02-08-2017, 10:09 AM
Needless to say, I'm fascinated by this sudden interest in Steve
Bannon and The Fourth Turning, and by reactions to it in view of Steve
Bannon's interest.
Last week, there was an article about Steve Bannon in Time Magazine
that mentioned the Fourth Turning:
http://time.com/4657665/steve-bannon-donald-trump/
This week there was a major analytical article by Linette Lopez in
Business Insider. Unfortunately, she has no idea what she's talking
about, and knows absolutely nothing about generational theory,
although she thinks she does.
http://www.businessinsider.com/book-stev...ing-2017-2
Her thesis is that Steve Bannon wants to use this theory to bring
about a world war. That's crazy. What generational theory does is
predict that a world war is coming, whether we like it or not, and
tells us to prepare for it.
The Fourth Turning was the foundational work for generational theory.
It was a brilliant work when it was written by Neil Howe and William
Strauss in the early 1990s, but they applied it only to English and
American history since the 1400s, and today their work is badly out of
date.
In 2003 I took over further development of generational theory,
corrected a number of the early errors, and expanded it to all
countries and places at all times in history. I launched the website
http://GenerationalDynamics.com, which has been a platform of
continuing development of generational theory. There are now almost
4,000 articles containing hundreds of analyses and predictions, all of
which have come true or are trending true. None has been proven
wrong. No web site, analyst, journalist, or politician has come even
close to the analytical and forecasting success of
GenerationalDynamics.com. It's a truly historic development.
It's true that generational theory predicts a world war. But it makes
no difference whether Trump or Clinton had won the presidential
election, because no politician can either cause or prevent a world
war.
However, to use an analogy, if your boat is sailing through a storm,
then the boat captain can neither cause nor prevent a storm, but if a
storm is coming, then one captain may do a better job than another in
guiding the boat through the storm. The crazy thing would be for the
boat captain to know that a storm is coming, but ignore it completely,
and make no preparations whatsoever.
My personal belief is that America will be best guided through the
coming storm by a president who has the benefit of an understanding of
Generational Dynamics, because that's the only methodology that
describes what's actually going on in the world.
So the reason that Linette Lopez is completely wrong is that she has
no understanding whatsoever of generational theory. She has no clue.
Lopez would tell a boat captain not to prepare for a storm, even if
the weather forecast says that a storm is coming. She thinks we
should just all be Pollyannas and pretend that nothing bad will ever
happen. Linette Lopez is recommending the path to total disaster.
Ironically, Neil Howe himself has almost completely abandoned his own
Fourth Turning theory by supporting views similar to those of Linette
Lopez. This is explained by the fact that Howe supports Democrats,
and so is committed to opposing anything from Donald Trump, even when
it's his own Fourth Turning theory. This is just one more of the
bizarre twists that are common in today's world.
Generational Dynamics says that a world war is coming, and that no
politician can either cause or prevent it. But what politicians can
do is prepare for it, and that's what we can hope that Steve Bannon
and Donald Trump are doing, to the benefit of all of us.
Bannon and The Fourth Turning, and by reactions to it in view of Steve
Bannon's interest.
Last week, there was an article about Steve Bannon in Time Magazine
that mentioned the Fourth Turning:
http://time.com/4657665/steve-bannon-donald-trump/
This week there was a major analytical article by Linette Lopez in
Business Insider. Unfortunately, she has no idea what she's talking
about, and knows absolutely nothing about generational theory,
although she thinks she does.
http://www.businessinsider.com/book-stev...ing-2017-2
Her thesis is that Steve Bannon wants to use this theory to bring
about a world war. That's crazy. What generational theory does is
predict that a world war is coming, whether we like it or not, and
tells us to prepare for it.
The Fourth Turning was the foundational work for generational theory.
It was a brilliant work when it was written by Neil Howe and William
Strauss in the early 1990s, but they applied it only to English and
American history since the 1400s, and today their work is badly out of
date.
In 2003 I took over further development of generational theory,
corrected a number of the early errors, and expanded it to all
countries and places at all times in history. I launched the website
http://GenerationalDynamics.com, which has been a platform of
continuing development of generational theory. There are now almost
4,000 articles containing hundreds of analyses and predictions, all of
which have come true or are trending true. None has been proven
wrong. No web site, analyst, journalist, or politician has come even
close to the analytical and forecasting success of
GenerationalDynamics.com. It's a truly historic development.
It's true that generational theory predicts a world war. But it makes
no difference whether Trump or Clinton had won the presidential
election, because no politician can either cause or prevent a world
war.
However, to use an analogy, if your boat is sailing through a storm,
then the boat captain can neither cause nor prevent a storm, but if a
storm is coming, then one captain may do a better job than another in
guiding the boat through the storm. The crazy thing would be for the
boat captain to know that a storm is coming, but ignore it completely,
and make no preparations whatsoever.
My personal belief is that America will be best guided through the
coming storm by a president who has the benefit of an understanding of
Generational Dynamics, because that's the only methodology that
describes what's actually going on in the world.
So the reason that Linette Lopez is completely wrong is that she has
no understanding whatsoever of generational theory. She has no clue.
Lopez would tell a boat captain not to prepare for a storm, even if
the weather forecast says that a storm is coming. She thinks we
should just all be Pollyannas and pretend that nothing bad will ever
happen. Linette Lopez is recommending the path to total disaster.
Ironically, Neil Howe himself has almost completely abandoned his own
Fourth Turning theory by supporting views similar to those of Linette
Lopez. This is explained by the fact that Howe supports Democrats,
and so is committed to opposing anything from Donald Trump, even when
it's his own Fourth Turning theory. This is just one more of the
bizarre twists that are common in today's world.
Generational Dynamics says that a world war is coming, and that no
politician can either cause or prevent it. But what politicians can
do is prepare for it, and that's what we can hope that Steve Bannon
and Donald Trump are doing, to the benefit of all of us.
