08-12-2017, 01:48 PM
(08-12-2017, 01:04 PM)Cynic Hero Wrote: Xenakis' GD analysis of the current crisis is flawed because it omits possibilities. First It mentions the threat of a North Korean Attack yet never mentions the possibility of the US striking first to disarm North Korea by nuclear strike. Regarding the Indian Border Xenakis mentions China either attacking and grabbing the disputed territories or grabbing those territories and miscalculating causing a much larger war than anticipated, BUT Xenakis never mentions the possibility of India striking first or China attacking the border and getting repulsed possibly losing strategic positions at the border as a result.
He was a little fairer this time in acknowledging Crimea as an example of this kind of pushing the limits.
(08-12-2017, 09:55 AM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ... the more
successful these efforts are to prevent war, the more risky things
people do. We see this with Russia in Crimea, China in the South
China Sea and with North Korea's nuclear weapons development.
But yes, the US should be included; the Iraq war might be a good example. And yes, India and others are also candidates for performing the precipitating event.