09-16-2019, 08:49 PM
A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that health care is a key issue for the majority
(69%) of voters in 2020 battleground states (AZ, FL, PA, MI, WI & TX) and that President
Trump’s health care record is a major liability for him with voters, including independents
and even Republicans.
● President Trump’s lawsuit, which began in a Texas court, to strike down the
Affordable Care Act is unpopular with battleground voters, including Texans, by a
21-point margin. The majority of voters (55%) oppose the lawsuit’s goal of striking
down the Affordable Care Act, while only 34% think it should be struck down.
● By a 19-point margin, voters think that President Trump and the Department of
Justice should drop their support for the lawsuit (54-35). This includes a majority
of independents (52%), and even 30% of Republicans.
Beyond the implications of the Texas lawsuit for President Trump, battleground voters are
overwhelmingly opposed to other elements of his agenda as well:
● An overwhelming majority (84%) support ending the ban on Medicare negotiating
with drug companies to get lower prices for prescription drugs, which Republicans
in the Senate Finance Committee recently voted against. This is an issue voters
agree on across party lines, with 82% of Republicans, 86% of independents, and
85% of Democrats in support of ending the ban.
● A large majority of battleground voters (70%) also oppose a proposal from the
Trump administration which allows health insurance companies to sell junk health
insurance plans that don’t cover prescription drug costs or protect people with pre-
existing conditions. A majority of Republicans (58%), independents (62%), and
Democrats (86%) oppose this proposal.
● Protecting Medicare is important to voters, with a majority (57%) saying that they
would not consider voting for a candidate for President who proposed a new budget
including $845-billion in cuts to Medicare, including majorities of Democrats
(67%), independents (52%) and a plurality of Republicans (49%). Only 20% say
they would consider voting for such a candidate.
● A clear majority of voters (68%) say that twenty million people completely losing
their health insurance coverage as a result of the ACA being struck down is a major
concern, including a majority of independents (65%) and a plurality of Republicans
(48%).
The bottom line: President Trump’s actions on health care are extremely unpopular with
voters in key November 2020 battleground states, including independents and
Republicans. Indeed, if framed around the issue of health care, voters say they would even
vote for Attila the Hun over President Trump (45-41), if Attila the Hun would maintain
and improve the health care law including protections for people with pre-existing
conditions.
PPP surveyed 733 battleground state voters in Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan,
Wisconsin and Texas from September 4-5, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.6%. The
survey was conducted by telephone on behalf of Protect Our Care.
https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-conten...0-Memo.pdf
Trump approval in these states: 46% approve, 52% disapprove.
vote for Trump: 46%
vote against 51%
If it is fairly even across these states, then Trump loses them all. If Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin overwhelmingly reject Trump and the rest don't, then Donald Trump is doomed to defeat for those states alone.
Note that Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, and Ohio are not mentioned in this poll.
(69%) of voters in 2020 battleground states (AZ, FL, PA, MI, WI & TX) and that President
Trump’s health care record is a major liability for him with voters, including independents
and even Republicans.
● President Trump’s lawsuit, which began in a Texas court, to strike down the
Affordable Care Act is unpopular with battleground voters, including Texans, by a
21-point margin. The majority of voters (55%) oppose the lawsuit’s goal of striking
down the Affordable Care Act, while only 34% think it should be struck down.
● By a 19-point margin, voters think that President Trump and the Department of
Justice should drop their support for the lawsuit (54-35). This includes a majority
of independents (52%), and even 30% of Republicans.
Beyond the implications of the Texas lawsuit for President Trump, battleground voters are
overwhelmingly opposed to other elements of his agenda as well:
● An overwhelming majority (84%) support ending the ban on Medicare negotiating
with drug companies to get lower prices for prescription drugs, which Republicans
in the Senate Finance Committee recently voted against. This is an issue voters
agree on across party lines, with 82% of Republicans, 86% of independents, and
85% of Democrats in support of ending the ban.
● A large majority of battleground voters (70%) also oppose a proposal from the
Trump administration which allows health insurance companies to sell junk health
insurance plans that don’t cover prescription drug costs or protect people with pre-
existing conditions. A majority of Republicans (58%), independents (62%), and
Democrats (86%) oppose this proposal.
● Protecting Medicare is important to voters, with a majority (57%) saying that they
would not consider voting for a candidate for President who proposed a new budget
including $845-billion in cuts to Medicare, including majorities of Democrats
(67%), independents (52%) and a plurality of Republicans (49%). Only 20% say
they would consider voting for such a candidate.
● A clear majority of voters (68%) say that twenty million people completely losing
their health insurance coverage as a result of the ACA being struck down is a major
concern, including a majority of independents (65%) and a plurality of Republicans
(48%).
The bottom line: President Trump’s actions on health care are extremely unpopular with
voters in key November 2020 battleground states, including independents and
Republicans. Indeed, if framed around the issue of health care, voters say they would even
vote for Attila the Hun over President Trump (45-41), if Attila the Hun would maintain
and improve the health care law including protections for people with pre-existing
conditions.
PPP surveyed 733 battleground state voters in Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan,
Wisconsin and Texas from September 4-5, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.6%. The
survey was conducted by telephone on behalf of Protect Our Care.
https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-conten...0-Memo.pdf
Trump approval in these states: 46% approve, 52% disapprove.
vote for Trump: 46%
vote against 51%
If it is fairly even across these states, then Trump loses them all. If Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin overwhelmingly reject Trump and the rest don't, then Donald Trump is doomed to defeat for those states alone.
Note that Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, and Ohio are not mentioned in this poll.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.