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Generational Dynamics World View
#66
I haven't looked at the French Revolution in a long time,
but a quick read of the Wikipedia article reveals the following:

Quote:> The stalemate was broken in the summer of 1794 with dramatic
> French victories. They defeated the allied army at the Battle of
> Fleurus, leading to a full Allied withdrawal from the Austrian
> Netherlands. They followed up by a campaign which swept the allies
> to the east bank of the Rhine and left the French, by the
> beginning of 1795, conquering the Dutch Republic itself. The House
> of Orange was expelled and replaced by the Batavian Republic, a
> French satellite state. These victories led to the collapse of the
> coalition against France. Prussia, having effectively abandoned
> the coalition in the fall of 1794, made peace with revolutionary
> France at Basel in April 1795, and soon thereafter Spain, too,
> made peace with France. Of the major powers, only Britain and
> Austria remained at war with France.

That reads like a crisis war climax in 1794. So the First Turning
Recovery Era began in 1795. You seem to agree with that.

After that, the Directory came to power:

Quote:> The Directory denounced the arbitrary executions of the Reign of
> Terror, but itself engaged in large scale illegal repressions, as
> well as large-scale massacres of civilians in the Vendee
> uprising. The economy continued in bad condition, with the poor
> especially hurt by the high cost of food. A series of financial
> reforms started by the Directory finally took effect after it fell
> from power. Although committed to Republicanism, the Directory
> distrusted democracy. When the elections of 1798 and 1799 were
> carried by the opposition, it used the Army to imprison and exile
> the opposition leaders and close their newspapers. Increasingly it
> depended on the Army in foreign and domestic affairs, as well as
> finance. Finally the Army, under Napoleon, simply deposed the
> Directory on 9 November 1799 (see 18 Brumaire) and set up what
> amounted to a personal dictatorship under Napoleon.

That reads like pretty standard Recovery Era stuff, desperately trying
to recover from the war and imposing new rules and institutions to
prevent anything similar from ever happening again.

After that, Napoleon went on to conquer other countries in order to
consolidate the French Revolution. Each of these battles has to be
analyzed separately to determine whether that individual battle was a
crisis or non-crisis war.

By the way, the invasion of Russia was a non-crisis war for both
France and Russia.

** Book I / Chapter 5 -- Leo Tolstoy's War and Peace
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/pg/w...olstoy.htm

I don't even know what you mean by a sentence like "How than can GD
explain how Alcibiades was able to convince the Athenians to invade
Sicily and restart the war, which then lasted until 404 BC."

Lots of wars, such as the Korean War, start in the First Turning, but
they're non-crisis wars.

How did Charles de Gaulle convince the French to invade Vietnam after
WW II, which then lasted until 1954?
Reply


Messages In This Thread
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-23-2016, 10:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by John J. Xenakis - 06-15-2016, 12:46 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-10-2017, 02:38 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 10-25-2017, 03:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 03:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 06:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-31-2017, 11:14 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 06-22-2018, 02:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-19-2018, 12:43 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-25-2018, 02:18 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 02:11 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Camz - 03-10-2020, 10:10 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
RE: 58 year rule - by John J. Xenakis - 04-02-2020, 12:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Isoko - 05-04-2020, 02:51 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 01-04-2021, 12:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by CH86 - 01-05-2021, 11:17 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-10-2021, 06:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-11-2021, 09:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-12-2021, 02:53 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 03:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 04:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-15-2021, 03:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-19-2021, 03:03 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-21-2021, 01:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 06:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 10:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 04:08 PM

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