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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 17-May-17 World View -- Central African Republic violence threatens new spread of Ebola from Congo

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Christian vs Muslim violence continues to spread across Central African Republic
  • CAR refugees threaten to spread Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo

****
**** Christian vs Muslim violence continues to spread across Central African Republic
****


[Image: g170516b.jpg]
Hospital in Bangassou, Central African Republic, where civilians are fleeing violence (MSF)

The generational crisis civil war in Central African Republic (CAR)
has been going on since 2013, when nomadic mostly-Muslim herder tribes
form "Séléka" militias and began committing atrocities against
Christians, triggering revenge attacks by Christians who formed
"anti-Balaka" militias and began committing atrocities against
Muslims.

Since then, United Nations peacekeeping forces have been usually able
to keep the two sides apart within Bangui, the nation's capital. But
CAR is a huge country, and sectarian atrocities with Christian
anti-Balaka militias massacring and committing atrocities against
Muslim Séléka people, and vice-versa, has continued and grown across
the country, especially in rural areas that are completely out of
reach of UN peacekeeping forces.

In March, I reported on tribal violence in Bambari and Bria,
in the center of the country. What
was different about that situation is that the fault lines were more
ethnic than religious: farmer tribes and herder tribes are aligning
against each other, sometimes ignoring religion. New reports indicate
that violence in that region continues, despite efforts by UN
peacekeepers.

Now there are reports of major new and growing violence in and around
the town of Bangassou, a border town in southeastern CAR on the border
with the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Armed anti-Balaka
militias attacked Muslim neighborhoods, killing dozens of civilians in
several villages.

According to the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Zeid Ra’ad Al
Hussein, violence is spreading and growing in rural areas in the
southeast, center and western portions of CAR:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"Violence and rising tensions are spreading to areas
> of the Central African Republic that had previously been spared
> the kinds of terrifying violence seen in some other parts of the
> country – this is highly worrying and should set off loud alarm
> bells.
>
> The hard-earned relative calm in Bangui and some of the bigger
> towns in CAR risks being eclipsed by the descent of some rural
> areas into increasing sectarian violence, with defenseless
> civilians – as usual – paying the highest price."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

From the point of Generational Dynamics, none of this is surprising.
As I've explained in the past, CAR's last generational crisis war was
the 1928-1931 Kongo-Wara Rebellion ("War of the Hoe Handle"), which
was a very long time ago, putting CAR today deep into a generational
Crisis era, where a new crisis civil war has already started.

The United Nations officials hope that by sending a few hundred
peacekeepers here and there, they can get the entire country to go
back to the way they were in 2013, but that's not the way generational
crisis wars work. This war has to expend a great deal more violence
before it can end and, like every generational crisis war, will not
end until there's some kind of explosive genocidal climax that will be
remembered for decades, or even centuries. UN Office of Human Relations and Relief Web and Reuters and Anadolu

Related Articles

****
**** CAR refugees threaten to spread Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo
****


Thousands of families have been running from the violence in the
border town Bangassou in southeastern CAR, and fleeing into northern
Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Concerns have been raised because
there is a new outbreak of the Ebola virus in a remote DRC region
about 250 km from the CAR border, and it's feared that some CAR
civilians might become sick and carry the virus back to CAR, where it
could spread rapidly.

As of Monday's situation report, the World Health Organization (WHO)
has identified 19 cases of Ebola in the northern region of the DRC,
with 3 deaths. The DRC strain is the deadliest known, more deadly
than the Ebola strain that spread through western Africa two years
ago. The WHO hopes that the lessons learned from the last epidemic
will be successfully used to prevent a new epidemic. Already,
emergency plans are being set up in airports to prevent the spread
from country to country.

This is the eighth outbreak of Ebola virus since it was discovered in
the DRC in 1976. Center for Infectious Disease Research (CIDRAP) and Independent (South Africa) and Vanguard (Nigeria)

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Central African Republic, CAR,
Bangui, Bambari, Bria, Bangassou, Séléka, anti-Balaka,
Democratic Republic of Congo, DRC,
Zeid Ra’ad Al Hussein,
Kongo-Wara Rebellion, War of the Hoe Handle, Ebola,
World Health Organization, WHO, Nigeria

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John J. Xenakis
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17-May-17 World View -- Central African Republic violence threatens new spread of Ebo - by John J. Xenakis - 05-16-2017, 09:48 PM
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