03-10-2020, 06:51 PM
(03-10-2020, 04:34 PM)David Horn Wrote: A more analytical approach is one by Rachel Bitecofer who argues that elections are now hardwired, because there are no swing voters anymore. She, and her research team, used this model to predict the 2016 election and nailed the House and Senate races in 2018. Her prediction: if the Progressive vote comes to the polls, Trump will lose dramatically and the Senate may flip to the Ds.
I am more seat of the pants. I called Trump as having flipped the see saw years ago, and don't see the revelation of the deep state during the impeachment or the Coronavirus policy changing that. Thus, I agree with Rachel on the basics.
However, I see the middle of the roaders trying to keep either group of extremists from implementing the worst of their respective policies as being key swing voters. All during the unraveling and crisis it is they who have kept things going back and forth. The extremists are very unlikely to change their closed minds. On that, I disagree with Rachel.
That this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom, and that government of the people, by the people, for the people shall not perish from the earth.