10-25-2016, 08:11 PM
(10-25-2016, 02:58 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: I don't see how those polls can be correct; they must be asking only long-time democrats. The administration as well as congress and the establishment in general have record low approval ratings that have persisted for the last couple of years. As for the supposed popularity of Obama's policies in his second term in particular Obamacare and his foreign policy, one can simply visit any political forum or comments thread on news articles such as yahoo or on foreign policy sites such as nationalinterest and the vast majority of the posters are overwhelmingly opposed to the current policies. Almost anytime Obamacare is mentioned the majority demand its repeal, the majority of the posters are particularly adamant against the current foreign policy and how it can lead to war with Russia or china or Both. Numerous posters openly point how Hillary supports radical free trade and globalism and support trumps moniker of "Crooked Hillary" the majority of posters state their support for trump and call for Hillary to be locked up. On Facebook and Twitter the majority of trumps statements in the debates received a large amount of likes, the majority of Hillary's received a large amount of frowns on the official debates threads.
These are mostly the same pollsters of 2012, and those pollsters generally got the election right. What matters is that they can establish which states will be close and which will not. They are using much the same methodology then as now, so if the polls are worng this year, then something fundamental has changed in the validity of polling.
Do you really want to deny the validity of the laws of statistics? Do you really believe that the polls are being fabricated in some basement in East Omaha, Nebraska?
I look at the polls, and I see polls largely confirming what I believe true -- that Donald Trump is an unusually-awful nominee for President, and that he is running an inept campaign.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.