10-16-2016, 09:38 AM
A strong third-party nominee capable of cutting into the incumbent's votes (Perot in 1992 and 1996, Anderson in 1980), let alone winning some electoral votes (Thurmond in 1948 or Wallace in 1968) typically hurts the incumbent's Party badly. This time, the significant third-party nominee hurts the challenger's party and not the incumbent's party.
Lichtman says that the usual keys indicate not that Donald Trump would be elected (he calls him a "serial fabricator", someone who has lived entirely for his gain and indulgence, and has kissed up to a nasty and powerful dictator), but instead that a generic Republican would win against Hillary Clinton.
Lichtman says that the usual keys indicate not that Donald Trump would be elected (he calls him a "serial fabricator", someone who has lived entirely for his gain and indulgence, and has kissed up to a nasty and powerful dictator), but instead that a generic Republican would win against Hillary Clinton.
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.