Generational Dynamics World View

[Cynic Hero '86]

(02-27-2017, 11:47 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote:

(02-27-2017, 06:57 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: >   This is also true of US policy toward other global flashpoints,
>   our established policy is basically to ensure that no wars occur
>   at all in those regions. This instead invites hostility toward the
>   US by all sided except our main allies because it imposes a
>   pressure cooker making the eventual war much more severe and
>   increased likelihood of war coming to our shores as a result. This
>   has already occurred once before on 9/11, yet the boomers refused
>   to even consider any policy that doesn't involve interventionist
>   global democratization.  

Well you're right about Boomers.  The Gen-Xers and Millies don't have
a clue whether Taiwan is kind of Chinese noodle or an Indonesian
drink, so they won't be worrying too much about defending.  Of course
we could simply cut off all military ties with Taiwan.  Then China
would invade and annex it immediately.  Japan, the Philippines and
everyone else in the Asia would immediately realize that we couldn't
be counted on, and China could simply grab all of them.  They'd
probably start importing Japanese comfort women.  We could try to stay
out, but sooner or later China would bomb Pearl Harbor or San
Francisco or Washington, so we'd be at war anyway.

Japan and south Korea would militarize Immediately thus negating the need for any US presence there. Any concession of Taiwan would be part of a broader spheres of Influence agreement which could be reached if the US would also include a "carrot and stick" policy. The stick would be US support and arming of South Korea and Japan (and Possibly Indonesia) with nuclear weapons and militarization of those nations. The carrot would be China being given a free hand with regards to expansion to its North and West (into Russian Siberia, India and Central Asia). Remember during many of China's previous dynasties Eastern Siberia was often part of china with numerous Chinese settlements used to be there before the Russian conquest. Thus China can easily engineer a casus belli to invade that region. Think of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact. Also During this Time, US would be converting itself into a military state, a nation geared for war.