11-12-2016, 02:57 PM
(This post was last modified: 11-12-2016, 02:57 PM by Eric the Green.)
(11-12-2016, 10:25 AM)Mikebert Wrote: The 4T cannot end until the problem of excess elites is solved. This problem is why people and angry and until it is resolved, they will just get angrier at whoever is in control--symbolized by which party has the presidency. It has been going steadily downhill. Bush inherited the surplus and a nation at peace. Trump will inherit a nation at war and a deficit. Trump is dealt a worse hand than Bush got. Like Bush, Trump has only Republican policy options to choose from because he has a Republican Congress. He can pass a lot of stuff, just like Bush could but it all has to come from the same basket of Republican 3T policies. Republicans often hold power in 3Ts and so they tend to have a collection of 3T policies. Republican experience with 4T success dates from the Civil War, but they were a Blue party, concentrated in the NE. Updated versions of these policies are not suitable for a Red party.
Bush could not get much of the Republican agenda passed, because the filibuster was still in effect and Democrats had cajones. Now the Republicans are much more ruthless and ambitious, and will probably abolish the filibuster. Democrats probably have no more cajones left, and may be powerless anyway. We are looking at total banana republic status within a few years.
Quote:Do you think Bush wanted the Afghan & Iraq wars to turn out like they did or the economy to crash? All of these probably could have been avoided if the right policies had been pursued. But these policies are not in the basket, so they cannot be used. Trump has the same basket as Bush, but starting out from a worse position. So no, the 4T is not going to end anytime soon.
No, it's not going to end soon, and the 1T may be just acceptance of the new banana republic USA, and conformity to it. I don't see any future for the USA under this scenario.