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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 15-Sep-17 World View -- Burma's (Myanmar's) ethnic cleansing of Rohingyas leading to humanitarian catastrophe

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Burma's (Myanmar's) ethnic cleansing of Rohingyas leading to humanitarian catastrophe
  • At press conference, Boris Johnson and Rex Tillerson make delusional statements
  • Rohingya genocide forces India to choose between Burma and Bangladesh
  • North Korea fires another ballistic missile over Japan

****
**** Burma's (Myanmar's) ethnic cleansing of Rohingyas leading to humanitarian catastrophe
****


[Image: g170914b.jpg]
Aung San Suu Kyi giving her ironic Nobel Peace Prize lecture in 2012, wherein she called for international protection of refugees

Genocide and ethnic cleansing of Muslim Rohingyas in northern Rakhine
state by Burma's Buddhist army continues.

According to the United nations, 389,000 Rohingyas have fled into
Bangladesh since August 25, 10,000 in just the last 24 hours. 60% of
those arriving are children. Dozens are being killed or losing limbs
by tripping land mines placed by Burma's army on the border with
Bangladesh.

Within Bangladesh, there's a catastrophic humanitarian crisis.
Bangladesh officials are restricting NGOs from delivering food, water
and other humanitarian aid to the hundreds of thousands of Rohingyas,
because that would only encourage them to stay. Bangladesh officials
are insisting that Burma must take back all the Rohingyas that have
fled across the border. Burmese officials are refusing, or saying
that they'll only take back the ones who have papers proving Burmese
citizenship -- which none of them have.

Starting in 2011, Buddhists have been attacking Muslims in villages
across Burma, particularly the 1.1 million ethnic Rohingyas in Rakhine
State. Mobs of Buddhists have attacked Muslims, conducting atrocities
including torture and rape, killing hundreds and forcing hundreds of
thousands to leave their homes to flee from the attacks. Buddhist
civilians have joined the Burmese army in burning down entire Rohingya
villages to the ground. On August 25, Rohingya activists retaliated
with carried out coordinated attacks against 30 Burma police outposts.
This triggered massive violence by Buddhist civilians and the Buddhist
army.

United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres said that the
attacks by Burmese security forces on Rohingyas are "completely
unacceptable." He told reporters:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"The humanitarian situation it is catastrophic. When
> we met last week there was 125,000 Rohingya refugees who had fled
> into Bangladesh. That number has now tripled to nearly 380,000.
> Many are staying in makeshift settlements or with those
> communities who are generously sharing what they have. But women
> and children are arriving hungry and malnourished.
>
> [Question: Is this ethnic cleansing?]
>
> A third of the [Rohingya] population had to flee the country - can
> you find a better word to describe it?"<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

BBC and
AP

****
**** At press conference, Boris Johnson and Rex Tillerson make delusional statements
****


From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the word
"catastrophic" certainly does apply to this situation, not just
because of the humanitarian aspects, but because of the explosive
nature of this event for entire region.

Long-time readers are aware that I keep pointing out that it's a core
principle of Generational Dynamics that, even in a dictatorship, major
decisions are made by masses of people, by generations of people. The
attitudes of politicians are irrelevant, except insofar as they
represent the attitudes of the people. So, for example, the Holocaust
and World War II would have occurred with or without Adolf Hitler. It
was the masses of German people who brought about the Holocaust, not
Adolf Hitler.

So it's true that Burmese officials, including Aung San Suu Kyi, are
to be condemned for supporting and conducting genocide and ethnic
cleansing targeting the Rohingyas. But it's the masses of Buddhist
Burman people who are bringing about the genocide and ethnic cleansing
of the Rohingyas, as we described last week,
as acts of revenge for what happened in World War II.
At that time, the Buddhists were on the side of the Imperial Japanese,
fighting the British colonists and the Rohingyas. There were massive
atrocities committed on all sides, and those atrocities by the
Buddhist Burmans, by the Muslim Rohingyas, and by the Christian
British, are now being paid back. As that article describes, the
murderous Buddhist hatred for the Rohingyas is deep and entrenched,
and cannot be changed by some vote in the UN Security Council.

So that's why statements by Britain's Foreign Minister Boris Johnson
and US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson at a press conference in
London on Thursday are naïve to the point of being delusional.

Boris Johnson said (my transcription):

> [indent]<QUOTE>"To answer directly your point about Daw Suu state
> counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi - let's be clear. She led Burma
> after a period of decades of repression by a military junta. And
> I yield to no one in my admiration of what she stood for, and the
> way she fought for democracy. I think many people around the
> world share that admiration. But I think it's now vital for her
> to use that moral capital and that authority to make the point
> about the suffering of the people of Rakhine.
>
> And I think - nobody wants to see a return to military rule in
> Burma. Nobody wants to see a return of the generals. But it's
> also vital that the civilian government and that is Daw Suu - for
> whom as I say I have a great deal of administration - but it is
> vital for her now to make clear that this is an abomination, and
> that those people will be allowed back, to Burma - and that
> preparation is being made, and that the abuse of their human
> rights and the killings hundreds, perhaps even thousands, the
> killings will stop."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

For an example of very deep historical irony, read Aung San Suu Kyi'
"Nobel Peace Prize Lecture" when she won the Nobel Peace Prize in
2012: Nobel Prize Foundation

Boris Johnson obviously has great affection for Aung San Suu Kyi, whom
he calls by a familiar name Daw Suu, but if Daw Suu were suddenly to
express any sympathy for the Rohingyas, and for the atrocities, rapes
and murders that her government is perpetrating on the Rohingyas, she
would probably raped or murdered herself. As Leo Tolstoy says,
describing Napoleon's invasion of Russia, where "millions of Christian
men killed and tortured each other": "Had Napoleon then forbidden [his
soldiers] to fight the Russians, they would have killed him and have
proceeded to fight the Russians because it was inevitable."

So now let's turn to Rex Tillerson's statement:

> [indent]<QUOTE>"With respect to the horrors that we are witnessing,
> occurring in Burma, I think it is a defining moment in many ways
> for this new emerging democracy - although it is a power sharing
> arrangement - we all clearly understand that - and so we
> appreciate the difficult and complex situation Aung San Suu Kyi
> finds herself in, and I think it is important that the global
> community speak out in support of what we all know is the
> expectation is towards the treatment of people, regardless of
> their ethnicity, and that this violence must STOP, this
> persecution must STOP, it's been characterized by many as ethnic
> cleansing - that must STOP. And we need to support Aung San Suu
> Kyi and her leadership, but also be very clear and unequivocal to
> the military power sharing in that government that this is
> unacceptable, and this is going to many ways define the direction
> that Burma will take. They need our strong support, we should
> give them our strong support."<END QUOTE>
[/indent]

This statement is just a delusional as Boris Johnson's statement. The
violence will not stop, the persecution will not stop, and the ethnic
cleansing will not stop. Even if some agreement could be reached for
a ceasefire, it would be only a temporary ceasefire.

Except for North Korea, the situation with the Rohingyas is probably
the most dangerous in the world right now, the most likely to trigger
a major war.

It's expected that hundreds of thousands more Rohingyas will flee
Burma for Bangladesh, where they're not wanted. This is going to
bring about a great deal more Rohingya activism, and terrorist attacks
in Burma. At some point, Bangladesh may feel it necessary to take
military action to force the Rohingyas back to Burma, the only
alternative being to set up huge new refugee camps. Jihadists from
Saudi Arabia to Indonesia are taking notice of the atrocities that the
Buddhists in Burma are perpetrating on the Muslim Rohingyas, and it's
almost certain that there will be backlash from al-Qaeda. Telegraph (London) and AFP and Reuters

Related: Burma's ethnic cleansing of Rohingyas witnessed by BBC reporter (09-Sep-2017)

****
**** Rohingya genocide forces India to choose between Burma and Bangladesh
****


India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi initially took a position
completely on the side of Burma, with the foreign ministry saying that
India stands firmly with Myanmar in its "fight against terrorism."

This came on the heels of an announcement by the home office that
India would deport its entire Rohingya population, thought to number
about 40,000.

According to an Indian analysis, there are several reasons why Modi
sided so heavily with Burma, and against Bangladesh and the Rohingyas:
  • One, Myanmar helps India tackle insurgency threats in the
    latter’s northeastern states.

  • Two, Myanmar is key to the success of India’s Act East policy.
    The purpose of this policy, announced in 2014, is to promote security,
    stability and prosperity of the northeastern states of India, and this
    requires cooperation with Myanmar. (However, it also requires
    cooperation with Bangladesh.).

  • Three, a public condemnation of Myanmar will only push it closer
    to China. Myanmar is anyway dependent on Beijing’s veto in the UN
    Security Council should the Rohingyas issue reach there.

  • Four, India is also aware of the possible role of Pakistan-based
    terror groups like Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) in the 25 August terrorist
    attacks by Rohingya activists.

It's significant that Myanmar has announced categorically that its
territory will not be allowed to be used for militant activities
against India.

However, Narendra Modi has had to slightly modify his policy, by
acknowledging the seriousness of the situation caused by the flow or
refugees. The reasons are:
  • Like Myanmar, Bangladesh too is important to India’s
    counter-insurgency efforts and Act East policy.

  • Bangladesh's pro-India government is threatened by a domestic
    backlash because of the massive rush of refugees, and this backlash
    would be strengthened by India's full support for Myanmar.

  • India's full support for Myanmar's policies would strengthen the
    cooperation between anti-India elements in both Bangladesh and
    Pakistan.

India is walking a tightrope between Myanmar and Bangladesh, but has
not yet been able to condemn Myanmar’s excessive use of force in the
Rakhine state. Live Mint (India) and Swarajya (India) and BBC (5-Sep)

****
**** North Korea fires another ballistic missile over Japan
****


[Image: g170914c.jpg]
Map showing that the new missile test is considerably more powerful than the previous one on August 29, and that Guam is now within reach (Korea Times)

As I'm writing this on Thursday evening ET, North Korea has launched
another ballistic missile.

Several leaders and analysts have come out with strong hard-hitting
statements like, "This is completely unacceptable," and "No one's
going to tolerate this sort of thing."

The United Nations Security Council will have another emergency
meeting on Friday. Korea Times

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Burma, Myanmar,
Buddhists, Burmans, Muslims, Rohingyas,
Aung San Suu Kyi, Bangladesh, António Guterres,
Boris Johnson, Rex Tillerson, Leo Tolstoy, Napoleon,
India, Narendra Modi, Pakistan, North Korea

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John J. Xenakis
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15-Sep-17 World View -- Burma's (Myanmar's) ethnic cleansing of Rohingyas leading to - by John J. Xenakis - 09-14-2017, 10:22 PM
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