07-20-2018, 10:52 PM
*** 21-Jul-18 World View -- The Trump-Putin private meeting was almost certainly about China
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
****
**** Donald Trump threatens to impose tariffs on everything imported from China
****
![[Image: g180720b.jpg]](http://Media.GenerationalDynamics.com/ww2010/g180720b.jpg)
Donald Trump
In an interview broadcast on Friday, president Donald Trump sharply
escalated the rhetoric in the trade war with China, and threatened to
impose tariffs on everything imported from China. China responded to
the threat with a vitriolic statement calling Trump a "wrecking ball."
As I wrote a couple of days ago, the trade war with China will
escalate. ( "19-Jul-18 World View -- Trump administration signals that trade war with China will escalate sharply"
)
On Friday, Trump said that in order to match some of the tariffs that
China imposes on US products, he's already announced tariffs on $50
billion in Chinese products. He said in the interview (my
transcription):
<QUOTE>"I raised 50, and they matched us. 11:02 I said, you
don't match us, you can't match us, because otherwise we're always
going to be behind the eight ball....
I'm ready to go to 500."<END QUOTE>
Tariffs on $500 billion would include all products imported from
China.
Trump described how this situation began in the Clinton, Bush and
Obama administrations:
<QUOTE>"Look I'm not doing this for politics. I'm doing this
to do the right thing for our country. We've been ripped off by
China for a long time. And I told that to president Xi. I said
how did this ever happen?
And you know what happened? And you know what their answer is?
because I deal with the highest echelons of china. One of the
great people of China said, "There was never anybody that talked
to us in the United States. We would put on a trade barrier,
where you couldn't sell cars, or you couldn't sell beef, or you
couldn't sell your farm products, nobody would talk to us in the
United States.
"So we said that's great. Then we put on another one. We'd put on
a tariff on cars, 25%, and you charge us virtually nothing 2 1/2
per cent, but they don't pay it. So we would do this, and nobody
would talk. We'd start off at a lower number, we'd raise it, we'd
raise it, nobody would every complain, until you came along." Me.
And they said, "Now you're doing more than complaining, we don't
like what you're doing." They think maybe we're doing too
much."<END QUOTE>
It's widely believed that we're on the verge of a full-blown trade war
with China, which was already clear from my article
two days ago. CNBC and New York Magazine and Guardian (London)
****
**** China's Foreign Ministry gives a vitriolic response to Trump
****
China's Foreign Ministry Spokesman Hua Chunying gave her regular press
conference on Friday, and said the following in response to a question
about trade:
<QUOTE>"Third, everyone is watching when the US side behaves
like this in international relations, and everyone is hearing and
seeing what the US officials are saying and doing. So, we all know
what the whole world thinks of the US. It is quite obvious that
some people in the US are so obsessed with their conjured-up
reality that they simply cannot be waken up. However, by
brandishing its wanton and striking indiscriminately while
depriving others' right to self-defense, by blocking its own door
while demanding others to unconditionally open theirs wider, by
overriding others' interests and the international rules to serve
its own political needs and selfish interests, the US has really
taught us something in a piercing and profound way. I have noted
that many US citizens and its allies have spoken out
unreservedly. The US is now the biggest wrecking ball to world
stability and certainty. Its unilateralism and protectionism pose
the greatest threat to the international rules and the world
economic order.
I said the other day that knowing someone is intelligence but
knowing oneself is real wisdom. Today I want to add that nothing
could be more disastrous than chaos. As the No.1 power in today's
world, the US should at least think about its responsibility
before making relevant policies or saying or doing anything,
because it is the "order" of the world that they are expected to
promote, not "chaos"."<END QUOTE>
Hua's most significant statement was: "However, by brandishing its
wanton and striking indiscriminately while depriving others' right to
self-defense, by blocking its own door while demanding others to
unconditionally open theirs wider, by overriding others' interests and
the international rules to serve its own political needs and selfish
interests, the US has really taught us something in a piercing and
profound way."
I believe that the reference to "depriving others' right to
self-defense" refers to America's freedom of navigation operations in
the South China Sea, where China's activities were declared illegal in
2016 by the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration in the
Hague, which ruled that all of China's activities in the South China Sea are illegal and in violation of international law.
With regard to promoting "chaos," the Chinese
must be aware that they've infuriated all their neighbors by their
illegal activities.
China's appeal to "international law" is laughable, because China only
cares about international law when it favors them. When it doesn't
favor them, as in the case of the South China Sea, they claim that
they're superior to everyone else, and their law supersedes
international law. The same is true in trade. China has repeatedly
violated and ignored World Trade Organization rules, but they complain
about international law to gain an advantage.
In an interview Friday, Trump's chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow
suggested that China will retaliate against individual American
companies doing business in China:
<QUOTE>"My guess is that if the plot thickens with no
progress, they will start going after American companies
[operating] in China....
The problem here is Xi. He doesn’t want to move, and they’ve
offered the U.S. absolutely ... no options regarding the issue of
[intellectual property] theft and forced technology
transfer."<END QUOTE>
China could target individual American companies through new
regulations.
Trump is not going to back down. And, based on the vitriolic
intensity of Hua Chunying's statement, China is not going to back down
either.
As I wrote in my recent article,
from the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the US and China are
in a generational Crisis era, in a tit for tat escalation sequence
that leads to a full-blown generational crisis war. It's clear from
remarks by Trump, Hua and Kudlow that that's exactly where we're
headed. Foreign Ministry of China and Axios
****
**** The Trump-Putin private meeting was almost certainly about China
****
Donald Trump and Russia's president Vladimir Putin had a private one
on one meeting during their July 16 summit meeting in Helsinki. As
usual, the mainstream media, who have absolutely no clue what's going
on in the world, have been screaming hysterically, some suggesting
that Trump should be tried and convicted of treason, and then
executed. Others demanded that the American interpreter who sat in on
the meeting should be subpoenaed and forced to testify, something that
would trigger enormous international diplomatic issues.
Trump tweeted on Thursday that he would like to schedule a second
meeting with Putin in the fall, this time in Washington. This drew
further hysterical screaming, along with demands that no such meeting
be permitted unless Trump fully describes what happened in the first
meeting.
In his CNBC interview on Friday, Trump gave a brief description of his
summit meeting with Putin:
<QUOTE>"We had a tremendous discussion on many things --
terrorism, Syria, the Middle East overall, Iran, we talked about
as an example nuclear proliferation -- to me there's nothing more
important than that.
We had a tremendous meeting. I think it was a very good press
conference, except for the fake news I think I did very well at
the press conference."<END QUOTE>
As I wrote in my previous article,
Trump is very well aware that we're headed for a world war against
China. From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this war
cannot be prevented. Trump is taking whatever steps he can to prevent
this war, and I'm not going to criticize Trump for taking steps to
prevent a world war, even if the war cannot be prevented.
Vladimir Putin is also well aware that Russia is headed for a war with
China. The Russian and Chinese people have hated each other for
centuries, especially since Russia, after conquest by Genghis Khan,
became a vassal state of the China and the Mongol Empire for
centuries. ( "31-Mar-18 World View -- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China"
)
So today, both Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are aware that their
countries are going to be allies in world war launched by China.
When they had their private summit meeting on July 16, it's
inconceivable that they didn't discuss this oncoming war, and how they
would defend themselves and help defend each other.
That also explains why there's so much secrecy about the meeting. Any
mention that Trump and Putin discussed plans for a world war launched
by China would cause a massive international uproar. So the subject
of the private meeting must be kept secret. But with so much at stake
for the United States, Russia, and the rest of the world, it's
inconceivable that they didn't discuss this subject when they had the
chance. And it will be all to the good for them to have another
meeting in the fall, for further discussions on this subject.
The Hill
Related Articles:
****
**** North Korea denuclearization talks appear to be falling apart
****
As I've been writing for many months, there is absolutely no
possibility whatsoever that North Korea is going to denuclearize,
either now or in the future.
On Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and U.S. Ambassador to the
United Nations Nikki Haley criticized both China and Russia for
helping North Korea violate United Nations sanctions as the regime
smuggles in more oil than is allowed.
According to Pompeo, "When sanctions are not enforced, the prospects
for the successful denuclearization of North Korea are diminished."
It's been nearly six weeks after President Trump's summit with Kim
Jong-un, and there are no signs whatsoever, that the North Koreans
have any intention of denuclearizing. ABC News
Related Articles:
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Donald Trump, China,
Xi Jinping, Hua Chunying, South China Sea,
United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague,
World Trade Organization, Larry Kudlow,
Russia, Vladimir Putin, Helsinki, Genghis Khan, Mongol Empire,
Mike Pompeo, Nikki Haley, North Korea, Kim Jong-un
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
- Donald Trump threatens to impose tariffs on everything imported from China
- China's Foreign Ministry gives a vitriolic response to Trump
- The Trump-Putin private meeting was almost certainly about China
- North Korea denuclearization talks appear to be falling apart
****
**** Donald Trump threatens to impose tariffs on everything imported from China
****
Donald Trump
In an interview broadcast on Friday, president Donald Trump sharply
escalated the rhetoric in the trade war with China, and threatened to
impose tariffs on everything imported from China. China responded to
the threat with a vitriolic statement calling Trump a "wrecking ball."
As I wrote a couple of days ago, the trade war with China will
escalate. ( "19-Jul-18 World View -- Trump administration signals that trade war with China will escalate sharply"
)
On Friday, Trump said that in order to match some of the tariffs that
China imposes on US products, he's already announced tariffs on $50
billion in Chinese products. He said in the interview (my
transcription):
<QUOTE>"I raised 50, and they matched us. 11:02 I said, you
don't match us, you can't match us, because otherwise we're always
going to be behind the eight ball....
I'm ready to go to 500."<END QUOTE>
Tariffs on $500 billion would include all products imported from
China.
Trump described how this situation began in the Clinton, Bush and
Obama administrations:
<QUOTE>"Look I'm not doing this for politics. I'm doing this
to do the right thing for our country. We've been ripped off by
China for a long time. And I told that to president Xi. I said
how did this ever happen?
And you know what happened? And you know what their answer is?
because I deal with the highest echelons of china. One of the
great people of China said, "There was never anybody that talked
to us in the United States. We would put on a trade barrier,
where you couldn't sell cars, or you couldn't sell beef, or you
couldn't sell your farm products, nobody would talk to us in the
United States.
"So we said that's great. Then we put on another one. We'd put on
a tariff on cars, 25%, and you charge us virtually nothing 2 1/2
per cent, but they don't pay it. So we would do this, and nobody
would talk. We'd start off at a lower number, we'd raise it, we'd
raise it, nobody would every complain, until you came along." Me.
And they said, "Now you're doing more than complaining, we don't
like what you're doing." They think maybe we're doing too
much."<END QUOTE>
It's widely believed that we're on the verge of a full-blown trade war
with China, which was already clear from my article
two days ago. CNBC and New York Magazine and Guardian (London)
****
**** China's Foreign Ministry gives a vitriolic response to Trump
****
China's Foreign Ministry Spokesman Hua Chunying gave her regular press
conference on Friday, and said the following in response to a question
about trade:
<QUOTE>"Third, everyone is watching when the US side behaves
like this in international relations, and everyone is hearing and
seeing what the US officials are saying and doing. So, we all know
what the whole world thinks of the US. It is quite obvious that
some people in the US are so obsessed with their conjured-up
reality that they simply cannot be waken up. However, by
brandishing its wanton and striking indiscriminately while
depriving others' right to self-defense, by blocking its own door
while demanding others to unconditionally open theirs wider, by
overriding others' interests and the international rules to serve
its own political needs and selfish interests, the US has really
taught us something in a piercing and profound way. I have noted
that many US citizens and its allies have spoken out
unreservedly. The US is now the biggest wrecking ball to world
stability and certainty. Its unilateralism and protectionism pose
the greatest threat to the international rules and the world
economic order.
I said the other day that knowing someone is intelligence but
knowing oneself is real wisdom. Today I want to add that nothing
could be more disastrous than chaos. As the No.1 power in today's
world, the US should at least think about its responsibility
before making relevant policies or saying or doing anything,
because it is the "order" of the world that they are expected to
promote, not "chaos"."<END QUOTE>
Hua's most significant statement was: "However, by brandishing its
wanton and striking indiscriminately while depriving others' right to
self-defense, by blocking its own door while demanding others to
unconditionally open theirs wider, by overriding others' interests and
the international rules to serve its own political needs and selfish
interests, the US has really taught us something in a piercing and
profound way."
I believe that the reference to "depriving others' right to
self-defense" refers to America's freedom of navigation operations in
the South China Sea, where China's activities were declared illegal in
2016 by the United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration in the
Hague, which ruled that all of China's activities in the South China Sea are illegal and in violation of international law.
With regard to promoting "chaos," the Chinese
must be aware that they've infuriated all their neighbors by their
illegal activities.
China's appeal to "international law" is laughable, because China only
cares about international law when it favors them. When it doesn't
favor them, as in the case of the South China Sea, they claim that
they're superior to everyone else, and their law supersedes
international law. The same is true in trade. China has repeatedly
violated and ignored World Trade Organization rules, but they complain
about international law to gain an advantage.
In an interview Friday, Trump's chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow
suggested that China will retaliate against individual American
companies doing business in China:
<QUOTE>"My guess is that if the plot thickens with no
progress, they will start going after American companies
[operating] in China....
The problem here is Xi. He doesn’t want to move, and they’ve
offered the U.S. absolutely ... no options regarding the issue of
[intellectual property] theft and forced technology
transfer."<END QUOTE>
China could target individual American companies through new
regulations.
Trump is not going to back down. And, based on the vitriolic
intensity of Hua Chunying's statement, China is not going to back down
either.
As I wrote in my recent article,
from the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the US and China are
in a generational Crisis era, in a tit for tat escalation sequence
that leads to a full-blown generational crisis war. It's clear from
remarks by Trump, Hua and Kudlow that that's exactly where we're
headed. Foreign Ministry of China and Axios
****
**** The Trump-Putin private meeting was almost certainly about China
****
Donald Trump and Russia's president Vladimir Putin had a private one
on one meeting during their July 16 summit meeting in Helsinki. As
usual, the mainstream media, who have absolutely no clue what's going
on in the world, have been screaming hysterically, some suggesting
that Trump should be tried and convicted of treason, and then
executed. Others demanded that the American interpreter who sat in on
the meeting should be subpoenaed and forced to testify, something that
would trigger enormous international diplomatic issues.
Trump tweeted on Thursday that he would like to schedule a second
meeting with Putin in the fall, this time in Washington. This drew
further hysterical screaming, along with demands that no such meeting
be permitted unless Trump fully describes what happened in the first
meeting.
In his CNBC interview on Friday, Trump gave a brief description of his
summit meeting with Putin:
<QUOTE>"We had a tremendous discussion on many things --
terrorism, Syria, the Middle East overall, Iran, we talked about
as an example nuclear proliferation -- to me there's nothing more
important than that.
We had a tremendous meeting. I think it was a very good press
conference, except for the fake news I think I did very well at
the press conference."<END QUOTE>
As I wrote in my previous article,
Trump is very well aware that we're headed for a world war against
China. From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this war
cannot be prevented. Trump is taking whatever steps he can to prevent
this war, and I'm not going to criticize Trump for taking steps to
prevent a world war, even if the war cannot be prevented.
Vladimir Putin is also well aware that Russia is headed for a war with
China. The Russian and Chinese people have hated each other for
centuries, especially since Russia, after conquest by Genghis Khan,
became a vassal state of the China and the Mongol Empire for
centuries. ( "31-Mar-18 World View -- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China"
)
So today, both Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are aware that their
countries are going to be allies in world war launched by China.
When they had their private summit meeting on July 16, it's
inconceivable that they didn't discuss this oncoming war, and how they
would defend themselves and help defend each other.
That also explains why there's so much secrecy about the meeting. Any
mention that Trump and Putin discussed plans for a world war launched
by China would cause a massive international uproar. So the subject
of the private meeting must be kept secret. But with so much at stake
for the United States, Russia, and the rest of the world, it's
inconceivable that they didn't discuss this subject when they had the
chance. And it will be all to the good for them to have another
meeting in the fall, for further discussions on this subject.
The Hill
Related Articles:
- Trump administration signals that trade war with China will escalate sharply (19-Jul-2018)
- Russia's Far East, Siberia and Vladivostok under threat from China (31-Mar-2018)
- China escalates militarization of South China Sea, preparing for war (20-May-2018)
- China places missiles on Russia's border -- to gain respect and attack America (27-Jan-2017)
- Russia's concerns about China's 'invasion' of the Far East continue (21-Jun-2015)
- The 'New Normal': Russia and China annex other countries' territories with impunity (22-Mar-2014)
****
**** North Korea denuclearization talks appear to be falling apart
****
As I've been writing for many months, there is absolutely no
possibility whatsoever that North Korea is going to denuclearize,
either now or in the future.
On Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and U.S. Ambassador to the
United Nations Nikki Haley criticized both China and Russia for
helping North Korea violate United Nations sanctions as the regime
smuggles in more oil than is allowed.
According to Pompeo, "When sanctions are not enforced, the prospects
for the successful denuclearization of North Korea are diminished."
It's been nearly six weeks after President Trump's summit with Kim
Jong-un, and there are no signs whatsoever, that the North Koreans
have any intention of denuclearizing. ABC News
Related Articles:
- North Korea issues vitriolic anti-US rant, collapsing denuclearization talks (08-Jul-2018)
- After the Kim-Trump summit, US and N. Korea plan denuclearization details (14-Jun-2018)
- NY Times publishes a generational analysis of South Korea (30-Jan-2018)
KEYS: Generational Dynamics, Donald Trump, China,
Xi Jinping, Hua Chunying, South China Sea,
United Nations Permanent Court of Arbitration in the Hague,
World Trade Organization, Larry Kudlow,
Russia, Vladimir Putin, Helsinki, Genghis Khan, Mongol Empire,
Mike Pompeo, Nikki Haley, North Korea, Kim Jong-un
Permanent web link to this article
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Contribute to Generational Dynamics via PayPal
John J. Xenakis
100 Memorial Drive Apt 8-13A
Cambridge, MA 02142
Phone: 617-864-0010
E-mail: john@GenerationalDynamics.com
Web site: http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com
Forum: http://www.gdxforum.com/forum
Subscribe to World View: http://generationaldynamics.com/subscribe
