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Let's make fun of Trump, bash him, etc. while we can!
(12-11-2016, 11:14 AM)The Wonkette Wrote:
(12-10-2016, 04:49 AM)Eric the Green Wrote: Lichtman among others like Michael Moore and Rob Reiner are predicting Trump will be impeached. I wouldn't think so, since the Republicans wouldn't care about such things as the law. And after impeachment, the Senate must convict him in order to be removed from office. But Lichtman points out that in their hearts of hearts, they prefer the straight down-the-line, predictable conservative Mike Pence. And many Republicans, though they supported Trump, criticized and even defected from him during the campaign. So maybe it will happen.

I was a big adherent to Lichtman's 13 keys but I now have my doubts.  His keys were supposed to predict the [b]popular[b]vote, which is how he justified being correct in predicting Al Gore's win.  Using that same metric, his keys failed with Trump, who lost the popular vote by 2.7 million (and counting).  You can't have it both ways.

Funny how that works. Now he can make a prediction, and it can come true either way. That's because in elections with a two-term Democratic incumbent president, in our times it's highly probable that the Democrat wins the popular vote and the Republican wins the electoral. It could well happen again someday.

He justifiably criticized Nate Silver's method of going by the polls. But it was he who said there was a high probability of this happening this year.
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive;
Eric M
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Messages In This Thread
Basket of Deplorables - by John J. Xenakis - 09-10-2016, 11:06 AM
RE: Basket of Deplorables - by pbrower2a - 09-10-2016, 02:01 PM
RE: Gringrich - by The Wonkette - 10-27-2016, 11:29 AM
RE: Let's make fun of Trump, bash him, etc. while we can! - by Eric the Green - 12-12-2016, 12:47 AM

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