Generational Dynamics World View

[Marypoza]

(02-05-2017, 05:44 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:

(02-05-2017, 03:27 PM)SomeGuy Wrote: >   John Xenakis, I absolutely agree with you that we are in a
>   position analogous to the 1930s, now.  I view a major crisis war
>   as a real possibility, which I have discussed on this and the
>   previous board at length.  My readings of S & H, Thompson and
>   Modelski, Mearsheimer, and others inclines me to believe that
>   China, as the major rising power in the international system
>   today, and the US, as the existing hegemon, will play a major role
>   in coming conflicts.  That's why I am talking about this with you,
>   Mikebert, and others.  The only difference I see (beyond some
>   quibbles over finer points of theory/turning placement for certain
>   countries) is that I disagree that China and Russia are going to
>   be adversaries this time around.  I absolutely support the efforts
>   of Trump and some of his advisors, and similar right-wing parties
>   in Europe, to effect a rapprochement with Russia, even if only for
>   the short-term.  I simply don't see bearing fruit to the extent
>   you seem to.  

That would mean that Russia, China and Pakistan are all going to be at
war with India and Iran.  That's not going to happen.

This isn't a political judgment.  I've been saying for ten years that
it would be China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries versus the
US, India, Russia and Iran.  Whether Trump gets along with Putin has
absolutely nothing to do with it.  Enemies in generational crisis wars
are determined by the generations, the populations, not by the
politicians.  What the politicians do is irrelevant.  What Trump does
is irrelevant.  That's the way the world works.

-- you have  China vs Russia & India. Does that mean BRIC is gonna fall apart?