11-02-2016, 06:42 PM
(This post was last modified: 11-02-2016, 06:48 PM by Eric the Green.)
If it's a nail-biter next Tuesday, the states to watch are New Hampshire (which Nate Silver calls a TRUE swing state with swing voters), Colorado, and Nevada. Even then, Nevada is reported to be favoring Hillary substantially in early voting. So, watch New Hampshire, which will start coming in early. And watch the Senate race there too. If Hillary and Hassan win, then Hillary needs only Colorado to seal a narrow win, and the Senate likely only needs Cortez-Masto in Nevada in order to get the Senate majority. That assumes current leads in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania (and solid Illinois) hold up.
But without Colorado, wins in New Hampshire and Nevada will not be enough. And if she wins all three, any blue wall states are very unlikely to fall to Trump, although he may win Ohio, Iowa, Florida and/or North Carolina. I predicted earlier that Hillary would win all of these states.
But without Colorado, wins in New Hampshire and Nevada will not be enough. And if she wins all three, any blue wall states are very unlikely to fall to Trump, although he may win Ohio, Iowa, Florida and/or North Carolina. I predicted earlier that Hillary would win all of these states.