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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 5-Jul-18 World View -- Al-Assad's attacks on Daraa threaten clashes with Israel and Jordan on Syria's border

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Syria and Russia resume full-scale assault on Daraa
  • Jordan fears repercussions from Syria's military offensive in Daraa
  • Israel concerned about infiltration from Iran and Hezbollah

****
**** Syria and Russia resume full-scale assault on Daraa
****


[Image: g180630b.jpg]
Displaced Syrians camp near border with Israel-controlled Golan Heights (AFP)

After a brief lull in the attacks to provide an opening for
negotiations, Syria and Russia have resume full-scale attacks on
rebel-held areas in Daraa province. As in the attacks on Aleppo and
Ghouta, women and children are particularly targeted. Syria's
president Bashar al-Assad uses the technique of attacking peaceful
protesters and then, when there's some sort of violent revenge attack,
uses that as an excuse to call the entire population "terrorists," and
then perform genocide and ethnic cleansing.

Daraa has played a special part in Syria's war, and is considered the
place where it started. In spring of 2011, two 15-year-old boys
posted graffiti in Daraa saying, "Freedom. Down with the regime. Your
turn, Doctor," suggesting that al-Assad would suffer the same fate as
as leaders in Egypt and Tunisia during the "Arab spring." The word
"Doctor" refers to the fact that al-Assad, had been a ophthalmology
student when he attended college in London, at a time when his father
Hafez al-Assad had been conducting genocide in Syria. This graffiti
infuriated al-Assad, who is a psychopathic killer. He ordered the two
boys to be tortured and imprisoned, and he launched a furious attack
on the people of Daraa. Now he wants to finish up the genocide and
ethnic cleansing of Daraa. There's no hope of a negotiated peace in
Daraa because al-Assad has every intention of completing the genocide
and ethnic cleansing.

That's presumably the reason that al-Assad and the Russians
aren't giving the people of Daraa the same choices they gave to
the people of Aleppo and Ghouta. In the latter two cases,
the rebels were allowed to leave with their weapons and their
families and travel to Idlib province. But in the case of Daraa,
al-Assad and Russia are demanding that the rebels immediately
give up their weapons, and are prohibiting the families from
going anywhere. We can expect to see a bloody genocidal attack
of monumental proportions.

EU foreign affairs spokesman Maja Kocijancic said on Saturday
that the attacks by al-Assad and the Russias are violation of
international law:

<QUOTE>"Such attacks are clear violations of international
law and international humanitarian law that also put at risk any
progress in Geneva for the resumption of the political talks under
UN mediation."<END QUOTE>


I assume that Kocijancic must be a comedian in her spare time, because
this statement will only bring laughter from al-Assad and the
Russians. Over the years, I've documented several attempts at peace
talks, and each time, al-Assad has made complete fools of the peace
mediators, by making promises and then immediately ignoring them.
Al-Assad uses peace talks as a cover for further genocide and ethnic
cleansing. Al-Assad is the worst genocidal monster and war criminal
so far this century. (I always receive comments from people who say
that al-Assad is a nice guy because he supposedly protects Christians.
That's like saying Hitler was a nice guy because he protected
Christians -- except that he didn't. Al-Assad may protect Christians
now because he considers them to be useful idiots, but he wouldn't
hesitate to kill all of them if he had no further use for them.)

About 300,000 people in Daraa and in the adjacent Quneitra province
have been fleeing their homes and heading to the borders with Jordan
and Israel. Both Jordan and Israel have closed their borders to the
refugees, but are providing humanitarian aid. More people are moving
to the Israeli border because they believe that al-Assad and Russians
will not risk a war with Israel by attacking them there. AFP and Arab News and Middle East Online and World Bulletin (Turkey)

****
**** Jordan fears repercussions from Syria's military offensive in Daraa
****


There's a great deal of international pressure on Jordan to allow the
Syrian refugees fleeing the violence in Daraa to cross the border into
Syria. A spokesman for Human Rights Watch said:

<QUOTE>"The abject refusal by Jordanian authorities to allow
asylum seekers to seek protection not only goes against their
international legal obligations, but against basic human decency.
Jordanians themselves are appealing to their government’s basic
decency and calling for those in need to be let in."<END QUOTE>


The European Union is making a similar plea.

However, Jordan estimates that it is already hosting some 1.3 million
refugees, and earlier this week said that it is unable to host a new
wave of refugees, and so the border will remain closed, although
Jordan is providing humanitarian aid.

However, Jordan has several major concerns about the military action
in Daraa.

First, closing its border to refugees fleeing violence is a great
embarrassment for Jordan, which maintains good relations with all
Western powers and human rights organizations.

However, Jordan believes that the world has given up on refugees, and
are no longer willing to provide funding for the support of refugees
in refugee camps. There is particular concern that earlier this year
the Trump administration cut funding to the UN agency for Palestinian
refugees, but there are 193 countries in the United Nations, and those
other countries aren't stepping up to fund Palestinian refugees
either. The cut in funding is particular hard on Jordan, which hosts
more than two million Palestinian refugees, and Jordan's economy is
already in serious trouble.

Another concern for Jordan is the lack of security along the border.
Jordan has suffered previous terrorist attacks in 2005 and 2016 when
jihadists entered Jordan along with waves of refugees.

Jordan is also concerned about a demographic change in Daraa. In
particular, Jordan is concerned that al-Assad's ethnic cleansing and
genocide will empty the region of its Sunni population, to be replaced
by people from Iran and Hezbollah. Jordan Times and Human Rights Watch and Middle East Eye and Jordan Times

****
**** Israel concerned about infiltration from Iran and Hezbollah
****


Like Jordan, Israel is keeping its border closed to the hundreds of
thousands of refugees fleeing violence from al-Assad and Russia.
Syrians are coming to the area because they hope e that the proximity
to Israel will protect them and that al-Assad's troops and warplanes
will not bomb them there.

Israel has technically been at war with Syria since 1948, and there is
a UN peacekeeping force on the border between Syria and
Israeli-controlled Golan Heights. Israel has been working with the
peacekeeping force to set up "safe zones" within Syria that will be
safe from al-Assad's ground forces and Syria's and Russia's warplanes.

On Friday, the Israeli army announced that it had taken 300 tents and
several tons of food, medicine and clothing to the other side
overnight, as humanitarian aid for the Syrian refugees. However,
Israel will not allow Syrian refugees to cross the border because of
the fear that Iranians and Hezbollah will infiltrate.

Debka, an analyst service based on Israeli military and intelligence
sources, but which sometimes gets things wrong, is reporting that the
US and Israel have begun launching military actions along the border,
to counter infiltration by Iran and Hezbollah.

It had been hoped that Iran and Hezbollah would not take part in the
Daraa and Quneitra attacks, but Russia's foreign minister Sergei
Lavrov said on Wednesday, "Iran is one of the key powers in the region
and it would be absolutely unrealistic to expect it to abandon its
interests." Times of Israel and Deutsche Welle and Debka

Related Articles



KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Syria, Bashar al-Assad, Daraa,
Russia, Jordan, Aleppo, Ghouta, Turkey, Jordan, Quneitra,
Israel, Golan Heights, Iran, Hezbollah, Maja Kocijancic

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5-Jul-18 World View -- Al-Assad's attacks on Daraa threaten clashes with Israel and J - by John J. Xenakis - 07-04-2018, 11:29 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
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