08-05-2016, 01:12 AM
(This post was last modified: 08-05-2016, 01:23 AM by Eric the Green.)
And guess who has been making a lot of RIGHT predictions? 
as usual..........
I don't know if the current Trump meltdown and Hillary bounce will continue. They are both weak candidates, so the election could still be relatively close. However, I think it will look pretty much like 2012. Trump might make Ohio closer, and Florida is always close. PA has often trended strongly Democratic this year, as it's doing now, and so is NH. Trump is in danger of losing North Carolina, and maybe Arizona. I'd say the most likely result is that Trump squeezes through in AZ, but Clinton squeezes through in FL and NC, meaning that Hillary will do better than Obama in 2012 and get 347 electoral votes. It could be 346 if the Maine 2nd CD votes for Trump. I would predict that won't happen. Iowa is also close this year; I predict it will stay blue too.
as usual..........I don't know if the current Trump meltdown and Hillary bounce will continue. They are both weak candidates, so the election could still be relatively close. However, I think it will look pretty much like 2012. Trump might make Ohio closer, and Florida is always close. PA has often trended strongly Democratic this year, as it's doing now, and so is NH. Trump is in danger of losing North Carolina, and maybe Arizona. I'd say the most likely result is that Trump squeezes through in AZ, but Clinton squeezes through in FL and NC, meaning that Hillary will do better than Obama in 2012 and get 347 electoral votes. It could be 346 if the Maine 2nd CD votes for Trump. I would predict that won't happen. Iowa is also close this year; I predict it will stay blue too.