03-27-2021, 09:53 PM
** 25-Mar-2021 World View: Predictions
Since thousands of people have believed something similar for
the last 2000 years, and they've all been proven wrong, you must
have some reason to believe that "This time it's different." Do you
have such a reason?
It's a good analogy because it provides a point of comparison. I guess
your point is that the Second Coming is entirely a matter of faith, with
no basis in reason or historical analogy. (Correct me if I'm wrong.)
As an analyst, I would say that if 2000 years of predictions have all
failed, then they're likely to fail for the next 2000 years, unless
there's some reason to conclude otherwise.
Not at all. When I set up my web site in 2003, my expressly stated
purpose is that I would post analyses and predictions, and leave them
there for all to see. If they had been proven wrong, then no
"religious devotion" would have helped. I would have dropped
Generational Dynamics like a hot potato, and would probably have gone
on to be a much happier person, with more friends. As things stand,
those analyses and predictions have always been right, so I'm stuck.
The prediction of a likely war with China is entirely analytical, for
reasons I've posted many times. Briefly:
So the evidence for the Generational Dynamics prediction of war is entirely
analytical, and has no "religious devotion" component at all.
I don't know what a "scientific materialist" is, but it sounds
interesting.
Have you read Tom Mazanec's short story on the Singularity?
** 'Maybe we'll get it right this time' by Tom Mazanec
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/w...090309.htm
Cool Breeze" Wrote:> It will happen some time, but I don't know when. If I had to
> guess, my guess would be in my lifetime, but not in the next 10
> years.
Since thousands of people have believed something similar for
the last 2000 years, and they've all been proven wrong, you must
have some reason to believe that "This time it's different." Do you
have such a reason?
Cool Breeze" Wrote:> I haven't written books and made predictions on the parousia, nor
> have I made a forum about it, nor have I guaranteed anything about
> it. So it's not really a great analogy, but I've played your game
> even so. The point of the parousia is not to predict, so in that
> sense, you are missing a great deal of the theology around it
> already.
It's a good analogy because it provides a point of comparison. I guess
your point is that the Second Coming is entirely a matter of faith, with
no basis in reason or historical analogy. (Correct me if I'm wrong.)
As an analyst, I would say that if 2000 years of predictions have all
failed, then they're likely to fail for the next 2000 years, unless
there's some reason to conclude otherwise.
Cool Breeze" Wrote:> Are you admitting that you have religious devotion to your ideas
> though? That could be a big breakthrough here, John. Very
> interesting where we have come.
Not at all. When I set up my web site in 2003, my expressly stated
purpose is that I would post analyses and predictions, and leave them
there for all to see. If they had been proven wrong, then no
"religious devotion" would have helped. I would have dropped
Generational Dynamics like a hot potato, and would probably have gone
on to be a much happier person, with more friends. As things stand,
those analyses and predictions have always been right, so I'm stuck.
The prediction of a likely war with China is entirely analytical, for
reasons I've posted many times. Briefly:
- Based on the cycles of history, Generational Dynamics predicts
a world war around this time.
- There were two world wars in the last century, and massive additional
wars on every continent. In fact, there have been massive wars on
every continent every century for millennia, so it's nearly certain that
there will be massive wars and one or two world wars this century.
- If there were a way to assign a numeric measure to xenophobia, then
that number would be going up in China towards Japan, Taiwan, the Phillipines,
Russia, India, Kazakhstan, etc. These numbers have been growing steadily,
with no sign of leveling off. Applying the rule that "If something can't
go on forever, then it won't," there has to be a war.
So the evidence for the Generational Dynamics prediction of war is entirely
analytical, and has no "religious devotion" component at all.
Cool Breeze" Wrote:> I read your Singularity article and it was interesting. I suspect
> you are a scientific materialist, which explains quite a bit.
I don't know what a "scientific materialist" is, but it sounds
interesting.
Have you read Tom Mazanec's short story on the Singularity?
** 'Maybe we'll get it right this time' by Tom Mazanec
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/w...090309.htm
