Compare this 4T to others

[Kinser79]

(05-07-2019, 09:39 AM)David Horn Wrote:

(05-06-2019, 04:00 PM)Kinser79 Wrote:

(05-02-2019, 06:41 AM)sbarrera Wrote: That's another good comparison in line with the 1850s redux. I'm learning that a 4T is really invariably some version of a civil conflict between factions. It's the factions that were formed throughout the saeculum as the culture was shaken up finally figuring out who is dominant. Hopefully more in the political sphere than in the military sphere. If there is war with a foreign power in the 4T it is a backdrop to what is happening within the society.

It has been likened by myself and others on the forum that the current 4T is a cold civil war.  In the US at any rate the current 4T looks like it will be an internal affair, one which we should be approaching the climax too soon whether one places the start in 2001, 2005/6 or 2008.

The question really should be does the cold civil war ever go hot or does it peters out and the 1T whimpers in in a very un-high like manner.

If it peters out, and issues like AGW and wealth inequality are just left there to rot, the final resolution will not be so quiet.  When that occurs is not hard to guess: much sooner than the next 4T.  We can't tolerate that much climate alteration before the lid blows off, and wealth inequality is already starting to generate hate of the rich.  Letting them run will only intensify those feelings.

Given that I expect the next saeculum to be what I call a Mega-Crisis I fully expect the current 4T to peter out.  It sets up an entire saeculum of going from one crisis, to an other until the whole currently modern order comes down in a bloody revolution.  Much like the French Revolution ended the Late Medieval order in 1789.

AGW is a non-issue really.  Climate change is real to be sure, but I think that the Sun has far more to do with it than burning coal.  Additional CO2 in the atmosphere is met with additional plants.  Indeed the Planet is greening in spite of the best efforts of the so-called environmentalists.

Wealth inequality is also a non-issue.  Wealth has never been equally distributed unless one's goal is to make everyone equally poor.  It is far easier to tear down those on the heights then it is to raise up the degraded.