07-05-2016, 04:00 PM
(07-05-2016, 01:58 PM)playwrite Wrote:I would hate to see Trump get in by getting a plurality of the vote, if Johnson splits the anti-Trump vote with Clinton.(07-05-2016, 12:03 PM)X_4AD_84 Wrote:(07-05-2016, 11:11 AM)pbrower2a Wrote: 51 Clinton -- 39 Trump -- 10 Johnson.
Obama 2008 with the addition of Missouri, Georgia, Montana, Arizona, Alaska, South Carolina, and Texas. Maybe the Dakotas, Nebraska (except for NE-03), and Kansas as well. Close to a mirror image of Reagan 1980.
We are really seeing the Johnson effect now. Unlike Anderson in '80 or even Perot his couple of times, this time around, some in the GOP need an analgesic to address the ill feeling brought by their unfortunate GOP choice, but one that allows them to say they are not voting Dem. Of course voting Dem is the safest course, but for those who just can't bring themselves to do it, Johnson allows a clear conscience. I predict he will rise to strong upper teens by Election Day, robbing Trump of any semblance of a showing.
Not a big Libertarian fan, obviously, but Johnson is a pretty smart guy. If he can get to 15%, he will be in the debates ala Perot. He and Clinton will make the Donald look really really stupid. Clinton and Johnson are not the lightweights that were in the GOP primaries, the target audience will be swing voters (I wonder if Trump even understands this), and by October, most people will be pretty hip to Trump's schtick if it doesn't make them visible ill.
As you said, this could be a historic drubbing of the GOP that they may not recover from as a national political power. Fingers crossed for good luck!