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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 19-Jan-17 World View -- European anger and British self-delusion follow Brexit plan speech

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Brexit becomes more real after Theresa May's speech
  • European anger versus British self-delusion

****
**** Brexit becomes more real after Theresa May's speech
****


[Image: g170118b.jpg]
Theresa May

Britain's prime minister Theresa May gave a speech on Tuesday
outlining her plans for how Britain will leave the European Union,
following the Brexit referendum of June 23 of last year.

The speech did not provide much hard information that wasn't already
known, but the speech was important nonetheless because it made the
Brexit concept a lot more real.

Some of the major parts of the plan are as follows:
  • Trade and "Hard Brexit": Completely leave the EU Single
    Market, but then renegotiate trade agreements with the EU and other
    countries. All ties will be cut, and the negotiations will start with
    a blank slate.

  • Immigration: Brexit must mean control of the number of people who
    come to Britain from Europe. Polls have shown that of all the reasons
    why people voted for Brexit, the only one that really mattered was
    migration -- control of Christian migrants from eastern Europe to
    Britain, and control of Muslim migrants from Syria, the Mideast and
    northern Africa to Britain.

  • Give Britain control of its own laws. No longer any control by
    the European Parliament or the European Court of Justice.

  • Strengthen the Union between the four nations of the United
    Kingdom. This is a tricky one, since England and Wales were
    pro-Brexit, Scotland and Northern Ireland were (and are)
    anti-Brexit.

  • Deliver a practical solution that allows the maintenance of the
    Common Travel Area with the Republic of Ireland. After Brexit, there
    will be only one remaining land border between the UK and the EU --
    and that will be the border between Northern Ireland, which is part of
    the UK, and the Republic of Ireland (or Southern Ireland), which is an
    independent country that will remain part of the EU. It took years of
    bitter negotiation to allow free travel between Ireland and Northern
    Ireland in past decades, and ow those agreements are in jeopardy.

  • Protect rights for EU nationals in Britain and British nationals
    in the EU. These are the people whose lives have been thrown into the
    most chaos by the Brexit votes.

Although May laid out her Brexit plans for the first time, she didn't
really provide any details beyond what was already known. For
example, she wants to allow travel between Ireland and Northern
Ireland. How is that possible, if Ireland is in the EU, while
Northern Ireland is not? UK Government - speech transcript and Telegraph (London)

****
**** European anger versus British self-delusion
****


The combination of two of the items, trade and immigration, are the
most explosive. They're also the one causing the most fury in the EU,
and the ones about which the UK is most self-delusional.

Today, as part of the EU, the UK freely trades with the EU countries,
with goods flowing freely in both directions. That's one of the EU's
"four freedoms": freedom of movement for people, goods, capital and
services.

Mrs. May and a number of other UK leaders seem to believe that the EU
will be so anxious to continue trade relations with the UK, they'll be
willing to agree to a trade agreement that would be as good as the one
if the UK were still part of the EU Single Market, but without all the
obligations of EU membership, such as freedom of movement for people.

This attitude infuriates many EU leaders. That's not surprising
because they've been furious with Britain ever the results of the June
23 Brexit referendum were announced, particularly because the Brexit
referendum has stirred anti-immigration sentiment across the EU, and
given rise to populist anti-EU politicians.

May addressed this sentiment in her speech as follows:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"So I believe the framework I have outlined today is
> in Britain’s interests. It is in Europe’s interests. And it is in
> the interests of the wider world.
>
> But I must be clear. Britain wants to remain a good friend and
> neighbor to Europe. Yet I know there are some voices calling for
> a punitive deal that punishes Britain and discourages other
> countries from taking the same path.
>
> That would be an act of calamitous self-harm for the countries of
> Europe. And it would not be the act of a friend. Britain would not
> – indeed we could not – accept such an approach. And while I am
> confident that this scenario need never arise – while I am sure a
> positive agreement can be reached – I am equally clear that no
> deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for
> Britain."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Joseph Muscat, the prime minister of EU member nation Malta, said that
"European rules and institutions cannot be compromised," and added:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"We want a fair deal for the UK but that deal
> necessarily needs to be inferior to membership. This should not
> come as a surprise to anyone — indeed thinking it can be otherwise
> would be a detachment from reality."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

So you have anger on one side, and "detachment from reality" on the
other side.

May has not yet "invoked Article 50," which would launch two years of
negotiations between Britain and the EU over the terms of the
separation. She has promised to do that by the end of March, but
there's also a pending court case, to be decided in next week, where a
decision might take away May's power to invoke Article 50 without a
vote from the Parliament. and Reuters and The Sun (London)

Related Articles

KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Britain, Theresa May, Brexit,
European Union, European Court of Justice, Ireland, Northern Ireland,
Joseph Muscat, Malta

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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
19-Jan-17 World View -- European anger and British self-delusion follow Brexit plan - by John J. Xenakis - 01-18-2017, 11:47 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
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