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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 28-Jul-17 World View -- UK to send warships to South China Sea, as China's neighbors militarize

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • UK to send warships to South China Sea, as China's neighbors militarize
  • South China Sea countries build larger navies, preparing for war with China

****
**** UK to send warships to South China Sea, as China's neighbors militarize
****


[Image: g170727b.jpg]
Britain's 'colossal' new aircraft carrier, the HMS Queen Elizabeth (Guardian)

Britain's Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson says that the first mission
of the UK's two brand new aircraft carriers will be to conduct freedom
of navigation operations in the South China Sea, something that will
infuriate the Chinese. Speaking to an Australian audience, Johnson
said:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"One of the first things we will do with the two new
> colossal aircraft carriers that we have just built is send them on
> a freedom of navigation operation to this area, to vindicate our
> belief in the rules-based international system and in the freedom
> of navigation through those waterways which are absolutely vital
> for world trade."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

The UK’s newest aircraft carrier, the HMS Queen Elizabeth, is the
largest ship ever built for the Royal Navy. It is undergoing its
maiden sea trials off the coast of Scotland and is expected to be
accepted by the navy towards the end of the year. The second ship in
the class, the HMS Prince of Wales, is being fitted out in the Rosyth
dock and will be officially named in September.

Australia's Foreign Minister Julie Bishop responded to Johnson by
reaffirming the close relationship between Britain and Australia:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"In a volatile and unpredictable world it is more
> important than ever to nurture the friendships that we know best
> and that matter to us the most and with people we trust the
> most. ...
>
> We had a long discussion about the Pacific and the opportunities
> for deeper British engagement in our part of the world. ... We
> also see the United Kingdom as being a natural partner with us in
> the development and security of the Pacific."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

Boris Johnson's announcement comes at a particularly bad time for
China's president Xi Jinping, because he's trying to strengthen his
political position in the bloody back-stabbing leadership of the
Chinese Communist Party ahead of the Party Congress that begins in
October. Thus, Xi may feel pressured to take some kind of action or
make some kind of threat in response to the UK announcement. Guardian (London) and Vice News


****
**** South China Sea countries build larger navies, preparing for war with China
****


China's has always been following a "salami-slicing strategy" of lying
about its intentions while building up a vast military naval power in
the South China Sea, consisting of artificial islands and military
bases that were originally claimed to be "environmental research
projects." The 2016 ruling by the United Nations Permanent Court of
Arbitration (PCA) in the Hague completely eviscerated China's
so-called 'Nine-Dash Line' claims to the South China Sea, and
essentially made China an international criminal.

Each step in the salami-slicing strategy was supposed to be small
enough not to raise alarms, but in fact it has raised alarms in all of
China's neighbors. The result is that the entire region is
militarizing, in preparation for war with China.
  • Vietnam has recently acquired six Russian Kilo-class
    submarines, specialized for missions in shallow waters and for defense
    against enemy ships and submarines. Vietnam has recently procured six
    Metal Shark patrol boats and a Hamilton-class cutter from the United
    States.

  • The BRP Gregorio del Pilar is the flagship of the Philippine Navy.
    It was a former US Coast Guard cutter acquired by the Philippines in
    2012, and it's already been in a confrontation with China in
    Scarborough Shoal.

  • Singapore has put six Formidable-class stealth ships into service,
    all built in France.

  • Indonesia is buying new ships from the Netherlands, while Germany
    is supplying warships to Malaysia and Brunei.

Vietnam in particular has been going on a weapons shopping spree from
Russia. Vietnam recently placed a huge order for 64 T-90 Main Battle
Tanks, four S-400 Triumf Surface-to-Air missiles and new fighter jets,
likely MIG-35s, to replace their now-retired MiG-21s.

At the same time, there have been recent reports that the Trump
administration has changed America's South China Sea strategy to one
that's more assertive than the one that the Obama administration
pursued. President Obama vetoed many "freedom of navigation
operations" (FONOPS) in the South China Sea, for fear of angering the
Chinese. But President Trump will approve frequent FONOPS, so that
they'll be pursued on a frequent basis. The result is that there have
already recently been three such operations in the South China Sea,
starting with one on May 24.

Hitler tried a salami-slicing strategy in Europe in 1939, first
annexing Austria and then Czechoslovakia. Those victories emboldened
Hitler, who thought he could get away with anything. But then when
Hitler invaded Poland, WW II began.

China's salami-slicing step by step Anschluss of the South China Sea
has been very successful so far, but these successes have emboldened
China, whose leaders think they can get away with anything. China is
a highly militarized international criminal state, but at some point
they'll go one step to far, and bring an enormous catastrophe on
themselves and the world. Deutsche Welle (Berlin) and Raddington Report and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong) and Times of India

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Britain, Boris Johnson, South China Sea,
HMS Queen Elizabeth, HMS Prince of Wales, Australia, Julie Bishop,
China, Xi Jinping, Salami-slicing strategy, nine-dash line
United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration, PCA,
Vietnam, Philippines, Singapore, Indonesia

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28-Jul-17 World View -- UK to send warships to South China Sea, as China's neighbors - by John J. Xenakis - 07-27-2017, 10:15 PM
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