Election 2020

[Ragnarök_62]

(11-12-2018, 09:12 PM)Eric the Green Wrote:

(11-06-2018, 11:02 PM)pbrower2a Wrote: <snip>

There will be relatively few gubernatorial races -- eleven.

The Presidential election will be all up to Donald Trump. Will he moderate? Will he compromise? I doubt it. We know his personality, and basic personalities  rarely change at his age except as the result of dementia. I have never seen dementia make any person more pleasant to be around.

The 2020 senate election will not feature a whole lot of Republicans who represent Democratic leaning states. So it will probably take some red states voting for a Democrat to get a decisive majority.

Quote:The Republicans regained the majority of the Senate in the 114th Congress, which started in January 2015; the Republicans had not controlled the Senate since January 2007. They had needed a net gain of at least six seats to obtain a majority. They held all of their seats, and gained nine Democratic-held seats. Republicans defeated five Democratic incumbents: Mark Begich of Alaska lost to Dan Sullivan, Mark Pryor of Arkansas lost to Tom Cotton, Mark Udall of Colorado lost to Cory Gardner, Mary Landrieu of Louisiana lost to Bill Cassidy and Kay Hagan of North Carolina lost to Thom Tillis.

The Republicans also picked up another 4 open seats in Iowa, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Sta...ions,_2014



Democrats must stop flirting with candidates who can't win the presidency. Only Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe and Sherrod Brown stand a good chance to beat Donald Trump, no matter how bad his presidency is. If one of those three is at the top of the ticket, the Democrats might pick up 5 senate seats (more if a miracle happens and conservative states vote for a Democrat again like they had before 2014). If Bernie or Biden are nominated, it's a crap shoot, but the odds favor Trump slightly. If any other candidate is nominated, the Democrats will lose, and probably won't pick up more than 1 or 2 senate seats. And Doug Jones will probably lose his seat too.

Why yes, I agree that Democrats need to stop that flirting. Yes, there could well be some losing  in the cards. The dawning has never arrived for her. I be she still thinks the Ruskies, Comey, and low information voters conspired to make her lose.   The light of early morning's dawn of "it's my fault" is no where to be seen in her Psyche .