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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 23-Apr-18 World View -- ISIS-K suicide bomber kills over 50 in Kabul, Afghanistan, registering to vote

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Suicide bomber in Kabul, Afghanistan, kills over 50 registering to vote
  • ISIS Khorasan (ISIS-K) becomes more prominent in South Asia

****
**** Suicide bomber in Kabul, Afghanistan, kills over 50 registering to vote
****


[Image: g180422b.jpg]
Clothes and shoes are seen at the site of a suicide bomb attack in Kabul, Afghanistan, on Sunday. The items were placed in a row for the victims' families to claim afterwards. (Getty)

A massive suicide bombing on Sunday struck a voter registration office
in Kabul, the capital city of Afghanistan. More than 50 people were
killed, including women and children, while over 100 others were
injured.

The voter registration office is one of dozens that the Independent
Election Commission (IEC) has set up across the country to register
voters for the national elections in October. As of Saturday,
the voter registration process had been in process for seven
days, but turnout had been disappointing low. Only 189,061
people, including just over 42,000 women, had registered to
vote as of Saturday.

People were afraid to vote for fear of violence by jihadists,
even though the IEC and the army had been reassuring the public
that all the voter registration offices would be secure.

There had been several small jihadist attacks on the centers across
the country in the last week, but the attack on Sunday of the
registration center in Kabul was the most devastating attack in Kabul
since January, when about 100 people were killed by a bomb
concealed in an ambulance.

The so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh) claimed
credit for the Kabul bombing through its Amaq public relations agency.

Sunday's attack targeted an area of western Kabul inhabited by many
members of the mainly Shia ethnic Hazara community, who were part of
the Northern Alliance that fought against the Pashtuns (Taliban) in
the civil war of 1991-96.

Afghanistan's last generational crisis war was the extremely bloody
Afghan crisis civil war, 1991-96, which mostly pitted the ethnic
Pashtuns, who are Sunni Muslims and later formed the Taliban, versus
the Northern Alliance of Tajiks, Hazaras and Uzbeks in northern
Afghanistan. Now, twenty years later, Afghanistan is in a
generational Awakening era, and a new young generation of Pashtuns is
coming of age, raised on stories their parents told them about the
atrocities committed by the Northern Alliance, and they're looking for
revenge.

So Sunday's attack has multiple purposes. First, it targets Shia
Muslims who Sunni jihadists say are infidel. Second, it targets the
hated Hazaras, in revenge for actions take in the 1990s civil war.
And third, it cripples the registration effort, and makes it far less
likely that there will be an election that brings Hazaras to power.

As I've written many times in the past, there is no possibility
whatsoever that these attacks will stop, through negotiations or
American or Afghan military action. To the contrary, they will get
worse, as new young Pashtuns come of age and decide to get revenge
against the Hazaras. Tolo News (Kabul) and CBS News and Long War Journal and Tolo News and Reuters




****
**** ISIS Khorasan (ISIS-K) becomes more prominent in South Asia
****


The group taking credit for Sunday's attack is ISIS-K, or "ISIS
Khorasan" ("Wilayah Khorasan") or ISKP, the South Asian branch of
ISIS, claiming parts of Iran, three Central Asian republics,
Afghanistan, Pakistan and Kashmir and Xinjiang in western China.

Since 2014, some Taliban groups in Afghanistan have been changing
their allegiance from al-Qaeda to ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi,
mainly for public relations purposes.

However, with the loss in Syria and Iraq of most the territory
formerly controlled by ISIS, many of the tens of thousands of
jihadists who came from over 80 countries to join ISIS and
fight Syria's president Bashar al-Assad are now returning to
the home countries. In the case of Afghanistan, it means
that some of the Pashtuns that left home to join ISIS in
Syria are now battle-hardened, and are returning to Afghanistan
and joining existing jihadist Taliban groups that have
sworn allegiance to ISIS.

Up until the last few months, the ISIS-K groups in Afghanistan had no
real connection to the ISIS in Syria. But with the influx of fighters
from Syria returning home, ISIS-K is becoming a more serious threat to
Afghanistan, and there will be further attacks. Long War Journal (21-Mar) and Diplomat and Business Insider (11-Feb)

Related Articles



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Afghanistan, Independent Election Commission, IEC,
Kabul, Amaq, Syria, Bashar al-Assad,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Pashtuns, Taliban, Northern Alliance, Tajiks, Hazars, Uzbeks,
ISIS Khorasan, Wilayah Khorasan, ISIS-K, ISKP

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