01-28-2017, 12:17 PM
(01-28-2017, 12:09 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: Russia, Turkey - so much.
Russia, and Turkey both had crises that started in 1905ish and ended in the early to mid 1920s. Turkey didn't even participate in WWII. Russia did, and yet its Khrushchev Thaw, Brezhnevite Era of Stagnation, and its complete geopolitical collapse in the 1980s and 90s suggest a full saeculum from the 1920s to 2000. Its present environment has been characteried by rising birthrates (admittedly from an apocalypticly low level during the 90s), a widespread reaction to the ills of the 1990s, unified and broadly popular leadership, and a rise in religious sentiments. Unless you're still postulating a 5th turning I don't see how you can view Putin's Russia as anything other than a 1T coming back from a disastrous crisis.