09-29-2017, 10:15 PM
*** 30-Sep-17 World View -- Steve Bannon and Henry Kissinger form project to sound alarm on China
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Steve Bannon and Henry Kissinger form project to sound alarm on China
****
![[Image: g170929b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g170929b.jpg)
Henry Kissinger shares a meal with Chinese premier Zhou Enlai, Beijing, 1972
According to an interview in Bloomberg Businessweek, Steve Bannon and
Henry Kissinger have had several meetings, and are preparing a project
to sound the alarm about what Bannon views as the primary economic
threat to America:
<QUOTE>"If we don’t get our situation sorted with China,
we’ll be destroyed economically. The forced technology transfer
of American innovation to China is the single biggest economic and
business issue of our time. Until we sort that out, they will
continue to appropriate our innovation to their own system and
leave us as a colony—our Jamestown to their Great Britain, a
tributary state."<END QUOTE>
This is a bit of hyperbole, referring to England's Jamestown Colony of
Virginia, formed in 1607, but it illustrates the fear that Bannon is
presenting of a reversal of roles between China and America, with
China becoming the dominant world economic power.
Henry Kissinger, 94, was the Secretary of State in the administration
of Richard Nixon whose "secret meeting" with China in 1971 permitted
Nixon to "open China to the West" and invigorate US-China relations.
As an international consultant, Kissinger has visited China more than
80 times since then. He's considered by many to be the most brilliant
geopolitical strategist of our time. Most recently, Bannon met with
Kissinger twice in September at Kissinger's country home in
Connecticut.
Both Bannon and Kissinger are experts on world and military history,
and Bannon is also an expert on Generational Dynamics, so he
understands that a new war between China and the US is approaching.
As regular readers know, I've worked with Steve Bannon off and on for
almost ten years.
Bannon frames the conflict with China in economic terms. He says that
China is harming the U.S. by engaging in unfair trade practices, such
as the forced transfer of U.S. technology to Chinese companies.
According to Bannon, China’s historical disposition toward trading
partners is exploitative and potentially ruinous:
<QUOTE>"There have been 4,000 years of Chinese diplomatic
history, all centered on ‘barbarian management,’ minus the last
150 years. ...
It’s always about making the barbarians a tributary state. Our
tribute to China is our technology -- that’s what it takes to
enter their market, and [they’ve taken] $3.5 trillion worth over
the last 10 years. We have to give them the basic essence of
American capitalism: our innovation."<END QUOTE>
What does Henry Kissinger think of all this? As it happens, Kissinger
spoke at a Columbia University conference earlier this week. Possibly
with his meetings with Bannon in mind, his speech emphasized that
America and China must have been economic relations to avoid World War
III and global destruction:
<QUOTE>"China’s Belt and Road Initiative, in seeking to
connect China to Central Asia and eventually to Europe will have
the practical significance of shifting the world’s center of
gravity from the Atlantic to the Pacific and will involve the
cultures of Eurasia, each of whom will have to decide what
relationship to this region they will see, and so will the United
States.
It is said by many scholars that never before has a power grown in
one region as China is doing and that its interaction will lead to
tensions and maybe even war. We do not have this choice. That
would be a road to the disaster and would do to the world what
World War II did to Europe."<END QUOTE>
Bannon and Kissinger share the view that China and America are headed
for a world war, and both are them are (in my view) desperately
looking for a way to avoid it, by means of an economic alliance.
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, avoiding this world
war is impossible. In every century for millennia, every continent of
the world has had massive wars that have killed half the population.
In the last century, there were two world wars, plus additional
massive wars in Africa, China, South America and South Asia. That
this will happen in this century is 100% certain. Bloomberg Businessweek and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong)
Related Articles
****
**** Taiwan's prime minister says that Taiwan is an 'independent sovereign state'
****
With the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP's) 19th Party Congress set to
begin in Beijing on October 18, China's president Xi Jinping is facing
a new embarrassment, as Taiwan's prime minister William Lai Ching-te
said on Tuesday to Taiwan's Legislative Yuan (Parliament) that Taiwan
is an "independent sovereign state."
Lai, 57, took office on September 8. His long-held views on Taiwan's
independence from China were certainly well known to Taiwan's
president Tsai Ing-wen when she appointed him, and it's even possible
that the timing was chosen now, just before the Party Congress, to
annoy Xi Jinping.
Lai delivered his first policy report to the legislature on Tuesday,
and said:
<QUOTE>"“I am a political worker who advocates Taiwan
independence, but I am also a pragmatic pro-Taiwan independence
theorist.
We are already an independent sovereign nation called the Republic
of China. We don't need a separate declaration of
independence."<END QUOTE>
There was immediately a great deal of media speculation, in Taiwan and
in China, as to what this means, and whether it indicates a change in
Taiwan policy.
President Tsai Ing-wen issued a statement saying that her
administration has never changed its position that "the Republic of
China is a sovereign independent country," nor has it changed its
dedication to peace in the region and maintaining stability in the
Taiwan Strait.
However, both Lai and Tsai have refused to endorse the "One-China
policy," also called the "1992 Consensus," which states that there is
only one China, and leaves some ambiguity as to what that means.
Furthermore, Tsai has said in the past that "We won't allow our
sovereignty to be challenged or be exchanged for anything." It was
Tsai's implicit support for independence that allowed her
pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to win decisively
in January 2016.
China's government responded on Wednesday:
<QUOTE>"The mainland and Taiwan belong to China, and their
relations are never state-to-state relationships, nor one China,
one Taiwan. As an inseparable part of the Chinese territory,
Taiwan is never a country, and can never become one.
Taiwan is an inseparable part of Chinese territory, has never been
a country and can never become a country.
The mainland side resolutely opposes any form of ‘Taiwan
independence’ words or action, and will never allow the historical
tragedy of national separation to repeat itself. The consequences
will be reaped for engaging in Taiwan independence
separatism."<END QUOTE>
This threat of "consequences" is based on China's "anti-secession
law." This law, passed by the Chinese Communist Party in 2005,
requires China to invade Taiwan if Taiwan makes any move toward
independence, whether by word or by deed. Arguably, the preconditions
for such an invasion have been met repeatedly since Tsai took office.
As the 19th Party Congress approaches, Xi Jinping has suffered several
recent humiliations and setbacks, including the decision for China's
army to stand down from invading Bhutan's Doklam Plateau, rather than
risk a war with India at this time. Perhaps even more significant,
the belligerent actions by North Korea have forced Xi to take actions
that support the United States over North Korea. This new humiliation
over Taiwan certain cannot be pleasant, and he may feel forced, after
the Party Congress, to take some action over the political need to
score a win. Reuters and Xinhua and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong) and China Post (Taiwan) and New Bloom (Taiwan)
Related Articles
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Steve Bannon, Henry Kissinger,
China, Richard Nixon, Chinese Communist Party, CCP,
Xi Jinping, 19th Party Congress, Taiwan,
William Lai Ching-te, Tsai Ing-wen, One China Policy,
India, Bhutan, Doklam Plateau, North Korea
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Steve Bannon and Henry Kissinger form project to sound alarm on China
- Taiwan's prime minister says that Taiwan is an 'independent sovereign state'
****
**** Steve Bannon and Henry Kissinger form project to sound alarm on China
****
Henry Kissinger shares a meal with Chinese premier Zhou Enlai, Beijing, 1972
According to an interview in Bloomberg Businessweek, Steve Bannon and
Henry Kissinger have had several meetings, and are preparing a project
to sound the alarm about what Bannon views as the primary economic
threat to America:
<QUOTE>"If we don’t get our situation sorted with China,
we’ll be destroyed economically. The forced technology transfer
of American innovation to China is the single biggest economic and
business issue of our time. Until we sort that out, they will
continue to appropriate our innovation to their own system and
leave us as a colony—our Jamestown to their Great Britain, a
tributary state."<END QUOTE>
This is a bit of hyperbole, referring to England's Jamestown Colony of
Virginia, formed in 1607, but it illustrates the fear that Bannon is
presenting of a reversal of roles between China and America, with
China becoming the dominant world economic power.
Henry Kissinger, 94, was the Secretary of State in the administration
of Richard Nixon whose "secret meeting" with China in 1971 permitted
Nixon to "open China to the West" and invigorate US-China relations.
As an international consultant, Kissinger has visited China more than
80 times since then. He's considered by many to be the most brilliant
geopolitical strategist of our time. Most recently, Bannon met with
Kissinger twice in September at Kissinger's country home in
Connecticut.
Both Bannon and Kissinger are experts on world and military history,
and Bannon is also an expert on Generational Dynamics, so he
understands that a new war between China and the US is approaching.
As regular readers know, I've worked with Steve Bannon off and on for
almost ten years.
Bannon frames the conflict with China in economic terms. He says that
China is harming the U.S. by engaging in unfair trade practices, such
as the forced transfer of U.S. technology to Chinese companies.
According to Bannon, China’s historical disposition toward trading
partners is exploitative and potentially ruinous:
<QUOTE>"There have been 4,000 years of Chinese diplomatic
history, all centered on ‘barbarian management,’ minus the last
150 years. ...
It’s always about making the barbarians a tributary state. Our
tribute to China is our technology -- that’s what it takes to
enter their market, and [they’ve taken] $3.5 trillion worth over
the last 10 years. We have to give them the basic essence of
American capitalism: our innovation."<END QUOTE>
What does Henry Kissinger think of all this? As it happens, Kissinger
spoke at a Columbia University conference earlier this week. Possibly
with his meetings with Bannon in mind, his speech emphasized that
America and China must have been economic relations to avoid World War
III and global destruction:
<QUOTE>"China’s Belt and Road Initiative, in seeking to
connect China to Central Asia and eventually to Europe will have
the practical significance of shifting the world’s center of
gravity from the Atlantic to the Pacific and will involve the
cultures of Eurasia, each of whom will have to decide what
relationship to this region they will see, and so will the United
States.
It is said by many scholars that never before has a power grown in
one region as China is doing and that its interaction will lead to
tensions and maybe even war. We do not have this choice. That
would be a road to the disaster and would do to the world what
World War II did to Europe."<END QUOTE>
Bannon and Kissinger share the view that China and America are headed
for a world war, and both are them are (in my view) desperately
looking for a way to avoid it, by means of an economic alliance.
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, avoiding this world
war is impossible. In every century for millennia, every continent of
the world has had massive wars that have killed half the population.
In the last century, there were two world wars, plus additional
massive wars in Africa, China, South America and South Asia. That
this will happen in this century is 100% certain. Bloomberg Businessweek and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong)
Related Articles
- Donald Trump's speech in Warsaw Poland evokes the Clash of Civilizations (07-Jul-2017)
- Mainstream media frets over Steve Bannon, the Fourth Turning, and Donald Trump (09-Feb-2017)
- President Trump's inauguration speech links today's America to the 1930s (21-Jan-2017)
- How a world war with China would unfold (21-Feb-2014)
****
**** Taiwan's prime minister says that Taiwan is an 'independent sovereign state'
****
With the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP's) 19th Party Congress set to
begin in Beijing on October 18, China's president Xi Jinping is facing
a new embarrassment, as Taiwan's prime minister William Lai Ching-te
said on Tuesday to Taiwan's Legislative Yuan (Parliament) that Taiwan
is an "independent sovereign state."
Lai, 57, took office on September 8. His long-held views on Taiwan's
independence from China were certainly well known to Taiwan's
president Tsai Ing-wen when she appointed him, and it's even possible
that the timing was chosen now, just before the Party Congress, to
annoy Xi Jinping.
Lai delivered his first policy report to the legislature on Tuesday,
and said:
<QUOTE>"“I am a political worker who advocates Taiwan
independence, but I am also a pragmatic pro-Taiwan independence
theorist.
We are already an independent sovereign nation called the Republic
of China. We don't need a separate declaration of
independence."<END QUOTE>
There was immediately a great deal of media speculation, in Taiwan and
in China, as to what this means, and whether it indicates a change in
Taiwan policy.
President Tsai Ing-wen issued a statement saying that her
administration has never changed its position that "the Republic of
China is a sovereign independent country," nor has it changed its
dedication to peace in the region and maintaining stability in the
Taiwan Strait.
However, both Lai and Tsai have refused to endorse the "One-China
policy," also called the "1992 Consensus," which states that there is
only one China, and leaves some ambiguity as to what that means.
Furthermore, Tsai has said in the past that "We won't allow our
sovereignty to be challenged or be exchanged for anything." It was
Tsai's implicit support for independence that allowed her
pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to win decisively
in January 2016.
China's government responded on Wednesday:
<QUOTE>"The mainland and Taiwan belong to China, and their
relations are never state-to-state relationships, nor one China,
one Taiwan. As an inseparable part of the Chinese territory,
Taiwan is never a country, and can never become one.
Taiwan is an inseparable part of Chinese territory, has never been
a country and can never become a country.
The mainland side resolutely opposes any form of ‘Taiwan
independence’ words or action, and will never allow the historical
tragedy of national separation to repeat itself. The consequences
will be reaped for engaging in Taiwan independence
separatism."<END QUOTE>
This threat of "consequences" is based on China's "anti-secession
law." This law, passed by the Chinese Communist Party in 2005,
requires China to invade Taiwan if Taiwan makes any move toward
independence, whether by word or by deed. Arguably, the preconditions
for such an invasion have been met repeatedly since Tsai took office.
As the 19th Party Congress approaches, Xi Jinping has suffered several
recent humiliations and setbacks, including the decision for China's
army to stand down from invading Bhutan's Doklam Plateau, rather than
risk a war with India at this time. Perhaps even more significant,
the belligerent actions by North Korea have forced Xi to take actions
that support the United States over North Korea. This new humiliation
over Taiwan certain cannot be pleasant, and he may feel forced, after
the Party Congress, to take some action over the political need to
score a win. Reuters and Xinhua and South China Morning Post (Hong Kong) and China Post (Taiwan) and New Bloom (Taiwan)
Related Articles
- Kidnapping and sham trial of Lee Ming-che brings China-Taiwan relations to another low (14-Sep-2017)
- In a major victory for China, Panama switches allegiance from Taiwan to China (14-Jun-2017)
- Taiwan's president responds to military threats from China (01-Jan-2017)
- New Taiwan poll shows overwhelming support for independence from China (02-Jun-2016)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Steve Bannon, Henry Kissinger,
China, Richard Nixon, Chinese Communist Party, CCP,
Xi Jinping, 19th Party Congress, Taiwan,
William Lai Ching-te, Tsai Ing-wen, One China Policy,
India, Bhutan, Doklam Plateau, North Korea
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
