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Thread: 2020 Predictions
Post: RE: 2020 Predictions
| (03-16-2020, 03:49 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: One of the Lichtman keys, #5 (economy not in recession, stagflation, or hyperinflation) may be turning against Trump.
The DJIA closed nearly 3000 points down ... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
67 |
23,709 |
03-16-2020, 04:50 PM |
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Thread: 2020 Predictions
Post: RE: 2020 Predictions
| The Lichtman test is imperfect in that it relies partially on interpretation, but I would still call it a solid system, provided that metrics are used to determine a few of the more ambiguous keys. So... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
67 |
23,709 |
03-16-2020, 04:14 PM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| (03-02-2020, 01:53 PM)Marypoza Wrote: (03-01-2020, 08:08 PM)Marypoza Wrote: Well Buttcheat's gone *breathing huge sigh of relief*
-- not only is Amy Hoo? out but she has endorsed Groper Joe :@ :... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
03-02-2020, 03:08 PM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| (03-01-2020, 07:33 AM)Marypoza Wrote: (03-01-2020, 06:40 AM)Bob Butler 54 Wrote: (03-01-2020, 06:26 AM)Marypoza Wrote: More ppl need 2 drop out Bsides Steyer
This close to Super Tuesday, I doub... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
03-01-2020, 04:24 PM |
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Thread: I'm a member of the Homeland Generation (2005). Ask me anything.
Post: RE: I'm a member of the Homeland Generation (2005)...
| Hey there, welcome to the board! Nice to see another person that's sort of from my generation. I'm a "Millennial In Name Only" and relate to Gen Z and the Artist archetype in a lot of ways, since I'm ... |
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ResidentArtist |
Homeland Generation/New Adaptive Generation |
48 |
29,850 |
02-22-2020, 10:08 PM |
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Thread: Napoleonic Wars: 4T or 1T?
Post: RE: Napoleonic Wars: 4T or 1T?
| That's a great point about French society during that time. The end of the revolution being followed by allegiance to Napoleon as Emperor does mirror public moods amidst High turnings. The way the war... |
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ResidentArtist |
History Forum |
6 |
3,723 |
02-22-2020, 01:28 PM |
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Thread: Napoleonic Wars: 4T or 1T?
Post: Napoleonic Wars: 4T or 1T?
| The Fourth Turning theory has proven to be very consistent with how history has played out, with one major exception in my eyes. Beginning after the French Revolution, the Napoleonic Wars between 1803... |
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ResidentArtist |
History Forum |
6 |
3,723 |
02-20-2020, 04:31 PM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| The wait is over and the primaries officially begin tonight. Here we go!
Polling average in Iowa as of 2/3/20:
Sanders 24.2 (passes 15%)
Biden 20.2 (passes 15%)
Buttigieg 16.4 (passes 15%)
Warren 15.... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
02-03-2020, 11:12 AM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| There's one wild card in the mix there for the Republican candidates. If Kanye West (stay with me) decides to run in 2024 as he's said he would, that might also make some waves in that primary, provid... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
01-24-2020, 05:55 PM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| The ads that I get on the internet have been almost exclusively for Bloomberg, but it might be a bit different on television. From what I gather his advertising has been quite widespread. Anytime I se... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
01-19-2020, 09:11 PM |
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Thread: Who is more religious? The Silent Generation or the Boomer Generation?
Post: RE: Who is more religious? The Silent Generation o...
| (11-13-2019, 12:48 AM)taramarie Wrote: (11-13-2019, 12:29 AM)AspieMillennial Wrote: The early to mid Silent generation seems to be the most religious to me in a by the book liturgical sense and a ... |
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ResidentArtist |
Generations |
9 |
5,538 |
01-13-2020, 11:16 AM |
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Thread: "OK boomer" is conservative shaming?
Post: RE: "OK boomer" is conservative shaming?
| (01-11-2020, 03:04 PM)Ghost Wrote: (01-11-2020, 12:18 PM)sbarrera Wrote: (01-11-2020, 10:35 AM)David Horn Wrote: (01-09-2020, 03:15 PM)Warren Dew Wrote: "Ok boomer" simply acknowledges that th... |
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ResidentArtist |
Baby Boomers |
10 |
6,455 |
01-11-2020, 10:47 PM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| Marianne Williamson suspended her campaign yesterday. Never had much traction to begin with but she was an enjoyable presence in the debates. |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
01-11-2020, 10:33 PM |
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Thread: Presidential Archetypes
Post: RE: Presidential Archetypes
| I thought that "accomplisher" wasn't quite an accurate label, but that was just how I remembered it being written. Something like "The Crusader" might be more applicable, since both Bush and Kennedy/J... |
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ResidentArtist |
Theory Related Political Discussions |
10 |
6,551 |
12-27-2019, 10:53 AM |
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Thread: Presidential Archetypes
Post: RE: Presidential Archetypes
| No problem, I like the color scheme. At the heart of the realignment theory is a president's role in the process. There are recognizable differences between Trump and Hoover/Carter (especially so with... |
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ResidentArtist |
Theory Related Political Discussions |
10 |
6,551 |
12-21-2019, 01:13 AM |
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Thread: Presidential Archetypes
Post: Presidential Archetypes
| One interesting theory that I've come across while researching political realignments, which usually occur every 40 years or so and almost always during Awakening and Crisis turnings, is how well the ... |
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ResidentArtist |
Theory Related Political Discussions |
10 |
6,551 |
12-20-2019, 05:29 PM |
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Thread: U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey offers death-penalty bill for cop killers
Post: RE: U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey offers death-penalty bill...
| I personally think the death penalty carries too great of a risk of wrongful execution in any case. Imposing it on accused cop killers is just a drop in an overflowing bucket. |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
22 |
7,720 |
12-08-2019, 08:32 PM |
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Thread: Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Korea's 'Rocket Man'
Post: RE: Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Ko...
| What are the chances of this escalating? |
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ResidentArtist |
Beyond America |
4 |
3,312 |
12-04-2019, 08:47 PM |
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Thread: Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Korea's 'Rocket Man'
Post: RE: Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Ko...
| (12-04-2019, 07:42 AM)sbarrera Wrote: It thought Trump liked Kim Jong-Un? The U.S. and North Korea are "frenemies" now. It's so confusing when you're with Donald Trump!
Kim Jong-un is losing patien... |
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ResidentArtist |
Beyond America |
4 |
3,312 |
12-04-2019, 08:19 AM |
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Thread: Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Korea's 'Rocket Man'
Post: Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Korea'...
| Trump Revives Threat of Force Against North Korea's 'Rocket Man'
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...rocket-man |
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ResidentArtist |
Beyond America |
4 |
3,312 |
12-04-2019, 07:40 AM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| (12-02-2019, 11:24 PM)Eric the Green Wrote: Bullock drops out, the first candidate to leave the campaign with a positive horoscope score (10-7). A member of Generation X, he also faced a Saturn Retu... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
12-03-2019, 01:20 AM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| Based on how you explained them, here would be Trump's standing at this point in the campaign
1. Republicans not only lost seats, but the entire House was flipped. This is a clear Democratic point.
... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
12-01-2019, 12:33 AM |
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Thread: Election 2020
Post: RE: Election 2020
| Has anyone ever read The Keys to the White House by Allan Lichtman? It proposes a system of 13 keys, or qualifications, that can indicate whether or not the incumbent party will remain in the White Ho... |
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ResidentArtist |
General Political Discussion |
1,249 |
289,043 |
11-30-2019, 02:49 PM |
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Thread: When did the current 4T begin?
Post: RE: When did the current 4T begin?
| (11-29-2019, 06:38 PM)Tim Randal Walker Wrote: This time around for the United States, the best case scenario......
The Internal Cold War is resolved by ballot, leading to considerable decentraliza... |
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ResidentArtist |
Turnings |
57 |
23,285 |
11-30-2019, 03:36 AM |
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Thread: When did the current 4T begin?
Post: RE: When did the current 4T begin?
| (11-29-2019, 05:19 AM)Hintergrund Wrote: The answer to 9/11 was very 3T though: Overwhelming bureaucracy, re: Homeland.
Bureaucracies generally have less power during Unraveling eras outside of soc... |
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ResidentArtist |
Turnings |
57 |
23,285 |
11-30-2019, 03:28 AM |
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