06-26-2016, 12:19 PM
Among other polls:
Quinnipiac FLOP:
Florida: Clinton 47%, Trump 39%
Ohio: Clinton 40%, Trump 40%
Pennsylvania: Clinton 42%, Trump 41%
https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinn...aseID=2359
("FLOP" refers to the states polled)
![[Image: CBS-June-FL-CO-NC-WI-103808252-01.png]](https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2016-06-26/CBS-June-FL-CO-NC-WI-103808252-01.png)
Others involving Arizona, Arkansas, and Maine, and North Carolina. This is a convenient time for maps -- 130 electoral votes are discussed on this map.
Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
![[Image: genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_...&NE3=0;1;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=2;;4&AZ=1;;4&AR=2;;4&CA=1;;7&CO=1;;3&CT=1;;4&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;;3&GA=2;;4&HI=0;;7&ID=2;;4&IL=1;;4&IN=2;;4&IA=1;;3&KS=1;;4&KY=0;;3&LA=2;;6&MD=1;;9&MA=1;;4&MI=1;;4&MN=1;;4&MS=2;;3&MO=1;;3&MT=2;;6&NV=2;;3&NH=1;;3&NJ=1;;4&NM=1;;4&NY=1;;7&NC=4;;1&ND=0;;5&OH=4;;1&OK=2;;4&OR=1;;4&PA=1;;3&RI=0;;6&SC=2;;4&SD=0;;5&TN=2;;4&TX=2;;3&UT=4;;1&VT=0;;6&VA=1;;3&WA=1;;4&WV=2;;9&WI=1;;4&WY=0;;6&ME=1;;4&ME1=1;1;6&ME2=4;1;1&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;1;5&NE2=0;1;5&NE3=0;1;6)
30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more
Leads with less than 40% are considered TIES.
...By the way -- I suggest that we pay more attention to my polling thread on the three-way race for Clinton/Johnson/Trump. The unusually-strong Libertarian ticket may change the character of this Presidential race from the binary races to we have been accustomed the last four times.
As here:
Three-way race:
![[Image: ??;4&ME1=1;X;6&ME2=4;X;1&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X...NE3=0;99;6]](http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/genusmap.php?year=2012&ev_c=1&pv_p=1&ev_p=1&type=calc&AL=0;;6&AK=2;9/8;4&AZ=1;4/??;4&AR=2;9/8;4&CA=1;;6&CO=1;1/4;4&CT=1;5/6;4&DE=0;;5&DC=0;;9&FL=1;3/2;4&GA=2;7/6;4&HI=0;;7&ID=0;;6&IL=1;12/6;4&IN=0;;5&IA=0;;5&KS=1;6/??;4&KY=0;;6&LA=0;;5&MD=0;;6&MA=0;;1&MI=1;4/12;3&MN=0;;4&MS=0;;5&MO=0;;5&MT=0;;5&NV=0;;3&NH=0;;5&NJ=0;;5&NM=1;8/14;4&NY=0;;6&NC=1;2/2;3&ND=0;;5&OH=1;2/8;3&OK=2;20/6;4&OR=0;;5&PA=1;3/9;3&RI=0;;6&SC=0;;5&SD=0;;5&TN=0;;5&TX=2;7/3;3&UT=2;9/10;3&VT=0;;6&VA=1;3/9;4&WA=1;12/??;4&WV=0;;6&WI=1;5/3;5&WY=0;;6&ME=1;7/??;4&ME1=1;X;6&ME2=4;X;1&NE=0;;5&NE1=0;X;9&NE2=0;X;9&NE3=0;99;6)
White is for ties. Even leads in the thirties of 1% or more will be shown in the color of the winner. I am averaging for North Carolina. I do not accept the St. Leo University poll that shows Hillary Clinton up 15 on Donald Trump in Florida.
Small states and districts in area: CT: D5,6;4 ME: D7,??;4 ME-01 (est) D14,??;6 ME-02 R2,??;4
Clinton (D)
Trump ®
Johnson (L)
Quinnipiac FLOP:
Florida: Clinton 47%, Trump 39%
Ohio: Clinton 40%, Trump 40%
Pennsylvania: Clinton 42%, Trump 41%
https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinn...aseID=2359
("FLOP" refers to the states polled)
Others involving Arizona, Arkansas, and Maine, and North Carolina. This is a convenient time for maps -- 130 electoral votes are discussed on this map.
Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump
30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more
Leads with less than 40% are considered TIES.
...By the way -- I suggest that we pay more attention to my polling thread on the three-way race for Clinton/Johnson/Trump. The unusually-strong Libertarian ticket may change the character of this Presidential race from the binary races to we have been accustomed the last four times.
As here:
Three-way race:
White is for ties. Even leads in the thirties of 1% or more will be shown in the color of the winner. I am averaging for North Carolina. I do not accept the St. Leo University poll that shows Hillary Clinton up 15 on Donald Trump in Florida.
Small states and districts in area: CT: D5,6;4 ME: D7,??;4 ME-01 (est) D14,??;6 ME-02 R2,??;4
Clinton (D)
Trump ®
Johnson (L)
The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the dedicated Communist but instead the people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction, true and false, no longer exists -- Hannah Arendt.