02-27-2017, 06:57 PM
(02-27-2017, 05:51 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:(02-27-2017, 04:21 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: > Except the actual US government hasn't been following my proposed
> foreign policy at any point in the last few decades John X. The
> actual government has for the most part been following ideas
> similar to yours. You neocons were wrong in 2003 and have no real
> credibility in maintaining US National Security given that you
> guys had complete power from 2001 to 2008 and during that time the
> US Nuclear Arsenal was slashed by more than half and heavy weapons
> built to fight a large scale war was replaced by pathetic Bradley
> fighting vehicles. Also I Remember your posts from 10 years ago on
> this subject: you said that China would attack as soon as the 2008
> Beijing Olympics were finished, and I said that there was no
> possibility of war until around 2020 at the earliest. I was right
> then you were wrong back then.
As I read through that article today, for the first time in years,
it seems quite reasonable. In particular with regard to China
and Taiwan, it says the relationship was in an equilibrium,
but that the equilibrium was being undermined by generational changes
-- in particular the rise of a younger generation that favors
independence.
Except that China has long ago informed the US that it regards Taiwanese independence for Taiwanese independence as a Casus Belli for war against Taiwan as well as against the US. Yet at no point did the last has the US changed its policy regarding the Taiwan issue. We're still De Facto allies of taiwan even though the alliance was supposed to be dissolved in 1978. Without the taiwan issue and other policy of open sealanes there would be little danger of war with the Chinese. Even if China expanded for "living space" such an expansionism is a far greater threat to Russia and India than it is to the US or even Japan and South Korea.
This is also true of US policy toward other global flashpoints, our established policy is basically to ensure that no wars occur at all in those regions. This instead invites hostility toward the US by all sided except our main allies because it imposes a pressure cooker making the eventual war much more severe and increased likelihood of war coming to our shores as a result. This has already occurred once before on 9/11, yet the boomers refused to even consider any policy that doesn't involve interventionist global democratization.
