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Generational Dynamics World View
*** 15-Jul-18 World View -- Israel prepares for war on two fronts, Gaza and Syria

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
  • Egypt mediates Israel-Gaza ceasefire in biggest escalation since 2014 war
  • Israel also prepares for war on Syria border with Iran and Hezbollah

****
**** Egypt mediates Israel-Gaza ceasefire in biggest escalation since 2014 war
****


[Image: g180714b.jpg]
A Patriot Missile launched in southern Israel on Friday afternoon hit an incoming Syrian drone as it crossed the border into Israel (Reuters)

Israel and Gaza appear close to full-scale war today for the first
time since 2014, despite the announcement that both Hamas and Islamic
Jihad in Gaza had agreed to a ceasefire mediated by Egypt. However,
it's unclear whether the ceasefire is holding.

According to Israel's military (IDF), since Friday afternoon Hamas has
launched 200 rockets and mortar shells across the border into Israel,
causing property damage and three injuries.

As a precaution, the IDF instructed Israelis living near the Gaza
border to remain within a 15-second radius from bomb shelters or safe
rooms.

In retaliation, Israeli aircraft on Saturday attacked more than 40
targets in Gaza in the most extensive daytime assault since the 67 day
war with Gaza in 2014. The IDF says that targets included urban
warfare training facilities, weapon storage warehouse, training
compounds, command centers, and offices in Hamas's Battalion
headquarters. This was the first time recently that Israel struck
targets in the heart of Gaza city. Palestinians said two teens were
killed and 14 injured in the Israeli strikes.

Every Friday after midday prayers for several months, Gaza has been
holding demonstrations along the border fence with Israel, with the
stated objective for Palestinians to exercise their "Right of Return,"
to regain the lands where their ancestors had lived, prior to the 1947
war between Arabs and Jews that followed the partitioning of Palestine
and the creation of the state of Israel. The demonstrations have been
mostly peaceful, but activists have also tried to break through the
fence, with the intent of attacking Israelis in their homes.

In recent weeks, the protests have been supplemented by incendiary
kites and balloons, which float over the border fence and land in
forests and farmland, causing massive fires. Israel's army has been
baffled by these devices, and has been responding by striking Hamas
targets in Gaza. Saturday's attack was the biggest attack since the
2014 full-scale war.

According to an IDF spokesman, the aims of Saturday's operation were
to end the large-scale border protests, end the incendiary kites and
balloons, and end the rocket and mortar fire. That appears to be a
great deal to hope for. Jerusalem Post and Times of Israel and BBC and
Reuters

Related Articles:

****
**** Israel also prepares for war on Syria border with Iran and Hezbollah
****


Late on Saturday evening, Israel's army announced that military
exercises will be taking place across the country for the next week,
starting immediately on Sunday morning. The announcement said that
the exercises were "planned in advance," but the abrupt nature of the
announcement indicates that imminent concerns.

It's believed that the it may be in response to the following
announcement that appeared in the Syrian governments al-Masdar news on
Thursday:

<QUOTE>"The Syrian Arab Army’s shock troops have moved from
the Daraa Governorate to the Al-Quneitra front, following the
military’s recent achievements in southwest Syria.

According to the official Facebook of Colonel Nizar Qindi, his
elite shock troops from the 9th Division have moved to the
Al-Quneitra Governorate, today, after a short deployment in the
Daraa Governorate. ...

The 9th Division has operated in the Al-Quneitra Governorate
before, but they were later redeployed to the Damascus and Daraa
fronts to aid in those offensives.

Also redeploying alongside the 9th Division was the National
Defense Forces (NDF) of Al-Sweida, Damascus, and Izraa.

These reinforcements should give the Syrian Arab Army and their
allies a major military boost in the Al-Quneitra Governorate, as
they make their final preparations for this operation.

In the coming days, the Syrian Army is expected to kickoff their
long-awaited Al-Quneitra offensive, as they look to conclude their
southwest Syria operations before month’s end.

The National Defense Forces (NDF) referred to in the statement are a
collection of militias that the Syrian regime set up in 2012,
organized by Iran and Hezbollah.

While Israel's army is struggling to deal with the increasing tensions
on the Gaza border, the army is also facing the possibility of a
northern war with Iran and Hezbollah along the border with Syria.

It's quite possible that Israel's army is not prepared for a two-front
war. This could explain Saturday evening's abrupt announcement of
military exercises in cities across Israel.

Syria's Quneitra offensive is expected to begin within the next two
days, before or during the summit between Donald Trump and Vladimir
Putin. Al-Masdar News (Damascus) and Debka (Israel) and YNet (Israel) and Debka

Related Articles:


[i]KEYS:
Generational Dynamics, Israel, Gaza, Egypt, Hamas, Islamic Jihad,
Syria, Daraa, Quneitra, Nizar Qindi,
National Defense Forces, NDF, Iran, Hezbollah

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15-Jul-18 World View -- Israel prepares for war on two fronts, Gaza and Syria - by John J. Xenakis - 07-14-2018, 10:40 PM
RE: Generational Dynamics World View - by Galen - 08-18-2018, 03:42 AM
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