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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 11-May-18 World View -- Israel-Iran attacks in Syria take a pause, as Turkey tightens control over Afrin

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Turkey tightens grip on Syria's Afrin, and continues to threaten Manbij
  • Israel-Iran missile barrages in Syria take a pause on Thursday

****
**** Turkey tightens grip on Syria's Afrin, and continues to threaten Manbij
****


[Image: g180510b.jpg]
Syrian police trainees in Turkey (Anadolu)

Turkey is continuing to tighten its grip on the northern Syria city
Afrin, on Turkey's border, following the successful completion of
Operation Olive Branch.

Turkey's military Operation Olive Branch began on January 20 and took
place over several months, with the objective of regaining control of
Syria's border city of Afrin from the Kurdish People's Protection
Units (YPG). The YPG is linked to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK),
which is considered by the US and Europe as a terrorist organization,
and has conducted numerous terrorist attacks within Turkey over a
thirty year period.

The operation was executed by Arab militias in the Free Syrian Army
(FSA), backed by Turkish armed forces. Turkey declared the operation
successfully completed on March 18.

Since then, Turkey has been tightening its control on Afrin. On April
10, Turkey announced plans to open a new border crossing from Turkey
to the Syrian city of Afrin with the objective of speeding up delivery
of humanitarian aid to the city. However, at the same time, the
new border crossing gives Turkey complete control over Afrin.

Syria's president, Bashar al-Assad, backed by Russia and Iran, is
demanding that Turkey return control of Afrin back to the Syrian
regime. However, Turkey is showing no signs of being willing to do
so.

On Wednesday, Turkey announced that 600 Syrian police, aged 18 to 45,
have received a month's training in Turkey, and are now trained and
ready to be deployed back to Afrin to provide security as local police
officers, "in an effort to return daily life to normal in the recently
liberated city." They received training in intervention in social
incidents, police regulations, general discipline, residential
district, operation education, destroying improvised explosives and
crime scene investigation.

Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan has repeatedly promised on
numerous occasions that once the operation in Afrin had been
completed, the FSA forces would move east to perform a similar
operation in the city of Manbij, and continue from there to the
Euphrates River and beyond to Iraq.

That was always going to pose big problems, since the YPG in Manbij
and further east were US allies that were the principal fighters that
ejected the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh) from
Raqqa and other regions in eastern Syria. Thus, an FSA assault
on the YPG in Manbij risked a military clash with US forces.

U.S. protection of the YPG in Manbij has now been formalized. On
Wednesday, it emerged that U.S. forces had set up a new base in Manbij
three months ago, shortly after Turkey launched its assault on Afrin.
The new base will house both US and French troops, who will have the
responsibility of patrolling the border to prevent clashes between the
Turkish-backed forces and the YPG in Manbij. Daily Sabah (Ankara) and Reuters and Yeni Safak (Ankara) and Daily Express (London)

Related Articles:

****
**** Israel-Iran missile barrages in Syria take a pause on Thursday
****


[Image: g180510c.jpg]
Syrian anti-aircraft missiles in the sky over Damascus on Thursday morning in response to Israeli missile attacks (AP)

The military battle between Iran and Israel that began on Wednesday
evening and continued through the night has taken a pause, with many
signs that the pause will be only temporary.

According to Israel's military, the battle was triggered when Iran's
Quds Force, in Syria near the border with Israel, fired 20 missiles at
Israeli military positions in the Golan Heights border area separating
western Syria from northern Israel.

According to Israel, this was the first ever direct Iranian rocket
attack on its troops.

This triggered the most intensive attack ever on Iranian positions and
assets in Syria. Israel retaliated with what appeared to be
surface-to-surface missiles, and multiple Syrian anti-aircraft
batteries were launched to try to intercept them. Officials said that
the response targeted almost all of Iran's military infrastructure
inside Syria, including dozens of weapons storage sites and
intelligence centers used by elite Iranian forces, as well as Syrian
air defense systems. Israel struck more than 50 Iranian targets, in
its most extensive operation in Syria since 1974.

Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman said, "They need to
remember the saying that if it rains on us, it'll storm on them. I
hope we finished this chapter and everyone got the message."

Iran said that it had no desire to escalate the military conflict.
Iran's president Hassan Rouhani said, "Iran has always sought to
reduce tensions in the region, trying to strengthen security and
stability."

Israel informed both Russia and the US of its plans ahead of the
retaliatory strikes. Israeli officials say that Iran still has
long-range capabilities in Syria with which to strike Israel,
suggesting that the battle has not ended. Jerusalem Post and Independent (London) and CNN and Debka (Israel)

Related Articles:



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Turkey, Free Syrian Army, FSA,
Operation Olive Branch, Recep Tayyip Erdogan,
Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Afrin,
People's Protection Units, YPG, Manbij,
Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria/Sham/the Levant, IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh,
Iran, Israel, Golan Heights, Avigdor Lieberman, Russia

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11-May-18 World View -- Israel-Iran attacks in Syria take a pause, as Turkey tightens - by John J. Xenakis - 05-10-2018, 10:29 PM
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