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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 17-Dec-17 World View -- Chinese experts warn China to prepare for nuclear war in North Korea

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Chinese experts warn China to prepare for nuclear war in North Korea
  • Concerns grow over the threat of a North Korean nuclear reactor disaster

****
**** Chinese experts warn China to prepare for nuclear war in North Korea
****


[Image: g171216b.jpg]
A North Korean soldier squats along the Yalu River in Sinuiju, North Korea, which borders Dandong in China's Liaoning province, Sept 9, 2017.

Chinese government advisers are warning that "North Korea is a time
bomb," and China must prepare for an unpreventable nuclear war on the
Korean peninsula. China used to be able to control the North Korean
government, but it was losing control, and "Northeast China should
mobilize defenses for war."

Shi Yinhong, a university professor that advises the Beijing
government, says that nuclear war is inevitable:

<QUOTE>"Conditions on the peninsula now make for the biggest
risk of a war in decades.

North Korea is a time bomb. We can only delay the explosion,
hoping that by delaying it, a time will come to remove the
detonator."<END QUOTE>


The logic behind this claim is similar to the same logic that many
American analysts have been using, and the same logic that I've been
writing about. North Korea will not be dissuaded from its goal of
having an arsenal of nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles pointed at the
United States, which he will use in an extortion to gain control of
South Korea, and he will sell the nuclear weapon and ballistic missile
technology to rogue states like Iran and Venezuela. Trump will not
allow this to happen, and so one way or another a war will begin in
the next 6-18 months.

Nanjing University professor Zhu Feng said that no matter how minor
the possibility, China should be prepared psychologically and
practically for “a catastrophic nuclear conflict, nuclear fallout or a
nuclear explosion":

<QUOTE>"Why do we always act like ostriches? Why do we always
believe a war won’t occur?

What China needs is a sense of urgency about its declining
influence in strategy related to the peninsula and the way it
brings down China’s status and role in East Asian security
issues."<END QUOTE>


Chinese analysts give as a principal cause of the imminent war the
fact that the US and South Korea hold joint military exercises.
South China Morning Post and Newsweek and Quartz and South China Morning Post (9-Dec)

****
**** Concerns grow over the threat of a North Korean nuclear reactor disaster
****


A recent video went viral showing North Korea's child dictator Kim
Jong-un standing next to an untested liquid-fueled missile. The video
prompted a torrent of tweets expressing regret that Kim’s lit
cigarette had not "solved the problem for us."

The video illustrates the fact that North Korea does not take
seriously the need to operate its nuclear reactors safely, as Western
nations and China do. Even a small nuclear accident that could
normally be contained could turn into a catastrophic disaster if North
Korea did not respond quickly and correctly.

Even a small nuclear accident would generate widespread panic as word
began to leak out, because of North Korea's lack of transparency and
the fact that they would deny that anything is happening. In the case
of Japan's Fukushima nuclear reactor disaster, Japan was completely
transparent about what was going on, but there was still public panic.
After a disaster in North Korean, the regime would suppress all
reporting of the incident, and they would probably refuse help from
outside countries. The resulting panic would spread into China, South
Korea and Japan. 38 North and South China Morning Post

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, China, North Korea, Kim Jong-un,
South Korea, Zhu Feng

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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
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RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
17-Dec-17 World View -- Chinese experts warn China to prepare for nuclear war in Nort - by John J. Xenakis - 12-16-2017, 11:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
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