10-17-2016, 01:25 AM
(This post was last modified: 10-17-2016, 03:28 PM by Eric the Green.)
five-thirty-eight aka Nate Silver has the map trending slightly more Democratic than I do in my video. AZ has a better than even shot of going blue according to him, and Alaska rather than Georgia would be the next state to flip. Most other sites are not as "optimistic" from my point of view as that. But Silver was the closest to being right among the poll analysis sites in 2012. Could he be right this time? He also has a Democratic Senate at over 60% chance right now, with Nevada, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania going blue by narrow margins, along with Indiana, Wisconsin and Illinois. NC and MO are still red.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...e-forecast
Oooh, now Silver has NC flipping too, 50.2 chance to 49.8!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...e-forecast
Oooh, now Silver has NC flipping too, 50.2 chance to 49.8!