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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 8-Mar-17 World View -- Tensions grow on Korean peninsula over THAAD and N. Norea-Malaysia relations

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Malaysia's relations with North Korea continue rapid deterioration
  • China promises retaliation over surprise deployment of THAAD in South Korea
  • South Korea threatens to sue China in World Trade Organization (WTO)

****
**** Malaysia's relations with North Korea continue rapid deterioration
****


[Image: g170307b.jpg]
Yellow tape and armed guards on Tuesday around North Korea's embassy in Malaysia prevent anyone from leaving (AP)

Malaysia and North Korea appear close to completely severing
diplomatic relations. They've already expelled each other's
ambassadors, and the war of words continues to be increasingly
vitriolic.

After Kim Jong-nam, the half-brother of North Korea's child dictator
Kim Jong-un, was assassinated on February 13 in Kuala Lumpur airport
in Malaysia, North Korea's ambassador to Malaysia, Kang Chol, began a
series of bitter vitriolic attacks on Malaysia's government, accusing
the the Malaysians of conducting an unauthorized autopsy, saying that
the investigation was untrustworthy, and accusing Malaysian
authorities of "colluding with the hostile forces towards us who are
desperate to harm us of malice," referring to South Korea.

Apparently the reason that North Korea did not want an autopsy to be
performed was that they did not want the Malaysians to know that King
Jong-nam had been killed with VX nerve gas, which is so deadly that
it's considered to be a "weapon of mass destruction," and its use is
forbidden by international law. The fact that North Korea used a
weapon of mass destruction on Malaysian soil to kill someone has
infuriated Malaysia's government.

Malaysia would like to question several of the North Korean embassy
staff for involvement in the assassination. This has further
infuriated the North Koreans, who say that the embassy staff all have
full diplomatic immunity. This is actually only true for the top
officials in the enmity.

On Tuesday, North Korea announced that no citizen of Malaysia in North
Korea would be permitted to leave. This has infuriated the entire
Malaysian population, and some are saying that it was tantamount to
war. Malaysia's prime minister Najib Razak, said that this was a
violation of international law:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"They cannot act at their whims and fancy, violating
> the international law to hold Malaysians hostage. It is indeed
> unacceptable not only by Malaysia, but also the
> world."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Eleven Malaysians are known to be in North Korea: three embassy staff,
six family members and two others who work for the United Nations’
World Food Program. Malaysian officials said they were safe. “There
is no threat to their lives. Let us not come to that point yet,” said
Reezal Merican, the deputy foreign minister.

Malaysia then banned North Koreans from leaving Malaysia, but
different reports have different versions of this ban. Some say that
only embassy personnel would be banned from leaving, and there are
probably only a few dozen of these. Other reports say that all North
Koreans are banned from leaving, and there are thousands of these.
One reports says that Malaysia's government at first wanted to ban
just the embassy staff, and then changed its mind to ban all North
Koreans.

In another move, it turns out that both Malaysia and Singapore have
been enabling North Korea to conduct illegal activities on their
territories. Singapore last summer already cracked down on
transshipments through its ports following new international sanctions
imposed in the wake of last year's nuclear and missile tests.
Malaysian officials have been closing their eyes to North Korean
weapons sales through Malaysian companies, in violation of sanctions
against North Korea, and now Malaysia is shutting down those
businesses.

It seems that relations between Malaysia and North Korea become
harsher and more vitriolic every day. And with both countries holding
each other's citizens hostage, the rapid deterioration in relations is
liable to continue. The Star (Malaysia) and Washington Post and Free Malaysia Today

Related Articles

****
**** China promises retaliation over surprise deployment of THAAD in South Korea
****


Diplomatic relations between China and South Korea also appear to be
deteriorating, especially after Tuesday's surprise move by South Korea
and the United States to begin deploying the Terminal High Altitude
Area Defense (THAAD) missile defense system by the first delivery of
large components. THAAD is composed of six mobile launchers, 48
interceptors, an X-band radar and the fire and control unit.

Originally, the deployment was to have been completed by the end of
2017, but now it appears that it will be completed this summer. The
speedup is being attributed to North Korea's aggressive schedule of
nuclear and missile tests, with increased danger of attack on North
Korea's neighbors, including South Korea.

China has been furiously objecting to the deployment of THAAD, ever
since it was announced in 2014. After Tuesday's delivery of THAAD
components, China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Geng Shuang said:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"We strongly oppose the decision to deploy THAAD and
> will take necessary steps to defend our security interest. South
> Korea and the US will bear the consequences. ... We urge them not
> to go further down that wrong path."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

In response, the White House said:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"We stand shoulder to shoulder with Japan and South
> Korea in doing what we can to protect that region in particular
> from an attack from North Korea. We understand the situation. We
> continue to work with them. As I mentioned, the president spoke to
> both leaders yesterday and we provided a readout of those calls.
> But we obviously understand the concerns of China, but this is a
> national security issue for them."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

China's state media said that the reason the deployment was speeded up
was not because of a threat from North Korea, but because the
deployment would help conservative politicians in elections likely to
be held in a few months.

China says that THAAD is not designed to intercept North Korean
missiles, which travel at too low an altitude for THAAD. Furthermore,
North Korea already has enough technology to avoid interception by
THAAD. However, THAAD's "over the horizon" radar is able to see deep
into China and detect military movements. Yonhap (Seoul) and Korea Herald
and Xinhua (Beijing)

Related Articles

****
**** South Korea threatens to sue China in World Trade Organization (WTO)
****


China's spokesman didn't specify what the "consequences" would be, but
they're assumed to be economic sanctions targeting South Korea.

China has already ordered its travel agencies to stop selling packaged
tours to Korea, and has banned Korean cosmetics and foods. South
Korean pop stars and entertainers have been barred from appearing on
Chinese TV programs since October.

To see what other steps China might take, we can recall the steps that
China took to punish Japan when Japan displeased China. In the 2010
confrontations, China took revenge on Japan by terminating shipments
of rare earth minerals, needed for manufacturing of many of Japan's
electronic products. In 2012, the Beijing government encouraged the
Chinese people to demonstrate and protest against Japanese businesses
in China. The government urged protesters not to use violence, but
that part of the message was clearly ignored, as protesters torched a
Panasonic factory and Toyota dealership, looted and ransacked Japanese
department stores and supermarkets in several cities.

South Korea is considering filing a complaint with the World Trade
Organization (WTO) over using economic sanctions for political
purposes. South Korea might also file a lawsuit under the investment
clause of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement.

However, some South Korea functions are counseling caution, as China
might retaliate further. Korea Times and Barrons

Related Articles

KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Malaysia, North Korea, Kim Jong-nam, Kim Jong-un,
Najib Razak, Kang Chol, VX nerve gas, Singapore, Geng Shuang,
South Korea, Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, THAAD,
Japan, World Trade Organization, WTO

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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
8-Mar-17 World View -- Tensions grow on Korean peninsula over THAAD and N. Norea-Mala - by John J. Xenakis - 03-07-2017, 10:19 PM
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