - John J. Xenakis - 05-09-2017 *** 10-May-17 World View -- Trump considers new troop surge and strategy change in Afghanistan war This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
**** **** Trump considers new troop surge and strategy change in Afghanistan war **** American soldier at the Afghan border According to a number of reports, President Donald Trump is considering a plan to send an additional 3,000 to 5,000 American troops to Afghanistan for a new "troop surge." These would add to the 8,400 US troops already there, as well as 300 Nato troops. The reports indicate two changes in strategy. First, the troop levels would be heavily conditioned on the ability of Afghan President Ashraf Ghani to weed out ineffective military commanders and reduce corruption, Second, the troop surge would be combined with a new military strategy to threaten the Taliban with defeat so that they would return to the negotiating table. Both of these conditions are laughable. Afghanistan is entering a generational Awakening era and Ghani has less political control than ever over dissident forces. And the Taliban will never agree to a peace agreement. They may attend so-called peace talks, but only for the purpose of providing political cover for continuing the war, and for conducting further terrorist attacks, particularly against Shia Muslims. This is similar to Syria's president Bashar al-Assad who uses peace conferences and peace agreements as political cover to continue dropping barrel bombs with chemical weapons on innocent Sunni Muslim women and children. Military.com and Washington Post and Business Insider Related Articles
**** **** Generational analysis: Afghanistan war versus Iraq war **** I've written about this a number of times, starting in 2009, when President Obama was considering what strategy to use in Afghanistan. He eventually decided on a "surge" in Afghanistan leading to a troop strength of 100,000, but it was a complete farce, with repeated flip-flops on troop withdrawals, and laughable attempts at peace talks with the Taliban. President Bush's 2007 troop "surge" into Iraq was highly successful. Al-Qaeda in Iraq was driven out and the country was at peace, although many claim that the peace was squandered by President Obama's withdrawal two years later. So it's very tempting to try to repeat the Iraq troop surge in Afghanistan. In fact, Obama did try that, with complete failure, as I predicted in 2009. So now Trump is considering the same thing and the prediction that it will end in total failure is the same. To understand this, let's look at the difference between the Iraq and Afghan wars from the point of view of generational theory. Both countries are in generational Awakening eras, having had relative recent generational crisis wars -- the Iran/Iraq war of 1980-88, and the Afghanistan civil war of 1991-96. Both of these wars were horrendously bloody, ending in a genocidal climax that brought peace to the respective countries for a time. But the Iran/Iraq war was an external war, with an external enemy, Iran. In fact, in Iraq's last two crisis wars -- the Great Iraqi Revolution of 1920 and the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s, Sunni and Shia Iraqis banded together against the foreign enemy, the British in 1920 and the Iranians in the 1980s. They did not fight each other. Thus, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and al-Qaeda in Iraq were able to stir up sectarian violence for a while, but al-Zarqawi had to import fighters from Jordan and Saudi Arabia because the Iraqis refused to fight. Eventually the Iraqis themselves turned against al-Qaeda in Iraq, and threw them out. My 2007 analysis of the war in Iraq was the best analysis written by anyone at that time, and explained all this in detail. Even today, Iraq is fighting an external war. the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh) is a coalition of foreign jihadists from 86 countries around the world, most of whom came to Syria to fight Bashar al-Assad. Right now the Iraqi army (ironically with the help of the Iranians) is attacking the last of Iraq's ISIS fighters in Mosul. There have been some flare-ups of Iraqi Shias fighting Iraqi Sunnis, but that's not the main thing that's happening in Iraq. But none of that is true of the Afghan war. The 1991-1996 war was a civil war, fought between the Pashtuns in southern Afghanistan versus the Northern Alliance of Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks in northern Afghanistan. The Taliban are radicalized Pashtuns, and when they need to import foreign fighters, then can import their cousins from the Pashtun tribes in Pakistan -- which is in a generational Crisis era, and in which the Taliban are conducting regular terrorist acts. The fact that the Iraq war was an external war, while the Afghan war was a civil war means that the two wars have absolutely nothing in common. To apply the strategy of one of these wars to the other is disastrously wrong. Indeed, it's much worse than that. The Pashtuns still have scores to settle with the Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks that formed the Northern Alliance, especially the Shias. The Taliban may sit in on peace talks to gain political cover but they will never, under any circumstances, agree to a peace deal, no matter how large the American troop surge. To believe anything else is pure fantasy. US News and Vox and Politico Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Afghanistan, Ashraf Ghani, Pashtuns, Taliban, Afghan civil war, Northern Alliance, Tajiks, Hazaras, Uzbeks, Iraq, Iran/Iraq war, Great Iraqi Revolution, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, al-Qaeda in Iraq, Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh Permanent web link to this article Receive daily World View columns by e-mail Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal John J. Xenakis 100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A Cambridge, MA 02142 Phone: 617-864-0010 E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 05-10-2017 Xers and Millies and the American people in general, want their rights back. Boombers by imposing subordination of US interests in favor of UN/Globalist interests have imposed tyranny on the american people. The boomer objective of democratizing Russia And China is destabilizing to world peace because it imposes a direct challenge to both countries regime's legitimacy. Now the boomer insists that Putin and CCP do not have the right to rule their countries because they don't respect democracy, yet these same boomers insist that xers and millies should not have their legally entitled rights because boomers claim that xer rights "advances tyranny". In France boomers selfishly block voted to prevent 4T reforms that Le Pen would have implemented and that Xers and Millies support, instead their president is going to be some globalist banker. What a disgusting generation western boomers are. RE: Generational Dynamics World View - Cynic Hero '86 - 05-10-2017 (05-10-2017, 01:10 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:The Boombers have a peculiar ideology of democracy by globalism. By disarming and advance financial-based culture in conjunction with NGOs was supposed to lead to a wave of democratization. Actual Military buildups, even for defensive reasons, according to boomers are a bad thing because having such an infrastructure is somehow inherently anti-democratic. Even encouraging armed rebellion against an enemy regime was unacceptable unless the rebels accept a nonsensical boomer moral code. If a SCO plot does as exists like you and others believe, the boombers are the perfect patsies. The baby boomers, the dumbest people in human history now insists that they govern through the 4T so that western decision making is based on their pathetic "moral values" what idiots.(05-10-2017, 12:45 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: Xers and Millies and the American people in general, want their rights back. Boombers by imposing subordination of US interests in favor of UN/Globalist interests have imposed tyranny on the american people. The boomer objective of democratizing Russia And China is destabilizing to world peace because it imposes a direct challenge to both countries regime's legitimacy. Now the boomer insists that Putin and CCP do not have the right to rule their countries because they don't respect democracy, yet these same boomers insist that xers and millies should not have their legally entitled rights because boomers claim that xer rights "advances tyranny". In France boomers selfishly block voted to prevent 4T reforms that Le Pen would have implemented and that Xers and Millies support, instead their president is going to be some globalist banker. What a disgusting generation western boomers are. |