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Generational Dynamics World View
(12-29-2017, 10:50 PM)John J. Xenakis Wrote: ****
**** Iran's regime begins responding to the protests
****


As I've been writing for years, Iran's population is behaving like a
typical country in a generational Awakening era.  This is one
generation past the previous generational crisis war, in this case the
1979 Great Islamic Revolution and Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1988.

America's last generational Awakening era was the 1960s-70s, one
generation past the end of World War II.  There was a "generation gap"
pitting the traumatized survivors of World War II versus the Boomers
who grew up after the war, and were not traumatized.  There were
student riots, long hot summers, the Summer of Love, bra-burning,
anti-war protests, Kent State shootings, all culminating in the
Awakening era climax, the resignation of Richard Nixon in 1974.

We don't know when it's going to happen, but Iran is headed for a
similar climax.  Perhaps it will be on the death of the current
79-year-old Supreme Leader, or perhaps it will be based on some sort
of electoral change, as happened with Richard Nixon.

In the late 1990s, college students in these younger generations
started holding pro-Western and pro-American protests, during Iran's
generational Awakening era.  Khamenei and the Iran hardliners brutally
suppressed those protests, but doing so didn't change minds.  Today,
those students are 30-40 years old, and have risen to positions of
power, ready to take over when the current hardline leadership dies
off.  And by the way, this is also true within the ranks of the
Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).

They are generally pro-Western and pro-American, and consider Saudi
Arabia to be an existential threat.  This is one of several reasons
why I've been saying for years that, in the approaching Clash of
Civilizations world war, Iran will be an ally of the United States,
along with Russia and India, versus China, Pakistan, and the Sunni
Muslim countries.

There was a serious split between hardliners and moderates in Iran's
government after the 2009 presidential elections, when young people
were protesting, and there was blood running in the streets because
Iran's security forces were massacring students and other protesters.
Khamenei wanted the security forces to be completely unleashed, so
they could kill, torture, rape, jail and bash anyone they wanted with
impunity, while the moderates in the government wanted to permit
peaceful protests, and wanted the jailed protesters to be released.

Iran's government was extremely embarrassed by its violent response to
peaceful protesters in 2009, and want to avoid a repeat, as indicated
Friday by hardline cleric Ayatollah Ahmad Alamolhoda:

   <QUOTE>"If the security and law enforcement agencies leave
   the rioters to themselves, enemies will publish films and pictures
   in their media and say that the Islamic Republic system has lost
   its revolutionary base in Mashhad."<END QUOTE>


So Iran's government is in a quandary.  The protests are small now,
although they're a lot more widespread than the 2009 protests, which
were mainly limited to Tehran.  If the protests fizzle out by
themselves, then all will be well for the time being.  But if the
protests grow in the next days and weeks, then the government will be
forced to crush them, and as Alamolhoda says, world media will be
filled with pictures and video of blood running in the streets of
Tehran, as in 2009.  BBC and
Iran Front Page and Reuters

Related Articles


KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Iran, Hassan Rouhani, Seyed Ali Khamenei,
People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran, PMOI/MEK, Maryam Rajavi,
Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Hamas, Yemen,
Great Islamic Revolution, Iran/Iraq war, Ahmad Alamolhoda

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John J. Xenakis
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So boomers demand that Iranian 30 to 40 somethings be given complete power; but these same boomers adamantly refuse to respect the rights of American, European and Anglo 30 to 40 somethings. Selfish Boomers, know this, the 4T crisis and War phase is NOT about you selfish pieces of feces. The Xer and Millies doctrines WILL be implemented. This is because Boomers will eventually retire and Die and Xers and Millies will run things. The death of the UN, EU and NATO is inevitable because only the aging boomers support these entities. We Xers and Millies want the government to have an actual policy toward North Korea, Not your selfish boomer policy of doing Nothing until the powder keg blows up knowing full well that it will blow and then using the emergency to consolidate tyranny.
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Messages In This Thread
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-14-2016, 03:21 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 05-23-2016, 10:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by radind - 08-11-2016, 08:59 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 01-18-2017, 09:23 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 02-04-2017, 10:08 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 03-13-2017, 03:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 02:56 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by SomeGuy - 03-15-2017, 03:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 05-30-2017, 01:04 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 07-08-2017, 01:34 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-09-2017, 11:07 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 08-10-2017, 02:38 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 10-25-2017, 03:07 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 03:35 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by rds - 10-31-2017, 06:33 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by noway2 - 11-20-2017, 04:31 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 12-31-2017, 11:14 PM
RE: 30-Dec-17 World View -- Anti-government, anti-war and economic protests spread across - by Cynic Hero '86 - 12-29-2017, 11:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 06-22-2018, 02:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:54 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-19-2018, 12:43 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-25-2018, 02:18 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 07-11-2018, 01:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-19-2018, 04:39 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 09-25-2019, 11:12 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-09-2020, 02:11 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Camz - 03-10-2020, 10:10 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 03-12-2020, 11:11 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by JDG 66 - 03-16-2020, 03:21 PM
RE: 58 year rule - by Tim Randal Walker - 04-01-2020, 11:17 AM
RE: 58 year rule - by John J. Xenakis - 04-02-2020, 12:25 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Isoko - 05-04-2020, 02:51 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by tg63 - 01-04-2021, 12:13 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by CH86 - 01-05-2021, 11:17 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-10-2021, 06:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-11-2021, 09:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-12-2021, 02:53 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 03:58 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-13-2021, 04:16 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by mamabug - 01-15-2021, 03:36 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-19-2021, 03:03 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 08-21-2021, 01:41 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 06:06 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-27-2022, 10:42 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 12:26 AM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by galaxy - 02-28-2022, 04:08 PM

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