Neil Howe In The News

[David Horn]

(11-11-2020, 10:57 AM)TeacherinExile Wrote: Some recent insights into Neil Howe’s thinking about the Fourth Turning:

U.S. faces a potential ‘secession crisis’ at home and ‘open conflict’ with China in the coming decade, says author who predicted 2020 unrest


https://www.marketwatch.com/story/enormo...2020-11-03

And this interview on Hedgeye TV with Keith McCullough:

Howe & McCullough: "The Fourth Turning: Navigating The Crisis In America" - YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj5w7BimQJo

Howe drops a hint as to the focus of his next book: the globalizing alignment of his generational theory which, with the near-universal impact of COVID-19, will be interesting to see how he makes that case.  He best hurry up, though, on the publication of his presumably updated book because events may be unfolding faster than he can research and write it. I’m guessing that he’s aiming for a 25th anniversary edition of The Fourth Turning, which would put the publication date sometime in 2022.

Possible?  Yes!  Likely?  Not really.  Something akin to a division within the nation seems inevitable if the parties (the GOP more than the Dems) can't reign-in their fringe elements, but it will be a tension that doesn't get resolved until the Boomers are out of the way.  And I don't see China and the US going at it.  I don't think that we, as a nation, will ever regain our position as singularly necessary, but we will always be exceedingly important.  So too the Chinese.  What will hold us back, and the Chinese as well, is our chief strength: diversity.  The Han Chinese may be dominant in the same sense whites were dominant in the US, but not forever.  We're proving that right now.  But in the end, we'll be unable to fracture internally and unwilling to fight a nuclear war, so tensions will have to be addressed in other ways.

Just my opinion, which is all we get talking about the future.