03-29-2017, 10:45 PM
*** 30-Mar-17 World View -- With Arab world in chaos, Arab League summit displays lack of leadership and influence
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** With Arab world in chaos, Arab League summit displays lack of leadership and influence
****
![[Image: g170329b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g170329b.jpg)
Arab League summit meeting in Jordan on Wednesday (Arab News)
The Arab League used to be considered one of the most influential
organizations in the world, representing the oil-rich nations of the
Mideast, controlling many of the world's most important trade routes.
But that's not true anymore, since the "Arab Spring" of 2011, which
was triggered by the death of a Tunisian food vendor, resulting in
violent protests in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen, and then in Libya, and
eventually spreading to almost every Arab country. Today, the entire
Arab World seems to be collapsing in chaos, and the Arab League can do
nothing but sit back, watch, and pray to Allah for deliverance.
Ironically, one of the last influential acts by the Arab League that
the world paid attention to was unanimous approval in March 2011 of a
request for Western nations to intervene in Libya and set up at no-fly
zone. The violent protests in Libya had become a bloodbath that had
spread from Benghazi and Tobruk in the east to Tripoli in the west.
Muammar Gaddafi declared war on the protesters. He threatened to
shoot to kill protesters, and said he would crush any enemy. By
April, hundreds of thousands of refugees from Libya were pouring into
neighboring countries, and thousands were crossing the Mediterranean
to reach Italy. The Arab League asked the West to intervene, as
Gaddafi was threatening a bloody massacre in several cities,
especially Benghazi.
The West finally did intervene, but what that incident proved most of
all was that the Arab League couldn't solve its own problems, and
that's become apparent today, where the fallout from the Arab Spring
has not only paralyzed the Arab League, it's gone further and split
the League into factions.
The worst split has come out of the war in Syria. The civil war in
Syria was caused by president Bashar al-Assad when he unleashed his
army and air force against peaceful protesters in 2011. Things really
turned around in August 2011, when al-Assad launched a massive
military assault on a large, peaceful Palestinian refugee camp in
Latakia, filled with tens of thousands of women and children
Palestinians. Thousands of young Sunni jihadists from 80 countries
around the world traveled to Syria to fight al-Assad, and they formed
the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh).
Saudi Arabia supported the so-called "moderate rebels" in Syria
fighting al-Assad, while Iran stepped in, along with its Shia puppet
militia Hezbollah from Lebanon, to fight on the side of al-Assad.
Iran also increased its support to the Houthi Shias in Yemen, leading
to a successful Houthi anti-government coup in Sanaa, Yemen's capital
city, in 2014.
This led Iran to brag that it was now in control of four Arab capitals
-- Beirut Lebanon, Sanaa Yemen, Baghdad Iraq, and Damascus Syria.
At the same time that this occurred, President Barack Obama appears to
have withdrawn the United States leadership from the Mideast,
particularly in Syria and Iraq, apparently leaving Iran and Russia as
the strongest powers. In addition, President Obama pushed the Iran
nuclear deal, which removed sanctions and greatly improved Iran's
prestige in the Mideast.
Today, Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries are placing their hopes
in President Donald Trump, who they hope will turn against Iran and
more strongly support Saudi Arabia. However, even that hope further
makes the point that the Arab League is unable to accomplish anything
on its own, without the help of the West, especially the United
States.
As long-time readers are aware, Generational Dynamics predicts that
Iran and the West will be allies in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, and that China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim
countries will be pitted against the US, India, Russia and Iran. In
the Mideast, Generational Dynamics predicts a full-scale Mideast war,
pitting Jews against Arabs, Sunnis against Shias, and various ethnic
groups against each other. These predictions would suggest that
improved friendly relations between the US and Saudi Arabia will be
temporary. CS Monitor and Washington Times
Related Articles
****
**** Arab League plays it safe by only condemning Israel and terrorism
****
The split in the Arab world is being further confounded by the fact
that one of the Arab League members, Oman, seems to be increasingly
siding with Iran on issues dividing that country and Saudi Arabia.
Some reports have even suggested that Oman is serving as an
intermediary between Iran and the Houthis in Yemen, even to the extent
of turning a blind to the smuggling of Iranian weapons to the Houthis
in Yemen.
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who was a guest at the Arab
League summit, said, Divisions in the Arab world have opened the door
to foreign intervention and manipulation, breeding instability,
sectarian strife, and terrorism."
Because the Arab League has no solutions to any of the serious
problems facing the Arab world, Wednesday's summit meeting focused on
the only safe subjects that everyone could agree on: Israel and
terrorism.
Jordan's King Abdullah, who was hosting the meeting, summarized these
issues:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"It is therefore our duty to protect [young Arabs]
> from distortions to their religion and ideological beliefs, since
> terrorism poses a greater threat to Arabs and Muslims, who make up
> the majority of its victims. ...
>
> Israel’s continued settlement expansion and its work to undermine
> chances for peace. There can be no peace, no stability in the
> region without a just and comprehensive solution to the
> Palestinian cause, the core issue of the Middle East, based on the
> two-state solution."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
If you're an Arab, it's always safe to wish for an end to terrorist.
Furthermore, it's also safe to to talk criticize Israel, and to call
for the adoption of the "two-state solution" to the
Israeli-Palestinian crisis, which would be a Palestinian state living
in peace side-by-side with the state of Israel, which could only work
in a fairy tale.
The prediction that I first posted in May 2003, just after President George Bush announced his Mideast
Roadmap to Peace, is just as true today as it was then: Jews and Arabs
are headed for a new generational crisis war, re-fighting the 1948-49
genocidal war between Jews and Arabs that followed the partitioning of
Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel.
Today, no one serious believes that the two-state solution is ever
going to work, or that terrorism is going to do anything but continue
to increase. Still, the Arab League has to call for something, and
calling for fantasies is the safest thing to do. Middle East Eye and Arab News and
Petra (Jordan) and Washington Post
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Arab League, Arab Spring, Tunisia, Egypt,
Yemen, Houthis, Libya, Syria, Bashar al-Assad,
Iran, Hezbollah, Saudi Arabia,
Beirut Lebanon, Sanaa Yemen, Baghdad Iraq, Damascus Syria,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Oman, Antonio Guterres, King Abdullah, Israel, Palestine
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- With Arab world in chaos, Arab League summit displays lack of leadership and influence
- Arab League plays it safe by only condemning Israel and terrorism
****
**** With Arab world in chaos, Arab League summit displays lack of leadership and influence
****
Arab League summit meeting in Jordan on Wednesday (Arab News)
The Arab League used to be considered one of the most influential
organizations in the world, representing the oil-rich nations of the
Mideast, controlling many of the world's most important trade routes.
But that's not true anymore, since the "Arab Spring" of 2011, which
was triggered by the death of a Tunisian food vendor, resulting in
violent protests in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen, and then in Libya, and
eventually spreading to almost every Arab country. Today, the entire
Arab World seems to be collapsing in chaos, and the Arab League can do
nothing but sit back, watch, and pray to Allah for deliverance.
Ironically, one of the last influential acts by the Arab League that
the world paid attention to was unanimous approval in March 2011 of a
request for Western nations to intervene in Libya and set up at no-fly
zone. The violent protests in Libya had become a bloodbath that had
spread from Benghazi and Tobruk in the east to Tripoli in the west.
Muammar Gaddafi declared war on the protesters. He threatened to
shoot to kill protesters, and said he would crush any enemy. By
April, hundreds of thousands of refugees from Libya were pouring into
neighboring countries, and thousands were crossing the Mediterranean
to reach Italy. The Arab League asked the West to intervene, as
Gaddafi was threatening a bloody massacre in several cities,
especially Benghazi.
The West finally did intervene, but what that incident proved most of
all was that the Arab League couldn't solve its own problems, and
that's become apparent today, where the fallout from the Arab Spring
has not only paralyzed the Arab League, it's gone further and split
the League into factions.
The worst split has come out of the war in Syria. The civil war in
Syria was caused by president Bashar al-Assad when he unleashed his
army and air force against peaceful protesters in 2011. Things really
turned around in August 2011, when al-Assad launched a massive
military assault on a large, peaceful Palestinian refugee camp in
Latakia, filled with tens of thousands of women and children
Palestinians. Thousands of young Sunni jihadists from 80 countries
around the world traveled to Syria to fight al-Assad, and they formed
the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh).
Saudi Arabia supported the so-called "moderate rebels" in Syria
fighting al-Assad, while Iran stepped in, along with its Shia puppet
militia Hezbollah from Lebanon, to fight on the side of al-Assad.
Iran also increased its support to the Houthi Shias in Yemen, leading
to a successful Houthi anti-government coup in Sanaa, Yemen's capital
city, in 2014.
This led Iran to brag that it was now in control of four Arab capitals
-- Beirut Lebanon, Sanaa Yemen, Baghdad Iraq, and Damascus Syria.
At the same time that this occurred, President Barack Obama appears to
have withdrawn the United States leadership from the Mideast,
particularly in Syria and Iraq, apparently leaving Iran and Russia as
the strongest powers. In addition, President Obama pushed the Iran
nuclear deal, which removed sanctions and greatly improved Iran's
prestige in the Mideast.
Today, Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries are placing their hopes
in President Donald Trump, who they hope will turn against Iran and
more strongly support Saudi Arabia. However, even that hope further
makes the point that the Arab League is unable to accomplish anything
on its own, without the help of the West, especially the United
States.
As long-time readers are aware, Generational Dynamics predicts that
Iran and the West will be allies in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, and that China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim
countries will be pitted against the US, India, Russia and Iran. In
the Mideast, Generational Dynamics predicts a full-scale Mideast war,
pitting Jews against Arabs, Sunnis against Shias, and various ethnic
groups against each other. These predictions would suggest that
improved friendly relations between the US and Saudi Arabia will be
temporary. CS Monitor and Washington Times
Related Articles
- Arab League unanimously requests a no-fly zone over Libya (13-Mar-2011)
- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control (24-Sep-2014)
****
**** Arab League plays it safe by only condemning Israel and terrorism
****
The split in the Arab world is being further confounded by the fact
that one of the Arab League members, Oman, seems to be increasingly
siding with Iran on issues dividing that country and Saudi Arabia.
Some reports have even suggested that Oman is serving as an
intermediary between Iran and the Houthis in Yemen, even to the extent
of turning a blind to the smuggling of Iranian weapons to the Houthis
in Yemen.
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, who was a guest at the Arab
League summit, said, Divisions in the Arab world have opened the door
to foreign intervention and manipulation, breeding instability,
sectarian strife, and terrorism."
Because the Arab League has no solutions to any of the serious
problems facing the Arab world, Wednesday's summit meeting focused on
the only safe subjects that everyone could agree on: Israel and
terrorism.
Jordan's King Abdullah, who was hosting the meeting, summarized these
issues:
> [indent]<QUOTE>"It is therefore our duty to protect [young Arabs]
> from distortions to their religion and ideological beliefs, since
> terrorism poses a greater threat to Arabs and Muslims, who make up
> the majority of its victims. ...
>
> Israel’s continued settlement expansion and its work to undermine
> chances for peace. There can be no peace, no stability in the
> region without a just and comprehensive solution to the
> Palestinian cause, the core issue of the Middle East, based on the
> two-state solution."<END QUOTE>[/indent]
If you're an Arab, it's always safe to wish for an end to terrorist.
Furthermore, it's also safe to to talk criticize Israel, and to call
for the adoption of the "two-state solution" to the
Israeli-Palestinian crisis, which would be a Palestinian state living
in peace side-by-side with the state of Israel, which could only work
in a fairy tale.
The prediction that I first posted in May 2003, just after President George Bush announced his Mideast
Roadmap to Peace, is just as true today as it was then: Jews and Arabs
are headed for a new generational crisis war, re-fighting the 1948-49
genocidal war between Jews and Arabs that followed the partitioning of
Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel.
Today, no one serious believes that the two-state solution is ever
going to work, or that terrorism is going to do anything but continue
to increase. Still, the Arab League has to call for something, and
calling for fantasies is the safest thing to do. Middle East Eye and Arab News and
Petra (Jordan) and Washington Post
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Arab League, Arab Spring, Tunisia, Egypt,
Yemen, Houthis, Libya, Syria, Bashar al-Assad,
Iran, Hezbollah, Saudi Arabia,
Beirut Lebanon, Sanaa Yemen, Baghdad Iraq, Damascus Syria,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Oman, Antonio Guterres, King Abdullah, Israel, Palestine
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
