10-31-2016, 11:46 AM
(This post was last modified: 10-31-2016, 03:39 PM by Eric the Green.)
Average of last 5 polls (if taken) or less (if not), reported on real clear politics, or default status:
Oct 31, 10 AM pacific time
toss up (gray) within 1%
leaning (light red or blue) 1-5%
likely (middle red or blue) 5-10%
Strong (dark red or blue) 10%+
swing states:
AZ Clinton 43.2 Trump 42.4
CO Clinton 43.4 Trump 39.6
FL Clinton 44.8 Trump 45.4
GA Clinton 43.2 Trump 46.8
Iowa Clinton 40 Trump 42.2
MI Clinton 46 Trump 38.2
NH Clinton 43.8 Trump 39.2
NV Clinton 44.2 Trump 44.4
NC Clinton 47.4 Trump 45
OH Clinton 44.2 Trump 45.8
PA Clinton 45.8 Trump 40.6
VA Clinton 47.4 Trump 36.8
IN Clinton 37 Trump 45
MN Clinton 47 Trump 39.6
MO Clinton 40.6 Trump 47.8
NJ Clinton 46.2 Trump 38.2
SC Clinton 38.8 Trump 44.6
WI Clinton 46.4 Trump 39.8
TX Clinton 40 Trump 44.8
UT Clinton 24.4 Trump 30.4, McMullin 25.8
Maine Clinton 43.2 Trump 37
Maine CD2 Clinton 37.2 Trump 43.8
fivethirtyeight (Silver) estimate:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...-forecast/
Oct 31, 10 AM pacific time
toss up (gray) within 1%
leaning (light red or blue) 1-5%
likely (middle red or blue) 5-10%
Strong (dark red or blue) 10%+
swing states:
AZ Clinton 43.2 Trump 42.4
CO Clinton 43.4 Trump 39.6
FL Clinton 44.8 Trump 45.4
GA Clinton 43.2 Trump 46.8
Iowa Clinton 40 Trump 42.2
MI Clinton 46 Trump 38.2
NH Clinton 43.8 Trump 39.2
NV Clinton 44.2 Trump 44.4
NC Clinton 47.4 Trump 45
OH Clinton 44.2 Trump 45.8
PA Clinton 45.8 Trump 40.6
VA Clinton 47.4 Trump 36.8
IN Clinton 37 Trump 45
MN Clinton 47 Trump 39.6
MO Clinton 40.6 Trump 47.8
NJ Clinton 46.2 Trump 38.2
SC Clinton 38.8 Trump 44.6
WI Clinton 46.4 Trump 39.8
TX Clinton 40 Trump 44.8
UT Clinton 24.4 Trump 30.4, McMullin 25.8
Maine Clinton 43.2 Trump 37
Maine CD2 Clinton 37.2 Trump 43.8
fivethirtyeight (Silver) estimate:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...-forecast/