Thread Rating:
  • 1 Vote(s) - 5 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Generational Dynamics World View
*** 30-Nov-16 World View -- Mahmoud Abbas, 81, reelected leader of Fatah/Palestinian Authority

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Mahmoud Abbas, 81, reelected leader of Fatah/Palestinian Authority
  • Hopes again grow for Gaza-West Bank unity government

****
**** Mahmoud Abbas, 81, reelected leader of Fatah/Palestinian Authority
****


[Image: g161129b.jpg]
Mohammed Dahlan

The 81-year-old Mahmoud Abbas, who took over as leader of the
Palestinian Authority (PA) in January 2005, after the death of Yassir
Arafat, was overwhelming reelected as leader of Fatah/PA, which
governs the West Bank, on Tuesday, after ruthlessly shutting out his
principal opponent, 55-year-old Mohammed Dahlan, and Dahlan's
supporters.

Abbas's victory isn't a surprise, but it wasn't the outcome that the
so-call "Arab quartet" -- United Arab Emirates (UAE), Egypt, Saudi
Arabia and Jordan -- had hoped for. Much of the Arab world has been
waiting for Abbas to retire or die, so that a younger leader like
Dahlan could replace him.

Abbas, born in 1935, is part of the old generation of survivors of the
genocidal war between Jews and Arabs that followed the 1947
partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel.
When Yasser Arafat died in December 2004, Abbas was a natural choice
to succeed him, because they were both war survivors and shared a
common world view. But now the time is approaching for a successor
and for a generational change.

The major aspirant is 55 year old Mohammed Dahlan. Dahlan grew up
poor in a Gaza refugee camp, but as a top aide to Arafat became Gaza's
strongman in the 1990s, jailing leaders of rival Hamas which was
trying to derail Arafat’s negotiation with Israel through bombing and
shooting attacks. Abbas and Dahlan used to be allies, but the 2008
war between Fatah and Hamas, that made Hamas the governing power in
Gaza caused tension between them, until 2011 when Abbas expelled
Dahlan completely from Fatah.

The population of the West Bank is badly split between supporters of
Abbas and Dahlan. Abbas, as a survivor of the bloody 1947-48 war, has
devoted much of his life to achieving some kind of political solution
to the conflict with Israel -- namely the so-called "two-state
solution" with Israel and Palestine existing side by side in peace --
a "solution" that can only be described as delusional.

Supporters of Dahlan are generally much more belligerent, and are
ready to go to war with Israel. Dahlan and his supporters are in the
generations that grew up after the 1947-48, and have no personal
memory of its horrors, and so is not afraid to see that war repeated.

The youngest generations of Palestinians, as far as I can tell, are
pretty much disgusted with all the Palestinian leadership. This is
the so-called "Oslo generation," kids growing up after the 1993 Oslo
accords that were supposed to bring peace to the Mideast, but in fact
are perceived as having accomplished nothing. They see the so-called
"Mideast peace process" as nothing more than a failed series of
humiliations for Palestinians.

There has apparently been one change in the last year. In 2015, there
was a spate of knife attacks on Israelis by 15-25 year old boys in the
Oslo generation of Palestinians. Those knife attacks have not been in
the news in a long time, and so apparently have run their course.
Al-Monitor and Israel National News and Middle East Eye

Related Articles

****
**** Hopes again grow for Gaza-West Bank unity government
****


Ever since Hamas's stunning victory of Fatah/Palestinian Authority in
2006, which permitted Hamas to eject Fatah from Gaza, the two
governments have seemed to hate each other more than they hate Israel.

There have been several attempts to form a "unity government" between
the two entities. The most recent attempt followed the 31-day Gaza
war between Israel and Hamas, which Israel won. After the war, there
was enormous pressure from Arab states for Hamas and Fatah to unify
into a single government. The United Nations General Assembly had
created the nation "Palestine" in 2012, but it didn't make sense to
have a state of Palestine, if the Palestinians had two separate
governments in conflict with each other.

They did form a unity government in June 2014, but it was unity in
name only. They never did function as a single government, and Abbas
dissolved it in June 2015 over a disagreement about money.

However, hopes have arisen again of a unity government, after Hamas
chief Khaled Mashaal said in a speech earlier this month that a
reconciliation should be tried:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"It is time we reconsider the organization
> [Fatah/PA]. ... In order to build our lives and political system
> on democratic foundations, we must be partners in shouldering
> responsibility and partners in the decision of war and peace. ...
>
> The wager on the diplomatic movement on its own has been proven a
> failure. Let us agree on a national strategy and that everyone is
> with the [armed] resistance, which is a legitimate right that
> raises the cost of the occupation."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

The last sentence affirms that Hamas expects to continuing using
violence against Israel, to end Israel's "occupation" of land in the
Mideast and Israel's existence.

There's good reason to doubt that the West Bank and Gaza Palestinian
populations can ever be unified into a single government. The two
Palestinian territories have been separated for several decades, and
so the two cultures have grown in separate directions. Times of Israel (2-Nov) and Israel National News (26-Apr-2015)

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Fatah, Palestinian Authority, Palestine,
West Bank, Mahmoud Abbas, Mohammed Dahlan, Arab quartet,
United Arab Emirates, UAE, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan,
Yasser Arafat, Israel, Oslo generation

Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal

John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
Reply


Messages In This Thread
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-23-2016, 10:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
30-Nov-16 World View -- Mahmoud Abbas, 81, reelected leader of Fatah/PA - by John J. Xenakis - 11-29-2016, 11:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-10-2017, 02:38 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 10-25-2017, 03:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 03:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 06:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-31-2017, 11:14 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 06-22-2018, 02:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-19-2018, 12:43 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-25-2018, 02:18 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 02:11 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Camz - 03-10-2020, 10:10 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
RE: 58 year rule - by John J. Xenakis - 04-02-2020, 12:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Isoko - 05-04-2020, 02:51 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 01-04-2021, 12:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by CH86 - 01-05-2021, 11:17 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-10-2021, 06:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-11-2021, 09:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-12-2021, 02:53 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 03:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 04:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-15-2021, 03:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-19-2021, 03:03 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-21-2021, 01:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 06:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 10:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 04:08 PM

Possibly Related Threads...
Thread Author Replies Views Last Post
  Why the social dynamics viewpoint to the Strauss-Howe generational theory is wrong Ldr 5 4,799 06-05-2020, 10:55 PM
Last Post: pbrower2a
  Theory: cyclical generational hormone levels behind the four turnings and archetypes Ldr 2 3,386 03-16-2020, 06:17 AM
Last Post: Ldr
  The Fall of Cities of the Ancient World (42 Years) The Sacred Name of God 42 Letters Mark40 5 4,660 01-08-2020, 08:37 PM
Last Post: Eric the Green
  Generational cycle research Mikebert 15 16,218 02-08-2018, 10:06 AM
Last Post: pbrower2a
Video Styxhexenhammer666 and his view of historical cycles. Kinser79 0 3,322 08-27-2017, 06:31 PM
Last Post: Kinser79

Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 3 Guest(s)