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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 26-Aug-17 World View -- Thailand's former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra flees to Dubai

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Thailand's former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra flees to Dubai
  • Collapse of Thailand's democracy
  • Brief generational history of Thailand

****
**** Thailand's former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra flees to Dubai
****


[Image: g170825b.jpg]
Yingluck Shinawatra has fled Thailand to escape sentencing

Police in Bangkok, the capital city of Thailand, are searching for
former Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, for whom an arrest warrant
was issued after she failed to show up for a sentencing hearing which
might have put her in jail for decades. Her commerce minister,
Boonsong Teriyapirom, did show up for sentencing, and was sentenced to
42 years in jail.

Yingluck became prime minister in 2011, after winning an election decisively,
after a campaign in which
she promised to use 'femininity' to resolve disputes.

However, she was ousted by a military coup in 2014. The ruling
military junta then impeached her retroactively and froze her assets.
She was then tried and convicted for improperly administering a rice
subsidy program that that mostly targeted the poor indigenous
Thai-Thai people in northern Thailand.

She was to be sentenced on Friday, but she failed to show up in court,
and is now believed to have fled to another country, such as
Singapore, Hong Kong or Dubai. Her location has not been confirmed,
but unnamed sources say that she's joined her brother in Dubai.

Her brother is former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, a
telecommunications magnate turned politician who was ousted as prime
minister in 2006 and fled the country in 2008 when he was convicted
for conflict of interest. Since then, he's been living in exile in
Dubai and London.

Both Yingluck and Thaksin are extremely popular. The ruling military
junta is being blamed for letting her escape, but there are suspicions
that they purposely let her go, rather than risk massive protests if
she were sent to jail. The Nation (Thailand) and Straits Times (Singapore) and CNN

Related Articles

****
**** Collapse of Thailand's democracy
****


Thailand adopted a constitution in 1997 that was supposed to guarantee
that the country would be governed by free and fair democratic
elections. Unfortunately for the country's Thai-Chinese elite
minority, the winners of the last five elections have all been
candidates from the Pheu Thai political party, which represents the
interests of the Thai-Thai indigenous population.

On the one side, you have the market-dominant "yellow shirt"
light-skinned elites, also called "Thai-Chinese," since almost all of
them are descendants of Chinese, comprising about 1/4 of the
population, living mostly around the capital city Bangkok.

On the other side, you have the "red shirt" dark-skinned lower class
indigenous people, also called "Thai-Thai," comprising about 3/4 of
the population, living mostly in the northern and northeastern regions
of Thailand, but who come to Bangkok mostly to work in menial jobs
serving the Thai-Chinese.

Obviously, if elections are fought along ethnic lines, then the party
representing the Thai-Thai is going to win every time. The yellow
shirt elites have used a variety of techniques, from violent protests
to army coups, to overturn these elections. The Thai-Thai hero
Thaksin Shinawatra was prime minister until 2006, when an army coup
forced him out of office. His sister Yingluck was forced out
of office in 2014.

Incidentally, my favorite story in this saga occurred in December
2008. ( "Thailand government collapses, ending crippling riots from class war"
.) A
candidate representing Thai-Thai, Samak Sundaravej, had been elected
prime minister. After violent protests by the yellow shirts, he was
forced to step down, because a court removed him from office because
he had previously had a cooking show on tv, and that was somehow
considered a conflict of interest. That's how ridiculous Thailand's
government has become.

So the ruling military junta is under pressure to allow new elections,
but everybody knows that the Thai-Thai candidate, possibly even
another member of the Shinawatra family, will win again. So the junta
is amending the constitution to make sure that only the elite
Thai-Chinese win elections. Bangkok Post

****
**** Brief generational history of Thailand
****


Part of Thailand's history was made famous by Anna Leonowens, who came
from London to Siam (as it was known then) to be the governess and
teacher of the many children of King Mongkut (Rama IV) in the 1860s.
In 1895, she wrote memoirs that were turned into a film, "Anna and the
King of Siam" in 1946, and into the 1952 Rodgers and Hammerstein
Broadway musical, "The King and I."

If you have a few minutes, then watch the YouTube video of "The
March of the Siamese Children," from the 1956 film, "The King and I."
It depicts Anna's first meeting with the children.

The play depicts a troubled king trying to lead a small country
surrounded by large enemies, and willing to use invasion, torture and
other atrocities.

King Rama had fought a generational crisis war in the early 1830s when
he had invaded Laos and Cambodia, but ended up losing to a Vietnamese
army.

Siam's next generational crisis war occurred in what is now southern
Thailand. For centuries, Siam's kings had felt that the Muslims in
southern Siam were a major threat to the security of the country,
mainly because resistance and rebellion against Thai government rule
were so strong among the Muslim population, and in fact the
southern Muslims had revolted during the 1830s crisis war.

By the late 1800s this threat had been felt to be critical, and in
1902 King Rama V invaded and annexed the Malay kingdom of Patani,
consisting of the four provinces of Satun, Yala, Pattani and
Narathiwat. (Note: The kingdom is spelled "Patani," while the
province is spelled "Pattani.") In 1909, an Anglo-Siamese Agreement
established the present border between Thailand and Malaysia.

During the next few decades, Siam (which became Thailand in 1939) was
faced with the problem of trying to assimilate the southern Muslim
population into what is essentially a Buddhist country. During the
generational Awakening era that followed, the military coup of 1932
overthrew the absolute monarchy in Siam and replaced it with
constitutional monarchy. This was a representative form of government
that promised a high degree of political participation of the
Malay-Muslims in the South. However, as World War II (an Awakening
era war for Thailand) approached, the country became more
Thai-nationalistic, and the country adopted a policy of forced
assimilation towards the Muslims, which had little success,
as resistance and rebellion have continued since then.

The 1930s also saw a large influx of migrants from China, coming to
the country to work. Over the decades, they were able to displace the
indigenous people in positions of power in government, and in control
of businesses. This formed an ethnic fault line between the
indigenous Thai-Thai majority and the elite Thai-Chinese minority.

The next generational crisis war was the Cambodian "killing fields"
war, 1975-79, in which Pol Pot's communist Khmer Rouge government,
backed by China, killed almost ten million people in a massive
genocide. The Cambodian war spilled over into Thailand in the form of
a communist rebellion that had begun in the 1960s. King Bhumibol
(Rama IX) became an essential figure in the fight against the
communists, although his role became more controversial in the savage
anti-leftist coup of 1976, in which dozens of students were brutally
killed by the security forces and royal-backed militias, and thousands
forced to flee to seek sanctuary with the Communist Party.

The Cambodian "killing fields" civil war took place on Thailand's
doorstep, though not on Thai soil. Still, it caused a split along the
Thai-Thai versus Thai-Chinese fault line that continues to the present
time. Today, Thailand is in a new generational Awakening/Unraveling
era, and we're seeing a repeat of what happened in the 1930s.

During the generational Awakening era of the 1930s, the military
coup of 1932 overthrew the absolute monarchy in Siam and replaced it
with constitutional monarchy that gave some power to the southern
Muslims, only to have it taken away a few years later.

During the current era, the 1997 constitution guaranteed free
elections for everyone, including the indigenous Thai-Thai,
and now that's being taken away by a military junta.

History doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes. Yale: Thailand’s Response to the Cambodian Genocide and Cornell: History and Politics of the Muslims in Thailand (PDF)

Related Articles

KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Thailand, Yingluck Shinawatra, Boonsong Teriyapirom,
Thai-Thai, red shirts, Thai-Chinese, yellow shirts, Thaksin Shinawatra,
Samak Sundaravej, Anna Leonowens, Siam, King Mongkut, Rama IV,
Anna and the King of Siam, Rodgers and Hammerstein, The King and I,
Rama V, Malaysia, Kingdom of Patani, Satun, Yala, Pattani, Narathiwat,
China, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia, Killing fields, King Bhumibol, Rama IX

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26-Aug-17 World View -- Thailand's former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra flees to - by John J. Xenakis - 08-25-2017, 10:42 PM
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