Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy

[David Horn]

(08-17-2016, 09:12 PM)playwrite Wrote:

(08-16-2016, 04:35 PM)David Horn Wrote: There's actually a possibility that Pat Toomey might get reelected, yet Hillary is only focusing on herself in PA.  And Toomey is only one of several solid targets she's ignoring.  She may pay a high price for that starting in January 2017.  If the Senate remains in GOP hands, they'll burn the place down before they lift a finger to help her in any way, then they will put the blame on her -- probably with a modicum of success.

This is silly.  The best thing that Clinton can do for Katie McGinty, Toomey's challenger, is to win PA and win it big.

Any pollster/analyst worth his salt will tell you a split ticket voter is a rarity if not a myth.

Here's some recent insight on this for House elections, specifically for a Virginia seat,  but the article points out that this is an element in all House seats.  It is even more true for Senate seats.  Check the links for some really good insights -

GOP Pollster: 2012 Data Predicts Dire Situation for House GOP like Comstock

Also, McGinty has recently pulled even, if not ahead, of Toomey in the most recent polling -

Another poll shows Katie McGinty overtaking Pat Toomey in Pa. Senate race

- and that has everything to do with Clinton beating the Dumpster.

Do you honestly believe that this race is in any way similar to any in recent memory?  The last thing I would assume is past-as-prologue in any generic sense.  Worse, the GOP has a model from the past that allowed them to focus on Article I races and ignore the big Article II contest they couldn't win then and can't win now: 1996.  In fact, there are any number of Presidential elections that coincide with Congressional elections won in whole or in part by the opposite party, so ticket splitting or null voting had to occur on a substantial scale.



I could easily see mainline GOPpers marching off the polls and ignoring the top-of-the-ticket race entirely.  In fact, a bit of fear of what is inevitable when Hillary wins may be an enormous motivator.  In any case, not making an argument for a united vote for all Democrats is simply foolish if not outright suicidal.  For Hillary to lose at this point is extremely unlikely.  She can afford to be generous and a bit self-effacing.